State Capacity, Reciprocity and the Social Contract∗
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The Econometric Society European Region Aide Mémoire
The Econometric Society European Region Aide M´emoire March 22, 2021 1 European Standing Committee 2 1.1 Responsibilities . .2 1.2 Membership . .2 1.3 Procedures . .4 2 Econometric Society European Meeting (ESEM) 5 2.1 Timing and Format . .5 2.2 Invited Sessions . .6 2.3 Contributed Sessions . .7 2.4 Other Events . .8 3 European Winter Meeting (EWMES) 9 3.1 Scope of the Meeting . .9 3.2 Timing and Format . 10 3.3 Selection Process . 10 4 Appendices 11 4.1 Appendix A: Members of the Standing Committee . 11 4.2 Appendix B: Winter Meetings (since 2014) and Regional Consultants (2009-2013) . 27 4.3 Appendix C: ESEM Locations . 37 4.4 Appendix D: Programme Chairs ESEM & EEA . 38 4.5 Appendix E: Invited Speakers ESEM . 39 4.6 Appendix F: Winners of the ESEM Awards . 43 4.7 Appendix G: Countries in the Region Europe and Other Areas ........... 44 This Aide M´emoire contains a detailed description of the organisation and procedures of the Econometric Society within the European Region. It complements the Rules and Procedures of the Econometric Society. It is maintained and regularly updated by the Secretary of the European Standing Committee in accordance with the policies and decisions of the Committee. The Econometric Society { European Region { Aide Memoire´ 1 European Standing Committee 1.1 Responsibilities 1. The European Standing Committee is responsible for the organisation of the activities of the Econometric Society within the Region Europe and Other Areas.1 It should undertake the consideration of any activities in the Region that promote interaction among those interested in the objectives of the Society, as they are stated in its Constitution. -
The Lucas Critique – Is It Really Relevant?
Working Paper Series Department of Business & Management Macroeconomic Methodology, Theory and Economic Policy (MaMTEP) No. 7, 2016 The Lucas Critique – is it really relevant? By Finn Olesen 1 Abstract: As one of the founding fathers of what became the modern macroeconomic mainstream, Robert E. Lucas has made several important contributions. In the present paper, the focus is especially on his famous ‘Lucas critique’, which had tremendous influence on how to build macroeconomic models and how to evaluate economic policies within the modern macroeconomic mainstream tradition. However, much of this critique should not come as a total surprise to Post Keynesians as Keynes himself actually discussed many of the elements present in Lucas’s 1976 article. JEL classification: B22, B31 & E20 Key words: Lucas, microfoundations for macroeconomics, realism & Post Keynesianism I have benefitted from useful comments from Robert Ayreton Bailey Smith and Peter Skott. 2 Introduction In 1976, Robert Lucas published a contribution that since has had an enormous impact on modern macroeconomics. Based on the Lucas critique, the search for an explicit microfoundation for macroeconomic theory began in earnest. Later on, consensus regarding methodological matters between the New Classical and the New Keynesian macroeconomists emerged. That is, it was accepted that macroeconomics could only be done within an equilibrium framework with intertemporal optimising households and firms using rational expectations. As such, the representative agent was born. Accepting such a framework has of course not only theoretical consequences but also methodological ones as for instance pointed out by McCombie & Pike (2013). Not only should macroeconomics rest upon explicit and antiquated, although accepted, microeconomic axioms; macroeconomic theory also had to be formulated exclusively by use of mathematical modelling1. -
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Measuring Fiscal Disparities Across the U.S. States: A Representative Revenue System/ Representative Expenditure System Approach, Fiscal Year 2002 NEPPC Working Paper 06-2 A joint report with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center by Yesim Yilmaz, Sonya Hoo, Matthew Nagowski, Kim Rueben, and Robert Tannenwald Abstract States and their local governments vary both in their needs to provide basic public services and in their abilities to raise revenues to pay for those services. A joint study by the Tax Policy Center and the New England Policy Center at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston uses the Representative Revenue System (RRS) and the Representative Expenditure System (RES) frameworks to quantify these disparities across states by comparing each state’s revenue capacity, revenue effort, and necessary expenditures to the average capacity, effort, and need in states across the country for fiscal year 2002. The fiscal capacity of a state is the state’s revenue capacity relative to its expenditure need. A state with low fiscal capacity has a relatively small revenue base, a relatively high need for expenditures, or—as is often the case—a combination of both. The New England and Mid-Atlantic states tend to have high revenue capacity and low expenditure needs compared to the national average. Thus, states in these two regions tend to have high fiscal capacity, or a relatively high capability to cover their expenditure needs using own resources. South Central states, on the other hand, have low fiscal capacity—that is, a low level of revenue-raising capacity given what it would cost to provide a standard set of public services to their citizens. -
