Rohini Pande
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5TH EUROSTAT COLLOQUIUM ON MODERN TOOLS FOR BUSINESS CYCLE ANALYSIS Jointly organised by EUROSTAT and European University Institute (Florence, Italy) Luxembourg, 29th September – 1st October 2008 Monetary Policies and Low-Frequency Manifestations of the Quantity Theory Thomas Sargent Paolo Surico Monetary Policies and Low-Frequency Manifestations of the Quantity Theory∗ Thomas J. Sargent† Paolo Surico‡ September 2008 Abstract To detect the quantity theory of money, we follow Lucas (1980) by looking at scatter plots of filtered time series of inflation and money growth rates and interest rates and money growth rates. Like Whiteman (1984), we relate those scatter plots to sums of two-sided distributed lag coefficients constructed from fixed-coefficient and time-varying VARs for U.S. data from 1900-2005. We interpret outcomes in terms of population values of those sums of coefficients implied by two DSGE models. The DSGE models make the sums of weights depend on the monetary policy rule via cross-equation restrictions of a type that Lucas (1972) and Sargent (1971) emphasized in the context of testing the natural unemployment rate hypothesis. When the U.S. data are extended beyond Lucas’s 1955-1975 period, the patterns revealed by scatter plots mutate in ways that we want to attribute to prevailing monetary policy rules. JEL classification: E4, E5, N1 Key words: quantity theory, policy regimes, time-varying VAR ∗We wish to thank Tim Besley, Efrem Castelnuovo, Robert E. Lucas, Jr., Haroon Mumtaz, and Francesco Zanetti for useful discussions. Sargent thanks the Bank of England for providing research support when he was a Houblon-Norman Fellow. -
Tax Policy Reform: the Role of Empirical Evidence
TAX POLICY REFORM: THE ROLE OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE Richard Blundell University College London and Institute for Fiscal Studies Abstract To understand the role of evidence in tax policy design, this paper organizes the empirical analysis of reform under five loosely related headings: (i) key margins of adjustment, (ii) measurement of effective tax rates, (iii) the importance of information and complexity, (iv) evidence on the size of responses, and (v) implications from theory for tax design. The context for the discussion is the recently published Mirrlees Review of tax reform. Although the Review focused on all aspects of tax reform, this paper highlights the taxation of earnings. It also comments on earnings taxation in the context of VAT base-broadening reforms and the taxation of capital (JEL: H2, H3). 1. Introduction How should evidence be used in the study of tax design? What is the appropriate balance between theory and empirics? These questions lay at the heart of the Mirrlees Review. Motivated by the aim to develop a broad set of principles for what makes a good tax system, the Review was an attempt to base tax reform on the large body of economic theory and empirical evidence. It was inspired by the Meade Report (1978) with the idea to review tax design from first principles for modern open economies in general and for the UK in particular. The UK over the past thirty years would be the working laboratory. The Mirrlees Review was published in two volumes: Dimensions of Tax Design (Mirrlees et al. 2010) bringing together expert evidence across a wide range of aspects of tax reform, and Tax by Design (Mirrlees et al. -
New Institutional Economics: a State-Of-The-Art Review for Economic Sociologists by Rinat Menyashev, Timur Natkhov, Leonid Polishchuk, and Georgiy Syunyaev 12
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies (Cologne) (Ed.) Periodical Part economic sociology_the european electronic newsletter, Volume 13, Number 1-3 economic sociology_the european electronic newsletter Provided in Cooperation with: Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies (MPIfG), Cologne Suggested Citation: Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies (Cologne) (Ed.) (2011) : economic sociology_the european electronic newsletter, Volume 13, Number 1-3, economic sociology_the european electronic newsletter, ISSN 1871-3351, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies (MPIfG), Cologne, Vol. 13, Iss. 1-3 This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/155978 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. -
Michael BEST CV
MICHAEL CARLOS BEST Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR) | [email protected]| personal.lse.ac.uk/bestm John A. & Cynthia Fry Gunn Building, 366 Galvez Street, Stanford, CA 94305, USA | +1 (415) 316 5006 October 2014 EMPLOYMENT 2014-2017 Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research, Stanford University Postdoctoral Fellow EDUCATION 2009-2014 London School of Economics PhD Economics 2011-2012 UC Berkeley Economics, Center for Equitable Growth Visiting PhD Student 2008-2009 London School of Economics MRes Economics (distinction) 2006-2008 University of Oxford MPhil Economics (distinction) 2003-2006 London School of Economics BSc Government & Economics PUBLICATIONS Production vs Revenue Efficiency With Limited Tax Capacity: Theory and Evidence From Pakistan (with Anne Brockmeyer, Henrik Kleven, Johannes Spinnewijn and Mazhar Waseem) September 2014. Forth- coming, Journal of Political Economy WORKING PAPERS Salary Misreporting and the Role of Firms in Workers’ Responses to Taxes: Evidence from Pakistan May 2014 Housing Market Responses to Transaction Taxes: Evidence from Notches and Stimulus in the UK (with Henrik Kleven) May 2014 Optimal Income Taxation with Career Effects of Work Effort (with Henrik Kleven) February 2013. Revise & Resubmit at the American Economic Review WORK IN PROGRESS Motivating Bureaucrats: Autonomy vs Performance Pay for Public Procurement in Pakistan (with Ori- ana Bandiera, Adnan Khan and Andrea Prat) The Challenge of Taxing Small Businesses in Mexico (with Miguel Almunia) Haste Makes Waste: -
