Construction Crafts Technology (TOP 0952.00) Regional Program Demand Report

Foothill College, San Francisco larger MSA

Economic Modeling Specialists Inc. Regional Program Growth Report | Foothill College

Introduction and Contents

Contents Focus College Executive Summary 3 Foothill College Job Outlook Summary 5 Inverse Staffing Patterns 9 Region Definition Regional Graduation Summary 10 Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, San Francisco, San Occupational Programs & Completers 12 Mateo, Santa Clara

Purpose and Goals This report is designed to integrate and analyze data from multiple sources to help educational institutions Key Terms and Concepts discover regional labor market needs for certain Programs: Courses of postsecondary study defined by postsecondary programs of study. The overall goal is CIP (Classification of Instructional Programs) codes. to help a college align their program offerings the Occupation: A category of workers defined by the economy and labor market of its service region. To do Standard Occupational Classification (SOC). this, the report selects a set of focus occupations, determines the regional job outlook for them, and Relating occupations to Programs: EMSI determines compares this to the number of recent graduates in these links using information from the U.S. related programs at regional educational institutions. Department of Education. While this is a first step toward a supply/demand Replacement Jobs: The estimated number of job analysis, for increased accuracy it could be extended openings in an occupation due to retirement, with survey-based information from local employers turnover, and other factors aside from job growth. regarding their hiring outlook and recruitment sources. Based on national percentages by occupation. The occupation employment and wage numbers are Annual openings: The sum of new jobs and estimated from EMSI's national Complete Employment database, replacement jobs for a given occupation, divided by which is built using numerous published data sources the number of years in the timeframe. from the federal Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, and Bureau of the Census. In Earnings: For industries, total annual earnings per addition, the report uses industry/occupation data worker is reported; these earnings include wages, and projections created by the State of AnyState. The salaries, profits, and benefits. Occupational earnings completions-by-program and program-to-occupation are reported as median hourly wage only. links use data from the U.S. Department of Education. Jobs: Full-time and part-time positions held by These data sources have been specially processed and proprietors and payroll employees in the public or harmonized to provide more complete and detailed private sector. May exceed actual worker count. data than any individual source used. For more Projections: Estimates of future job or population information, see the final page of this report. numbers based on (1) recent historical regional trends and (2) published forecasts created by a consensus of state and federal agencies. Regional Program Growth Report | Foothill College

Executive Summary

Electrician Overview Lineworker Electrical and Power Transmission Installers, Other This report focuses on 14 occupations which are Building/Property Maintenance and Management expected to provide 720 annual job openings from Concrete Finishing/Concrete Finisher 2008-2013 in the San Francisco larger MSA 6-county Building/Home/Construction Inspection/Inspector Drywall Installation/Drywaller area. Meanwhile, in 2007, area colleges produced 624 Glazier graduates in 24 programs related to these Painting/Painter and Wall Coverer occupations. The numbers indicate an opportunity for Roofer Metal Building Assembly/Assembler area colleges to expand their offerings in this field.1 Building/Construction Site Management/Manager Building/Construction Finishing, Management, and Inspection, Other Focus Occupations Plumbing Technology/Plumber Well Drilling/Driller The following occupations were selected for analysis Blasting/Blaster 2 in this report: Construction Trades, Other First-line supervisors/managers of construction trades Mechanic and Repair Technologies/Technicians, Other and extraction workers Construction/Heavy Equipment/Earthmoving Equipment Carpet installers Operation Floor layers, except carpet, wood, and hard tiles Construction Management Floor sanders and finishers Construction laborers Labor Market Outlook Tapers Insulation workers, floor, ceiling, and wall Aggregated data for all focus occupations: Insulation workers, mechanical Plasterers and stucco masons Region State[s] U.S. Reinforcing iron and rebar workers 2008 total jobs 62,597 348,868 3,024,769 Structural iron and steel workers Fence erectors 2013 total jobs 62,621 357,967 3,132,771 Hazardous materials removal workers 2008-2013 growth 25 9,101 108,004 Construction and related workers, all other 2008-2013 repl. jobs 3,576 20,150 119,566 Median hourly earnings $25.98 $21.98 $17.71 Focus Programs The key occupations above correspond to the Focus Program Completions 3 following standard postsecondary program titles: "Completions" represents the total number of Hazardous Materials Management and Waste students to attain an award or degree at each given Technology/Technician level in all the above college programs. Mason/Masonry Carpentry/Carpenter Award Level 2007 Completions 2007 Completions Electrical and Power Transmission Installation/Installer, (Foothill College) (All Colleges in General Region) Award < 2 years 200 610 1. Annual job openings: new plus replacement jobs divided by Associate's 0 14 years in the timeframe. Note that openings may be filled from Bachelor's - - various sources besides new graduates, and that graduates may work in occupations unrelated to their degree. Postbaccalaureate - - 2. Occupations are defined by the federal SOC system. Certificate 3. Programs are defined by the federal CIP system. The Master's - - occupation-program crosswalk is based on the CIP-SOC Doctor's - - crosswalk published by the U.S. Department of Education. Professional - - TOTAL 200 624

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Job Outlook Summary Percent Change in Employment, All Focus Occupations This graph shows yearly percent growth compared to 2008.

