SWS Survey Review

2018 Surveys in this Review The 2019 Dates Coverage Sample size Population

SWS Survey Review Mar 22-27 PH 2,000 15+ Mar 23-27 PH 1,200 Adults Mahar Mangahas Jun 27-30 PH 1,200 Adults Social Weather Stations Sep 15-23 PH 1,500 Adults Dec 16-19 PH 1,440 Adults

1 February 2019 Jul 13-16 NCR 300 Adults 9:00 AM, TPIC-Bancom Room Dec 16-22 other PH 1,200 Adults 3/F Asian Institute of Management, Makati City

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 2

Topics-1 Topics-2 1. PRRD: health, keeping promises, vulgar 7. Human rights: the death penalty, tambays, language Minimum Age of Criminal Responsibility 2. Satisfaction with government officials and 8. The West Philippine Sea institutions 9. Foreign relations 3. Report cards of governance: Boracay, 10. Economic trends: QOL, poverty, hunger, national ID, MACR joblessness 4. The Bangsamoro Organic Law 11. Democracy: Federalism 5. The war on illegal drugs 6. Public safety; common-crime victimization

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SWS TERMS FOR SATISFACTION OR TRUST NET RATING EXCELLENT +70 VERY GOOD 1. PRESIDENT DUTERTE +50 GOOD +30 MODERATE +10 NEUTRAL -10 POOR -30 BAD -50 VERY BAD

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NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRESIDENTS: AGREE-DISAGREE: “I CAN SAY ANYTHING I WANT, OPENLY AND PHILIPPINES, MAY 1986 TO DEC 2018 WITHOUT FEAR, EVEN IF IT IS AGAINST THE ADMINISTRATION,”

C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE PHILIPPINES, JUL 1985 – DEC 2018 80 MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 100 60 Aug 1989 3 ¼ yrs. +60 90 +50 40 80 +30 70 20 * Dec 1994* * No honeymoon * 60 +10 2 ¼ yrs. Jun 2014 0 3 ¾ yrs. 50 49% -10 Jun 1999 1 yr. 40 -20 adults %of -30 30 Net* 25% -40 Satisfaction 20 -50 -60 10 0 *% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Ignores Don’t Know and Refused to Answer responses. Question. Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are in the performance of [NAME] as President of the Philippines. Are you Very satisfied, Somewhat satisfied, Undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, Q. PAKISABI PO KUNG KAYO AY SUMASANG-AYON O HINDI SUMASANG-AYON SA MGA STATEMENTS O Somewhat dissatisfied, Very dissatisfied? PANGUNGUSAP NA ITO: “NASASABI KO NANG HAYAGAN AT WALANG TAKOT ANG LAHAT NG GUSTO KONG SABIHIN KAHIT NA ITO AY LABAN SA ADMINISTRASYON.”

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WORRY ABOUT PRRD’S HEALTH: EXPECTED FULFILLMENT OF THE PRESIDENT’S PROMISES: PHILIPPINES, SEP AND DEC 2018 PHILIPPINES, SEP 2001, SEP 2010, AND JUN 2016-DEC 2018

Pres. Gloria Pres. Noynoy Sep 2018 Dec 2018 100 Macapagal-Arroyo Aquino Pres. Rody Duterte Sep01 Sep10 Jun16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Dec18 90 Not worried at all 23 18 100 Almost none 34% 4 1 3 5 6 5 6 or none 80 44% 90 16 16 Somewhat Not Worried 70 80 22 32 40 60 42 A few 70 50 49 46 57 50 60 44 Somewhat Worried 40 38 50 64 30 66% 41

% adults of% 55% 40

% of adults %of 41 35 20 30 32 35 Most Worried a great deal 35 10 18 22 20 27 0 14 22 All or 10 15 17 9 8 14 13 nearly all 0 5 Note: Don’t Know and Refused Responses are not shown. Figures may not add up due to rounding errors. Note: Blank spaces are Don’t Know and Refused responses. Q19: Gaano po kayo nababahala na magkaroon ng mga problema sa kalusugan si Pang. Rodrigo Duterte? Kayo po ba ay… Q. Sa inyong palagay, ilan sa mga pangako ni [Pres. Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo/Pres. Noynoy Aquino/Pres. Rody Duterte] (SHOWCARD: Talagang nababahala, Medyo nababahala, Medyo hindi nababahala, Talagang hindi nababahala)? ang posibleng matutupad? (SHOWCARD) [LAHAT O HALOS LAHAT SA MGA PANGAKO; KARAMIHAN SA MGA PANGAKO; MGA ILAN SA MGA PANGAKO; HALOS WALA O WALA SA MGA PANGAKO)

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ATTENTION TO PRES. DUTERTE: TOTAL PH, 2018 OPINION ON WHETHER CERTAIN ACTS OF PRRD (% who followed the news Very/Somewhat Closely) WERE VULGAR OR NOT: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 Don’t Vulgar Not vulgar know

Cursing the chief and members of the UN Human Rights Council, and threatening to 64 31 5 Mar Jun Sep Dec throw them to the crocodiles 2018 2018 2018 2018

Bad language of Pres. Rodrigo Duterte about Saying priests are no better than him -- 51 6 women that some priests have two wives 55 39 Pres. Rodrigo Duterte’s decision that the Philippines will withdraw from the International 40 Criminal Court or ICC Kissing a married lady on the lips in Seoul, 52 40 7 South Korea

10 30 50 70 90 % of adults Q23-25. Narito po ang ilan sa mga pahayag at ginawa ni Pang. Rodrigo duterte. Pakisabi po ang inyong pakiramdam sa mga pahayag o ginawa niyang ito. Ang (pahayag o ginawa) po ba niyang ito ay… (Bastos, Hindi bastos)? Q23. Paghalik ni Pang. Duterte sa labi ng isang babaeng may asawa sa Seoul, South Korea; Q24. Pahayag na ang ibang pari ay walang pinagkaiba sa kanya – na ang ilan sa kanila ay may tig-dalawang asawa; Q25. Pagmumura ni Pang. Duterte sa hepe at mga miyembro ng United Nations Human Rights Council at pagbabanta na ipakain sila sa mga buwaya.

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OPINION ON WHETHER CERTAIN PRONOUNCE- TRUST IN THE INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL COURT: MENTS OF PRRD WERE VULGAR OR NOT: PHILIPPINES, MAR 2018 – DEC 2018 PHILIPPINES, SEP 2018 Base: 97% 92% 92% Aware Don’t Mar 2018 Jun 2018 Dec 2018 Vulgar Not vulgar know 100 Very little trust 6 10 8 Somewhat 8 little trust 80 10 12 Saying “God is stupid” 83 14 3 31 Undecided 60 36 35 Saying Davao City has many 40 Somewhat rape cases because many 63 33 5 beautiful women live there 41 much trust 28 31 20 10 30 50 70 90 Very much % of adults 12 8 12 trust 0 Net* +20 +19 +38 Q15-16. Narito po ang ilan sa mga pahayag ni Pang. Rodrigo Duterte. Pakisabi po ang inyong pakiramdam sa mga * (% Much trust) – (% Little trust) pahayag niyang ito. Ang (pahayag) po ba niyang ito ay… (Bastos, Hindi bastos)? Q15. Ang pagtawag ni Pang. Q149. Sa mga sumusunod, maaari po bang pakisabi ninyo kung ang pagtitiwala ninyo sa (International Criminal Duterte na tanga ang Diyos o ang pagsabi niyang “God is stupid”; Q16. Pahayag na ang dahilan kung bakit Court o ICC) ay Napakalaki, Medyo malaki, Hindi tiyak kung malaki o maliit, Medyo maliit, Napakaliit o Wala pa maraming kasong rape sa Davao City ay dahil maraming mga magagandang babae na nakatira sa Davao City. kayong narinig o nabasa kahit na kailan tungkol sa (International Criminal Court o ICC)? Pakisabi ang sagot ninyo sa pamamagitan ng paglagay ng mga kard sa naaangkop na lugar sa rating board na ito.