Boa Cover Pages
5TH EUROSTAT COLLOQUIUM ON MODERN TOOLS FOR BUSINESS CYCLE ANALYSIS Jointly organised by EUROSTAT and European University Institute (Florence, Italy) Luxembourg, 29th September – 1st October 2008 Monetary Policies and Low-Frequency Manifestations of the Quantity Theory Thomas Sargent Paolo Surico Monetary Policies and Low-Frequency Manifestations of the Quantity Theory∗ Thomas J. Sargent† Paolo Surico‡ September 2008 Abstract To detect the quantity theory of money, we follow Lucas (1980) by looking at scatter plots of filtered time series of inflation and money growth rates and interest rates and money growth rates. Like Whiteman (1984), we relate those scatter plots to sums of two-sided distributed lag coefficients constructed from fixed-coefficient and time-varying VARs for U.S. data from 1900-2005. We interpret outcomes in terms of population values of those sums of coefficients implied by two DSGE models. The DSGE models make the sums of weights depend on the monetary policy rule via cross-equation restrictions of a type that Lucas (1972) and Sargent (1971) emphasized in the context of testing the natural unemployment rate hypothesis. When the U.S. data are extended beyond Lucas’s 1955-1975 period, the patterns revealed by scatter plots mutate in ways that we want to attribute to prevailing monetary policy rules. JEL classification: E4, E5, N1 Key words: quantity theory, policy regimes, time-varying VAR ∗We wish to thank Tim Besley, Efrem Castelnuovo, Robert E. Lucas, Jr., Haroon Mumtaz, and Francesco Zanetti for useful discussions. Sargent thanks the Bank of England for providing research support when he was a Houblon-Norman Fellow. -
Tax Policy Reform: the Role of Empirical Evidence
TAX POLICY REFORM: THE ROLE OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE Richard Blundell University College London and Institute for Fiscal Studies Abstract To understand the role of evidence in tax policy design, this paper organizes the empirical analysis of reform under five loosely related headings: (i) key margins of adjustment, (ii) measurement of effective tax rates, (iii) the importance of information and complexity, (iv) evidence on the size of responses, and (v) implications from theory for tax design. The context for the discussion is the recently published Mirrlees Review of tax reform. Although the Review focused on all aspects of tax reform, this paper highlights the taxation of earnings. It also comments on earnings taxation in the context of VAT base-broadening reforms and the taxation of capital (JEL: H2, H3). 1. Introduction How should evidence be used in the study of tax design? What is the appropriate balance between theory and empirics? These questions lay at the heart of the Mirrlees Review. Motivated by the aim to develop a broad set of principles for what makes a good tax system, the Review was an attempt to base tax reform on the large body of economic theory and empirical evidence. It was inspired by the Meade Report (1978) with the idea to review tax design from first principles for modern open economies in general and for the UK in particular. The UK over the past thirty years would be the working laboratory. The Mirrlees Review was published in two volumes: Dimensions of Tax Design (Mirrlees et al. 2010) bringing together expert evidence across a wide range of aspects of tax reform, and Tax by Design (Mirrlees et al. -
New Institutional Economics: a State-Of-The-Art Review for Economic Sociologists by Rinat Menyashev, Timur Natkhov, Leonid Polishchuk, and Georgiy Syunyaev 12
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies (Cologne) (Ed.) Periodical Part economic sociology_the european electronic newsletter, Volume 13, Number 1-3 economic sociology_the european electronic newsletter Provided in Cooperation with: Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies (MPIfG), Cologne Suggested Citation: Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies (Cologne) (Ed.) (2011) : economic sociology_the european electronic newsletter, Volume 13, Number 1-3, economic sociology_the european electronic newsletter, ISSN 1871-3351, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies (MPIfG), Cologne, Vol. 13, Iss. 1-3 This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/155978 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. -
