PROGRAM COMMITTE CENTRO DE INVESTIGACIÓN Y DOCENCIA ECONÓMICAS (CIDE)
CIDE, headquartered in Mexico City and with another campus is Aguascalientes, is a center for research and · Kaushik Basu (Chair) · Joseph Stiglitz higher education that specializes in social sciences. It · Ajit Mishra · Justin Lin forms part of a network of public research centers of the · Alejandro Jose Lopez-Feldman · Kanishka Dam National Council of Science and Technology (CONACYT). · André Portela Souza · Luis-Felipe Lopez-Calva During its four decades of existence it has consolidated as · Asli Demirguc-Kunt · Nancy Qian a centre for relevant theoretical and empirical debate · Chatib Basri · Omar Licandro concerning the national and international academic · Chenggang Xu · Coralia Quintero agenda, and has generated knowledge for public policy · Eliana La Ferrara · Rohini Somanathan making.CIDE’s principal objective is to contribute to the · Elisabeth Sadoulet · Santiago Levy country’s development by offering rigorous and relevant · Erik Berglof · Timothy Besley knowledge, as well as developing a new generation of · Fred Finan · Tom Stuart Wilkening leaders that are capable of performing in a creative and · Gaël Giraud · Susan Parker responsible manner, in an open and competitive world. · Gita Gopinath · Haroon Bhorat · Jaime Saavedra · Hodaka Morita CIDE offers both undergraduate and graduate degrees in · Joan Esteban · Homa Zarghamee several areas of social sciences to students from Mexico · Jorge Familiar Calderon · Jackie Wahba and abroad. For more information about CIDE please visit http://cide.edu/en
LOCAL ORGANIZING COMMITTEE, CIDE
· Fausto Hernández Trillo · Kanishka Dam · Alejandro López-Feldman · Susan Parker
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION (IEA)
The International Economic Association (IEA) is a world federation of economic associations from both developed and developing countries. Founded in 1950, this Non Governmental Organization aims to promote the advance of economic science and policy, especially on issues of global importance, through enhanced contact and understanding among econo- mists from different parts of the world. Its mission is accomplished through the organization of scientific meetings, and publications. To this end, the IEA holds a triennial world congress, workshops and roundtables all around the globe, and supports the Research Institute for Development, Growth and Economics (RIDGE). All these activities bring together well reputed experts who examine pressing policies and analytic issues of global importance. The IEA has published the procee- dings of these World Congresses and Roundtables in over one hundred and seventy five volumes. Many of these volumes have been highly influential. The leadership of the IEA has included a range of distinguished economists, including Joseph Stiglitz, Tony Atkinson, Kenneth Arrow, Amartya Sen, Jacques Drèze, Robert Solow and Janos Kornai. The current president is Tim Besley, Kaushik Basu is President-elect and Dani Rodrik Vice President. For more information visit: www.iea-world.org WELCOME MESSAGE
Welcome to the 18 th Congress of the International Economic Association. The Congress is one of the largest gatherings of its kind and brings people from all over the world to discuss their research and policy issues of mutual concern and to address and debate the big economic and policy challenges of our time. We are looking forward to vibrant discussion and engagement with new ideas in the coming days.
The IEA relies on cooperation for its success and we would not be here in Mexico without the commitment of our host CIDE to whom we are extremely grateful. We are hugely appreciative of the tireless work of the programme committee. We are also extremely grateful to Andrea Cavallo, the Association Manager and Congress supremo who has played a pivotal role throughout. The program committee has helped in the selection of papers and organization of sessions along with a range of partner organizations – we are grateful to all of them.
The Congress would not have been possible without generous sponsorship. We would like to thank
TATA, AFD, Chair Energy and Prosperity, Google, IADB and the World Bank.
Following the global financial crisis, there was talk also of a crisis in the economics profession. But it is a case of plus ca change plus c’est la meme chose. The terms of debate is certainly changing with more attention paid to such things as sustainability, inequality and market imperfections. But what has not changed is the desire of large groups of economists to be working on the issues that matter and exciting new research, much of it showcased at this Congress, is emerging on these and other important topics. To the outside observer, it may seem that it is business as usual but the astute observer will see the visible signs of change in the way that economics is evolving. Areas like behavioural economics, political economy and the economics of culture continue to develop alongside more traditional fields of the discipline. What matters most is that research is focused on the most important issues and that economics is both relevant and rigorous in its approach.
The IEA values diversity both in terms of perspectives on economic problems and the representation of partici- pants. Our aim is to represent the global economics profession in all of its dimensions. We continue to find new members keen to join in this global project and we are welcoming new members from Czech Economic Associa- tion, Slovak Economic Association, South Africa Economic Association, Asian Management Economics Commerce Association, Societat Catalana de Economia and Young African Economists Association to their first World Congress as members. But we do not take our loyal existing members for granted and we are grateful for their continuing support, recognizing that there is a role for a global federation of economics’ associations. We will continue to organize roundtables in the period leading up to the next World Congress with the first one taking place less than one month after this Congress. The next World Congress is scheduled for 2020 when we look forward to welcoming you back when Dani Rodrik will be taking over as President.
Finally, we wish you an enjoyable and productive stay in Mexico!
Tim Besley, President Kaushik Basu, President-Elect and Congress Chair MONDAY JUNE 19
08:00 Foyer de los to Caminos 09:15 Reales
09:15 OPENING REMARKS | Minister of Finance Mexico José Antonio Meade to 10:00 Salón Camino Real, Camino Real Hotel
Coffee break - Foyer de los Caminos Reales, Hotel Camino Real - 15 mins
Salón 10:15 PLENARY: WEALTH AND INCOME INEQUALITY IN THE Camino to TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY Real, 11:30 Camino Real Speaker: Joseph Stiglitz | Chair: Kaushik Basu | Discussant: Gaël Giraud Hotel
Coffee break - Foyer de los Caminos Reales, Hotel Camino Real - 15 mins
INVITED ACADEMIC
ADVANCES IN INTERNATIONAL MACRO
Chair: Charles Engel, University of Wisconsin 11:45 Morelia to Papers: Paper 1: Cooperation v. Competition in the Conduct of Monetary and Camino 13:15 Real Hotel Financial Policies | Enrique Mendoza (University of Pennsylvania) Paper 2: Tax multipliers: Biases, puzzles, and non-linearities | Carlos Vegh (Johns Hopkins University) Paper 3: Migration, Exchange Rates and Monetary Policy | Charles Engel (University of Wisconsin)
INVITED ACADEMIC
STRUCTURAL CHANGE ACROSS OCCUPATIONS
Chair: Omar Licandro, University of Nottingham 11:45 Oaxaca II to Papers: Paper 1: Occupations, Skills and Barriers to Labor Reallocation | Georg Camino Real Hotel 13:15 Duernecker (University of Mannheim) Paper 2: Occupational Obsolescence | Omar Licandro (University of Nottingham) Paper 3: Occupational Reallocation, Employment and Earnings over the Business Cycle | David Wiczer (Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis)
INVITED ACADEMIC
DEMOGRAPHY, URBANIZATION AND PRODUCTIVITY
Chair: German Cubas, University of Houston Papers: Paper 1: Can Redistribution Lead to Economic Development? | Tim Lee 11:45 (Toulouse School of Economics) Taxco I to Camino 13:15 Paper 2: Accounting for the International Quantity-Quality Trade-off | Juan Real Hotel Carlos Cordoba (Iowa State University) Paper 3: Demographics and Human Capital Accumulation| Julio Garin (University of Georgia) Paper 4: Cohort-Specific Structural Change| Tommaso Porzio (University of California, San Diego) MONDAY JUNE 19
INVITED ACADEMIC
FRONTIERS IN THE ANALYSIS OF INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY AND EQUALITY OF
11:45 OPPORTUNITY: A GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE Sol II to Sheraton 13:15 Chair: Raymundo Campos, El Colegio de México Hotel Papers: Paper 1: Inequality of opportunity in the long term | Vito Peragine (University of Bari) Paper 2: Inequality of opportunity: from concept to measurement | Francisco Ferreira (World Bank)
INVITED ACADEMIC
POLITICS AND INSTITUTIONS AT CRITICAL JUNCTURES
Chair: Jeremiah Dittmar, University of Nottingham
11:45 Papers: Paper 1: An Empirical Investigation of the Legacies of Non-Democratic Taxco II to Regimes: The Case of Soeharto’s Mayors in Indonesia | Andreas Stegmann Camino 13:15 (CEMFI) Real Hotel Paper 2: Political Movements in Real Time: Evidence from Hong Kong's Demo cracy Movement | Noam Yuchtman (UC Berkeley) Paper 3: State Capacity and Public Goods: Institutional Change, Human Capital, and Growth in Early Modern Germany | Jeremiah Dittmar (LSE)
INVITED ACADEMIC
TOPICS IN EDUCATION AND HEALTH IN DEVELOPMENT Chair: Susan Parker, CIDE Papers: Paper 1: Early-Life Undernourishment in Developing Countries: Prevalence, 11:45 Impacts over the Life Cycle and Determinants | Jere Behrman (University Palmas Sheraton to of Pennsylvania) 13:15 Hotel Paper 2: The Effect on Mortality of Nestle's Entry into the Infant Formula Markets in Low Income Countries | Paul Gertler (University of California Berkeley) Paper 3: Agriculture, Fire, and Infant Health | Tom Vogl (Princeton University)
INVITED ACADEMIC
NEW ERA OF GLOBALIZATION?