The table summarizes the regional job outlook for the focus occupations using employment projections and current wage data, indicating the demand for these kinds of workers and their pay scale. Colleges which strive to be labor market responsive, maximize their economic impact, and generate a return on investment for public funds should generally focus program resources to support high-growth, high-wage occupations.

Detailed Information by Occupation

2008-13 Avg. Annual Openings Median Hourly Earnings Occupation Title Region State[s] U.S. Region State[s] U.S. Construction laborers 262 2,496 17,219 $21.82 $17.85 $14.10 First-line supervisors/managers of construction trades and extraction 261 1,885 17,223 $34.80 $29.82 $22.93 workers Plasterers and stucco masons 38 349 1,046 $20.84 $19.76 $17.36 Hazardous materials removal workers 34 102 1,138 $17.55 $17.87 $17.68 Structural iron and steel workers 30 264 2,444 $31.25 $24.22 $20.13 Tapers 22 126 756 $29.05 $23.98 $18.53 Construction and related workers, all other 22 150 1,290 $21.24 $18.19 $15.44 Reinforcing iron and rebar workers 18 139 922 $29.48 $23.90 $18.23 Fence erectors 12 93 793 $18.16 $17.29 $13.68 Insulation workers, floor, ceiling, and wall 12 63 755 $23.69 $18.03 $15.00 Floor layers, except carpet, wood, and hard tiles 7 66 374 $24.74 $21.69 $16.58 Insulation workers, mechanical 5 27 771 $23.03 $21.45 $17.40 Floor sanders and finishers 3 42 360 $24.24 $23.66 $16.28 Carpet installers -6 47 423 $23.62 $20.86 $16.92 TOTAL 720 5,850 45,514 $25.98 $21.98 $17.71

Source: EMSI Complete Employment, 3/2008. Average annual openings: total new plus replacement jobs over the entire timeframe divided by number of years in the timeframe.

1. Projected new and replacement jobs can indicate demand, but are not necessarily equivalent to demand. The number is based on past regional performance of the industries that employ workers in the given occupations, combined with official, biannual state and federal ten-year estimates. Projections may underestimate demand if employers need these kinds of workers but are unable to hire qualified individuals to meet their needs, or if unforeseen business recruitment and growth outpace past trends. Similarly, projections may overestimate demand if there are unforeseen contractions in key employers, entire industries, or the national economy as a whole.

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Regional Job Outlook

New & Rep. Median Hourly Occupation Title 2008 Jobs 2013 Jobs New Jobs Jobs Earnings Construction laborers 31,437 31,632 195 1,311 $21.82 First-line supervisors/managers of 18,052 18,169 117 1,303 $34.80 construction trades and extraction workers Tapers 2,349 2,310 -39 111 $29.05 Plasterers and stucco masons 1,685 1,693 8 190 $20.84 Carpet installers 1,632 1,490 -142 -32 $23.62 Hazardous materials removal workers 1,621 1,623 2 171 $17.55 Construction and related workers, all other 995 982 -13 109 $21.24 Floor layers, except carpet, wood, and 937 861 -76 33 $24.74 hard tiles Fence erectors 876 856 -20 61 $18.16 Structural iron and steel workers 862 877 15 152 $31.25 Floor sanders and finishers 670 636 -34 16 $24.24 Insulation workers, floor, ceiling, and wall 601 597 -4 59 $23.69 Reinforcing iron and rebar workers 588 608 20 91 $29.48 Insulation workers, mechanical 292 288 -4 27 $23.03 62,597 62,621 25 3,601 $25.98

Source: EMSI Complete Employment - Spring 2009.

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State & National Job Outlook

These two tables summarize the state and national job outlook for the focus occupations using employment projections and current wage data, indicating the demand for these kinds of workers and their pay scale. Occupations are in the same order as they are in the regional job outlook table on the previous page.