The New Political Economy
The New Political Economy Timothy Besley London School of Economics November 8, 2004 1 Introduction It is a great honour to give this year’sKeynes lecture. I have chosen as my subject the New Political Economy, a body of research and thinking that has ‡ourished in the past …fteen years or so at the interface between economics and politics. At the margin the New Political Economy reverses the split that occurred between the disciplines of economics and political science at the end of the nineteenth century. The aim of the New Political Economy is to understand important issues that arise in the policy sphere.1 It is not, as is occasionally hinted, an e¤ort by economists to colonize political science. Rather, the main concern is to extend the competence of economists to analyze issues that require some facility with economic and political decision making. This lecture is not in any sense a survey of the …eld. It is a highly selective and personal view of the motivation behind the …eld and some of the key themes that link the literature. Thus, it represents a manifesto presented in the hope that somebody who encounters these ideas for the …rst time here might be tempted to delve further into the literature and even contribute to it. This paper is based on the Keynes lecture delivered at the British Academy on October 13th 2004. I am indebted to Pete Boetkke, Mary Morgan and Torsten Persson for helpful comments on an earlier draft of this lecture and Steve Coate for numerous illuminating discussions. -
Peter J. Boettke
PETER J. BOETTKE BB&T Professor for the Study of Capitalism, Mercatus Center at George Mason University, & University Professor of Economics and Philosophy Department of Economics, MSN 3G4 George Mason University Fairfax, VA 22030 Tel: 703-993-1149 Fax: 703-993-1133 Web: http://www.peter-boettke.com http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=182652 http://www.coordinationproblem.org PERSONAL Date of birth: January 3, 1960 Nationality: United States EDUCATION Ph.D. in Economics, George Mason University, January, 1989 M.A. in Economics, George Mason University, January, 1987 B.A. in Economics, Grove City College, May, 1983 TITLE OF DOCTORAL THESIS: The Political Economy of Soviet Socialism, 1918-1928 PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE Academic Positions 1987 –88 Visiting Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, George Mason University 1988 –90 Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, School of Business Administration, Oakland University, Rochester, MI 48309 1990 –97 Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, New York University, New York, NY 10003 1997 –98 Associate Professor, Department of Economics and Finance, School of Business, Manhattan College, Riverdale, NY 10471 1998 – 2003 Associate Professor, Department of Economics, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA 22030 (tenured Fall 2000) 2003 –07 Professor, Department of Economics, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA 22030 2007 – University Professor, George Mason University 2011 – Affiliate Faculty, Department of Philosophy, George Mason University FIELDS OF INTEREST -
Escaping the Climate Trap? Values, Technologies, and Politics∗
Escaping the Climate Trap? Values, Technologies, and Politics Tim Besleyyand Torsten Perssonz November 2020 Abstract It is widely acknowledged that reducing the emissions of green- house gases is almost impossible without radical changes in consump- tion and production patterns. This paper examines the interdependent roles of changing environmental values, changing technologies, and the politics of environmental policy, in creating sustainable societal change. Complementarities that emerge naturally in our framework may generate a “climate trap,”where society does not transit towards lifestyles and technologies that are more friendly to the environment. We discuss a variety of forces that make the climate trap more or less avoidable, including lobbying by firms, private politics, motivated scientists, and (endogenous) subsidies to green innovation. We are grateful for perceptive comments by Philippe Aghion, David Baron, Xavier Jaravel, Bård Harstad, Elhanan Helpman, Gilat Levy, Linus Mattauch, and Jean Tirole, as well as participants in a Tsinghua University seminar, and LSE and Hong Kong University webinars. We also thank Azhar Hussain for research assistance. Financial support from the ERC and the Swedish Research Council is gratefully acknowledged. yLSE, [email protected]. zIIES, Stockholm University, [email protected] 1 1 Introduction What will it take to bring about the fourth industrial revolution that may be needed to save the planet? Such a revolution would require major structural changes in production as well as consumption patterns. Firms would have to invest on a large scale in technologies that generate lower greenhouse gas emissions, and households would have to consume goods that produce lower emissions. Already these observations suggest that the required transformation can be reinforced by a key complementarity, akin to the one associated with so- called platform technologies (Rochet and Tirole 2003). -
The New Development Economics: We Shall Experiment, but How Shall We Learn?