Chair: Dalia Marin, University of Munich and CEPR 11:45 Sol I to Papers: Paper 1: Accounting for the slowdown in global trade | Samuel Kortum Sheraton 13:15 (Yale University) Hotel Paper 2: When Work Disappears: Manufacturing Decline and the Falling Marriage-Market Value of Men| David Dorn (University of Zurich) Paper 3: Trade liberalization and mortality| Peter Schott (Yale University) MONDAY JUNE 19
LUNCH SESSION | FINANCING DEVELOPMENT THROUGH LONG TERM CAPITAL Speakers: Graeme Pitkethly, Chief Financial Officer – Unilever N.V. and Unilever PLC
Mark Wiseman, FCLT Global Chairman, and Senior Managing Director, Global Salón 13:15 Head of Active Equities, and Chairman of BlackRock Alternative Investors Camino to Real, Mukund Rajan, Chief Ethics Officer – Tata Sons and Chairman Tata Global 14:30 Camino Sustainability Council Real Hotel Timothy Koller, Partner – McKinsey
Sponsored by:
INVITED ACADEMIC THE MONETARY AND FISCAL HISTORY OF LATIN AMERICA Chair: Omar Licandro, University of Nottingham 14:30 Papers: Paper 1: The Monetary and Fiscal History of Brazil | Marcio Garcia Taxco II Camino to (Department of Economics PUC-Rio) 16:00 Real Hotel Paper 2: The Case of Colombia | David Perez-Reyna (Universidad de los Andes) co authorized Daniel Osorio-Rodríguez (Banco de la República Colombia) Paper 3: The Monetary and Fiscal History of Mexico | Felipe Meza (CAIE, Instituto Tecnólogico Autónomo de México)
INVITED ACADEMIC UNDERSTANDING INTERNATIONAL TRADE, MACRO AND MIGRATION Chair: Lorenzo Caliendo, Yale University Papers: Paper 1: Trade and Migration: A Quantitative Assessment, joint with Luca D 14:30 Opromolla, Fernando Parro, Alessandro Sforza | Lorenzo Caliendo (Yale Oaxaca II to Camino University) 16:00 Real Hotel Paper 2: Obstfeld and Rogoff’s International Macro Puzzles: A Quantitative Assessment, joint with Jonathan Eaton and Brent Neiman | Samuel Kortum (Yale University) Paper 3: Firm-to-Firm Trade: Imports, Exports, and the Labor Market, joint with Sam Kortum and Francis Kramarz| Jonathan Eaton (Pennsylvania State University)
INVITED ACADEMIC
UNDERSTANDING THE PRODUCTIVITY GAP IN LATIN AMERICA
Chair: Manuel Toledo / Fernando Alvarez, CAF 14:30 Taxco I to Papers: Paper 1: Capital Specificity, the Distribution of Marginal Products, and Camino 16:00 Aggregate Productivity | Andrea Lanteri (Duke University) and Pamela Real Hotel Medina (UTSC) Paper 2: The Latin American development problem from the perspective of input-output linkages| Julio Leal (Banco de México) Paper 3: On the sources of productivity losses in an economy with informality| Fernando Álvarez-Parra (CAF) and Manuel Toledo (CAF) MONDAY JUNE 19
INVITED ACADEMIC
MACROECONOMIC EXTERNALITIES AND NETWORKS Chair: Joseph Stiglitz, Columbia University Papers: Paper 1: The Price of Complexity in Financial Networks| Stefano Battiston, Guido Caldarelli, Tarik Roukny, Robert May and Joseph Stiglitz Paper 2: Bail-ins and Bail-outs: Incentives, Connectivity, and Systemic Stability | 14:30 Benjamin Bernard, Agostino Capponi and Joseph E. Stiglitz Sol II to Paper 3: Bailouts in endogenous networks: diversification, integration, and Sheraton 16:00 leverage | John Sturm Hotel Paper 4: Too Correlated to Fail: Bailouts and Strategic Complementarity in Risk-Taking | Levent Altinoglu and Joseph Stiglitz Paper 5: Sectoral Heterogeneity and Monetary Policy | Jonathan Kreamer Paper 6: Accounting for Debt Service: The Painful Legacy of Credit Booms | Mathias Drehmann, Mikael Juselius, and Anton Korinek
Coffee break - Foyer de los Caminos Reales, Hotel Camino Real - 15 mins
CONTRIBUTED APPLIED / EXPERIMENTAL Papers: Paper 1: Take on Power to Punish: Experimental Evidence from Matrilineal and Patriarchal Societies in India | Gerhard Riener (Heinrich heine 16:15 University Düsseldorf), Debosree Banerjee, Marcela Ibanez, Meike Palmas to Wollni Sheraton 17:45 Hotel Paper 2: Media and occupational choice | Alexander Konon (DIW Berlin) Alexander Kritikos (DIW Berlin) Paper 3: Political Economy of Religion-based Extremism in Bangladesh: When in a Unitarian Imperialism External Causes Override Internal Causes | Abul Barkat (University of Dhaka)
CONTRIBUTED HUMAN CAPITAL / LABOUR
Papers: Paper 1: Global inequality: how large is the effect of top incomes? | Miguel Niño-Zarazúa (United Nations University) Paper 2: Is PROGRESA Enough to Prevent Adolescents from Dropping Out of 16:15 School? The Role of Gender, Bullying, and the Death of a Parent | Adan Oaxaca II to Camino 18:15 Silverio Murillo (University of Minnesota) Real Hotel Paper 3: Segregation of women into low-paying occupations in the US| Carlos Gradín (UNU-WIDER) Paper 4: Minorities, Human Capital and Long-Run Development: Persistence of Armenian and Greek Influence in Turkey | Gunes Gokmen
CONTRIBUTED
ENVIRONMENTAL & INEQUALITY / MINING
Papers: Paper 1: Mining and Economic Development: Did China’s WTO Accession Affect African Local Economic Development? | Anthony Mveyange (The 16:15 Taxco I to World Bank) Camino 17:45 Paper 2: The effects of natural disasters on labor market: do hurricanes Real Hotel increase informality? | Camilo Pecha (Inter-American Development Bank) Paper 3: Rainfall Shocks and the Gender Wage Gap: Evidence from Indian Agriculture | Kanika Mahajan (Ambedkar University, Delhi) MONDAY JUNE 19
INVITED ACADEMIC
HLEG REPORT 16:15 Salón to Chair: Joseph Stiglitz, Columbia University Camino 17:45 Real I Speakers: Joseph Stiglitz (Columbia University) Ravi Kanbur (Cornell University)
CONTRIBUTED
MACRO
Papers: Paper 1: Skilled Labor Externalities and Multiple Steady States in a Small Open 16:15 Taxco II to Economy | Wilson Perez-Oviedo (Cornell University) Camino 17:45 Paper 2: FDI behavior and the Subprime Crisis: An empirical analysis Real Hotel for latin american and asian countries | Priscila Castro (IFMT) Paper 3: Capital Flows and Growth Dynamics in Central and Eastern Europe | Karsten Staehr (Tallinn University of Technology)
CONTRIBUTED
ENVIRONMENTAL
Papers: Paper 1: When power plants leave town: Environmental quality and the housing market in China | Manuel Hernandez (IFPRI), Guoying Deng (Sichuan University), Shu Xu (Southwestern University of Finance 16:15 and Economics) Sol I to Sheraton 17:45 Paper 2: Carbon Tax Effects on the Poor: A SAM Based approach | Araceli Hotel Ortega Diaz (Tecnólogico de Monterrey), Patricia Lopez Paper 3: The Environmental Performance of MNEs: Evidence from Italy | Edgardo Sica (University of Foggia), Myriam Scaringelli (University of Foggia), Filippo Reganati (Sapienza University of Rome), Rosanna Pittiglio (Second University of Naples, Italy), Cesare Imbriani (‘Unitelma Sapienza’ University of Rome, Italy)
CONTRIBUTED
FINANCE / APPLIED Papers: Paper 1: Deposit Volatility, Liquidity and Long-Term Investment: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Pakistan | Nicola Limodio (London School of Economics) 16:15 Paper 2: Do Indian Corporates adjust their Capital Structure? | Sol II to Sheraton Neelam Rani (Indian Institute of Management Shillong), Aman Asija 17:45 Hotel (Indian Institute of Management Shillong), Abhishek Siwach (Indian Institute of Kharagpur) Paper 3: Are mergers among cooperative banks worth a dime? Evidence on post-M&A efficiency in Italy | Giovanni Ferri (LUMSA University), Fabiola Spiniello (Università degli Studi di Salerno), Paolo Coccorese (Università degli Studi di Salerno) MONDAY JUNE 19
CONTRIBUTED
APPLIED / EXPERIMENTAL Papers: Paper 1: Media and occupational choice | Alexander Kritikos (DIW Berlin), Alexander Konon (DIW Berlin) 16:15 Paper 2: Political Economy of Religion-based Extremism in Bangladesh: When Palmas to in a Unitarian Imperialism External Causes Override Internal Causes | Abul Sheraton 17:45 Hotel Barkat (University of Dhaka) Paper 3: Take on Power to Punish: Experimental Evidence from Matrilineal and Patriarchal Societies in India| Gerhard Riener (Heinrich heine University Düsseldorf Thierry Verdier (PSE)), Debosree Banerjee, Marcela Ibanez, Meike Wollni
CONTRIBUTED
FINANCE / INVESTMENT Papers: Paper 1: FDI productivity premium and foreign affiliates heterogeneity: the case of emerging market overseas investments in the European Union | Rosanna Pittiglio (Second University of Naples, Italy), Filippo 16:15 Reganati (University of Rome Sapienza), Edgardo Sica (University of Morelia to Foggia) Camino 17:45 Real Hotel Paper 2: Risk attitudes, investment behavior and linguistic variation | Juliana Bernhofer (Ca' Foscari University Venice), Matija Kovacic Paper 3: Bank size and financial cross-border linkages | Alberto Franco Pozzolo (Università del Molise), Maria Teresa Trentinaglia, Giacomo Calzolari (University of Bologna), Giorgio Navaretti
CONTRIBUTED HEALTH Papers: Paper 1: The Eect of Birth Weight on Cognitive Development: Evidence from India | Santosh Kumar (Sam Houston State University), Kaushalendra Kumar (International Institute for Population 16:15 Sciences), Ramanan Laxminarayan & Arindam Nandi (Center for Guerrero to Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy) Camino 17:45 Real Hotel Paper 2: Cigarette Tax Regressivity in Indonesia: An Evidence from Household Survey | Abdillah Ahsan (Universitas Indonesia), Rusan Nasruddin (Universitas Indonesia) Paper 3: Effect of income inequality on health in Quebec: new insights from panel data | Bignon Tohon (Université Laval)
CONTRIBUTED
INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION Papers: Paper 1: Who gets the surplus in value chains: informational advantage and relative market power | Maria Carnovale (Duke University), Frederick 16:15 Mayer (Duke University), Alexander Pfaff (Duke University) Veracruz to Camino 17:45 Paper 2: Mixed Duopoly of Vertically Differentiated Services with the Real Hotel Maximin Public Firm | Masuyuki Nishijima (Yokohama City University) Paper 3: Do Multinationals Transplant their Business Model?| Dalia Marin (University of Munich), Linda Rousova (European Central Bank), Thierry Verdier (PSE) MONDAY JUNE 19
CONTRIBUTED
MONETARY / FINANCE
Papers: Paper 1: Asset Bubbles and Financial Policies | Tomohiro Hirano 16:15 (The University of Tokyo) Luna to Sheraton 17:45 Paper 2: How Does Belief Mismatch at the Repo Market Affect Banks’ Risk Hotel Taking? | Adrian Pardo (Banco de Mexico), Carlos Canon (Banco de Mexico) Paper 3: Breaking the Spell with Credit-Easing | Ramon Marimon (European University Institute)
CONTRIBUTED
COMPETITION / ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY
Papers: Paper 1: Optimal Environmental Policy with Learning-by-doing | 16:15 Bidyut Talukdar (Saint Mary's University) Tundra to Sheraton Paper 2: Competition Makes IT Better: Evidence on When Firms Use IT More 17:45 Hotel Effectively | Mariana Pereira-Lopez (Universidad Iberoamericana / World Bank), Leonardo Iacovone (World Bank), Marc Schiffbauer (World Bank) Paper 3: Does r-g cause wealth inequality? | Daniel Ventosa-Santaularia
CONTRIBUTED
TRADE
Papers: Paper 1: Assessment of the impact of euro adoption on international trade: Lithuanian case | Daiva Dumciuviene & Graziana Startiene (Kaunas University of Technology)