State Job Outlook New & Rep. Median Hourly Occupation Title 2008 Jobs 2013 Jobs New Jobs Jobs Earnings Construction laborers 176,461 182,675 6,214 12,482 $17.85 First-line supervisors/managers of 101,425 104,159 2,734 9,426 $29.82 construction trades and extraction workers Plasterers and stucco masons 14,540 14,711 171 1,744 $19.76 Tapers 10,849 10,793 -56 632 $23.98 Carpet installers 7,317 7,041 -276 234 $20.86 Structural iron and steel workers 6,226 6,557 331 1,322 $24.22 Hazardous materials removal workers 5,584 5,509 -75 509 $17.87 Construction and related workers, all other 5,495 5,574 79 748 $18.19 Floor layers, except carpet, wood, and 4,863 4,612 -251 329 $21.69 hard tiles Fence erectors 3,978 4,075 97 466 $17.29 Reinforcing iron and rebar workers 3,922 4,145 223 696 $23.90 Floor sanders and finishers 3,587 3,532 -55 212 $23.66 Insulation workers, floor, ceiling, and wall 3,263 3,234 -29 315 $18.03 Insulation workers, mechanical 1,356 1,350 -6 137 $21.45 348,868 357,967 9,101 29,251 $21.98

Source: EMSI Complete Employment - Spring 2009.

National Job Outlook New & Rep. Median Hourly Occupation Title 2008 Jobs 2013 Jobs New Jobs Jobs Earnings Construction laborers 1,432,888 1,483,586 50,698 86,095 $14.10 First-line supervisors/managers of 1,035,970 1,083,211 47,241 86,115 $22.93 construction trades and extraction workers Structural iron and steel workers 69,351 71,699 2,348 12,218 $20.13 Tapers 68,294 69,665 1,371 3,778 $18.53 Carpet installers 59,893 59,454 -439 2,113 $16.92 Construction and related workers, all other 58,015 58,110 95 6,451 $15.44 Plasterers and stucco masons 54,988 55,333 345 5,230 $17.36 Hazardous materials removal workers 41,426 42,853 1,427 5,690 $17.68 Floor layers, except carpet, wood, and 40,575 40,426 -149 1,869 $16.58 hard tiles Floor sanders and finishers 35,499 36,429 930 1,802 $16.28 Fence erectors 35,108 36,643 1,535 3,965 $13.68 Insulation workers, mechanical 31,927 32,599 672 3,857 $17.40 Insulation workers, floor, ceiling, and wall 31,618 32,288 670 3,775 $15.00 Reinforcing iron and rebar workers 29,218 30,478 1,260 4,612 $18.23

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New & Rep. Median Hourly Occupation Title 2008 Jobs 2013 Jobs New Jobs Jobs Earnings 3,024,769 3,132,771 108,004 227,570 $17.71 Source: EMSI Complete Employment - Spring 2009.

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Inverse Staffing Patterns Industrial Makeup These are your region's top ten growing industries in the selected occupations.

NAICS Code Description 2008 Jobs 2013 Jobs Change % Change 236115 New single-family general contractors 5,282 5,140 -142 -3% 236220 Commercial building construction 4,899 5,096 197 4% 236118 Residential remodelers 4,725 4,816 91 2% 238312 Nonresidential drywall contractors 2,887 2,794 -93 -3% 238992 All other nonresidential trade contractors 2,574 2,502 -72 -3% 237310 Highway, street, and bridge construction 2,353 2,409 56 2% 238311 Residential drywall contractors 2,327 2,301 -26 -1% 930000 Local government 2,298 2,412 114 5% 238991 All other residential trade contractors 2,087 2,255 168 8% 561320 Temporary help services 2,005 1,634 -371 -19%

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Regional Graduation Summary

Regional graduations ("completions" or number of awards/degrees granted) in the programs tied to the focus occupations are one indicator of workforce supply. (Other sources include in-migration of new workers to the region, promotion from within firms, and currently unemployed workers in the same or similar occupations.) The following table breaks down these graduations by program and award level at AnyRegion college and at all institutions in the region. A zero entry for completers indicates the program is offered but had no completions, while a "-" indicates the program is not offered.

2007 Completions, 2007 Completions, CIP Code Program Title Award Level Your College Entire Region 15.0508 Hazardous Materials Management and Award of less than 1 academic year - - Waste Technology/Technician Award of at least 1 but less than 2 - - academic years Associate's degree - - 46.0101 Mason/Masonry [all] - - 46.0201 Carpentry/Carpenter Award of at least 1 but less than 2 - 5 academic years Associate's degree - 2 46.0301 Electrical and Power Transmission [all] - - Installation/Installer, General 46.0302 Electrician Award of less than 1 academic year 96 263 Award of at least 1 but less than 2 67 82 academic years Associate's degree - 1 46.0303 Lineworker [all] - - 46.0399 Electrical and Power Transmission [all] - - Installers, Other 46.0401 Building/Property Maintenance and Award of less than 1 academic year - 25 Management Award of at least 1 but less than 2 - 91 academic years 46.0402 Concrete Finishing/Concrete Finisher [all] - - 46.0403 Building/Home/Construction Award of less than 1 academic year - 5 Inspection/Inspector Award of at least 1 but less than 2 - 6 academic years Associate's degree - 4 46.0404 Drywall Installation/Drywaller [all] - - 46.0406 Glazier Award of less than 1 academic year - - 46.0408 Painting/Painter and Wall Coverer Award of less than 1 academic year - - 46.0410 Roofer Award of at least 1 but less than 2 - - academic years Associate's degree - - 46.0411 Metal Building Assembly/Assembler [all] - - 46.0412 Building/Construction Site Award of less than 1 academic year - - Management/Manager Award of at least 1 but less than 2 - 14 academic years Associate's degree - 7

