Article Modeling of Future Electricity Generation and Emissions Assessment for Pakistan Abdullah Mengal 1,*, Nayyar Hussain Mirjat 2, Gordhan Das Walasai 3, Shoaib Ahmed Khatri 2, Khanji Harijan 4 and Mohammad Aslam Uqaili 2 1 Department of Mechanical Engineering, Balochistan University of Engineering & Technology, Khuzdar 89100, Pakistan 2 Department of Electrical Engineering, Mehran University of Engineering & Technology, Jamshoro 76062, Pakistan;
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[email protected]; Tel.: +92-300-890-2886 Received: 31 December 2018; Accepted: 8 April 2019; Published: 12 April 2019 Abstract: Electricity demand in Pakistan has consistently increased in the past two decades. However, this demand is so far partially met due to insufficient supply, inefficient power plants, high transmission and distribution system losses, lack of effective planning efforts and due coordination. The existing electricity generation also largely depends on the imported fossil fuels, which is a huge burden on the national economy alongside causing colossal loss to the environment. It is also evident from existing government plans that electricity generation from low-cost coal fuels in the near future will further increase the emissions. As such, in this study, following the government’s electricity demand forecast, four supply side scenarios for the study period (2013– 2035) have been developed using Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) software tool.