16:15 Paper 2: The long-term effects of the historical Roman road network: Trade Oasis to costs of Italian provinces | Vania Licio (University of Cagliari), Anna Sheraton 18:15 Maria Pinna (Università di Cagliari) Hotel Paper 3: The Role of Trade Costs in the Surge of Trade Imbalances | Ricardo Reyes-Heroles (Federal Reserve Board) Paper 4: Global Value Chains Participation and Productivity Gains for North African Firms | Giorgia Giovannetti (University of Florence)
18:30 to Welcome Reception - Sheraton Hotel 20:00 TUESDAY JUNE 20
Foyer de los 08:00 REGISTRATION Caminos Reales
CONTRIBUTED
APPLIED / EXPERIMENTAL
Papers: Paper 1: Trade Impacts of Naming and Shaming of Forced and Child Labor | Margaryta Klymak (Trinity College Dublin) 08:30 Paper 2: Positive discrimination, stereotyping and segregation | Oaxaca I to Camino 10:00 Francesco Bogliacino (Universidad Nacional de Colombia), Gianluca Real Hotel Grimalda (Institute for the World Economy) Paper 3: The impact of information provision on the enrollment of govern ment-pension programs and household consumption: Evidence from a field experiment | Wei Chi (School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University, China), Chong-En Bai (Tsinghua University)
CONTRIBUTED
ENVIRONMENTAL
Papers: Paper 1: Cost of Land Degradation and Improvement in Eastern Africa | Oliver Kirui (Center for Development Research) 08:30 Oaxaca II to Paper 2: Willingness of Farmers to Accept Payments for Environmental Camino 10:00 Services in Brazil | Ronaldo Seroa Da Motta (State University of Rio de Real Hotel Janeiro (UERJ)), Román Ortiz Paper 3: Transition from dirty to clean capital goods in a stock-flow consistent monetary dynamics | Ulysse Lojkine (École Normale Supérieure), Gael Giraud (Agence Française de Développement)
CONTRIBUTED
FINANCE / FINANCIAL MARKETS
Papers: Paper 1: The Impact of Stock Index Futures on The Stock Market Information Efficiency: A Comparative Analysis between CSI 300 and S&P500 | Chao Liu (Beijing University of Technology) 08:30 Taxco I to Paper 2: Rate of convergence in the framework of CLT and Risk evaluation on Camino 10:00 financial markets | Levon Kazaryan (Higher School of economics), Real Hotel Grigory Kantorovich (National Research University Higher School of Economics) Paper 3: Real Effects of Financial Distress: The Role of Heterogeneity | Sudipto Karmakar (Banco de Portugal), Francisco Buera (Chicago Federal Reserve) TUESDAY JUNE 20
CONTRIBUTED
HEALTH
Papers: Paper 1: The Global Economic Burden of Diabetes: A Cost-of-Illness Study | Christian Bommer, Esther Heesemann (University of Goettingen), 08:30 Vera Sagalova (University of Goettingen), Sebastian Vollmer Tundra to (University Goettingen) Sheraton 10:00 Hotel Paper 2: Systematic Measurement Error in Self-Reported Health: Is anchoring vignettes the way out? | Aparajita Dasgupta (Ashoka University) Paper 3: Health Insurance and the Aging: Evidence from the Seguro Popular program in Mexico | Susan Parker (CIDE), Joseph Saenz (USC), Rebeca Wong (University of Texas - Medical Branch)
CONTRIBUTED
TRADE / MICRO
Papers: Paper 1: The 2011 Tsunami and Adjustment along a Global Production Network: Evidence from Japanese Subsidiaries in South Korea | 08:30 Elisabetta Taxco II to Magnani (Macquarie University) Camino 10:00 Paper 2: Credit rationing and firm exports: evidence from developing Real Hotel countries | Alberto Franco Pozzolo (Università del Molise), Filomena Pietrovito (Università del Molise) Paper 3: Tariff Overhang and Aid: Theory and Empirics | Susanna Thede (University of Malta)
CONTRIBUTED
FISCAL POLICY
Papers: Paper 1: Does Bankruptcy Protection Affect Risk-Taking in Household 08:30 Portfolios? | Mariela Dal Borgo (Bank of Mexico) Palmas to Sheraton 10:00 Paper 2: Inequality, Leverage and Wealth in a Monetary, Stock-flow Hotel Consistent Macro-dynamics | Gael Giraud (Agence Française de Développement) Paper 3: Managing Capital Flows in the Presence of External Risks | Ricardo Reyes-Heroles (Federal Reserve Board)
CONTRIBUTED
GOVERNANCE
Papers: Paper 1: Is Corruption Growth-Enhancing in Autocracies? | Shrabani Saha 08:30 Sol I to (University of Lincoln) Sheraton 10:00 Paper 2: Does Fiscal Oversight Matter? | Sebastian Kessing (University of Hotel Siegen), Désirée Christofzik (University of Siegen) Paper 3: The Legacy of War Dynamics on Fiscal Capacity Building | Luz Arias (CIDE) TUESDAY JUNE 20
CONTRIBUTED
LAND POLICY / SAVINGS
Papers: Paper 1: A Ricardian analysis: land rental prices or net revenues? | Saul Basurto (University of Birmingham) 08:30 Paper 2: Land Ownership and Development: Evidence from Postwar Japan | Sol II to Sheraton 10:00 Shuhei Kitamura (University of Rochester) Hotel Paper 3: Understanding Domestic Savings in Chile | Rodrigo Fuentes (Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile), Rodrigo Cerda (Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile), Gonzalo Garcia (Pontificia Univer sidad Catolica de Chile), Jose Ignacio Llodra (Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile)
CONTRIBUTED
MICRO / MACRO
Papers: Paper 1: A Model of Transnational Corruption | Theophile Azomahou 08:30 (Maastricht University and UNU-MERIT), Ibrahima Kaba (Maastricht Morelia to University and UNU-MERIT), Thuy Nguyen (Indiana University) Camino 10:00 Real Hotel Paper 2: Corruption: The long shadow of the Gulag | Gerhard Toews (University of Oxford), Pierre-Louis Vezina (King's College London) Paper 3: Exchange Rate Exposure and Firm Dynamics | Liliana Varela (University of Houston), Juliana Salomao (University of Minnesota)
CONTRIBUTED
PUBLIC
Papers: Paper 1: Who Supports Violent Extremism in Developing Countries? Analysis of Attitudes Based on Value Surveys | Youssouf Kiendrebeogo (World 08:30 Bank), Elena Ianchovichina (World Bank) Guerrero to Camino 10:00 Paper 2: (You gotta) Strike if the Right (is the party!) : Strike Petitions, the Real Hotel business cycle and the electoral cycle in Mexico | Héctor Gutiérrez Rufrancos (University of Sussex) Paper 3: The Cost of Distance: Geography and Governance in Rural India | Karan Nagpal (University of Oxford), Paul Novosad (Dartmouth College), Sam Asher (World Bank) TUESDAY JUNE 20
CONTRIBUTED
APPLIED
Papers: Paper 1: Institutions and the Allocation of Talent: Evidence From Russian Regions| Leonid Polishchuk (Higher School of Economics) 08:30 Veracruz to Paper 2: Inequality in an OLG economy with heterogeneous cohorts and Camino 10:00 pension systems | Joanna Tyrowicz (National Bank of Poland and Real Hotel University of Warsaw) Paper 3: The geographical expansion of drug cartels and property crime in Mexico | Rita Andrea Motzigkeit Gonzalez (University of Passau), Behrang QasemiZadeh (University of Düsseldorf)
CONTRIBUTED
DEVELOPMENT AND GROWTH
Papers: Paper 1: A Biased Correction of Exponential Growth Bias: Evidence and Theoretical Implications | Karna Basu (Hunter College and The 08:30 Graduate Center, CUNY) Luna to Sheraton 10:00 Paper 2: African states and development in historical perspective: Colonial Hotel public finances in British and French West Africa | Yannick Dupraz (University of Warwick), Sandrine Mesplé-Somps (DIAL, IRD Paris), Denis Cogneau (Paris School of Economics (PSE)) Paper 3: Revisiting the Commodity Resource Curse: a Nancial Perspective | Enrique Alberola (BIS)
Coffee break - Foyer de los Caminos Reales, Hotel Camino Real - 15 mins
10:15 PLENARY: ECONOMICS AND PSYCHOLOGY - PHISHING FOR Salón Camino to PHOOLS REVISITED Real, Hotel 11:30 Camino Real Speaker: George Akerlof | Chair: Haroon Bhorat | Discussant: Karla Hoff
Coffee break - Foyer de los Caminos Reales, Hotel Camino Real - 15 mins
INVITED ACADEMIC
THE CHALLENGES OF ILLEGAL MIGRATION AND REFUGEES
11:45 Chair: Corrado Giulietti, University of Southampton Oaxaca I to Papers: Paper 1: The Changing Structure of Families of American Children with Camino 13:15 Unauthorized Parents | Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes (San Diego State Real Hotel University) Paper 2: The effects of E-Verify on labor markets/population change | Pia Orrenius (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas) Paper 3: The Challenges of Refugee Migration| Klaus Zimmermann (UNUM MERIT) TUESDAY JUNE 20
INVITED ACADEMIC
WELFARE IN RURAL VIETNAM
Chair: Finn Tarp, UNU-WIDER Papers: Paper 1: Access to credit and welfare outcomes: does the gender of the 11:45 recipient matter? | Carol Newman (Trinity College Dublin) Oaxaca II to Camino 13:15 Paper 2: Coffee Price Volatility and Intra-household Labor Supply: Evidence Real Hotel from Vietnam | Saurabh Singhal (UNU-WIDER) Paper 3: Does Managerial Personality Matter? Evidence from Small Firms in Vietnam | Smriti Sharma (UNU-WIDER)
WIDER
INVITED ACADEMIC
GROWTH AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: THE ITALIAN EXPERIENCE Chair: Luca de Benedictis, Universita di Macerata
11:45 Papers: Paper 1: Is public spending effective in reducing inequality and poverty? An Taxco I to empirical assessmen | Michele Battisti (UNIPA), Joseph Zeira Camino 13:15 (Hebrew University of Jerusalem) Real Hotel Paper 2: The distributive impact of the Euro crisis: gender, class and the macroeconomy | Carlo D’Ippoliti (Sapienza Università di Roma), Marcella Corsi, Valeria Cirillo Paper 3: Inequality of opportunity and growth in Italy| Maria Lucia Pace (Universita Cattolica del Sacro Cuore)
INVITED ACADEMIC
SOVEREIGN DEBT MARKETS Chair: Joseph Stiglitz, Columbia University Papers: Paper 1: Waiting for a haircut? A bargaining perspective on sovereign debt 11:45 restructuring | Marcus Miller (University of Warwick), joint with Sol II to Sayantan Ghosal (Univ of Glasgow) and Kannika Thampanishvong Sheraton 13:15 Hotel (Thailand Development Institute) Paper 2: Are Debt Workouts Involving Informal Creditors more Efficient? | Sayantan Ghosal (University of Glasgow University) Paper 3: Assessing the Appropriate Size of Relief in Sovereign Debt Restructuring| Martin Guzman (Columbia University Business School) TUESDAY JUNE 20
POLICY SESSION
THE EFFECTS OF PUBLIC EDUCATION POLICY, PUBLIC HEALTH POLICY, AND CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE CARIBBEAN Chair: Moises Schwartz, IADB 11:45 Taxco II to Introductory remarks by Therese Turner-Jones, IADB Camino 13:15 Real Hotel Papers: Paper 1: Universal Public Health Insurance, Adult Health Status and Labor Supply: Evidence from Jamaica | Diether Beuermann (IADB) Paper 2: The Effects of Tropical Storms on Early Childhood Development | Diether Beuermann (IADB) Paper 3: Are there any Benefits from Attending a More Selective Secondary School in Barbados?| Diether Beuermann (IADB) co authorized Kirabo Jackson
POLICY SESSION
CAN INDEPENDENT INSTITUTIONS IMPROVE INFRASTRUCTURE PLANNING? LESSONS FROM AUSTRALIA AND THE UK 11:45 Palmas to Chair: Tim Besley, LSE Sheraton Hotel 13:15 Speakers: Anna Chau (Executive Director, Project Advisory, Infrastructure Australia) Adam Cooper (Policy & Engagement Director, UK National Infrastructure Commission)
LUNCH SESSION | INTERNET AND FREE TRADE Salón 13:15 Camino to Speakers: David Weller, Google Real, 14:30 Camino Real Hotel
INVITED ACADEMIC