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2007 Completions, 2007 Completions, CIP Code Program Title Award Level Your College Entire Region Award of at least 2 but less than 4 - 2 academic years 46.0499 Building/Construction Finishing, [all] - - Management, & Inspection, Other 46.0503 Plumbing Technology/Plumber Award of less than 1 academic year 22 25 Award of at least 1 but less than 2 15 56 academic years Associate's degree - - 46.0504 Well Drilling/Driller [all] - - 46.9999 Construction Trades, Other [all] - - 47.9999 Mechanic and Repair Award of less than 1 academic year - 38 Technologies/Technicians, Other 49.0202 Construction/Heavy [all] - - Equipment/Earthmoving Equipment Operation 52.2001 Construction Management [all] - - TOTAL 200 626

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics: Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS).

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Occupational Programs & Completers

The following section provides detailed information for each focus occupation, including the job outlook information provided above. Each occupation is also associated with one or more postsecondary programs (defined by standard CIP 2000 codes) using information published by the U.S. Department of Education with customizations by EMSI.

A zero entry for completers indicates the program is offered but had no completions, while a "-" indicates the program is not offered.

Summary Table 2008-2013 2007 Completions, 2007 Completions, Total Total Occs. Avg. Annual All Related Programs All Related Programs Related Sharing Same Occupation Openings (College) (Region) Programs Programs Construction laborers 262 - - 1 14 First-line supervisors/managers of 261 200 588 20 52 construction trades and extraction workers Plasterers and stucco masons 38 - - 1 14 Hazardous materials removal workers 34 - 38 3 16 Structural iron and steel workers 30 - - 2 14 Tapers 22 - - 1 14 Construction and related workers, all other 22 - - 2 29 Reinforcing iron and rebar workers 18 - - 1 14 Fence erectors 12 - - 1 14 Insulation workers, floor, ceiling, and wall 12 - - 1 14 Floor layers, except carpet, wood, and 7 - - 1 14 hard tiles Insulation workers, mechanical 5 - - 1 14 Floor sanders and finishers 3 - - 1 14 Carpet installers -6 - - 1 14

Source: EMSI Complete Employment; U.S. Department of Education, IPEDS & Occupational Code Crosswalk - CIP 2000.

An occupation may be related to multiple programs and vice versa. Completions may be double-counted if related to multiple occupations; do not total. See columns "Total Related Programs" and "Total Occs. Sharing Same Programs" to refine interpretation of openings versus completions.

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Detail Tables The following tables provide detailed information for focus occupations and related programs, comparing estimated average annual openings in each occupation with recent completions (awards/degrees) in related programs at both AnyRegion College and at all institutions in the region. Many postsecondary programs are linked to multiple occupations; this is shown in the final column of each table and is one indication that fewer program completers will likely enter the given occupation than the overall total would suggest.

Sources for this section: EMSI Complete Employment, 3/2008; U.S. Department of Education, IPEDS.

First-line supervisors/managers of construction trades and extraction workers 2008-2013 Avg. Annual Openings: 261 Median Hourly Earnings: $34.80

2007 Completions, 2007 Completions, Other Occupations Related Programs College Entire Region Linked to Program TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS 200 588 52 Mason/Masonry - - 5 Carpentry/Carpenter - 7 2 Electrical and Power Transmission - - 2 Installation/Installer, General Electrician 163 346 4 Lineworker - - - Electrical and Power Transmission - - - Installers, Other Building/Property Maintenance and - 116 1 Management Concrete Finishing/Concrete Finisher - - 3 Building/Home/Construction - 15 1 Inspection/Inspector Drywall Installation/Drywaller - - 1 Glazier - - 1 Painting/Painter and Wall Coverer - - 3 Roofer - - 2 Building/Construction Site - 23 2 Management/Manager Building/Construction Finishing, - - 1 Management, and Inspection, Other Plumbing Technology/Plumber 37 81 4 Well Drilling/Driller - - 6 Blasting/Blaster - - 1 Construction Trades, Other - - 13 Construction Management - - -

Carpet installers 2008-2013 Avg. Annual Openings: -6 Median Hourly Earnings: $23.62