Michael BEST CV
MICHAEL CARLOS BEST Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR) | [email protected]| personal.lse.ac.uk/bestm John A. & Cynthia Fry Gunn Building, 366 Galvez Street, Stanford, CA 94305, USA | +1 (415) 316 5006 October 2014 EMPLOYMENT 2014-2017 Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research, Stanford University Postdoctoral Fellow EDUCATION 2009-2014 London School of Economics PhD Economics 2011-2012 UC Berkeley Economics, Center for Equitable Growth Visiting PhD Student 2008-2009 London School of Economics MRes Economics (distinction) 2006-2008 University of Oxford MPhil Economics (distinction) 2003-2006 London School of Economics BSc Government & Economics PUBLICATIONS Production vs Revenue Efficiency With Limited Tax Capacity: Theory and Evidence From Pakistan (with Anne Brockmeyer, Henrik Kleven, Johannes Spinnewijn and Mazhar Waseem) September 2014. Forth- coming, Journal of Political Economy WORKING PAPERS Salary Misreporting and the Role of Firms in Workers’ Responses to Taxes: Evidence from Pakistan May 2014 Housing Market Responses to Transaction Taxes: Evidence from Notches and Stimulus in the UK (with Henrik Kleven) May 2014 Optimal Income Taxation with Career Effects of Work Effort (with Henrik Kleven) February 2013. Revise & Resubmit at the American Economic Review WORK IN PROGRESS Motivating Bureaucrats: Autonomy vs Performance Pay for Public Procurement in Pakistan (with Ori- ana Bandiera, Adnan Khan and Andrea Prat) The Challenge of Taxing Small Businesses in Mexico (with Miguel Almunia) Haste Makes Waste: -
The New Political Economy
The New Political Economy Timothy Besley London School of Economics November 8, 2004 1 Introduction It is a great honour to give this year’sKeynes lecture. I have chosen as my subject the New Political Economy, a body of research and thinking that has ‡ourished in the past …fteen years or so at the interface between economics and politics. At the margin the New Political Economy reverses the split that occurred between the disciplines of economics and political science at the end of the nineteenth century. The aim of the New Political Economy is to understand important issues that arise in the policy sphere.1 It is not, as is occasionally hinted, an e¤ort by economists to colonize political science. Rather, the main concern is to extend the competence of economists to analyze issues that require some facility with economic and political decision making. This lecture is not in any sense a survey of the …eld. It is a highly selective and personal view of the motivation behind the …eld and some of the key themes that link the literature. Thus, it represents a manifesto presented in the hope that somebody who encounters these ideas for the …rst time here might be tempted to delve further into the literature and even contribute to it. This paper is based on the Keynes lecture delivered at the British Academy on October 13th 2004. I am indebted to Pete Boetkke, Mary Morgan and Torsten Persson for helpful comments on an earlier draft of this lecture and Steve Coate for numerous illuminating discussions. -
Market Power and Regulation
THE PRIZE IN ECONOMIC SCIENCES 2014 POPULAR SCIENCE BACKGROUND Market power and regulation Jean Tirole is one of the most infuential economists of our time. He has made important theoretical research contributions in a number of areas, but most of all he has clarifed how to understand and regulate industries with a few powerful frms. Tirole is awarded this year’s prize for his analysis of market power and regulation. Regulation is difficult Which activities should be conducted as public services and which should be left to private frms is a question that is always relevant. Many governments have opened up public monopolies to private stakeholders. This has applied to industries such as railways, highways, water, post and telecom- munications – but also to the provision of schooling and healthcare. The experiences resulting from these privatizations have been mixed and it has often been more difcult than anticipated to get private frms to behave in the desired way. There are two main difculties. First, many markets are dominated by a few frms that all infuence prices, volumes and quality. Traditional economic theory does not deal with this case, known as an oligopoly, instead it presupposes a single monopoly or what is known as perfect competition. The second difculty is that the regulatory authority lacks information about the frms’ costs and the quality of the goods and services they deliver. This lack of knowledge often provides regulated frms with a natural advantage. Before Tirole In the 1980s, before Tirole published his frst work, research into regulation was relatively sparse, mostly dealing with how the government can intervene and control pricing in the two extremes of monopoly and perfect competition. -