PROPERTY RIGHTS REFORM AND DEVELOPMENT IN MEXICO Chair: Alain de Janvry, University of California at Berkeley 14:30 Papers: Paper 1: Agrarian Rights, Ethnic Divisions, and Income Inequality | Alberto Oaxaca I to Diaz-Cayeros and Beatriz Megaloni (Stanford University) Camino 16:00 Real Hotel Paper 2: Property Rights Reform and Local Development | Elisabeth Sadoulet (University of California at Berkeley) Paper 3: Full Titling and the Future of the Agrarian Community| Marco Gonzalez-Navarro (University of Toronto) TUESDAY JUNE 20
POLICY SESSION
LEGAL REFORM AND CONCILIATION IN LABOUR CONFLICTS
14:30 Chair: Tim Besley, LSE Oaxaca II Camino to Papers: Darlene Rojas (President of the Mexico City Labor Court) 16:00 Real Hotel Rafael Adrian Avante Juarez (Deputy Secretary of Labour) Joyce Sadka (ITAM) Enrique Seira (ITAM)
INVITED ACADEMIC
THE LATIN AMERICAN EXPORT AGE Chair: Carlos Marichal, Colegio de Méjico
14:30 Papers: Paper 1: Mexico and Argentina in the Export Age: Two Different Success Taxco I to Stories | Sandra Kuntz Ficker (Colegio de Mexico) Camino 16:00 Paper 2: The Brazilian export economy in light of dependency theory, Real Hotel 1822-1913 | Antonio Tena Junguito (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid) Paper 3: Are There Lessons of the Latin American Export Age for the Present? | José Antonio Ocampo (Columbia University)
INVITED ACADEMIC THE DIGITAL REVOLUTION, ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION AND THE DEVELOPMENT PROCESS Chair: Ravi Kanbur Papers: Paper 1: The Digital Revolution and Targeting Public Expenditure for Poverty Reduction | Ravi Kanbur
14:30 Paper 2: The End of Manufacturing Export-Led Growth Model and its Sol II to Implications for Development Strategies| Bruce Greenwald and Sheraton 16:00 Joseph E. Stiglitz Hotel Paper 3: The Macroeconomics of Superstars | Anton Korinek and Ding Xuan Ng Paper 4: The implications of the ‘Digital Revolution’ for development processes in Latin America | Martin Guzman Paper 5: Piketty meets Pasinetti: On public investment and intelligent machinery | Linus Mattauch, David Klenert, Joseph Stiglitz, and Ottmar Edenhofer
Coffee break - Foyer de los Caminos Reales, Hotel Camino Real - 15 mins
16:15 Salón PLENARY: VILLAGE COMMUNITIES IN GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT Camino to Real, Hotel 17:45 Speaker: Roger Myerson | Chair: Célestin Monga | Discussant: Kaushik Basu Camino Real WEDNESDAY JUNE 21
Foyer de los 08:00 REGISTRATION Caminos Reales
INVITED ACADEMIC
POLITICAL ECONOMY Chair: Bhaskar Dutta, University of Warwick 08:30 Papers: Paper 1: Expert Captured Democracies | Archishman Chakraborty Oaxaca I to (Yeshiva University) Camino 10:00 Real Hotel Paper 2: Sleeping with the Enemy: Electoral Competition in a Clientelistic Environment | Sergio Montero (University of Rochester) Paper 3: Electoral Accountability and Responsive Democracy | César Martinelli (George Mason University)
POLICY SESSION
TRADE, GLOBALIZATION AND INEQUALITY
08:30 Chair: Jorge Familiar Calderon, World Bank Oaxaca II to Speakers: Jorge Familiar Calderón (World Bank) Camino 10:00 Real Hotel Alberto Trejos (Dean of Costa Rica’s INCAE Business School) Mary Hallward (World Bank) Kaushik Basu (Cornell U)
INVITED ACADEMIC
TECHNOLOGY ADOPTION IN DEVELOPING COUNTRY SMALLHOLDER AGRICULTURE Chair: Elisabeth Sadoulet, University of California at Berkeley 08:30 Papers: Paper 1: Access to markets and technology adoption in Africa | Lauren Taxco I to Falcao Berquist (University of California at Berkeley) Camino 10:00 Real Hotel Paper 2: Can information help farmers adopt new technologies? | Jeremy Magruder (University of California at Berkeley) Paper 3: Risk retention and risk transfer in inducing technology adoption | Alain de Janvry (University of California at Berkeley)
ATAI WEDNESDAY JUNE 21
INVITED ACADEMIC
INEQUALITY IN MEXICO: RECONCILING THE NARRATIVES FROM HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS, NATIONAL ACCOUNTS, AND TAX REGISTRIES Chair: Raymundo Campos, Colegio de México 08:30 Papers: Paper 1: Evolution and Determinants of Inequality Using Household Survey: Sol II to 1989-2014 | Raymundo Campos (Colegio de Mexico) and Luis F. Sheraton 10:00 Hotel Lopez-Calva (World Bank) Paper 2: The decline of the labor share in Mexico: 1990-2014 | Carlos Ibarra (UDLA) and Jaime Ros (UNAM) Paper 3: Fiscal redistribution in México 1994-2014| John Scott (CIDE)
WIDER
POLICY SESSION
PUBLIC POLICY FOR SKILL DEVELOPMENT Chair: Santiago Levy (Inter-American Development Bank) Speaker: Matias Busso (Inter-American Development Bank) 08:30 Taxco II to Panel Discussion: Camino 10:00 Real Hotel Santiago Levy (Inter-American Development Bank) Ofer Malamud (University of Chicago) Miguel Székely (Center for Education and Social Studies, Mexico)
IADB / RIDGE
INVITED ACADEMIC
REAL IMPACT OF MONEY, BANKING AND FINANCIAL SECTOR DEVELOPMENT: WHAT DO WE LEARN FROM THE AFRICAN COUNTRIES CASE? Chair: Roger Tsafack Nanfosso, The University of Dschang Papers: Paper 1: Financial Innovation and Pro Poor & Inclusive Growth in Developing 08:30 Countries: The role of Mobile Banking & Financial Services Development in Palmas to Africa | Christian Lambert Nguena (University of Dschang & the ICT Sheraton Hotel 10:00 University & AAYE) Paper 2: Monetary policy and labor market performance: A panel data approach applied to the central African states | Cesaire Tchitchoua Paper 3: Stock markets, volatility and economic trend: evidence from Cameroon, Ivory Coast and Nigeria | Joseph C. Nzomo (University of Dschang & AAYE)
ASSOCIATION OF AFRICAN YOUNG ECONOMISTS WEDNESDAY JUNE 21
SPECIAL SESSION
IN HONOR OF MASA AOKI 09:00 Sol I to Speakers: Jiahua Che (Fudan University/China European International Business Sheraton 10:00 School) Hotel Gustavo del Angel (CIDE) Coordinator: Kei Otsuka (Kobe University)
Coffee break - Foyer de los Caminos Reales, Hotel Camino Real - 15 mins
10:15 PLENARY: DEVELOPMENT POLICY - DOING (AND TEACHING) Salón Camino to ECONOMICS FOR THE REAL WORLD Real, Hotel 11:30 Camino Real Speaker: Dani Rodrik | Chair: Finn Tarp | Discussant: Erik Berglof
Coffee break - Foyer de los Caminos Reales, Hotel Camino Real - 15 mins
POLICY SESSION
11:45 DEVELOPMENT IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY: IMPLICATIONS Oaxaca I to FOR LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Camino 13:15 Real Hotel Chair: Andrew Powell, IADB Speakers: Alejandro Werner (IMF) Carlos Vegh (World Bank) Jose Juan Ruiz (IDB)
SPECIAL SESSION
12:00 IN HONOR OF KEN ARROW Oaxaca II to Speakers: Roger Myerson Camino 13:00 Real Hotel Bhaskar Dutta Gerardo Esquivel Hernandez
POLICY SESSION
THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEM FOR THE 21st CENTURY Chair: Joseph Stiglitz, Columbia University Papers: Paper 1: Managing multiple international currencies in the international 11:45 monetary system: reflections from the experience from 1950-2000 | Sol II to Sheraton 13:15 Catherine Schenk (University of Glasgow) Hotel Paper 2: The First Fifteen: A Retrospective on the Paper 2Performance of the Global Economy and the International Monetary System in 2000-2015 | Atish Rex Ghosh (International Monetary Fund) Paper 3: Three essential institutional reforms for a sound 21st century international monetary system | José Antonio Ocampo (Columbia University) WEDNESDAY JUNE 21
Salón LUNCH SESSION | THE RENEGOTIATION OF NAFTA Camino Real, Hotel Speakers: Ildefonso Guajardo, Secretary of Commerce, Mexico Camino Real
CONTRIBUTED
LABOUR
Papers: Paper 1: Does the Concern About Local Crime Affect Trust in the Police? | 14:30 Joelson Sampaio (USP) Oaxaca I to Camino 16:00 Paper 2: Segmentation and Intra-generational Job Mobility in the Indian Real Hotel Labour Market | Bimal Sahoo (IIT Kharagpur), Bhaskar Neog (IIT Kharagpur) Paper 3: The Effects of Foreign Competition on Network Hiring | Margaryta Klymak (Trinity College Dublin)
CONTRIBUTED
LABOUR / APPLIED
14:30 Papers: Paper 1: The implications of a rise in the minimum wage on the Mexican Oaxaca II Camino to labour market | Jorge Bouchot (University of Birmingham) 16:00 Real Hotel Paper 2: Efficiency in the Resource Reallocation in Mexico: An Assessment Based On the Survival of Small and Medium Size Establishments in the Non-financial Service Sector | Angel Calderon (El Colegio de Mexico)
CONTRIBUTED
TRADE / EXCHANGE RATE
Papers: Paper 1: Foreign Penetration and Domestic Competition | Yingyi Tsai 14:30 Taxco I to (National University of Kaohsiung) Camino 16:00 Paper 2: The Eurozone Debt Crisis: A New-Keynesian DSGE Model with Real Hotel Default Risk | Mathilde Viennot (Paris School of Economics) Paper 3: Exchange Rates, International Trade and Growth: Re-Evaluation of Undervaluation | Maria Sokolova (IHEID, UNCTAD) WEDNESDAY JUNE 21
CONTRIBUTED
DEVELOPMENT / EDUCATION / POVERTY
Papers: Paper 1: Double-Shift High Schools and School Performance: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design | Eva Arceo-Gomez (Centro de 14:30 Investigacion y Docencia Economica), Raymundo Campos Vazquez Taxco II to (El Colegio de México), Carlos Munoz (El Colegio de Mexico) Camino Real 16:00 Hotel Paper 2: Effect of Neighborhood Violence on Children Social and Emotional Outcomes: Evidence from Urban Settings in Colombia | Arturo Harker Roa, Andres Molano & Juan Cristancho (Universidad de los Andes) Paper 3: CPI Bias and Its Implication for Poverty Reduction in Africa | Nga Nguyen, Isis Gaddis & Andrew Dabalen (World Bank)
CONTRIBUTED
THEORY
Papers: Paper 1: Labor Market Effects of Pension Reform: An overlapping generations general equilibrium model applied to Tunisia | Mouna Ben 14:30 Othman (Essect) Palmas to Sheraton 16:00 Paper 2: Informality and International Business Cycles | Carlos Yepez Hotel (University of Manitoba) Paper 3: More than Words: Foreign Exchange Intervention under Imperfect Credibility | Julian Parra-Polania (Banco de la Republica), Jose Gomez-Gonzalez (Banco de la Republica), Mauricio Villamizar- Villegas (Banco de la Republica)
CONTRIBUTED
MICRO
Papers: Paper 1: Competition for attention in the news media market | Wing Suen
14:30 & Heng Chen (The University of Hong Kong) Sol I to Paper 2: The asymmetric effects of local and global network ties on firms’ Sheraton 16:00 innovation performance: The role of absorptive capacities | Jun Li (Curtin Hotel University) Paper 3: Income Shocks, Consumption Smoothing, and Financial Market Transactions: Evidence from Indian Villages | Christian Oldiges (University of Oxford)
CONTRIBUTED
TRADE
14:30 Papers: Paper 1: Trade Liberalization and Chinese Firms’ Employment Scale | Sol II Sheraton to Chunyan Zhao (Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai), Songbai Liu 16:00 Hotel (Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai, China) Paper 2: TReal Exchange Rate, Trade Balance and Deindustrialization in Indonesia| Fithra Faisal Hastiadi (Universitas Indonesia) WEDNESDAY JUNE 21
CONTRIBUTED
HUMAN CAPITAL