Faculty Research Working Papers Series The New Development Economics: We Shall Experiment, but How Shall We Learn? Dani Rodrik John F. Kennedy School of Government - Harvard University October 2008 RWP08-055 The views expressed in the HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of the John F. Kennedy School of Government or of Harvard University. Faculty Research Working Papers have not undergone formal review and approval. Such papers are included in this series to elicit feedback and to encourage debate on important public policy challenges. Copyright belongs to the author(s). Papers may be downloaded for personal use only. THE NEW DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS: WE SHALL EXPERIMENT, BUT HOW SHALL WE LEARN?* Dani Rodrik John F. Kennedy School of Government Harvard University Revised Draft July 2008 ABSTRACT Development economics is split between macro-development economists—who focus on economic growth, international trade, and fiscal/macro policies—and micro-development economists—who study microfinance, education, health, and other social programs. Recently there has been substantial convergence in the policy mindset exhibited by micro evaluation enthusiasts, on the one hand, and growth diagnosticians, on the other. At the same time, the randomized evaluation revolution has led to an accentuation of the methodological divergence between the two camps. Overcoming the split requires changes on both sides. Macro- development economists need to recognize the distinct advantages of the experimental approach and adopt the policy mindset of the randomized evaluation enthusiasts. Micro-development economists, for their part, have to recognize that the utility of randomized evaluations is restricted by the narrow and limited scope of their application. -
Lectures on Political Competition and Welfare
GV 507: Lectures on Political Competition and Welfare Professor Timothy Besley∗ Michaelmas Term 1999 Contents 1 TheEconomicEnvironment........................ 3 2 RepresentativeDemocracy......................... 5 2.1PolicyChoice............................. 5 2.2Voting................................. 6 2.3Campaigning............................. 7 2.4Entry................................. 7 2.5 Equilibrium .............................. 8 2.6TheDownsianModel......................... 9 2.7TheCitizen-CandidateModel.................... 10 2.8Assessment.............................. 16 3 Normative Analysis of Political Equilibria . ............. 16 3.1 Efficiency............................... 20 3.2DistributionalIssues......................... 23 4 DynamicAnalysis.............................. 28 4.1Anapproachtopolitico-economicequilibrium........... 28 4.2PolicyMakingintheDynamicModel................ 33 4.2.1 FailuretoCommittoFutureCompensation........ 33 4.2.2 StrategicPolicyMaking................... 35 4.2.3 Aggregate Capital Accumulation and Political Equilibrium 36 ∗Disclaimer: These notes are not guaranteed to be error free. Please bring any problems that you notice to the attention of the lecturer. 4.3Assessment.............................. 39 5 AppendixA:Proofs............................. 44 2 1. The Economic Environment There are N citizens who have to make a social decision about a set policies de- noted by x ,where denotes the set of feasible policies. Citizen’s preferences over policy∈ areA denotedAV i (x, j)(wherei =1, ..., -
The Origins of State Capacity: Property Rights, Taxation, and Politics
The Origins of State Capacity: Property Rights, Taxation, and Politics By TIMOTHY BESLEY AND TORSTEN PERSSON Economists generally assume that the state has sufcient institutional capac- ity to support markets and levy taxes, assumptions which cannot be taken for granted in many states, neither historcally nor in today's developing world. Our paper develops a framework where “policy choices” in market regula- tion and taxation are constrained by past investments in the legal and scal capacity of the state. We study the economic and political determinants of such investments and nd that legal and scal capacity are typically comple- ments. Our theoretical results show that, among other things, common interest public goods, such as ghting external wars, as well as political