Fiscal Equalization Schemes and Subcentral Government Borrowing
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Barrios Cobos, Salvador; Martínez-López, Diego Working Paper Fiscal equalization schemes and subcentral government borrowing ADBI Working Paper, No. 595 Provided in Cooperation with: Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), Tokyo Suggested Citation: Barrios Cobos, Salvador; Martínez-López, Diego (2016) : Fiscal equalization schemes and subcentral government borrowing, ADBI Working Paper, No. 595, Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), Tokyo This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/161471 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo/ www.econstor.eu ADBI Working Paper Series FISCAL EQUALIZATION SCHEMES AND SUBCENTRAL GOVERNMENT BORROWING Salvador Barrios and Diego Martínez–López No. -
Programme Booklet
Programme 6th Lindau Meeting on Economic Sciences 23 – 26 August 2017 MEETING APP TABLE OF CONTENTS WANT TO STAY UP TO DATE? Download the Lindau Nobel Laureate Meetings App. Available in Android and iTunes app stores. (“Lindau Nobel Laureate Meetings”) Scientific Programme page 8 About the Meetings page 34 • Up-to-date programme info & details • Session abstracts Supporters page 38 • Ask questions during panel discussions • Participate in polls and surveys Maps page 46 • Interactive maps • Connect to other participants Good to Know page 54 • Social media integration Download the app (Lindau Nobel Laureate Meetings) in Android, iTunes or Windows Phone app stores. Within the app, use the passphrase “marketpower” to download the guide for the 6th Lindau Meeting on Economic Sciences. 2 3 WELCOME WELCOME The 6th Lindau Meeting on Economic Sciences takes place during a climate With every meeting, we aim to further increase the opportunities of dia- of intense debate in society and science. Radical ideologies and re-emerging logue between laureates and young economists. This year, we are expand- separatist or nationalist sentiments add to a growing sense of insecurity ing formats of exchange into afternoon seminars: Selected economists will and isolation. Recent political decisions and their consequences are signs of have the opportunity to present their work to a group of laureates. Com- a global volatility. Further uncertainty is created by the trend of post-factual munication during the week will be improved by a meeting app that allows statements and science denial in public discourse. James J. Heckman gives up-to-date programme information. a possible response to this dilemma in a video on the future of economics: The Lindau Science Trail, a public exhibition project integrating science into “Empirical economics that’s grounded in solid data is a vaccine against this the Lindau city space, is a new addition to our outreach efforts as part of our post-truth world.” “Mission Education”. -
Kleptocracy and Tax Evasion Under Resource Abundance
Received: 20 June 2018 | Revised: 10 January 2019 | Accepted: 24 January 2019 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12130 ORIGINAL ARTICLE Kleptocracy and tax evasion under resource abundance Hamid Mohtadi1,2 | Michael L. Ross3 | Uchechukwu Jarrett4 | Stefan Ruediger5 1University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Wisconsin Abstract 2University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Evidence has shown that petroleum wealth is associated Minnesota with less transparency and at the same time less tax collec- 3 UCLA, Los Angeles, California tion. In this paper, we find that the two issues are linked 4 University of Nebraska, Lincoln, Nebraska through the citizens’ tax evasion behavior. We develop a 5 Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona model to explain this link and conduct extensive empirical Correspondence tests of its validity. The explanation is that officials tradeoff Hamid Mohtadi, University of Wisconsin, greater transparency to improve tax compliance against less Milwaukee, WI. transparency to increase gains from corruption. Oil wind- Email: [email protected] falls diminish tax revenue needs, causing officials to opti- Funding information mize on less transparency. Seeing this, citizens optimize on Economic Research Forum a lower level of tax compliance. At equilibrium, both de- cline with a positive oil shock. We also study the alternative channel in which tax compliance responds to enforcement. Transparency is found to be the more robust channel. Ignoring citizens’ strategic behavior would lead to predict- ing suboptimal investment in state capacity for tax enforce- ment. Using giant oil discoveries data combined with oil price data, we develop a dynamic composite instrument and estimate the model with a dynamic panel system general- ized method of moments.