Papers: Paper 1: Schooling inequality, returns to schooling, and earnings inequality: Evidence from Brazil and South Africa | Murray Leibbrandt (University of Cape Town), Arden Finn (SALDRU), David Lam (University of 14:30 Morelia to Michigan) Camino Real 16:00 Paper 2: Early Human Capital and Development: the case of Latin America Hotel (joint with José G.Montalvo) | Marta Reynal Querol (Universitat Pompeu Fabra) Paper 3: The Effect of Workplace Networks on Career Progression and Performance of Civil Servants: Empirical Evidence from Punjab, Pakistan | Shan Aman-Rana (LSE)
CONTRIBUTED
PUBLIC / MICRO
Papers: Paper 1: Threat of Revolution, Peasant Movement and Redistribution. The 14:30 Colombian Case, 1957-1975 | Maria del Pilar Lopez-Uribe (London Guerrero to School of Economics) Camino 16:00 Real Hotel Paper 2: Economic Institutions Modelling | Evgeny Popov (Institute of Economics) Paper 3: Are mergers among cooperative banks worth a dime? Evidence on post-M&A efficiency in Italy | Giovanni Ferri (LUMSA University)
CONTRIBUTED
ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND DEVELOPMENT
Papers: Paper 1: Access to Technical & Vocational Education and Training and labour market outcomes: a theoretical approach based on job market 14:30 signalling | Flavia Chein (Federal University of Juiz de Fora), Veracruz to Alexandre Rabelo (PUC/RJ), Daniel Monte (Sao Paulo School of Camino 16:00 Real Hotel Economics FGB) Paper 2: Firms and Farms: The Impact of Agricultural Productivity on the Local Indian Economy | Gabriella Santangelo (Cambridge University) Paper 3: The Innovation-R&D Nexus: Evidence from the Indian Manufacturing Sector | Sunil Kanwar (University of Delhi)
CONTRIBUTED
MICRO / METRICS
Papers: Paper 1: The Political Economy of the Vote with the Wallet | Francesco 14:30 Salustri (University of Rome Tor Vergata), Leonardo Becchetti Luna to (Universita di Roma Tor Vergata) Sheraton 16:00 Hotel Paper 2: Bank Capital Buffers Around the World: Cyclical Patterns and the Effect of Market Power | Alberto Ortiz (CEMLA) Paper 3: The Costs of Annuitizing | Rodrigo Lluberas (Banco Central del Uruguay) WEDNESDAY JUNE 21
CONTRIBUTED
MACRO
Papers: Paper 1: A Model for the Secured-Unsecured Funding Relationship: Substitution or Co-Movement with Different Intensity? | Carlos Canon (Banco de Mexico), Alejandro Bernales (Universidad de Chile), 14:30 Tundra to Nicolas Garrido Sureda (Universidad de Chile) Sheraton 16:00 Paper 2: Effects of Capital Controls on Foreign Exchange Liquidity | Carlos Hotel Cantu Garcia (Bank for International Settlements) Paper 3: The Leverage Ratio, Risk-Taking and Bank Stability | Jonathan Smith (Bank of England and University of Cambridge), Michael Grill (European Central Bank), Jan-Hannes Lang (European Central Bank)
Coffee break - Foyer de los Caminos Reales, Hotel Camino Real - 15 mins
CONTRIBUTED INTERNATIONAL TRADE
Papers: Paper 1: Quality and non Convergence of Prices in Trade | Leandro Zipitria (FCS - UdelaR), Fernando Borraz (Central bank of Uruguay) Paper 2: The Role of Trade and Offshoring in the Determination of Relative 16:15 Wages and Child Labour | Alessandro Cigno (University of Florence), Oaxaca I to Giorgia Giovannetti (University of Florence), Laura Sabani Camino Real Hotel 18:15 (University of Florence) Paper 3: The Role of Democracy and Governance in the Enhancement of Indonesian Exports to the Organization of the Islamic Cooperation (OIC) Countries | Fithra Faisal Hastiadi (Universitas Indonesia)
CONTRIBUTED TECHNOLOGY Papers: Paper 1: Investment, technological progress and energy efficiency | Luis Puch (Universidad Complutense de Madrid and ICAE), Antonia Diaz (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid) Paper 2: Innovation and Productivity: Evidence and Some Implications for
16:15 Monetary Policy | Patrick Moran (Oxford), Albert Queralto (Federal Oaxaca II to Reserve Board) Camino 18:15 Paper 3: Cross-Country Differences in the Allocation of Talent and Real Hotel Technology | Tommaso Porzio (University of California, San Diego) Paper 4: The Elasticity of Factor Substitution Between Capital and Labor in the U.S. Economy: A Meta-Regression Analysis | Patrick Zwerschke (TU Dresden), Michael Knoblach (Technische Universität Dresden)
CONTRIBUTED MACRO Papers: Paper 1: Resource Discoveries and FDI Bonanzas | Pierre-Louis Vezina
16:15 (King's College London) Taxco I to Paper 2: Organization Capital and Optimal Monetary Policy Inertia | Camino Real Hotel 18:15 Bidyut Talukdar (Saint Mary's University) Paper 3: The Cycles is the Trend? No | Attila Ratfai Paper 4: On responsibility-sensitive egalitarianism | Jun Matsui (Waseda University) WEDNESDAY JUNE 21
CONTRIBUTED
HUMAN CAPITAL / LABOUR
16:15 Papers: Paper 1: Minimum Wages and the Wage Distribution in Estonia | Karsten Palmas to Staehr (Tallinn University of Technology) Sheraton 18:15 Paper 2: Insurance Against Local Productivity Shocks: Evidence from Hotel Mexican Commuters | Fernando Perez Cervantes (Banco de Mexico) Paper 3: Within occupation wage dispersion and the task content of jobs | Lucas van der Velde (University of Warsaw)
CONTRIBUTED
DEVELOPMENT
Papers: Paper 1: Does corruption breed corruption? (A macro-level study of corruption's persistence and the role of social capital) | Davina Osei 16:15 Sol I to (UNU-MERIT/Maastricht Grad. School of Governance) Sheraton 18:15 Paper 2: Welfare Dynamics in Africa: Evidence from Synthetic Panel Data | Hotel Hai Anh Dang (World Bank) Paper 3: Vulnerability to food insecurity: Evidence from rural India | Mousumi Das (National Council of Appliedeconomic Research)
CONTRIBUTED
DEMOGRAPHICS / INEQUALITY
Papers: Paper 1: Migration and Development: Dissecting the Anatomy of the Mobility Transition | Christopher Parsons (University of Western Australia) 16:15 Paper 2: The impact of migration on the cross-border M&A: Some evidence Sol II to Sheraton 17:45 for Japan | Ivan Etzo (University of Cagliari), Sumiko Takaoka (Seikei Hotel University) Paper 3: Most of Africa's Nutritionally Vulnerable Women and Children are Not Found in Poor Households | Dominique van de Walle (World Bank), Martin Ravallion (Georgetown University), Caitlin Brown (Georgetown University) WEDNESDAY JUNE 21
CONTRIBUTED
LABOUR
Papers: Paper 1: Labour Market Frictions and Regional Disparities | Maria 16:15 Balgova (University of Oxford) Guerrero to Camino 17:45 Paper 2: Unemployment, Inequality, and Institutions, Revisited | Real Hotel Robert Duval-Hernandez (University of Cyprus) Paper 3: Employment Generation through SVSKP: Sustainability of Growth in West Bengal, India | Debasis Mukhopadhyay (B.N.Mahavidyalaya)
CONTRIBUTED
INEQUALITY / LABOUR
Papers: Paper 1: The Impact of Part-Time Work on Firm Productivity: Evidence from Italy | Davide Vannoni (Collegio Carlo Alberto) 16:15 Morelia to Paper 2: Discrimination and Invisible Handshakes: Labour Institutions and Camino 17:45 Ethnicity among Miners in South Africa | Chiara Ravetti (University of Real Hotel Oxford) Paper 3: International Remittances and Child Education in Ecuador | Jose Bucheli (University of New Mexico), Alok Bohara (University of New Mexico), Matias Fontenla (University of New Mexico)
CONTRIBUTED
HEALTH / NUTRITION
Papers: Paper 1: Measuring Malnutrition and Dietary Diversity: Theory and Evidence from India | Christian Oldiges (University of Oxford) 16:15 Veracruz to Paper 2: Dietary Diversification and Diet Quality in India: 1993-2011 | Camino 17:45 Nidhi Kaicker (Ambedkar University Delhi), Vani Kulkarni Real Hotel (University of Pennsylvania), Raghav Gaiha (Harvard School of Public Health) Paper 3: Exposure to and Recall of Experiences of Violence Reduce Cognitive Control | Francesco Bogliacino (Universidad Nacional de Colombia)
CONTRIBUTED
MACRO
Papers: Paper 1: Economic Growth, Regional Specialisation and Public Investment in India: a Panel Cointegration Analysis | Purba Roy Choudhury (The Bhawanipur Education Society College) 16:15 Luna to Paper 2: Build back better? Long-lasting impact of the 2010 Earthquake in Sheraton 17:45 Haiti | Claire Zanuso (University of Paris Dauphine / DIAL), Camille Hotel Saint-Macary (IRD-DIAL) Paper 3: Does Democracy Impact Economic Growth? Exploring the Case of Bangladesh A Cointegrated VAR Approach | Shouro Dasgupta (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)), Debapriya Bhattacharya (Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD)) WEDNESDAY JUNE 21
CONTRIBUTED
PUBLIC
Papers: Paper 1: When the State Gives Back: Trust and Trustworthiness after a Land 16:15 Restitution Program | Francesco Bogliacino (Universidad Nacional de Tundra to Colombia) Sheraton 17:45 Hotel Paper 2: Natural Resources, Electoral Behaviour and Social Assistance in Latin America | Miguel Niño-Zarazúa (United Nations University) Paper 3: Sharing Oil Rents and Political Violence | Tito Cordella (The World Bank), Harun Onder (The World Bank)
CONTRIBUTED
MACRO / BUSINESS CYCLES
Papers: Paper 1: Cross-region transfers in a monetary union: Evidence from the US 16:15 and implications for Europe | Steven Pennings (World Bank) Oasis to Sheraton 17:45 Paper 2: The impact of the 2008 crisis on UK prices: what we can learn from Hotel the CPI micro data | Kun Tian (Xiangtan University Business School), Huw Dixon (Cardiff Business School), Kul Luintel Paper 3: What Explains the Great Recession and the Slow Recovery? | Pablo Cuba-Borda (Federal Reserve Board)
Salón 20:00 Camino Real to GALA DINNER l and ll, 22:30 Camino Real Hotel THURSDAY JUNE 22
Foyer de los 08:00 REGISTRATION Caminos Reales
CONTRIBUTED
MACRO
Papers: Paper 1: The Economic Development Impact of Natural Disasters in APEC 08:30 Oaxaca I to Countries | Inez Novalita Camino Real 10:00 Paper 2: Offshoring, Employment, and Aggregate Demand | Enno Hotel Schröder (Institute for New Economic Thinking) Paper 3: Exchange Rate Exposure and Firm Dynamics | Liliana Varela (University of Houston), Juliana Salomao (University of Minnesota)
CONTRIBUTED
POLICY
Papers: Paper 1: Turning a Blind Eye to Policy Prescriptions. Exploring the Sources of 08:30 Procyclical Fiscal Behavior at Subnational Level | Osvaldo Meloni Oaxaca II to (Universidad Nacional de Tucuman) Camino 10:00 Real Hotel Paper 2: Optimal Monetary Policy in Behavioral New Keynesian Model | Lahcen Bounader (Mohammed V University-agdal) Paper 3: The "Wrong" Policy at the Right Time | David Strauss (Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas)
CONTRIBUTED
MICRO 08:30 Taxco I to Papers: Paper 1: Leximedian Rank-Ordered Rules on the Power Set with a Camino 10:00 Rearrangement Method | Takashi Kurihara (Waseda University) Real Hotel Paper 2: Tolerance of Tax Evasion | Alvaro Forteza (Universidad de La República)
CONTRIBUTED
TRADE
Papers: Paper 1: Gains or Pains? - Effects of US-China Trade on US Employment: Based on a WIOT Analysis from 1995 to 2011 | Feng Dai (Nanjing Audit 08:30 Taxco II to University) Camino 10:00 Paper 2: What drives China’s Outward Foreign Direct Investment in Real Hotel Infrastructure? | Ilkin Huseynov (Victoria University of Wellington) Paper 3: The Duration of Intermediate Exchange Rate Regimes and Capital Controls: A Multiple Destinations Approach | Raul Razo-Garcia (Carleton University) THURSDAY JUNE 22