stability and inclusive political institutions, are conducive to building state capacity of both forms. Our preliminary empirical results uncover a number of correlations in cross-country data which are consistent with the theory. JEL: D70, E60,H10,K40,O10 Keywords: state capacity, development, property rights Historians see the evolution of state capacity – especially the capacity to raise taxes – as a central fact to be explained, whereas economists typically assume that such institutional capacity exists. An intriguing argument by political historians (see, e.g., Charles Tilly, 1990) holds that state capacity evolved historically over centuries in response to the exigencies of war. War placed a premium on sources of taxation and created incentives for governments to invest in revenue- raising institutions.1 More recent historical links between the introduction/development of modern income tax sys- tems and the onset or risk of war also provides some interesting clues. -
Rohini Pande
ROHINI PANDE 27 Hillhouse Avenue 203.432.3637(w) PO Box 208269 [email protected] New Haven, CT 06520-8269 https://campuspress.yale.edu/rpande EDUCATION 1999 Ph.D., Economics, London School of Economics 1995 M.Sc. in Economics, London School of Economics (Distinction) 1994 MA in Philosophy, Politics and Economics, Oxford University 1992 BA (Hons.) in Economics, St. Stephens College, Delhi University PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE ACADEMIC POSITIONS 2019 – Henry J. Heinz II Professor of Economics, Yale University 2018 – 2019 Rafik Hariri Professor of International Political Economy, Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard University 2006 – 2018 Mohammed Kamal Professor of Public Policy, Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard University 2005 – 2006 Associate Professor of Economics, Yale University 2003 – 2005 Assistant Professor of Economics, Yale University 1999 – 2003 Assistant Professor of Economics, Columbia University VISITING POSITIONS April 2018 Ta-Chung Liu Distinguished Visitor at Becker Friedman Institute, UChicago Spring 2017 Visiting Professor of Economics, University of Pompeu Fabra and Stanford Fall 2010 Visiting Professor of Economics, London School of Economics Spring 2006 Visiting Associate Professor of Economics, University of California, Berkeley Fall 2005 Visiting Associate Professor of Economics, Columbia University 2002 – 2003 Visiting Assistant Professor of Economics, MIT CURRENT PROFESSIONAL ACTIVITIES AND SERVICES 2019 – Director, Economic Growth Center Yale University 2019 – Co-editor, American Economic Review: Insights 2014 – IZA -
Rohini Pande
ROHINI PANDE R 340 Harvard Kennedy School 617.384.5267 (w) 79 John F. Kennedy Street [email protected] Cambridge, MA 02138 http://scholar.harvard.edu/rpande P.O. Box 208269 EDUCATION 1999 Ph.D., Economics, London School of Economics 1995 M.Sc. in Economics, London School of Economics (Distinction) 1994 MA in Philosophy, Politics and Economics, Oxford University 1992 BA (Hons.) in Economics, St. Stephens College, Delhi University PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE ACADEMIC POSITIONS 2018 – present Rafik Hariri Professor of International Political Economy, Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard University 2006 – 2017 Mohammed Kamal Professor of Public Policy, Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard University 2005 – 2006 Associate Professor of Economics, Yale University 2003 – 2005 Assistant Professor of Economics, Yale University 1999 – 2003 Assistant Professor of Economics, Columbia University VISITING POSITIONS April 2018 Ta-Chung Liu Distinguished Visitor at Becker Friedman Institute, UChicago Spring 2017 Visiting Professor of Economics, University of Pompeu Fabra and Stanford Fall 2010 Visiting Professor of Economics, London School of Economics 2005 – 2006 Visiting Associate Professor of Economics, University of California, Berkeley and Columbia University 2002 – 2003 Visiting Assistant Professor of Economics, MIT NON-ACADEMIC POSITIONS 2012 – present Area Chair for International Development, Harvard Kennedy School 2011 – present Founder and Co-Director, Evidence for Policy Design (EPoD), Harvard Kennedy School 2008 – present Board Member, Bureau for