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TRUST IN THE UNITED NATIONS: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 – DEC 2018 Base: 96% 97% Aware Jun 2018 Dec 2018 Very little trust 100 6 2 Somewhat 6 little trust 11 80 21 Undecided 2. SATISFACTION WITH 28 60 GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS Somewhat 48 much trust 40 AND INSTITUTIONS 41

20 21 Very much 12 trust 0 Net* +37 +61 * (% Much trust) – (% Little trust) Q149. Sa mga sumusunod, maaari po bang pakisabi ninyo kung ang pagtitiwala ninyo sa (United Nations o UN) ay Napakalaki, Medyo malaki, Hindi tiyak kung malaki o maliit, Medyo maliit, Napakaliit o Wala pa kayong narinig o nabasa kahit na kailan tungkol sa (United Nations o UN)? Pakisabi ang sagot ninyo sa pamamagitan ng paglagay ng mga kard sa naaangkop na lugar sa rating board na ito.

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NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF VICE-PRESIDENTS, NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF SENATE PRESIDENTS, PHILIPPINES, OCT 1986 TO DEC 2018 PHILIPPINES, APR 1990 TO DEC 2018

C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE 100 + 70 Gonzales Sotto + 90 Gonzales 60Salonga +61 80 Angara Maceda Fernan Enrile + 70 + 50 Drilon Drilon 60 Ople 40 + 50 Villar K. Pimentel 40 + 30 Estrada Robredo Gonzales Drilon + 30 +27 20 20 Binay N. Pimentel + 10 Laurel De Castro + 10 0 Guingona 0 -10 Arroyo -20 -10

* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.

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NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF SPEAKERS OF THE HOUSE OF ATTENTION TO ELECTIONS: TOTAL PH, 2018 REPRESENTATIVES, PHILIPPINES, FEB 1990 TO DEC 2018 (% who followed the news Very/Somewhat Closely)

C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE + 70 60 Mar Jun Sep Dec 2018 2018 2018 2018 + 50 De Venecia Villar Elections 40 The installing of former President and Pampanga Mitra + 30 Representative Gloria Macapagal Arroyo as the 48 Belmonte 20 Alvarez new House Speaker De Venecia + 10 The protest of Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. 47 0 about alleged cheating in the counting of votes for Nograles Vice-President -10 Fuentebella Arroyo -20 -21 -30

* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.

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ATTENTION TO THE SUPREME COURT: TOTAL PH, 2018 NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF CHIEF JUSTICES OF THE (% who followed the news Very/Somewhat Closely) SUPREME COURT, PHILIPPINES, OCT 1986 TO DEC 2018

Mar Jun Sep Dec 70 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE 2018 2018 2018 2018 60 Teehankee Supreme Court + 50 Fernan Narvasa The impeachment case filed in Congress 40 Davide Carpio against Supreme Court Chief Justice 43 + 30 Carpio Maria Lourdes Sereno Panganiban 20 Bersamin The Supreme Court decision regarding the Quo + 10 Puno +11 Warranto case against Supreme Court Chief 37 0 Justice Maria Lourdes Sereno Sereno -10 The Supreme Court decision regarding the Quo -20 De Castro Warranto case against Supreme Court Chief 37 -30 Justice Maria Lourdes Sereno -40 Corona The appointment of Teresita Leonardo-De Castro -50 35 as Chief Justice of the Supreme Court

* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.

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ATTENTION TO LOCAL POLITICS: TOTAL PH, 2018 NET* SATISFACTION RATINGS OF THE SENATE AND HOUSE OF (% who followed the news Very/Somewhat Closely) REPRESENTATIVES: PHILIPPINES, SEP 1988 TO DEC 2018

C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Mar Jun Sep Dec +100 2018 2018 2018 2018 +90 Net* Local politics +80 Satisfaction +70 Senate investigations on the Dengvaxia vaccine Senate 66 controversy +60 +58 +50 The graft conviction of former first lady Imelda 50 +40 +40 Marcos +30 House The revocation of the amnesty of Senator Antonio of Rep. 48 +20 Trillanes IV +10 The destruction of smuggled luxury cars in the 44 +0 Bureau of Customs -+10- Senate hearings on fake news 35 -+20

* Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied. (Survey Data: Social Weather Stations surveys). [INS-RATE.PRS]

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NET* SATISFACTION RATINGS OF THE SUPREME COURT: NET* SATISFACTION RATINGS OF THE CABINET AS A WHOLE: PHILIPPINES, NOV 1990 TO DEC 2018 PHILIPPINES, NOV 1990 TO DEC 2018

C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +100 +100 +90 Net* +90 Net* +80 +80 Satisfaction Satisfaction +70 +70 +60 +60 +50 Cabinet +50 Supreme +40 Court +37 +30 +40 +37 +30 +20 +10 +20 +0 +10 -+10- +0 -+20 -+10- -+30-

* Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied. Survey Data: Social Weather Stations surveys. [INS-RATE.PRS] * Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied. Survey Data: Social Weather Stations surveys. [INS-RATE.PRS]

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ATTENTION TO LOCAL POLITICS AND ELECTIONS: TOTAL PH, 2018 (% who followed the news Very/Somewhat Closely)

Mar Jun Sep Dec 2018 2018 2018 2018 3. REPORT CARDS OF Local politics Events regarding the Build Build Build program of 32 GOVERNANCE the government Senate investigation on the Philippine Charity 31 Sweepstakes Office or PCSO Elections Events regarding the Barangay and Sangguniang 72 Kabataan elections

The filing of certificates of candidacy (COC) of candidates running for different positions in the 55 May 2019 elections

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ATTENTION TO PUBLIC SAFETY: TOTAL PH, 2018 ISSUES WITH EXCELLENT AND VERY GOOD GRADES IN REPORT (% who followed the news Very/Somewhat Closely) CARDS OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION IN 2018

Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar Jun Sep Dec Very 2018 2018 2018 2018 Overall performance rating +58 +58 +50 +66 Good Public safety Helping victims of disasters +75 Excel- Promoting women's rights +28 +52 +71 lent Eruption of Mayon Volcano and Albay province's 63 Building and maintenance of public works +62 +62 +66 +70 (3) declaration of a state of calamity Helping the poor +68 +54 +63 +68 Rehabilitation of areas damaged by the armed 62 Protecting human rights +54 +48 +54 +62 conflict in Marawi City Reconstructing Marawi City +63 +55 +58 +60 Very The problems caused by an aircraft of Xiamen Fighting terrorism +58 +39 +53 +55 Good Airlines that skidded off the main runway of the 48 Promoting the welfare of OFWs +59 +55 (7) Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) Transparency in government activities +23 +43 +54 The 9 farmers who were killed in Hacienda Nene in Deciding quickly +15 +33 +50 31 Sagay City, Negros Occidental

* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.

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ISSUES WITH GOOD AND MODERATE GRADES IN REPORT NET* SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE OF THE CARDS OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION IN 2018 NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION: PHILIPPINES, FEB 1989 – DEC 2018 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Fighting crimes +40 +37 +43 +44 +100 Reconciling with Muslim rebels +41 +31 +41 +43 +90 Eradicating graft and corruption +46 +30 +38 +42 +80 Net* Telling the truth to the people +41 +70 Satisfaction +66 +60 Defending Philippine sovereignty +34 +20 +39 +40 +50 VG in the West PH Sea Good +40 Having clear policies +40 (11) +30 Reconciling with communist rebels +37 +27 +42 +39 +20 Fulfilling commitments in international treaties +40 +33 +40 +39 +10 Foreign relations +36 +39 +40 +38 +0 -+10- Ensuring efficient public transportation system +41 +36 -+20 Defending the country’s territorial rights +36 -+30- -+40 Ensuring that no family will ever be hungry +22 +39 +23 +28 Mode- -+50- rate -+60 Fighting inflation +6 -1 +8 +14 (2)

* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.

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NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON HELPING THE POOR: PHILIPPINES, DEC 1993 – DEC 2018 ON FIGHTING TERRORISM: PHILIPPINES, NOV 2002 – DEC 2018

RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +100 +100 +90 Net* +90 Net* +80 Satisfaction +80 Satisfaction +70 +68 +70 +60 VG +60 +50 +50 +55 +40 +40 VG +30 +30 +20 +20 +10 +10 +0 +0 -+10- -+10- -+20 -+20 -+30- -+30- -+40 -+40

* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.

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NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON FIGHTING CRIMES: PHILIPPINES, NOV 1990 – DEC 2018 ON RECONCILING WITH MUSLIM REBELS: PHILIPPINES, SEP 1998 – DEC 2018 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +100 +100 +90 Net* +90 Net* +80 Satisfaction +80 Satisfaction +70 +70 +60 +60 +50 +50 +43 +40 +44 +40 +30 G +30 G +20 +20 +10 +10 +0 +0 -+10- -+10- -+20 -+20 -+30- -+30- -+40 -+40

* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.