CONTRIBUTED AGRICULTURAL Papers: Paper 1: The European Union’s Product Standards and Africa’s Food Exports: Implications for the Comprehensive Africa Agricultural Development Programme | Olayinka Idowu Kareem (University of Marburg) Paper 2: Impact of Climate Change, Weather Extremes, and Price Risk on 08:30 Global Food Supply | Mekbib Haile (Center for Development Research Palmas to (ZEF), B), Kindie Tesfaye; International Maize and Wheat Sheraton 10:00 Hotel Improvement Center (CIMMYT), Joachim von Braun (University of Bonn), Tesfamicheal Wossen (International Institute of Tropical Agriculture (IITA)) Paper 3: The Impact of Land Degradation on Agricultural Profits and Poverty in Central Asia | Alisher Mirzabaev (Center for Development Research), Anton Strokov (Eurasian Center for Food Security), Pavel Krasilnikov (Eurasian Center for Food Security)
CONTRIBUTED DEVELOPMENT / APPLIED
Papers: Paper 1: Child Labor and Conflict: Evidence from Afghanistan | Chiara Kofol (Centre for Development Research (ZEF)), Tommaso Ciarli (University of Sussex) 08:30 Sol I to Paper 2: Measuring the Multidimensional Disadvantage of Australian Sheraton 10:00 Children with a Comparison between Indigenous and Non-Indigenous Hotel Children | Ranjan Ray (Department of Economics) Paper 3: Gender Inequality in the South African Labour Market: the Impact of the Child Support Grant | Giorgio d'Agostino (Roma Tre University), Margherita Scarlato (University Roma Tre)
CONTRIBUTED MACRO Papers: Paper 1: The Usefulness of Financial Variables in Predicting Exchange Rate 08:30 Movements | Jose Rossi (Inter-American Development Bank) Sol II to Paper 2: Coping with the Collapse: A Stock-Flow Consistent Monetary Sheraton Hotel 10:00 Macrodynamics of Global Warming | Emmanuel Bovari (University of Paris 1 - Panthéon Sorbonne), Gael Giraud (CNRS), Florent Mc Isaac (University of paris 1 - Panthéon-Sorbonn) Paper 3: Is This Time Different? Lessons From the Western Balkans| Ana Oblak (Faculty of Economics, University of Ljubljana), Velimir Bole (EIPF), Janez Prasnikar (University of Ljubljana), Domen Trobec (Faculty of Economics, University of Ljubljana)
CONTRIBUTED
INEQUALITY / LABOUR
Papers: Paper 1: Welfare Dynamics with Synthetic Panels: The Case of the Arab World in Transition | Elena Ianchovichina (The World Bank), Hai Anh Dang 08:30 (World Bank) Morelia to Camino 10:00 Paper 2: Labor Market Effects of Inconsistent Policy Interventions: Evidence Real Hotel from India’s Employment Guarantees | Anand Shrivastava (Azim Premji University), Girish Bahal (University of Cambridge) Paper 3: The extension of short-time work schemes during the Great Recession: A story of success? | Bjoern Brey (University of Nottingham), Matthias Hertweck; University of Konstanz THURSDAY JUNE 22
CONTRIBUTED
HUMAN CAPITAL
Papers: Paper 1: Opportunities for Higher Education: The Ten-Year Effects of Conditional Cash Transfers on Upper-Secondary and Tertiary Enrollments | 08:30 Justin Whetten (University of New Mexico) Guerrero to Camino Real 10:00 Paper 2: Student Loan Design for Higher Education Financing: Conceptual Hotel Issues and Empirical Evidence | Bruce Chapman (Australian National University) Paper 3: Individual and household-level effects of energy poverty on human development | Matias Fontenla (University of New Mexico), Brandon Bridge (University of New Mexico)
CONTRIBUTED
INSTITUTIONS
Papers: Paper 1: A Three-party Game of Institutional Resilience Versus Transition a Model and Comparative History of China-japan Revisited | Jiahua Che 08:30 (Fudan University), Masaki Nakabayashi (University of Tokyo) Veracruz to Paper 2: Corruption, Institutions, and Sustainable Development: Theory and Camino Real Hotel 10:00 Evidence from Inclusive Wealth | Rintaro Yamaguchi (Kyushu University), Kong Shin (Kyushu University), Shunsuke Managi (Kyushu University) Paper 3: Islands as Bad Geography. Insularity, Connectedness, History and Trade Costs | Anna Maria Pinna (Università di Cagliari), Luca De Benedictis (University of Macerata)
CONTRIBUTED
FINANCE
Papers: Paper 1: The existence and persistence of liquidity effects: evidence from a large-scale historical natural experiment | 08:30 Nuno Palma (University of Luna to Groningen) Sheraton 10:00 Paper 2: The Economic Impact of Reducing Non-performing Loans | Hotel Maria Balgova Paper 3: Financial structure and income inequality | Giovanni Ferri (LUMSA University), Michael Brei (University Paris Ouest), Leonardo Gambacorta (BIS)
CONTRIBUTED
MACRO
Papers: Paper 1: Dynamics of Two and A Half Decades of India’s Balance of Payments: 08:30 Issues and Challenges | Asim Karmakar (Jadavpur University), Sebak Tundra to Jana (Vidyasagar University, West Bengal, India) Sheraton 10:00 Hotel Paper 2: Currency Crises in Post-soviet Economies — a Never Ending Story? | Marek Dabrowski (Bruegel) Paper 3: Determinants of Non-Core Liabilities in the Turkish Banking System | Beren Demirölmez THURSDAY JUNE 22
Coffee break - Foyer de los Caminos Reales, Hotel Camino Real - 15 mins
PLENARY: POLICY PANEL FOR LATIN AMERICA - WHY MEXICO 10:15 GROWS SO SLOWLY? Salón Camino to Speakers: Santiago Levy, Gordon Hanson, Manuel Ramos Francia Real, Hotel 11:30 Camino Real Sponsored by
Coffee break - Foyer de los Caminos Reales, Hotel Camino Real - 15 mins
INVITED ACADEMIC
IMPACT OF IMMIGRATION Chair: Jackline Wahba, University of Southampton 11:45 Papers: Paper 1: Migration and Health Inequality | Corrado Giulietti (University Oaxaca I to Camino 13:15 of Southampton) Real Hotel Paper 2: Countering Public Opposition to Immigration: The Impact of Information Campaigns | Giovanni Facchini (University of Nottingham) Paper 3: Upward or Downward: Occupational Mobility and Return Migration | Jackline Wahba (University of Southampton)
INVITED ACADEMIC
SMALL AND MEDIUM SIZE ENTERPRISES AND CAPITAL MARKETS, UNDERDEVELOPMENT AND MECHANISMS FOR REDUCING POVERTY IN PANAMA Chair: Yariela Zeballos, Panama Economic Association 11:45 Papers: Paper 1: Contributions and inadequacies of ECLAC's conception of Oaxaca II to underdevelopment | José E. Torres A (Panama Economic Association) Camino 13:15 Real Hotel Paper 2: Innovative Financial Instruments for SMEs and the Capital Market in Panama | Olmedo Estrada (Panama Economic Association) Paper 3: The Basic Food Basket, regulated prices, a mechanism for the reduction of progress: Panama Experience | Luis Quesada (Panama Economic Association)
PANAMA ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION THURSDAY JUNE 22
INVITED ACADEMIC
MINIMUM WAGES IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES: IMPACT AMIDST IMPERFECT ENFORCEMENT Chair: Ravi Kanbur, Cornell University Papers: Paper 1: Multiple Dimensions of Labour Law Violation: The Case of South Africa | Haroon Bhorat (University of Cape Town) Paper 2: Compliance with Legal Minimum Wages in China Effects Across the 11:45 Distribution of Wages | Li Shi (Beijing Normal University), Ye Linxiang Taxco I to (Nanjing University), Gindling T. H. (Baltimore County) Camino Real 13:15 Hotel Paper 3: Minimum Wage Policy and Employment in Argentina, 1995-2010 | Lucas Ronconi (CIAS and CONICET) Paper 4: Minimum Wage Effects at Different Enforcement Levels: Evidence from Employment Surveys in India | Vidhya Soundararajan (Indian Institute of Management Bangalore) Paper 5: Trends in Compliance and Enforcement in the Developing World | Uma Rani (International Labour Office (ILO)M)
POLICY SESSION
TAX AND SOCIAL POLICY IN THE PRESENCE OF INFORMALITY Chair: Santiago Levy, IADB Papers: Paper 1: Overview of project and general lessons for Emerging Market Countries | Ehtisham Ahmad (LSE, Bonn, Zhejiang) Paper 2: Mexico: Tax and Social Policy under Informality: subnational considerations | Ehtisham Ahmad (LSE, Bonn, Zhejiang) and Giorgio Brosio (Turin) 11:45 Taxco II Camino Real to Paper 3: Indonesia: Financing Social Spending | Riatu Qibtiyyah Hotel 13:15 (University of Indonesia) and Teguh Dartanto (University of Indonesia) Panel discussion: Santiago Levy (Vice President, IADB) Miguel Messmacher (Vice Minister, Hacienda, Mexico) Koki Hirota (Chief Economist, JICA) Ehtisham Ahmad (LSE, Bonn, Zhejiang)
INVITED ACADEMIC
TRANSFERABILITY OF JAPANESE WISDOM TO DEVELOPING COUNTRIES Chair: Keijiro Otsuka, Kobe University Papers: Paper 1: Impacts of Kaizen Management Training: Experiments in Tanzania and Vietnam | Yuki Higuchi (Nagoya City University) 11:45 Paper 2: Individualized Self-learning Program to Improve Primary Education: to Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment in Bangladesh | Yasuyuki Palmas 13:15 Sheraton Sawada (University of Tokyo) Hotel Paper 3: DVD-based Distance-learning Program for University Entrance Exams: RCT Experiments in Rural Bangladesh | Abu S. Shonchoy (Institute of Developing Economies and New York University) JAPANESE SCIENCE Paper 4: Disasters and Commitments: Evidence from Japan and the COUNCIL Philippines | Nobuhiko Fuwa (University of Tokyo) THURSDAY JUNE 22
INVITED ACADEMIC
EXTRACTIVE INDUSTRIES FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
Chair: Tony Addison, UNU-WIDER Papers: Paper 1: Stranded Nations? The Climate Policy Implications for Fossil Fuel-Rich Developing Countries | James Cust (WB)
11:45 Paper 2: New Industrial Policy and Extractive Industries | Evelyn Dietsche Sol I to (Chatham House) Sheraton 13:15 Hotel Paper 3: Extractive Industries and Tanzania’s Economic Development | Alan Roe (University of Warwick & UNU-WIDER) Paper 4: The Copper Sector, Fiscal Rules and Stabilization Funds in Chile | Diego Calderon (University of Warwick)
WIDER
Lunch - Terrace Camino Real Hotel - 75 mins
INVITED ACADEMIC
INTERNAL LABOR MARKET: THEORY AND EVIDENCE
Chair: Hodaka Morita, University of New South Wales Papers: Paper 1: Internal and External Hiring: The Role of Prior Work History | Jed DeVaro (California State University, East Bay) Paper 2: Lateral Moves, Promotions, and Task-Specific Human Capital | Michael Waldman (Cornell University) 14:30 Oaxaca I Camino Real to Paper 3: Asset Specificity, Human Capital Acquisition, and Labor Market Hotel 16:00 Competition | Cheng-Tao Tang (International University of Japan) Paper 4: Does Employee Stock Ownership Work? Evidence from Publicly Traded Firms in Japan | Hideo Owan (University of Tokyo) Paper 5: The Importance of Vertical Communication in the High- Performance Work Systems: Evidence from Japanese Employer-Employee Data | Ryo Kambayashi (Hitotsubashi University)
INVITED ACADEMIC
POLITICAL ECONOMY IN DEVELOPING ECONOMIES Chair: Jaya Wen, Yale University Papers: Paper 1: Are Protests Games of Strategic Complements or Substitutes? Experimental Evidence from Hong Kong's Democracy Movement | Noam Yuchtman (Berkeley) 14:30 Oaxaca II to Paper 2: Incumbency Advantage in Nondemocracie | Georgy Egorov Camino 16:00 (Northwestern) Real Hotel Paper 3: Guns and Roses: Flower Exports and Electoral Violence in Kenya | Ameet Morjaria (Northwestern) Paper 4: Social Relations, Group Identity and the Delivery of Public Services | Erika Deserrano (Northwestern) Paper 5: The Role of the State in the Chinese Economy | Jaya Wen (Yale University) THURSDAY JUNE 22
SPECIAL SESSION
TRANSFORMING THE INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMICS - GLOBAL AND DIVERSITY PERSPECTIVES Chair: Tim Besley, LSE 14:30 Speakers: Putting a new paradigm for introductory economics into practice – the Taxco I to CORE project | Wendy Carlin (UCL) Camino Real 16:00 Hotel How do we motivate and train great future female and male economists? | Grace Tsiang (U of Chicago) The importance of ‘Economics 101’ | James Kwak (U of Connecticut) A meaningful introductory course for the South Asian context | Arjun Jayadev (Azim Premji University, Bangalore)
INVITED ACADEMIC
INFORMATION, MEDIA, AND POLITICAL ACCOUNTABILITY
Chair: Alvaro Forteza, UDELAR Papers: Paper 1: Advertising Spending and Media Bias: Evidence From News 14:30 Coverage of Car Safety Recalls | Ruben Durante (UPF), (with G. Beattie, Taxco II Camino Real to B. Knight, A. Sen) Hotel 16:00 Paper 2: The Production of Information in an Online World: Is Copy Right? | Julia Cage (Science Po) Paper 3: Social Media and the Responsiveness of Politicians | Claudio Ferraz (PUC RIO)
RIDGE / PEG LACEA
INVITED ACADEMIC
LABOUR MOBILITY IN EUROPE - ECONOMIC CYCLES, POLICIES AND LANGUAGES
Chair: Martin Kahanec, Central European University, UEBA, CELSI, GLO, SEA Papers: Paper 1: How Immigrants Helped EU Labor Markets to Adjust during the Great Recession: Evidence from the EU and Slovakia | Martin Kahanec, with Martin Guzi and Lucia Mýtna Kureková (Central European 14:30 University, UEBA, CELSI, GLO, SEA) Palmas to Paper 2: Migrant’s Response to Restrictive Immigration Policies: The Case of Sheraton Hotel 16:00 Transitional Arrangements | Magdalena Ulceluse, with Martin Kahanec (Central European University, CELSI, SEA) Paper 3: The Importance of Foreign Language Skills in the Labour Markets of Central and Eastern Europe: An Assessment Based on Data from Online Job Portals | Brian Fabo, with Miroslav Beblavý and Karolien Lenaerts (Central European University, CELSI, CEPS, SEA) Paper 4: Flocking Eastern Europeans: Causality Analysis of EU Immigration to the UK | Jan Fidrmuc, with Çiğdem Börke Tunalı and Nauro Campos (Brunel University, ISA, IES, CESIfo, SEA) THURSDAY JUNE 22
POLICY SESSION
LAW, ECONOMICS AND INSTITUTIONS 14:30 Sol I to Chair: Enrique Cardenas, Centro de Estudios Espinosa Yglesias Sheraton 16:00 Speakers: Luis Felipe Lopez Calva (World Bank) Hotel Eduardo Saavedra (Competition Tribunal of Chile and Alberto Hurtado University)
INVITED POLICY IN HONOR OF TONY ATKINSON INEQUALITY AND GROWTH: HOW TO MEASURE INEQUALITY AND CHALLENGES FOR DEVELOPMENT 14:30 Sol II to Chair: Martin Ravallion, Georgetown University Sheraton 16:00 Hotel Speakers: Gaël Giraud (AFD) Solomon Chertorivski (Secretary of Economic Development of Mexico City) Ravi Kanbur (Cornell University) Martin Ravallion (Georgetown University) Coffee break - Foyer de los Caminos Reales, Hotel Camino Real - 15 mins
CONTRIBUTED
MICRO / PUBLIC
Papers: Paper 1: The Elasticity of Factor Substitution Between Capital and Labor in the U.S. Economy: A Meta-Regression Analysis | Michael Knoblach 16:15 Oaxaca I to (Technische Universität Dresden), Patrick Zwerschke (TU Dresden) Camino Real Hotel 17:45 Paper 2: Financial Repression and Laffer Curves | Kanat Isakov (NRU HSE) Paper 3: The Effect of Non-Contributory Pensions on Savings in Mexico | Laura Juarez (Banco de Mexico), Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes (San Diego State University), Jorge Alonso-Ortiz (Instituto Tecnologico Autonomo de Mexico)
CONTRIBUTED
AGRICULTURAL AND RESOURCE
Papers: Paper 1: The Impact of Mining on Spatial Inequality: Recent Evidence from Africa | Anthony Mveyange (The World Bank), Amadou Boly 16:15 Oaxaca II to (UNU-WIDER), Tony Addison (United Nations University - Wider) Camino Real 17:45 Paper 2: An Empirical Analysis of Structural Changes and Agriculture Pattern Hotel in India | S.S.Somra (University of Rajasthan) Paper 3: Impact of Agricultural Innovation and Technology Adoption: a Meta-analysis| Kolawole Ogundari (University of Delaware), Olufemi Bolarinwa (University of Florida, Gainesville FL USA) THURSDAY JUNE 22
CONTRIBUTED FINANCE AND DEVELOPMENT Papers: Paper 1: Credit Constraints and Delayed Entrepreneurship | Pierre Nguimkeu (Georgia State University) Paper 2: Are Rushed Privatizations Substandard? Analyzing Firm-level Privatization under Fiscal Pressure | Jan Svejnar (Columbia University), 16:15 Taxco I to Jan Hagemejer (Narodowy Bank Polski), Joanna Tyrowicz (National Camino Real 18:15 Bank of Poland and University of Warsaw) Hotel Paper 3: Optimistic and Stubborn: An Experimental Analysis of the Disposition Effect | Iñigo Iturbe-Ormaetxe (University of Alicante), Carlos Cueva (University of Alicante), Giovanni Ponti (Departamento de Fundamentos del Análisis), Josefa Tomás (Universidad de Alicante) Paper 4: The IMF and precautionary lending: An empirical evaluation of the selectivity and effectiveness of the Flexible Credit Line | Dennis Essers (National Bank of Belgium), Stefaan Ide (National Bank of Belgium)
CONTRIBUTED
16:15 Taxco II to POLITICAL ECONOMY Camino Real 17:45 Hotel Papers: Paper 1: Conflict and Urbanization: The Case of Sierra Leone | Jozefina Kalaj (George Washington University) Paper 2: Radicalization into Violent Extremism: Evidence from Daesh foreign recruits | Kartika Bhatia (The World Bank) Paper 3: Does Emigration Reduce Corruption? | Roswitha King (Ostfold University College)
CONTRIBUTED
ENVIRONMENT / ENERGY Papers: Paper 1: Logging Concessions, Certification & Protected Areas in the 16:15 Peruvian Amazon: evaluating forest impacts from combinations of land-use Palmas to rights & restrictions | Jimena Rico Straffon (Banco de Mexico) Sheraton Hotel 18:15 Paper 2: Do Heterogeneous Countries Respond Differently to Oil Price Shocks? | Marco Hernandez-Vega (Banco de Mexico), Gerardo Hernandez-del-Valle (Banco de Mexico), Santiago Guerrero Escobar (Dirección Nacional de Medio Ambiente) Paper 3: Granger Causality between Financial Development and Energy Consumption in Financial Action Task Force Countries | Rudra Pradhan (Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur)
CONTRIBUTED DEVELOPMENT Papers: Paper 1: Re-estimation of the Indian Poverty Line: Healthy Eating Index | Mousumi Das (National Council of Appliedeconomic Research) Paper 2: Measuring Multidimensional Poverty: Dashboards, Union Identification, and the Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI) | Sabina 16:15 Alkire (University of Oxford), Gisela Robles (University of Oxford) Sol I to Sheraton 17:45 Paper 3: Mission Drift in Microfinance: Evidences from Select Indian States | Hotel Narayan Chandra Nayak & Sunil Sangwan (Indian Institue of Technology Kharagpur) Paper 4: A Quintile Regression Analysis of Socio-Economic Determinants of Household Food Security in India | Biswabhusan Bhuyan (IITKGP), Bimal Sahoo; IIT Kharagpur THURSDAY JUNE 22
CONTRIBUTED
GROWTH / MICRO
Papers: Paper 1: International Relocation of Production and Growth | Francisco Alcalá (Universidad de Murcia), Marta Solaz (Universitat de València) 16:15 Sol II to Paper 2: Global Value Chains and Wages: International Evidence From Sheraton 17:45 Linked Worker-industry Data | Joanna Wolszczak-Derlacz (Gdansk Hotel University of Technology), Aleksandra Parteka (Gdansk University of Technology) Paper 3: Agriculture and Growth: The Role of Saving and Financial Development | Boubacar Diallo (King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals)
CONTRIBUTED
LABOUR
Papers: Paper 1: Making Moves Matter: Experimental Evidence on Incentivizing Bureaucrats through Performance-Based Postings | Adnan Khan (London 16:15 Morelia to School of Economics) Camino Real 17:45 Paper 2: Minimum Wage Violation in Central and Eastern Europe | Piotr Hotel Lewandowski (Institute for Structural Research (IBS)), Karolina Goraus-Tańska; University of Warsaw Paper 3: Globalization and the Gender Earnings Gap: Evidence from Sri Lanka and Cambodia | Gladys Lopez Acevedo
CONTRIBUTED
ENVIRONMENT
Papers: Paper 1: Will the Paris Accord Accelerate Climate Change? | Andrey Zubarev (RANEPA), Laurence Kotlikoff (Boston University), Andrey 16:15 Polbin (The Russian Presidential Academy) Guerrero to Camino Real 17:45 Paper 2: Water Accounting for Sustainable Development: Problems of Its Hotel Execution With Respect to Developing Regions | Maniparna SyamRoy (Asutosh College, Kolkata, India) Paper 3: The Value of Clean Air to Urban Residents in Mexico City | Fidel Gonzalez (Sam Houston State University), Matias Fontenla (University of New Mexico) THURSDAY JUNE 22
CONTRIBUTED
INSTITUTIONS / LABOUR
Papers: Paper 1: Does Increased Accountability Decrease Leniency in Performance Ratings? | Patrick Puhani (Leibniz Universität Hannover) 16:15 Paper 2: Institutional Quality and Efficiency of Public Spending: Evidence Veracruz to Camino Real 17:45 from the U.S. States Governments | Hossein Radmard (American Hotel University of Beirut) Paper 3: The Real Exchange Rate and Female Labor Force Participation | Martina Metzger (Berlin School of Economcis and Law), Bilge Erten (Northeastern University)
CONTRIBUTED
INTERNATIONAL TRADE Papers: Paper 1: Central Bank Preferences and the Changing Nature of the Real Exchange Rate | Michael Pedersen (Central Bank of Chile), Rodrigo Caputo (Banco Central de Chile) 16:15 Luna to Paper 2: The Geography of consumer prices | Attila Ratfai (Central Sheraton 18:15 European University), Adam Reiff (Magyar Nemzeti Bank (The Hotel Central Bank of Hungary)) Paper 3: Uneven development patterns in global value chains | Steven Knauss, Cédric Durand & Bruno Caballa Smichowski (Université Paris 13)
CONTRIBUTED
LABOUR
Papers: Paper 1: Relative P-bipolarisation Measurement With Generalised Means 16:15 and Hybrid Lorenz Curves | Marek Kosny (Wroclaw University of to Economics), Gaston Yalonetzky (University of Leeds) Oasis 17:45 Paper 2: Labor Productivity Slowdown in the Developed Economies - Another Sheraton Hotel Productivity Puzzle? | Georg Erber (European Productivity Research Centre) Paper 3: Social Frictions to Knowledge Diffusion: Evidence from an Information Intervention | Martin Ravallion (Georgetown University)
Salón 18:30 PLENARY: PRESIDENTIAL ADDRESS Camino Real to l and ll, 19:45 Speaker: Tim Besley Camino Real Hotel FRIDAY JUNE 23
Foyer de los 08:00 REGISTRATION Caminos Reales
CONTRIBUTED
APPLIED Papers: Paper 1: Local Governance and Quality of Learning resources in Public 08:30 Schools in Africa | Maty Konte (United-Nations University) Oaxaca I to Camino 10:00 Paper 2: Educational Mismatch and Earnings: Evidence from a Developing Real Hotel Economy | Christian Darko (King's College London), Kennedy Abrokwa (Ghana Institute of Management and Public Administration) Paper 3: Boosting Firms’ Productivity in Developing Countries: Do Structural Reforms Matter? | Wilfried Kouamé (Sherbrooke University)
CONTRIBUTED
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
Papers: Paper 1: Democracy and International Trade: Differential Effects from a
08:30 Panel Quantile Regression Framework | Astrid Krenz (University of Oaxaca II to Goettingen) Camino 10:00 Paper 2: Not So Different from Non-Traders: Trade Premia in Middle East Real Hotel and North Africa | Helena Schweiger (EBRD), David Francis (World Bank) Paper 3: The effect of input and output protection on productivity in Uruguay | Carlos Casacuberta (UDELAR)