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NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ERADICATING GRAFT AND CORRUPTION: PHILIPPINES, ON RECONCILING WITH COMMUNIST REBELS: PHILIPPINES, MAR 1987 – DEC 2018 SEP 1998 – DEC 2018

C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +100 +100 +90 Net* +90 Net* +80 Satisfaction +80 Satisfaction +70 +70 +60 +60 +50 +50 +40 +42 +40 +39 +30 G +30 G +20 +20 +10 +10 +0 +0 -+10- -+10- -+20 -+20 -+30- -+30- -+40 -+40

* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.

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NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON ON FOREIGN RELATIONS: PHILIPPINES, SEP 1992 – DEC 2018 ENSURING THAT NO FAMILY WILL BE HUNGRY: PHILIPPINES, DEC 2004 – DEC 2018 RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +100 +100 +90 Net* +90 Net* +80 Satisfaction +80 Satisfaction +70 +70 +60 +60 +50 +50 +40 +38 +40 +30 +30 +28 +20 G +20 +10 +10 M +0 +0 -+10- -+10- -+20 -+20 -+30- -+30- -+40 -+40

* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.

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NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON FIGHTING INFLATION: PHILIPPINES, NOV 1991 – DEC 2018

C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +100 +90 Net* +80 +70 Satisfaction +60 3a. BORACAY CLOSURE +50 +40 +30 +20 +10 +14 +0 M -+10- -+20 -+30- -+40 -+50- -+60

* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.

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OPINION ON THE DENR-DILG-DOT RECOMMENDATION EXTENT OF HELP THE CLOSURE OF BORACAY WOULD BE TO CLOSE BORACAY FOR A YEAR FOR REHABILITATION, TO THE REHABILITATION OF NATURE IN THE ISLAND, PHILIPPINES, MAR 2018 PHILIPPINES, MAR 2018

Strongly disagree Definitely not help 10 Somewhat 8 Somewhat not help 8 Definitely disagree 10 Strongly help agree 37 38 Net* Net*

+44 +49 Undecided 20

Undecided 17

% of adults of % % of adults of %

26 Somewhat agree 28 Somewhat help *Net figures (% Agree minus % Disagree) are correctly rounded.

Q175. Kamakailan ay inirekomenda ng Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR), Department of *Net figures (% Would help minus % Would not help) are correctly rounded. Interior and Local Government (DILG), at Department of Tourism (DOT) ang pagpapasara sa buong isla ng Boracay sa mga turista ng isang taon upang simulan ang tuluyang rehabilitasyon ng isla. Kayo po ba ay SANG-AYON o Q176. Sa inyong palagay, sa kalaunan, ang rekomendasyon po bang pagpapasara sa buong isla ng Boracay sa mga HINDI SANG-AYON sa rekomendasyon na ito ng DENR, DILG, at DOT? (LUBOS NA SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO turista ng isang taon ay… (TALAGANG MAKAKATULONG, MEDYO MAKAKATULONG, HINDI TIYAK KUNG SUMASANG-AYON, HINDI TIYAK KUNG SUMASANG-AYON O HINDI SUMASANG-AYON , MEDYO HINDI SUMASANG- MAKAKATULONG O HINDI, MEDYO HINDI MAKAKATULONG, TALAGANG HINDI MAKAKATULONG) sa rehabilitasyon AYON, LUBOS NA HINDI SUMASANG-AYON) ng kalikasan sa isla?

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EXTENT OF HELP THE CLOSURE OF BORACAY WOULD BE ATTENTION TO BORACAY: TOTAL PH, 2018 TO THE INCREASE OF TOURISTS IN THE FUTURE, (% who followed the news Very/Somewhat Closely) PHILIPPINES, MAR 2018

Definitely not help Somewhat 7 not help 9 Definitely 36 help Net* Mar Jun Sep Dec 2018 2018 2018 2018 +44

Undecided 23 The reopening of Boracay Island to tourists 54 60 % of adults of %

25 Somewhat help

*Net figures (% Would help minus % Would not help) are correctly rounded. Q177. Sa inyong palagay, sa kalaunan, ang rekomendasyon po bang pagpapasara sa buong isla ng Boracay sa mga turista ng isang taon ay… (TALAGANG MAKAKATULONG, MEDYO MAKAKATULONG, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MAKAKATULONG O HINDI, MEDYO HINDI MAKAKATULONG, TALAGANG HINDI MAKAKATULONG) sa pagdami ng mga turista sa hinaharap?

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ATTENTION TO NATIONAL ID SYSTEM: TOTAL PH, 2018 (% who followed the news Very/Somewhat Closely)

3b. NATIONAL ID SYSTEM Mar Jun Sep Dec 2018 2018 2018 2018 The deliberations regarding the enactment of the 42 National ID system

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APPROVAL/DISAPPROVAL OF A NATIONAL ID SYSTEM: OPINION ON HOW MUCH HELP THE NATIONAL ID SYSTEM PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 WILL BE: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 Almost no help Don’t know/No answer Little help Strongly 5 8 disapprove 9 Strongly 18% 8 approve 32 Very big help Disapprove Somewhat disapprove 10 Moderate help 46 73% Approve 26

27 Somewhat 28 Big help approve Net* = +55 % of adults % of adults

* Net figures (% Strongly/Somewhat Approve minus % Somewhat/Strongly Disapprove) are correctly rounded. Note: Don’t know and non-responses are not shown.

Q110. Sa pangkalahatan, sumasang-ayon po ba kayo o hindi sumasang- ayon sa pagkakaroon National ID system sa Pilipinas? Q111. Sa inyong palagay, gaano ang maitutulong sa inyo ng National ID system? Ito po ba ay… (SHOWCARD)? (SHOWCARD) (LUBOS NA SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO HINDI SUMASANG-AYON, LUBOS NA HINDI (NAPAKALAKING TULONG, MALAKING TULONG, KATAMTAMANG TULONG, KAUNTING TULONG, HALOS WALANG SUMASANG-AYON, o HINDI SAPAT ANG KAALAMAN PARA MAKAPAGBIGAY NG OPINYON) TULONG)

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AGREE-DISAGREE: “The government can be trusted to TRUST IN GOVERNMENT NOT TO USE THE NATIONAL ID protect private information contained in the National ID”: AGAINST ITS OPPONENTS, PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 Strongly disagree Very little trust Somewhat disagree 3 Somewhat little trust 5 Very much trust 5 8 18 26 Strongly agree

Undecided if 30 agree or disagree

Undecided if much 39 30 Somewhat much trust or little trust 35 Somewhat agree Net* = +53 Net* = +36 % of adults % of adults * Net figures (% Strongly/Somewhat Agree minus % Somewhat/Strongly Disagree) are correctly rounded.

Q112. Gaano po kayo sumasang-ayon o hindi sumasang-ayon sa pangungusap na ito "Ang gobyerno ay mapagkakatiwalaan na * Net figures (% Very/Somewhat Much Trust minus % Somewhat/Very Little Trust) are correctly rounded. pangangalagaan nito ang mga pribadong impormasyon na nilalaman ng National ID"? (SHOWCARD) (LUBOS NA SUMASANG- Q113. Gaano ang inyong pagtitiwala na hindi gagamitin ng gobyerno ang National ID laban sa mga taong sumasalungat sa AYON, MEDYO SUMASANG-AYON, HINDI TIYAK KUNG SUMASANG-AYON O HINDI SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO HINDI SUMASANG- gobyerno? (SHOWCARD) (NAPAKALAKING TIWALA, MEDYO MALAKING TIWALA, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT ANG AYON, o LUBOS NA HINDI SUMASANG-AYON) TIWALA, MEDYO MALIIT ANG TIWALA, NAPAKALIIT ANG TIWALA)

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ATTENTION TO THE BOL: TOTAL PH, 2018 (% who followed the news Very/Somewhat Closely)

4. THE BANGSAMORO ORGANIC LAW Mar Jun Sep Dec 2018 2018 2018 2018 The enactment of the Bangsamoro Organic Law, also known as the Bangsamoro Basic Law or BBL, 37 or Republic Act 11054

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SUPPORT FOR THE APPROVAL OF THE BANGSAMORO ORGANIC LEVEL OF KNOWLEDGE ABOUT THE BANGSAMORO LAW IN THE JANUARY 2019 PLEBISCITE: PHILIPPINES, DEC 2018 ORGANIC LAW (BOL): PHILIPPINES, DEC 2018 Q. Do you WANT or NOT WANT voters who will vote in the January 2019 Plebiscite to approve the Bangsamoro Organic Law or BOL? Iglesia Other Iglesia ni Other TOTAL PH Muslims Catholics ni Cristo Christians TOTAL PH Muslims Catholics Cristo Christians 100 100 3 Definitely 4 8 don’t want it 90 22 90 13 12 4 19 14 80 35 36 39 39 Almost nothing 80 9 10 Somewhat 9 don’t want it 70 or nothing 70 12 60 60 33 42 44 62 35 Undecided 50 50 41 42

40 40 44 39 A little % of adults %of 30 67 Somewhat adults %of 22 24 want it 30 35 20 23 18 20 10 Definitely Partial but 14 13 18 18 16 sufficient 10 8 want it 10 16 0 10 +14 +72 +10 +15 + 9 Net * 0 5 5 1 6 Extensive * % Definitely/Somewhat Want MINUS Somewhat/Definitely Not Want, correctly rounded. Figures may not add up due to rounding errors. Q121. Noong nakaraang Hulyo 2018, pinirmahan na ni Pang. Rody Duterte ang Republic Act 11054 o ang “Bangsamoro Q122. GUSTO po ba ninyo o HINDI GUSTO na ma-aprubahan ng mga botanteng boboto sa Plebisito sa Enero 2019 ang Organic Law” o BOL, ang batas na bubuo ng bago at mas pinalawak na lugar na awtonomiya na tatawaging Bangsamoro Bangsamoro Organic Law o BOL? (Talagang gusto; Medyo gusto; Hindi tiyak kung gusto o hindi gusto; Medyo hindi Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao o BARMM. Paano po ninyo ilalarawan ang inyong kaalaman sa batas na ito? gusto; Talagang hindi gusto) Kayo po ba ay may (Showcard: Malawak; Bahagya ngunit sapat; Kaunti lamang; Halos wala o wala) na kaalaman?

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OPINION ON THE CAPABILITY OF THE MILF TO GOVERN THE BARMM: PHILIPPINES, DEC 2018

Q. In your opinion, does the Moro Islamic Liberation Front or MILF have the capability to govern the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM)?

Iglesia ni Other Definitely TOTAL PH Muslims Catholics Cristo Christians not capable 100 7 4 90 14 1 14 Somewhat 21 21 not capable 80 9 16 9 5. THE WAR ON ILLEGAL DRUGS 9 70 21 60 Undecided 43 45 50 55 41 40 Somewhat % of adults %of 30 56 capable 22 20 23 19 Definitely 10 16 11 capable 0 8 4 9 +10 +68 + 8 -6 - 2 Net * * % Definitely/Somewhat Capable MINUS Somewhat/Definitely Not Capable, correctly rounded. Figures may not add up due to rounding errors. Q123. Sa inyong palagay, may kakayahan po ba ang Moro Islamic Liberation Front o MILF na mamahala sa Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM)? (SHOWCARD: Talagang may kakayahan; Medyo may kakayahan; Hindi tiyak kung may kakayahan o wala; Medyo walang kakayahan; Talagang walang kakayahan)

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 57 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 58

ATTENTION TO WAR ON DRUGS: TOTAL PH, 2018 SATISFACTION WITH THE ADMIN IN ITS CAMPAIGN AGAINST (% who followed the news Very/Somewhat Closely) ILLEGAL DRUGS: PHILIPPINES, SEP 2016 TO SEP 2018 Unde- Dis- Satisfied cided satisfied Net* Mar Jun Sep Dec 2018 2018 2018 2018 Sep 2018 76 11 12 +64 War on drugs Jun 2018 78 9 13 +65 The revival of ‘Oplan Tokhang’ by the Philippine Mar 2018 75 13 12 +64 71 National Police or PNP Dec 2017 76 12 12 +64 The International Criminal Court or ICC Sep 2017 77 9 14 +63 54 investigations of the Philippines’ 'war on drugs' Jun 2017 78 9 13 +65

The dismissal of the drug charges filed against Mar 2017 78 10 12 +66 nine individuals involved in the shipment of P6.4 Dec 2016 37 85 7 8 +77 billion worth of illegal drugs from China by the Sep 2016 84 8 8 +76 Valenzuela Regional Trial Court

*Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) are correctly rounded. Blank spaces are Refused and No answers. Q. Maaari po bang pakisabi ninyo kung gaano kayo nasisiyahan o hindi nasisiyahan sa kasalukuyang kampanya ng ADMINISTRASYON laban sa illegal na droga. Kayo ba ay… (SHOWCARD) Kayo ba ay Lubos na nasisiyahan, Medyo nasisiyahan, Hindi tiyak kung nasisiyahan o hindi, Medyo hindi nasisiyahan, o Lubos na hindi nasisiyahan?

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 59 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 60

OPINION ON WHETHER THE POLICE ARE TELLING THE TRUTH IMPORTANCE FOR THE RESPONDENT THAT THE POLICE THAT THE SUSPECTS THEY KILLED REALLY RESISTED ARREST: CAPTURE THE ILLEGAL DRUG TRADE SUSPECTS ALIVE: PHILIPPINES, DEC 2016 to DEC 2018 PHILIPPINES, DEC 2018

Definitely telling Definitely not Somewhat Net* Very important Net* the truth Undecided telling the truth important

Dec 2018 10 17 44 16 12 0 Dec 2018 77 18 4 1 +89 Jun 2018 9 17 47 14 13 0 Sep 2017 5 13 45 19 19 - 1 Jun 2018 75 21 31 +92 Jun 2017 9 16 48 16 12 - 8

Mar 2017 6 18 44 17 14 - 3 adults %of % of adults %of Dec 2016 9 19 42 13 16 -20 Sep 2017 76 19 32 +90

Probably telling Probably not Somewhat Not at all the truth telling the truth not important important * Net figures (% Telling the truth minus % Not telling the truth) correctly rounded. Refused, Don’t know, and No answer responses are not shown. Note: Refused, Don’t know, and No Answer responses are not shown. Q. Sa kampanya ng gobyerno laban sa illegal na droga, ang kapulisan po ba ay … (SHOWCARD) nagsasabi ng totoo na ang napapatay nilang suspect ay talagang nanlaban sa kanila? [TALAGANG NAGSASABI NG TOTOO, MALAMANG Q: Gaano KA-IMPORTANTE NAMAN PARA SA INYO NA MAHULI NG MGA PULIS NANG BUHAY ang mga taong NAGSASABI NG TOTOO, HINDI TIYAK KUNG NAGSASABI NG TOTOO O HINDI, MALAMANG HINDI NAGSASABI NG pinaghihinalaang kasabwat sa illegal na droga? Ito po ba ay… (SHOWCARD)? TOTOO, O TALAGANG HINDI NAGSASABI NG TOTOO]

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 61 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 62

OPINION ON WHO THE USUAL VICTIMS OF EXTRA JUDICIAL KILLINGS EXTENT OF WORRY THAT RESPONDENT OR SOMEONE KNOWN TO OR EJK ARE, PHILIPPINES, JUN 2017 AND DEC 2018 HIM/HER WILL BE A VICTIM OF EXTRA-JUDICIAL KILLINGS OR EJK, PHILIPPINES, DEC 2016 – DEC 2018

Does not choose Very Somewhat Not too Not worried Only the poor Only the rich a class worried worried worried at all

Jun 2017 51 4 44 Dec 2018 42 36 9 13

Jun 2017 41 32 13 14

Dec 2018 50 3 48 Mar 2017 37 36 14 13

Dec 2016 45 33 10 12

% No answer and Don’t know are not shown. % No answer, Don’t know and Refused are not shown. Q125: Sa inyong palagay, sino po ba ang karaniwang nagiging biktima ng mga ‘Extra Judicial Killing’ o EJK? Ang karaniwan po bang nagiging biktima nito ay ang mga MAHIHIRAP LAMANG, MAYAYAMAN LAMANG, o WALANG PINIPILING ANTAS? (READ OUT) (ONE Q: Gaano po kayo nangangamba na kayo o sino mang kilala ninyo ay maging biktima ng ‘Extra Judicial Killing o EJK’? Kayo po ba ay.. ANSWER ONLY) (SHOWCARD)? TALAGANG NANGANGAMBA, MEDYO NANGANGAMBA, MEDYO HINDI NANGANGAMBA, O TALAGANG HINDI NANGANGAMBA

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 63 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 64

CRIME VICTIMIZATION OF ANY FAMILY MEMBER WITHIN THE PAST 6 MONTHS, PHILIPPINES, FEB 1989 TO DEC 2018 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE

15 6. PUBLIC SAFETY 10

Pick-pocket/

Robbery, 5.2% % of % households 5 Break-in, 2.8% Physical violence, 1.3% Carnap, 0.1% 1989 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 2018 [SWR 2018-IV Crime Vic] Q132-135: Nais po naming malaman ang karanasan ninyo at ng iba pang miyembro ng inyong pamilyang nakatira dito, tungkol sa krimen. Nitong nakaraang 6 buwan, kayo po ba o kahit na sinong miyembro ng inyong pamilya ay naging biktima ng… (SHUFFLE CARDS)?

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 65 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 66

NEIGHBORHOOD FEARS, PHILIPPINES, JUN 1985 TO DEC 2018 MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE

70 Fearing burglary

60 61%* 54%** 7. HUMAN RIGHTS

50 % fearful % 40 39%***

30 Fearing to walk at night Noticing very many drug addicts

1985 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 2018 Percentage of those who agree with the statement "In this neighborhood, ... * “people are usually afraid that robbers might break into their houses.”; ** “people are usually afraid to walk in the streets at night because it is not safe.”; *** “there are already very many people addicted to banned drugs.”

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 67 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 68

“DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE PROVISION IN THE CONSTITUTION THAT PROHIBITS THE DEATH PENALTY?” PHILIPPINES, MAR 2018

Q30. Gaano po kayo sumasang-ayon o hindi sumasang-ayon sa probisyon sa Konstitusyon na ipinagbabawal ang parusang kamatayan o death penalty? (Do you agree or disagree with the provision in the Constitution that prohibits the death penalty? )

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly 7a. THE DEATH PENALTY agree agree Undecided disagree disagree NET* Total PH [100%] 30 24 15 9 21 +23

Total Previously Aware of the Constitutional provision on the 32 24 13 10 21 +25 death penalty [79%]

Total Previously Not Aware of the Constitutional provision on the 21 27 22 8 22 +18 death penalty [21%]

*Net agreement: Computed as % Strongly/Somewhat agree minus % Somewhat/Strongly disagree, correctly rounded.

The 2019 SWS Survey Review The 2019 SWS Survey Review 69 CHR: Dignity of all70

WHAT OUGHT TO BE THE PUNISHMENT FOR PEOPLE EXTENT OF WORRY OF BECOMING A VICTIM OF A HEINOUS FOUND TO HAVE COMMITTED THIS SPECIFIC CRIME? CRIME OR BEING FALSELY ACCUSED OF COMMITING A PHILIPPINES, MAR 2018 HEINOUS CRIME, PHILIPPINES, MAR 2018 20 40 years years Life imprisonment Death penalty Worry that one might be a victim of a Worry that one might be falsely accused heinous crime of committing a heinous crime Working in drug dens 9 15 54 22 80% 80% 70 Sale of illegal drugs 8 13 55 24 62 60% 60% Maintenance of drug dens 7 13 53 25 Murder under the influence of 10 8 51 30 40% drugs 40%

Importation of illegal drugs 6 9 53 31 17 18 20% 20% 13 Manufacture of illegal drugs 6 9 51 33 6 7 7 Rape under the influence of 3 6 44 47 0% 0% drugs Worried a Somewhat Not worried Not worried Worried a Somewhat Not worried Not worried great deal worried too much at all great deal worried too much at all

Qs53-59. Sa inyong palagay, ano ang nararapat na parusa na ipataw sa mga tao na napatunayang gumawa ng mga krimen na ito? Ito po ba ay 20 TAON, 40 TAON, HABAMBUHAY NA PAGKAKABILANGGO, O PARUSANG KAMATAYAN O DEATH PENALTY? Q35. Gaano po kayo nababahala na kayo o sino man sa inyong pamilya ay maaaring maging biktima ng karumal-dumal na krimen? Kayo po ba ay (LUBOS NA NABABAHALA, MEDYO NABABAHALA, MEDYO HINDI NABABAHALA, O TALAGANG HINDI NABABAHALA)? Qs53-59. In your opinion, what ought to be the punishment to be imposed on people who were found to have committed these crimes? (20 Q36. At gaano naman po kayo nababahala na kayo o sino man sa inyong pamilya ay maaaring MAAKUSAHAN NANG MALI na gumawa ng karumal-dumal na years, 40 years, life imprisonment, death penalty) krimen? Kayo po ba ay (LUBOS NA NABABAHALA, MEDYO NABABAHALA, MEDYO HINDI NABABAHALA, O TALAGANG HINDI NABABAHALA)?

The 2019 SWS Survey Review The 2019 SWS Survey Review CHR: Dignity of 71all 72

TEST STATEMENT: “POLICE ARRESTING IDLERS OR ‘TAMBAYS’ IS A VIOLATION OF THEIR HUMAN RIGHTS”: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018

Strongly disagree 11 Disagree Strongly 7b. TAMBAYS/LOITERERS 26% Somewhat 32 agree disagree 14 Agree 60%

% of adults of % Undecided 14

28 Somewhat Net* agree +34 *Net figures (% Agree minus % Disagree) are correctly rounded. Q146. Kamakailan ay ipinag-utos ni Pang. Duterte na ipahuli ang lahat ng mga tambay o mga taong pakalat-kalat sa kalsada upang di umano'y mabawasan ang kriminalidad sa Pilipinas. Gaano po kayo sumasang-ayon o hindi sumasang-ayon sa pangungusap na ito: “Ang pag-aresto ng mga pulis sa mga tambay ay isang paglabag sa karapatang pantao nila.” (Lubos na sumasang-ayon, Medyo sumasang-ayon, Hindi tiyak kung sumasang-ayon o hindi sumasang-ayon, Medyo hindi sumasang- ayon, o Lubos na hindi sumasang-ayon)

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 73 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 74

OPINION ON WHO WOULD BE USUALLY ARRESTED EXTENT OF WORRY THAT THE RESPONDENTS OR ANYONE BY THE POLICE FOR LOITERING: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 THEY KNOW WOULD BE ARRESTED FOR LOITERING BY THE POLICE: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 Only the rich

2 Not worried at all 18 34 Very worried 40 Only the poor

Not too worried 14 % of adults of % % of adults of % Does not 58 choose a class 34 Somewhat worried

Q147. Sa inyong palagay, sino po ba ang karaniwang maa-arestong mga tumatambay ng mga pulis? Ang karaniwan Q148. Gaano po kayo nangangamba na kayo o sino mang kilala ninyo ay maa-arestong tumatambay ng mga pulis? po bang maa-arestong mga tumatambay ng mga pulis ay mahihirap lamang, mayayaman lamang, o walang pinipiling Kayo po ba ay… (Talagang nangangamba, Medyo nangangamba, Medyo hindi nangangamba, o Talagang hindi antas? nangangamba)

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 75 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 76

WHETHER THE RESPONDENT KNOWS ANYONE WHO HAS BEEN ARRESTED FOR LOITERING BY THE POLICE: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018

Acquaintance Neighbor 1% Relatives 4 3 1% Best friend 7c. MINIMUM AGE OF CRIMINAL 0.2% Officemate/Colleague at work

0.1% Respondent him/herself RESPONSIBILITY % of adults of %

Do not know anyone 92 arrested for loitering

Q149. Kayo po ba ay may… (Kamag-anak, Matalik na kaibigan, Kasama sa trabaho, Kakilala, Kapitbahay, Walang kilalang nahuli dahil sa pagtambay) na na-aresto nang tumatambay ng mga pulis?

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 77 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 78

MEAN AND MEDIAN AGE WHEN TO JAIL MINORS FOR THE FOLLOWING CRIMES, PHILIPPINES, 2018 (Base: Those who agree that minors should be jailed for the following crimes)

Base Total Philippines 63% Raped a person Mean 14.3 Median 15 59% Killed someone 8. THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA Mean 14.4 Median 15 49% Acted as drugs courier Mean 13.8 Median 15 28% Snatched a cellphone Mean 13.3 Median 15 8% Stole food Mean 13.9 Median 15

Q. KUNG SANG-AYON: Sa anong edad maaaring makulong ang isang menor de edad na nakagawa ng…?

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 79 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 80

AWARENESS OF THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA CONFLICT: LEVEL OF KNOWLEDGE ABOUT THE WEST PHILIPPINE PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 AND SEP 2018 SEA CONFLICT: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 AND SEP 2018 Jun 2018 Sep 2018 (Base: Aware of the WPS conflict before the survey) 100 Aware Jun 2018 Sep 2018 90 19 11 just now (81%) (89%) 80 100 5 12 Very little 70 90 60 80 70 43 50 41 Only a little 60 40 81 89 Aware before the survey 50 % of adults %of 30 40

20 adults % of 30 40 32 Adequate 10 20 0 10 12 15 Extensive 0 Note: Don’t Know and No Answer figures are not shown. Note: Don’t Know and No Answer figures are not shown. Jun 2018: Q. Dati na po ba ninyong alam ang pagtatalo ukol sa West Philippine Sea sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at Jun 2018: Q. Dati na po ba ninyong alam ang pagtatalo ukol sa West Philippine Sea sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at Tsina, o ngayon lamang ninyo ito narinig? IF PREVIOUSLY AWARE: Masasabi po ba ninyo na ang inyo pong Tsina, o ngayon lamang ninyo ito narinig? IF PREVIOUSLY AWARE: Masasabi po ba ninyo na ang inyo pong nalalaman tungkol sa pagtatalo ukol sa West Philippine Sea sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at Tsina ay… nalalaman tungkol sa pagtatalo ukol sa West Philippine Sea sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at Tsina ay… (SHOWCARD)? (SHOWCARD)? Sep 2018: Q. Ano ang masasabi ninyo tungkol sa inyong kaalaman sa pagtatalo ng Pilipinas at Tsina sa West Sep 2018: Q. Ano ang masasabi ninyo tungkol sa inyong kaalaman sa pagtatalo ng Pilipinas at Tsina sa West Philippine Sea? Ito ba ay MALAWAK, SAPAT, KAUNTI LANG, NAPAKAKAUNTI, o NGAYON LAMANG NINYO ITO Philippine Sea? Ito ba ay MALAWAK, SAPAT, KAUNTI LANG, NAPAKAKAUNTI, o NGAYON LAMANG NINYO ITO NARINIG? (SHOWCARD) NARINIG? (SHOWCARD)

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 81 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 82

OPINION ON WHAT’S RIGHT AND NOT RIGHT FOR THE LEVEL OF IMPORTANCE THAT THE PHILIPPINES REGAIN GOVERNMENT TO DO TO RESOLVE THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA CONTROL OF THE ISLANDS OCCUPIED BY CHINA IN THE CONFLICT: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 – DEC 2018 WEST PHILIPPINE SEA: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 – DEC 2018 Right Not right Leave China alone with its Dec 2018 12 88 Somewhat Undecided infrastructures and military Sep 2018 16 84 Very important important presence in the claimed Jun 2018 19 81 territories Dec 2018 72 17 7 11

Strengthen the military Dec 2018 93 6 capability of the Philippines, Sep 2018 86 13 Sep 2018 72 15 10 11 especially the Navy Jun 2018 80 19

Bring the issue to Dec 2018 77 23 Jun 2018 69 18 11 11 international organizations Sep 2018 71 28 for diplomatic negotiations % of adults Jun 2018 74 25 Somewhat Not at all % of adults not important Important Note: Blank spaces are Don’t Know and No Answer responses. Q. Sa inyong palagay, importante po ba para sa inyo na maibalik ang kontrol sa Pilipinas ng mga islang Note: Don’t Know and No Answer figures are not shown. kasalukuyang inookupahan ng China sa West Philippine Sea? Masasabi po ba ninyo na ito ay… (SHOWCARD: Q. Ito ba… ay Tama o Hindi Tama na pamamaraan na gawin ng gobyerno ng Pilipinas upang malutas ang Talagang importante; Medyo importante; Hindi tiyak kung importante o hindi; Medyo hindi importante; pagtatalo ng Pilipinas at Tsina tungkol sa West Philippine Sea? Talagang hindi importante)?

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 83 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 84

AWARENESS OF SPECIFIC ISSUES ABOUT THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 AND SEP 2018 Aware of it Aware of it before the survey just now The Chinese coast guard forced Sep 2018 65 35 Filipino fishermen in the West Philip- pine Sea to turn over their catch Jun 2018 65 35 9. FOREIGN RELATIONS The Philippines was unable to Sep 2018 62 38 prevent Chinese fishermen from fishing in the West Philippine Sea Jun 2018 64 36

China created artificial islands that Sep 2018 50 49 they use as military airbases Jun 2018 50 50

% of adults Jun 2018 51 49 Note: Don’t Know and No Answer figures are not shown. Q. Dati na po ba ninyong alam ang tungkol sa mga sumusunod ukol sa isyu ng West Philippine Sea, o ngayon lamang po ninyo ito narinig?

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 85 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 86

ATTENTION TO FOREIGN RELATIONS: TOTAL PH, 2018 ATTENTION TO FOREIGN RELATIONS: TOTAL PH, 2018 (% who followed the news Very/Somewhat Closely) (% who followed the news Very/Somewhat Closely)

Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 Foreign relations (1/3) Foreign relations (2/3) The Department of Labor and Employment or The consortium of Udenna Corporation and China DOLE’s ban on the deployment of overseas 56 Telecommunications Corporation (China Telecom) 34 Filipino workers (OFWs) to Kuwait to put up the third telecommunications company in the Philippines The Balangiga Bells being returned by the United 54 States to the Philippines The Bureau of Immigration’s arrest and detention 34 of the missionary Sister Patricia Fox The Philippine government’s partial lifting of the deployment ban on Overseas Filipino Workers 54 The Singapore Summit or the meeting in Singapore (OFWs) to Kuwait of the President of the United States Donald Trump 32 and North Korea Leader Kim Jong-un The state visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping 45

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 87 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 88

ATTENTION TO FOREIGN RELATIONS: TOTAL PH, 2018 NET* TRUST IN THE UNITED STATES, JAPAN, (% who followed the news Very/Somewhat Closely) AUSTRALIA, MALAYSIA, ISRAEL, AND CHINA: PHILIPPINES, DEC 2018 AND EARLIER RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Mar Jun Sep Dec +100 2018 2018 2018 2018 +90 +80 Net* Trust USA Foreign relations (3/3) +70 +60 USA, +60 President Donald Trump’s moves against +50 immigration to the United States of America or 27 +40 JPN, +34 USA +30 JPN AUS, +31 +20 AUS MYS, +15 The 2018 midterm elections of the United States 23 +10 ISR, +13 +0 RUS, +6 The threat of impeachment against U.S. Pres. -+10- CHN, -7 23 Donald Trump -+20 ISR RUS -+30- MYS -+40 -+50- CHN -+60

* Net trust (% Much trust minus % Little trust) correctly rounded.

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 89 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 90

BELIEF THAT THE U.S WILL DEFEND THE PHILIPPINES IN CASE AWARENESS OF THE MUTUAL DEFENSE TREATY BETWEEN OF INVASION BY ANOTHER COUNTRY: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 PHILIPPINES AND THE U.S.: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018

Strongly not believe 9% Somewhat not believe Not believe 3 6 Strongly 61% Believe 31 believe 47 Previously aware of the MDT Heard about the Undecided 30 53

MDT only now

% of adults of % % of adults %of

30 Net* +52 Somewhat believe Note: No Answer (0.1%) responses are not shown. Intro: Ang Mutual Defense Treaty sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at Estados Unidos ay pinirmahan noong Agosto 30, 1951, sa * Net figures (%Believe minus % Not Believe ) are correctly rounded. Figures may not add up due to rounding error. Washington, D.C. ng mga kinatawan ng Pilipinas at Estados Unidos. Sinasabi ng pangkalahatang kasunduan na ipagtatanggol ng Estados Unidos ang Pilipinas kapag ito ay sinalakay ng ibang bansa, at ipagtatanggol din ng Pilipinas Q131. Gaano po kayo NANINIWALA O HINDI NANINIWALA na ipagtatanggol ng Estados Unidos ang Pilipinas kapag ang Estados Unidos kapag ito ay sinalakay. sinalakay tayo ng ibang bansa? Masasabi po ba ninyo na kayo ay… (SHOWCARD)) (LUBOS NA NANINIWALA, MEDYO NANINIWALA, HINDI TIYAK KUNG NANINIWALA O HINDI, MEDYO HINDI NANINIWALA, LUBOS NA HINDI NANINIWALA ) Q130. Dati na po ba ninyong alam ang kasunduang ito sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at Estados Unidos, o ngayon lamang ninyo ito narinig? (DATI NANG ALAM O NGAYON LAMANG NARINIG )

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 91 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 92

ATTENTION TO ECONOMIC ISSUES: TOTAL PH, 2018 (% who followed the news Very/Somewhat Closely)

Mar Jun Sep Dec 2018 2018 2018 2018 10. ECONOMIC TRENDS: Economic issues The price rollback in petroleum products like 67 Quality of Life, Poverty, diesel and gasoline The price increase in petroleum products like 67 Hunger, Joblessness diesel and gasoline The of supply of NFA rice in some parts of the 66 country The approval of the suspension of fuel excise tax 44 increase in 2019 The approval of the suspension of fuel excise tax 44 increase in 2019 Implementation of the Tax Reform for Acceleration 40 37 43 39 and Inclusion or TRAIN Law

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 93 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 94

CHANGE IN PERSONAL QUALITY OF LIFE NET GAINERS*, TOTAL PHILIPPINES, SEP 1998 TO DEC 2018 OVER PAST 12 MONTHS, PHILIPPINES, APR 1983 TO DEC 2018 MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +30 100 +20 90 +12 80 +10

70 0 60 -10 LOSERS 50 -20 GAINERS 40 37% -30 30 25% -40 20 LOSERS -50 10 GAINERS -60 0 1983 1986 1992 1998 2001 2010 2016 2018

* % Gainers minus % Losers Kung ikukumpara ang uri ng inyong kasalukuyang pamumuhay sa nakaraang 12 buwan, masasabi ba ninyo na ang uri ng inyong Kung ikukumpara ang uri ng inyong kasalukuyang pamumuhay sa nakaraang 12 buwan, masasabi ba ninyo na ang uri ng inyong pamumuhay ay [MAS MABUTI NGAYON KAYSA NOON, KAPAREHO NG DATI, MAS MASAMA NGAYON KAYSA NOON] pamumuhay ay [MAS MABUTI NGAYON KAYSA NOON, KAPAREHO NG DATI, MAS MASAMA NGAYON KAYSA NOON] Gainers : “Mas mabuti ngayon kaysa noon” Losers: “Mas masama ngayon kaysa noon” Gainers : “Mas mabuti ngayon kaysa noon” Losers: “Mas masama ngayon kaysa noon”

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 95 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 96

EXPECTED CHANGE IN PERSONAL QUALITY OF LIFE NET GAINERS*, BY AREA, SEP 1998 TO DEC 2018 IN NEXT 12 MONTHS, PHILIPPINES, APR 1984 TO DEC 2018 MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +40 MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +18, Mindanao 100 +14, NCR +20 90 +13, Balance Luzon 80 0 +3, Visayas 70

60 -20 50 OPTIMISTS OPTIMISTS 45% 40 -40 30 -60 20 10 PESSIMISTS 5% -80 0 1983 1986 1992 1998 2001 2010 2016 2018 PESSIMISTS * % Gainers minus % Losers Kung ikukumpara ang uri ng inyong kasalukuyang pamumuhay sa nakaraang 12 buwan, masasabi ba ninyo na ang uri ng inyong Question. Sa inyong opinyon, ano ang magiging uri ng inyong pamumuhay sa darating na 12 buwan? pamumuhay ay [MAS MABUTI NGAYON KAYSA NOON, KAPAREHO NG DATI, MAS MASAMA NGAYON KAYSA NOON] Masasabi ba ninyo na ang uri ng inyong pamumuhay ay [BUBUTI; KAPAREHO LANG; SASAMA; HINDI ALAM]? Gainers : “Mas mabuti ngayon kaysa noon” Losers: “Mas masama ngayon kaysa noon” Optimists : “Bubuti” Pessimists: “Sasama”

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 97 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 98

EXPECTED CHANGE IN THE PHILIPPINE ECONOMY, SELF-RATED POVERTY PHILIPPINES, SEP 1998 TO DEC 2018 PHILIPPINES, 1983-2018 Q1-Q4 ave.

ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE 100 74

70 67 68 67 68 90 66 66 65 63 63 62 61 61 62 59 59 60 80 57 55 54 54 53 53 52 52 70 51 50 50 49 48 49 48 50 47 46 60 44

40 43% It will Improve families %of 30 30

20 10 11% It will 10 0 Worsen 83 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Question. Sa darating na 12 buwan, ano sa palagay ninyo ang mangyayari sa ekonomiya ng Pilipinas? Masasabi ba ninyo na ito ay... [BUBUTI; KAPAREHO LANG; SASAMA; HINDI ALAM]? Self-Rated Poverty Question: Where would you place your family in this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor) *Note: The NSCB figures, which compare income of the year to the official poverty line, are plotted in June of the year.

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 99 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 100

SELF-RATED FOOD-POVERTY TRANSITIONING INTO AND OUT OF POVERTY, PHILIPPINES, 1988-2018 Q1-Q4 ave. PHILIPPINES, DEC 2018, % OF FAMILIES 70 50% SELF-RATED NON-POOR* 50% SELF-RATED POOR 59 57 57 56 53 53 51 51 50 49 50 47 45 43 42 42 42 41 41 9.8 6.7 6.0 38 39 38 39 26.7 13.9 36 NEWLY NEW- USU- 36.9 35 ALWAYS USUALLY 33 33 NON- LY AL- ALWAYS NON-POOR NON-POOR 31 POOR POOR LY POOR

30 POOR % of families %of

10 * Non-poor = Not Poor + Borderline Note: Always non-poor = Non-poor now and never been poor before Usually non-poor = Non-poor now but poor 5 or more years ago Newly non-poor = Non-poor now but poor 1-4 years ago 88 89 90 93 94 96 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Newly poor = Poor now but non-poor 1-4 years ago Food Poverty Question: Based on the type of food eaten by your family, where would you place your Usually poor = Poor now but non-poor 5 or more years ago family on this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor). Always poor = Poor now and never been non-poor before

The 2019 SWS Survey Review 101 The 2019 SWS Survey Review 102

SWS MEDIAN SELF-RATED POVERTY THRESHOLD AND MEDIAN SELF-RATED FOOD POVERTY THRESHOLD AND FOOD POVERTY GAP (Php/mo), PHILIPPINES, NOV 2010 TO DEC 2018 POVERTY GAP (Php/mo), PHILIPPINES, NOV 2010 TO DEC 2018 AQUINO DUTERTE AQUINO DUTERTE 16000 7000 14000 6000 P6,000 Self-Rated Food Poverty Threshold 12000 Self-Rated Poverty Threshold 5000 10000 P10,000 4000 8000 3000 6000 P2,500 2000 4000 P5,000 Self-Rated Poverty Gap Self-Rated Food Poverty Gap 2000 1000

0 0 2010 2016 2010 2016 Q: KUNG MAHIRAP: Upang hindi na masabing mahirap kayo, magkano sa palagay ninyo ang Q: KUNG MAHIRAP: Upang hindi na masabing mahirap kayo, batay sa pagkain, magkano sa palagay pinakamababang panggastos sa bahay sa isang buwan na kailangan ng inyong pamilya? Hindi po ninyo ang pinakamababang panggastos sa pagkain sa isang buwan na kailangan ng inyong pamilya? kasama ang mga gastusin na may kinalaman sa trabaho tulad ng pamasahe. Hindi po kasama ang mga gastusin na may kinalaman sa trabaho tulad ng pamasahe. Q: KUNG MAHIRAP: Sinabi po ninyo na P(MENTION ANSWER IN Q5) ang pinakamababang panggastos sa Q: KUNG MAHIRAP: Sinabi po ninyo na P(MENTION ANSWER IN Q5) ang pinakamababang panggastos sa bahay sa isang buwan na kailangan ng inyong pamilya upang hindi na masabing mahirap kayo. pagkain sa isang buwan na kailangan ng inyong pamilya upang hindi na masabing mahirap kayo Magkano pa po ba ang kulang ninyo sa ngayon? batay sa pagkain. Magkano pa po ba ang kulang ninyo sa ngayon?

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SWS JOBLESSNESS RATE* AND PSA UN- & UNDER- HOUSEHOLDS THAT EXPERIENCED HUNGER, EMPLOYMENT RATE**, PHILIPPINES, SEP 1993 TO DEC 2018 PHILIPPINES: 1998-2018 Q1-Q4

RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE 50

19.919.9 19.119.1 19.5 20 18.5 40 17.9 18.3 SWS joblessness* 16.7 18+ years 15 14.3 30 13.413.3 11.8 15.6 12.3 11.4 15.1 11.0 10.8 14.5 16.2 15.9 10.8 21.1% 10.1 Total 20 12.7 14.5 15.8 14.8 10 8.3 Hunger 18.4% 11.3 % of labor force labor %of (as of 6.9 6.2 7.2 7.0 11.211.2 % of households of % 8.8 9.9 PSA un-& under- Oct 2018) 7.6 9.0 Moderate 10 5 5.7 Hunger employment rate** 5.5 15+ years 4.6 4.2 4.3 Severe 0 4.1 3.0 3.0 4.0 3.4 4.0 4.0 3.3 3.7 3.6 3.5 2.6 2.5 1.5 2.2 2.1 2.4 1.7 Hunger

98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 * % of the Labor Force without a job at present and looking for a job. ** % of the Labor Force unemployed and underemployed. Note: Don’t Know and Refused responses are not shown. Q: Nitong nakaraang 3 buwan, nangyari po ba kahit minsan na ang inyong pamilya ay nakaranas ng gutom at wala Source: Social Weather Surveys and Philippine Statistics Authority. kayong makain? KUNG OO: Nangyari po ba ‘yan ng MINSAN LAMANG, MGA ILANG BESES, MADALAS, o PALAGI?

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SATISFACTION WITH THE WAY DEMOCRACY WORKS, PHILIPPINES, NOV 1991 TO SEP 2018

C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE 84% satisfied with how democracy works

70 11. DEMOCRACY AND FEDERALISM

50 % of adults %of

1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 2018

Q. On the whole, are you ... (VERY SATISFIED, FAIRLY SATISFIED, NOT VERY SATISFIED, NOT AT ALL SATISFIED) with the way democracy works in the Philippines?

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PREFERENCE FOR DEMOCRACY, PHILIPPINES, ATTENTION TO DEMOCRACY/FEDERLISM: TOTAL PH, 2018 MAR 2002 TO SEP 2018 (% who followed the news Very/Somewhat Closely)

ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE

70 59% always prefer Democracy (“Committed 50 democrats”) Mar Jun Sep Dec

% of adults %of 2018 2018 2018 2018 30 20% sometimes prefer Discussions about Constitutional amendments 34 31 32 Authoritarianism (“Conditional authoritarians”) 10

1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 2018 Not shown: “For people like me, it does not matter whether we have a democratic or a non-democratic regime” (“Indifferent”) Q. Which of the following statements comes closest to your own opinion? (SHOWCARD) [Democracy is always preferable to any other kind of government; Under some circumstances, an authoritarian government can be preferable to a democratic one; For people like me, it does not matter whether we have a democratic or a non-democratic regime]

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AWARENESS THAT FEDERALISM WOULD CREATE A NEW LOCAL AGREEMENT OR DISAGREEMENT ON THE FEDERAL SYSTEM OF GOVERNMENT ABOVE THE PROVINCE, PHILIPPINES, MAR 2018 GOVERNMENT, PHILIPPINES, MAR 2018

Strongly Agree Strongly Disagree 14 Aware 17 29% 25 Disagree Somewhat 12 37% Disagree 23 Somewhat Agree Agree

75 34 Not Aware Undecided Net* = +7

* Net figures (% Agree minus % Disagree) are correctly rounded. Note: Don’t know responses are not shown. Note: Don’t know and No answer responses are not shown. Q116. Kung gagawing FEDERAL ang sistema ng gobyerno sa Pilipinas, magkakaroon ng mga bagong gobyernong lokal na mas Q118. Kayo po ba ay sang-ayon o hindi sang-ayon dito sa FEDERAL na sistema ng gobyerno? (LUBOS NA SUMASANG-AYON, mataas kaysa sa mga probinsya, ngunit mas mababa kaysa sa gobyernong pambansa. Dati na ba ninyong alam ito, o ngayon lang MEDYO SUMASANG-AYON, HINDI TIYAK KUNG SUMASANG-AYON O HINDI SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO HINDI SUMASANG-AYON, po ba? o LUBOS NA HINDI SUMASANG-AYON)

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SUMMARY-1 SUMMARY-2 1 PRRD’s honeymoon lasts 10 Qs so far 3 The report card grades of the admin are (PBSA’s lasted 15 Qs). Freedom of speech generally Good; as usual the poorest seems steady. 2/3 are worried about his subject is Fighting Inflation. health. The people recognize his vulgar 4 The closure of Boracay was popular. speech and haven’t let it affect their esteem 5 Attitudes towards a National ID are favorable. for his critics, like the ICC and UN. 6 Towards the BOL, most Filipinos are 2 The ratings of other high officials are steady indifferent, but on balance favor it; at customary levels; except that Speaker Muslims, on the other hand, support it very Arroyo has not recovered from her past strongly. Familiarity with the BOL and unpopularity as President. confidence in the MILF are strong positive factors for the BARMM.

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SUMMARY-3 SUMMARY-4 7 The people support the campaign against 9 Most Filipinos want to maintain the illegal drugs, but are disappointed with the Constitutional ban on the death penalty. truthfulness of the police and their For almost all serious crimes, the majority unconcern for the lives of drug suspects. see life imprisonment as sufficient They see the poor as the worst affected, punishment. The exception is Rape under and are very worried about becoming EJK- the influence of drugs, for which 47% victims themselves. demand death, 44% call for life, and 9% 8 Victimization by common crimes, as well as seek 20-40 years, in prison. insecurity of homes and streets, rose in 10 70% worry about becoming a victim of a 2018. However, the noticeability of drug heinous crime, and 62% about being falsely addicts stabilized. accused of committing such a crime.

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SUMMARY-5 SUMMARY-6 11 Filipinos strongly agree (Net +34) that 13 The median age of responsibility given by arresting “tambays” is a violation of their those wanting minors jailed for a crime is human rights. It discriminates against the 15 years old. (Note: only 49% want a minor poor by a factor of 20:1. 68% are worried of jailed for being a drug-courier.) being themselves might be arrested for it. 14 There is no let-up in the intense Filipino 12 For committing rape (63%) and murder antipathy towards China on account of (59%) most Filipinos say youth-offenders China’s occupation of islands in the West (<18 y/o) should be jailed. Only half (49%) Philippine Sea. want jail for drug-couriers. Few seek jail 15 Filipinos continue to have a very high trust for stealing a cellphone (28%) or food (8%). in the United States, and a low trust in China; there is no “Chinese rainbow.”

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SUMMARY-7 SUMMARY-8 16 Filipinos strongly believe (Net +52) that the 18 The annual average Self-Rated Poverty and US will defend the Philippines in case of Food Poverty rates rose in 2016-18, after invasion by another country. 47% were falling in 2014-16. Half of Filipino families already aware of the Mutual Defense Treaty feel poor (Q4). The median poverty gap of before the survey. poor families (P5,000/mo) is half of their 17 The Gainers-Losers indicator recovered to need for home expenses (P10,000/mo). +12 in Q4 after having dropped to 0 in Q3 -- 19 Hunger, however continues to slide. An strongest in Mindanao (+18) and weakest in average 11% of families suffered hunger in Visayas (+3). Personal optimism and 2018, a recovery from the great hump in optimism in the economy remain very high. 2005-14.

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SUMMARY-9 SUMMARY-10 20 21% of adults are jobless(Q4) – steady 23 After realizing that federalism would improvement over the last 6 years. essentially insert a new level of local 21 Satisfaction with how democracy works government, 37% are for it and 29% are continues to be very high. Those against it. There is no cry for federalism. committed to democracy are 3X those who say sometimes authoritarianism is better. 22 Only 1 of 4 are aware that Federalism, of whatever form, would create a new level of local government, between the national level and the provincial level.

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