CONTRIBUTED
MACRO / DEVELOPMENT Papers: Paper 1: Spending a Windfall: American Precious Metals and Euro-Asian Trade 1531-1810 | Nuno Palma (University of Groningen), Andre Silva 08:30 Taxco I (Universidade Nova de Lisboa) to Camino 10:00 Paper 2: The Curse of Good Soil? Land Fertlity, Roads and Rural Poverty in Real Hotel Africa | Leonard Wantchekon (Princeton University) Paper 3: Dimensional and Distributional Contributions to Multidimensional Poverty | Sabina Alkire (University of Oxford), James Foster (George Washington University)
CONTRIBUTED LABOUR Papers: Paper 1: Poor Little Children: Socioeconomic Gap in Parental Responses to School Unreadiness | Ricardo Estrada (CAF), Ines Berniell (European 08:30 University Institute) Taxco II to Paper 2: Understanding the Dynamics of Labor Income Inequality in Latin Camino 10:00 Real Hotel America | Carlos Rodriguez-Castelan (The World Bank), Luis-Felipe Lopez-Calva (World Bank), Nora Lustig (Tulane University), Daniel Valderrama (Georgetown Univesity) Paper 3: Inequality and Growth: A Heterogeneous Approach | Francesco Grigoli (International Monetary Fund) FRIDAY JUNE 23
CONTRIBUTED
LABOUR Papers: Paper 1: Fathers Matter! – Choices of Occupations of Parents and Children | 08:30 Magdalena Smyk (University of Warsaw) Palmas to Paper 2: Short and Long-term Effects of a Child-labor Ban | Andre Portela Sheraton 10:00 Hotel Souza (Sao Paulo School of Economics), Caio Piza (World Bank) Paper 3: Relational Capabilities and Subjective Well-Being: Influence of Exclusion and Ethnic Polarization | Rakesh Gupta Nichanametla Ramasubbaiah (Université Paris 1 and EPRC)
CONTRIBUTED
LABOUR
Papers: Paper 1: Discrimination in India's Formal and Informal Labour markets | 08:30 Bhaskar Neog (IIT Kharagpur), Bimal Sahoo (IIT Kharagpur) Sol I to Sheraton 10:00 Paper 2: Skill Promotion in the Industrialization of China: An Interpretation of Hotel Human Capital Accumulation in Developing Economies | Mengyu Ding (Tsinghua University) Paper 3: Beyond Income Poverty: Non-Monetary Dimensions of Poverty in Uganda | Alvin Etang Ndip (World Bank)
CONTRIBUTED
MACRO
Papers: Paper 1: On the Effectiveness of Eu Structural Funds During the Great Recession: Estimates From a Heterogeneous Local Average Treatment Effects 08:30 Framework | Julia Bachtrögler (Vienna University of Economics & Sol II to Business) Sheraton 10:00 Hotel Paper 2: Key Sectors in Economic Development: a Perspective From Input-output Linkages and Cross-sector Misallocation | Julio Leal (Banco de México)
CONTRIBUTED
PUBLIC ECONOMICS
Papers: Paper 1: Minds for the Market: Non-Cognitive Skills in Post-Soviet Countries | 08:30 Maryam Naghsh Nejad (Institue for the Study of Labor (IZA)), Anna Morelia to Kochanova (Max Planck Institute for Research on Col) Camino 10:00 Real Hotel Paper 2: The trade-off between reforms and checks and balances | Alvaro Forteza (Universidad de La República), Juan Pereyra (Universitè Libre de Bruxelles) Paper 3: Israel`s Immigration Story: Globalization Lessons| Assaf Razin FRIDAY JUNE 23
CONTRIBUTED
LABOUR
Papers: Paper 1: Parents, Schools and Human Capital Differences across Countries | Federico Rossi (LSE), Marta De Philippis (Bank of Italy and CEP, LSE) 08:30 Guerrero Paper 2: Routine and ageing? Intergenerational divide in the task to Camino 10:00 composition of jobs in Europe | Piotr Lewandowski, Szymon Górka, Real Hotel Wojciech Hardy, Roma Keister (Institute for Structural Research (IBS)) Paper 3: A Quintile Regression Analysis of Socio-Economic Determinants of Household Food Security in India | Bimal Sahoo (IIT Kharagpur), Biswabhusan Bhuyan (IITKGP)
CONTRIBUTED
MACRO / APPLIED
Papers: Paper 1: The Role of Inflation Targeting in Debt Denomination in Developing 08:30 Countries | Cesar M. Rodriguez (Portland State University), Olena Veracruz to Ogrokhina (Lafayette College) Camino 10:00 Real Hotel Paper 2: Effect of Absolute and Relative Economic Status on Child Health | Adrita Banerjee (IIPS, Mumbai) Paper 3: The Impact of Monetary Policy on Inequality in the UK. An Empirical Analysis | Angeliki Theophilopoulou (University of Westminster)
CONTRIBUTED
DEMOGRAPHICS / PUBLIC
Papers: Paper 1: Polarization, Foreign Military Interventions, and Civil Conflicts | Suleiman Abu-Bader (Ben-Gurion University of the Negev), Elena 08:30 Luna to Ianchovichina (The World Bank) Sheraton 10:00 Paper 2: Is it Displacement? Evidence on the Impact of Police Monitoring on Hotel Crime | Ignacio Munyo (University of Montevideo) Paper 3: Are Women More Vulnerable to Crime? | Geetika Dang (Independent Researcher), Vani Kulkarni (Yale University), Raghav Gaiha (Harvard School of Public Health)
Coffee break - Foyer de los Caminos Reales, Hotel Camino Real - 15 mins
Salón 10:15 PLENARY - MEDIA AND BEHAVIORAL CHANGE: UNPACKING Camino to SOCIAL EFFECTS Real, 11:30 Camino Speaker: Eliana La Ferrara | Chair: Tim Besley Real Hotel
Coffee break - Foyer de los Caminos Reales, Hotel Camino Real - 15 mins
INVITED ACADEMIC
11:45 GROWTH IN FRAGILE STATES Oaxaca I Camino to Chair: Tim Besley, LSE 13:15 Real Hotel Speaker: Tim Besley (LSE) Adnan Khan (IGC/LSE) FRIDAY JUNE 23
INVITED ACADEMIC
TAX AND DEVELOPMENT: MICRO AND MACRO APPROACHES Chair: Professor Finn Tarp, UNU-WIDER Papers: Paper 1: Analyzing fiscal reforms in Ghana: A microsimulation approach | Robert Osei (ISSER, University of Ghana) 11:45 Oaxaca II to Paper 2: Tax Structures and Economic Growth: New Evidence from the Camino 13:15 Government Revenue Dataset| Kyle McNabb (UNU-WIDER) Real Hotel Paper 3: How do small firms respond to tax schedule discontinuities? Evidence from South African tax registers | Jukka Pirttilä (University of Tampere and UNU-WIDER)
WIDER
INVITED ACADEMIC
ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND SME GROWTH: POLICY AND EVIDENCE
Chair: Elizabeth Koshy, (Poverty Action) Taxco I 11:45 Papers: Paper 1: Procuring Firm Growth: The Effects of Government Purchases on Camino to Firm Dynamics | Claudio Ferraz (PUC-Rio) Real Hotel 13:15 Paper 2: Direct and spillover effects of technology adoption programs | Alessandro Maffioli (IADB) Paper 3: Personality vs. Practices in the Making of an Entrepreneur: Experimental Evidence from Togo | Leonardo Iacovone (WB)
INNOVATION FOR POVERTY ACTION
INVITED ACADEMIC
THE ROLE OF WOMEN'S AGENCY IN PUBLIC HEALTH ECONOMICS TRIALS: EXPLORING THE ROLE OF WOMEN BOTH AS BENEFICIARIES AND CHANGE AGENTS IN A SOCIAL CONTEXT Chair: Jolene Skordis-Worrall, UCL Papers: Paper 1: The role of women’s agency in public health trials: Exploring the role of women both as beneficiaries and change agents in a social context | 11:45 Neha Batura Taxco II to Camino 13:15 Paper 2: Towards an individual-level gender equality measure:selection and Real Hotel validation of indicators using emic qualitative research in the Amazon of Peru | Geordan D. Shannon Paper 3: The Impact of Participatory Women’s Groups Alone or Combined with Cash and Food Transfers on Maternal Agency in Rural Nepal | Lu Gram Paper 4: Family Networks and Healthy Behaviour: Evidence from Nepal | Noemi Pace
CENTRE FOR GLOBAL HEALTH ECONOMICS FRIDAY JUNE 23
INVITED ACADEMIC
NEW APPROACHES TO UNDERSTANDING INEQUALITY, POVERTY AND SOCIAL LINKS
Chair: TBC 11:45 Papers: Paper 1: Introducing gender and labor dimensions in the multidimensional Palmas to Sheraton 13:15 poverty indicator in Madagascar | Mathias Kuepié Hotel Paper 2: Inequality and the relational capability index in Niger| Gaël Giraud Paper 3: Inequality and social cohesion in South Africa | Anda David and Murray Leibbrand
AFD
Lunch - Terrace Camino Real Hotel - 75 mins
INVITED ACADEMIC
WELFARE INTERVENTIONS 14:30 Chair: Wilson Perez Oaxaca I to Camino 16:00 Speakers: Carlos Rodriguez (World Bank) Real Hotel Tridip Ray (Indian Statistical Institute, Delhi Centre) Andre Portela (Sao Paulo School of Economics) Patrick Emerson (Oregon State)
INVITED ACADEMIC
TOPICS ON THE ECONOMICS OF CRIME Chair: Ignacio Munyo, Universidad de Montevideo 14:30 Papers: Paper 1: Crime and Violence | Ernesto Schargrodsky Oaxaca II to (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella) Camino 16:00 Real Hotel Paper 2: Economic Shocks and Crime: Evidence from the Brazilian Trade Liberalization| Rodrigo R. Soares (FGV-EESP) Paper 3: Juvenile Incarceration and Crime after Release: Evidence from a Harsher Law | Ignacio Munyo (Universidad de Montevideo)
INVITED ACADEMIC
CHANGING THE ASPIRATIONS OF THE POOR Chair: Eliana Laferrara, Bocconi University
14:30 Papers: Paper 1: The Future in Mind: Aspirations and Future-Oriented Behaviour in the Taxco I to Long Run in Ethiopia | Tanguy Bernard (CGIAR) joint with Stefan Camino 16:00 Dercon, Kate Orkin, Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse Real Hotel Paper 2: Spurring aspirations for education: The impact of participatory theater in India| Karla Hoff (The World Bank) Paper 3: Shaping Educational Careers of Immigrant Children: Motivation, Cognitive Skills & Teachers’ Beliefs | Eliana Laferrara (Bocconi University) FRIDAY JUNE 23
INVITED ACADEMIC
GROWTH AND SUSTAINABILITY IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE Chair: Gyula Pleschinger (Monetary Council of the National Bank of Hungary, President of the Hungarian Economic Association) Papers: Paper 1: The sources of sustainable economic growth in the CEE region: the 14:30 Taxco II to role of market integration | Miklós Losoncz (Budapest Business Camino 16:00 School, University of Applied Sciences) Real Hotel Paper 2: Crisis management and economic recovery in Hungary| Gergely Baksay, Dániel Palotai (National Bank of Hungary) Paper 3: Innovation: The key to Growth and Sustainability in Hungary| Ferenc Pongrácz (IBM Southeast Europe, Széchenyi István University Doctoral School), Gábor Nick (Hungarian Academy Of Sciences Institute For Computer Science And Control, Széchenyi István University Doctoral School) SAFETY FIRST
· Santa Fe is the newest and fastest growing district of Mexico City. You will be in a nice modern business neighborhood, but be aware of the hazards of a huge city.
· Walking alone in the streets during the late hours of night is not recommended.
· Avoid wearing expensive jewelry and watches.
· You can hire taxis from the hotels for getting around in the city. They are relatively expensive but safe. A cheaper alternative is UBER (no cash payment) which works extremely well in Mexico City. Any restaurant can arrange for taxis to the hotels. Make sure that you do not ag down cabs in the street as they are not safe.
· Make sure that you always have on you the address and telephone phone number of your hotel.
· Answer telephone calls only from people you know. In very rare occasions you may receive telephone calls in your hotel room from unknown persons. Do not continue the conversation even if it may seem serious and urgent, Simply hung up.
For more information on places to visit, organized tours and Mexico please visit:
www.iea-world.org/congress-2017-mexico/about-mexico/ Sponsored by:
Organized by: