The Poorer Nations : a Possible History of the Global South / Vijay Prashad
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Angela Merkel Energy Security Spotlight on Africa
40 Years of Summits Inside: a special supplement focusing on four decades of debate and decision-making GERMANY: THE SCHLOSS ELMAU SUMMIT AN AUTHORISED PUBLICATION OF THE 2015 G7 SUMMIT Angela Merkel Germany’s Chancellor outlines the summit agenda Energy security Spotlight on Africa Creating a sustainable future A focus on the continent’s prospects and countering climate change for growth and development Sanofi_placed.indd 2 23/04/2015 11:42 Sanofi_placed.indd 3 23/04/2015 11:42 THE ANSWER IS BLOWING IN THE WIND Security of supply. Air pollution. Energy poverty. Unemployment. Climate change. Volatile fossil fuel prices. The world is full of problems. When shaping the society of tomorrow, we need to deal with all these problems at the same time. The good news is that to all these problems, there’s one solution. Wind energy is clean. It’s scalable. And most importantly, it’s competitive. Today, the cost of wind energy is lower than nuclear. Lower than gas. In some cases even lower than coal. And that’s before we add the costs of pollution. In short, the answer to many of our most pressing questions is literally blowing in the wind. €/MWh 125 100 75 50 25 0 Gas Coal Solar Nuclear Wind onshore Wind Source: ECOfys/European Commission solutionwind.com #solutionwind Clean. Competitive. Ready. European Wind Energy Association_placed.indd 1 13/05/2015 12:19 Contents G7 Germany: The Schloss Elmau Summit | June 2015 Introductions and leaders’ perspectives The G7 in numbers 10 40 years of G7 meetings — commitment for 38 A look at how the G7 members -
Building Better Global Economic Brics
Economics Global Economics Research from the GS Financial WorkbenchSM at https://www.gs.com Paper No: 66 Building Better Global Economic BRICs n In 2001 and 2002, real GDP growth in large emerging market economies will exceed that of the G7. n At end-2000, GDP in US$ on a PPP basis in Brazil, Russia, India and China (BRIC) was about 23.3% of world GDP. On a current GDP basis, BRIC share of world GDP is 8%. n Using current GDP, China’s GDP is bigger than that of Italy. n Over the next 10 years, the weight of the BRICs and especially China in world GDP will grow, raising important issues about the global economic impact of fiscal and monetary policy in the BRICs. n In line with these prospects, world policymaking forums should be re-organised and in particular, the G7 should be adjusted to incorporate BRIC representatives. Many thanks to David Blake, Paulo Leme, Binit Jim O’Neill Patel, Stephen Potter, David Walton and others in the Economics Department for their helpful 30th November 2001 suggestions. Important disclosures appear at the end of this document. Goldman Sachs Economic Research Group In London Jim O’Neill, M.D. & Head of Global Economic Research +44(0)20 7774 1160 Gavyn Davies, M.D. & Chief International Economist David Walton, M.D. & Chief European Economist Andrew Bevan, M.D. & Director of International Bond Economic Research Erik Nielsen, Director of New European Markets Economic Research Stephen Potter, E.D. & Senior Global Economist Al Breach, E.D & International Economist Linda Britten, E.D. -
Oil, Foreign Exchange Swaps and Interest Rates in the GCC Countries Nawaf Almaskati1
Oil, foreign exchange swaps and interest rates in the GCC countries Nawaf Almaskati1 Abstract We examine the relationship between oil prices, FX swaps and local interbank offered rates in the six GCC countries. We also investigate the potential hedging and diversification benefits from adding oil positions to portfolios containing GCC FX swaps or interest rates positions. Our findings confirm that oil predicts, and in some cases cause, movements in the various GCC FX swaps and interbank offered rates. We also find that the Saudi FX swap market has the highest volatility spillover from the oil market compared to other markets in the region. Furthermore, our analysis shows a significant change in liquidity conditions in the GCC FX swap markets following a sudden shift in oil prices. Lastly, we document the presence of significant risk reduction benefits from adding oil exposure to portfolios of GCC FX swaps or interest rates with risk going down by at least half in the case of the GCC FX swaps. Key Words: GCC markets; Oil; FX swaps; Hedging; Interest rates; Volatility spillover. JEL classification: G11; G12; G15 1 University of Waikato 1 1. Introduction Oil plays a major role in the economies of the members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). Oil and oil-related exports account for more than two thirds of the GCC total exports and are considered as the main sources of USD liquidity in the region. On top of that, income from oil represents the most important source of government funding and is a main driver of major projects and development initiatives. -
A Comparative History of Oil and Gas Markets and Prices: Is 2020 Just an Extreme Cyclical Event Or an Acceleration of the Energy Transition?
April 2020 A Comparative History of Oil and Gas Markets and Prices: is 2020 just an extreme cyclical event or an acceleration of the energy transition? Introduction Natural gas markets have gone through an unprecedented transformation. Demand growth for this relatively clean, plentiful, versatile and now relatively cheap fuel has been increasing faster than for other fossil fuels.1 Historically a `poor relation’ of oil, gas is now taking centre stage. New markets, pricing mechanisms and benchmarks are being developed, and it is only natural to be curious about the direction these developments are taking. The oil industry has had a particularly rich and well recorded history, making it potentially useful for comparison. However, oil and gas are very different fuels and compete in different markets. Their paths of evolution will very much depend on what happens in the markets for energy sources with which they compete. Their history is rich with dominant companies, government intervention and cycles of boom and bust. A common denominator of virtually all energy industries is a tendency towards natural monopoly because they have characteristics that make such monopolies common. 2 Energy projects tend to require multibillion – often tens of billions of - investments with long gestation periods, with assets that can only be used for very specific purposes and usually, for very long-time periods. Natural monopolies are generally resolved either by new entrants breaking their integrated market structures or by government regulation. Historically, both have occurred in oil and gas markets.3 As we shall show, new entrants into the oil market in the 1960s led to increased supply at lower prices, and higher royalties, resulting in the collapse of control by the major oil companies. -
Congressional Record United States Th of America PROCEEDINGS and DEBATES of the 105 CONGRESS, FIRST SESSION
E PL UR UM IB N U U S Congressional Record United States th of America PROCEEDINGS AND DEBATES OF THE 105 CONGRESS, FIRST SESSION Vol. 143 WASHINGTON, TUESDAY, JANUARY 28, 1997 No. 8 House of Representatives The House was not in session today. Its next meeting will be held on Tuesday, February 4, 1997, at 12:30 p.m. Senate TUESDAY, JANUARY 28, 1997 The Senate met at 10 a.m., and was ness until 12:30, with Senators to speak nations this week. The majority leader called to order by the President pro for up to 5 minutes each, with the fol- thanks all Members in advance for tempore [Mr. THURMOND]. lowing exceptions: Senator LOTT or his their cooperation. designee 30 minutes; Senator DASCHLE Mr. President, as we go into morning PRAYER or his designee, 60 minutes. I ask unan- business, I yield to the Senator from The Chaplain, Dr. Lloyd John imous consent that the time previously Iowa, Senator GRASSLEY. Ogilvie, offered the following prayer: allocated to Senator COLLINS be viti- f ated and that Senator BOND have 20 Dear Father, we need You more than MORNING BUSINESS anything You can give us. In Your minutes under his control during the presence we feel Your grace. We are as- morning business period. The PRESIDENT pro tempore. Under sured that we are loved and forgiven. The PRESIDENT pro tempore. With- the previous order, there will now be a You replenish our diminished strength out objection, it is so ordered. period for the transaction of morning Mr. BURNS. At 12:30 the Senate will with a fresh flow of energy and resil- business for not to exceed beyond the recess until 2:15 for the weekly policy iency. -
July 16-31, 1973
RICHARD NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY DOCUMENT WITHDRAWAL RECORD DOCUMENT DOCUMENT SUBJECT/TITLE OR CORRESPONDENTS DATE RESTRICTION NUMBER TYPE 1 Manifest Helicopter Passenger Manifest – 7/22/1973 A Appendix “A” 2 Manifest Helicopter Passenger Manifest – 7/27/1973 A Appendix “A” 3 Manifest Helicopter Passenger Manifest – 7/29/1973 A Appendix “A” COLLECTION TITLE BOX NUMBER WHCF: SMOF: Office of Presidential Papers and Archives RC-13 FOLDER TITLE President Richard Nixon’s Daily Diary July 16, 1973 – July 31, 1973 PRMPA RESTRICTION CODES: A. Release would violate a Federal statute or Agency Policy. E. Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or B. National security classified information. financial information. C. Pending or approved claim that release would violate an individual’s F. Release would disclose investigatory information compiled for law rights. enforcement purposes. D. Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of privacy G. Withdrawn and return private and personal material. or a libel of a living person. H. Withdrawn and returned non-historical material. DEED OF GIFT RESTRICTION CODES: D-DOG Personal privacy under deed of gift -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- NATIONAL ARCHIVES AND RECORDS ADMINISTRATION *U.S. GPO; 1989-235-084/00024 NA 14021 (4-85) _.- _.--. --------. THE: WHITE HOUSE PRESIDENT RICHARD NIXON'S DAILY DIARY (See Travel Record for Trnel AdiYity) -P PLAcE DAY BEGAN DATE (No., bay, Yr.) JULY 16. 1973 NAVAL MEDICAL CENTER TlVI! DAY BETHESDA, MARYLAND 8:00 a.m. MONDAY PHONE TIME P=Pl.ctd R~Rcctiftcl ACTlVJTY la Oat 10 LD The President met with: 8:00 8:06 Robert J. Dunn, Chief Hospital Corpsman (HMC) 8:05 8:30 Susan A. -
3. IMF Article IV Consultations; 4. OECD Economic Surveys; 5
APENDICES 1. Additional plots and tables; 2. Business Cycle Chronologies; 3. IMF Article IV Consultations; 4. OECD Economic Surveys; 5. G20, G7 Summit Issues; 6. Compendium of Key Dates and Events; 7. Forecasts: Definitions and Sources 1 APPENDIX – ADDITIONAL PLOTS 2 Observed real GDP Growth Rates: Japan, U.S., and Germany Since 1960 (Quarterly) Real GDP Growth 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% 1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Germany Japan United States Annualized real GDP growth rates from FRED and supplemented with IMF IFS data. 3 Observed Inflation Rates: Japan, U.S., and Germany Since 1960 (Quarterly) Inflation rates 24% 20% 16% 12% 8% 4% 0% -4% 1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Germany Japan United States Annualized CPI inflation rates. Sources same as previous figure. 4 Central Bank Policy Rates 20% 16% 12% 8% 4% 0% -4% 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Call rate - Japan Fedfunds - USA MRO - Eurozone In percent. Data from BIS. 5 Financial and Trade Globalization Financial Globalization 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 JPN USA DEU Trade Globalization 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 JPN USA DEU Data from KOF, see main text for link. -
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
E D I T I O N 2016 World Oil Outlook Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries 2016 World Oil Outlook Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries OPEC is a permanent, intergovernmental organization, established in Baghdad, Iraq, on 10–14 September 1960. The Organization comprises 14 Members: Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Gabon, Indonesia, the Islamic Republic of Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Venezuela. The Organization has its headquarters in Vienna, Austria. © OPEC Secretariat, October 2016 Helferstorferstrasse 17 A-1010 Vienna, Austria www.opec.org ISBN 978-3-9503936-2-0 The data, analysis and any other information (‘Content’) contained in this publica- tion is for informational purposes only and is not intended as a substitute for advice from your business, finance, investment consultant or other professional. Whilst reasonable efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the Content of this publication, the OPEC Secretariat makes no warranties or representations as to its accuracy, currency or comprehensiveness and assumes no liability or responsibility for any error or omission and/or for any loss arising in connection with or attributable to any action or decision taken as a result of using or relying on the Content of this publication. This publication may contain references to material(s) from third par- ties whose copyright must be acknowledged by obtaining necessary authorization from the copyright owner(s). The OPEC Secretariat will not be liable or responsible for any unauthorized use of third party material(s). The views expressed in this pub- lication are those of the OPEC Secretariat and do not necessarily reflect the views of individual OPEC Member Countries. -
The Prospects for Russian Oil and Gas
Fueling the Future: The Prospects for Russian Oil and Gas By Fiona Hill and Florence Fee1 This article is published in Demokratizatsiya, Volume 10, Number 4, Fall 2002, pp. 462-487 http://www.demokratizatsiya.org Summary In February 2002, Russia briefly overtook Saudi Arabia to become the world’s largest oil producer. With its crude output well in excess of stagnant domestic demand, and ambitious oil industry plans to increase exports, Russia seemed poised to expand into European and other energy markets, potentially displacing Middle East oil suppliers. Russia, however, can not become a long-term replacement for Saudi Arabia or the members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in global oil markets. It simply does not have the oil reserves or the production capacity. Russia’s future is in gas rather than oil. It is a world class gas producer, with gas fields stretching from Western to Eastern Siberia and particular dominance in Central Asia. Russia is already the primary gas supplier to Europe, and in the next two decades it will likely capture important gas markets in Northeast Asia and South Asia. Russian energy companies will pursue the penetration of these markets on their own with the strong backing of the State. There will be few major prospects for foreign investment in Russian oil and gas, especially for U.S. and other international companies seeking an equity stake in Russian energy reserves. Background Following the terrorist attacks against the United States on September 11, 2001, growing tensions in American relations with Middle East states coincided with OPEC’s efforts to impose production cuts to shore-up petroleum prices. -
Congressional Record United States Th of America PROCEEDINGS and DEBATES of the 106 CONGRESS, FIRST SESSION
E PL UR UM IB N U U S Congressional Record United States th of America PROCEEDINGS AND DEBATES OF THE 106 CONGRESS, FIRST SESSION Vol. 145 WASHINGTON, TUESDAY, MAY 4, 1999 No. 63 House of Representatives The House met at 12:30 p.m. tainted water supply cleaned up, the into effect, and they still will not f guilty must be found, and they must be admit, is that MTBE is a powerful and punished. persistent water pollutant and, from MORNING HOUR DEBATES Now this perhaps sounds like a Holly- leaks and spills, has made its way into The SPEAKER. Pursuant to the wood plot, a Hollywood movie, but it is groundwater of nearly every State in order of the House of January 19, 1999, not, and for many communities across this Nation; the problem, of course, the Chair will now recognize Members this Nation, they are facing this situa- being worse in California, the har- from lists submitted by the majority tion. The guilty party is none other binger of what will surely come to pass and minority leaders for morning hour than the supposed protector, the Envi- in much of the rest of this country. It debates. The Chair will alternate rec- ronmental Protection Agency. takes only a small amount of MTBE to ognition between the parties, with each Tom Randall, a managing editor of make water undrinkable. It spreads party limited to 30 minutes, and each the Environmental News, recently rapidly in both groundwater and res- Member, except the majority leader, brought some articles to my attention. -
The Federal Reserve Engages the World (1970–2000): an Insider’S Narrative of the Transition to Managed Floating and Financial Turbulence
Working Paper Series WP 14-5 AUGUST 2014 The Federal Reserve Engages the World (1970–2000): An Insider’s Narrative of the Transition to Managed Floating and Financial Turbulence Edwin M. Truman Abstract This paper traces the evolution of the Federal Reserve and its engagement with the global economy over the last three decades of the 20th century: 1970 to 2000. The paper examines the Federal Reserve’s role in international economic and financial policy and analysis covering four areas: the emergence and taming of the great inflation, developments in US external accounts, foreign exchange analysis and activities, and external financial crises. It concludes that during this period the US central bank emerged to become the closest the world has to a global central bank. JEL Codes: F3, F31, F32, F33, F34, E4, E42, F5, F52, F53 Keywords: Federal Reserve, Federal Open Market Committee, inflation, macroeconomic policies, monetary policy, external balance, exchange rates, exchange market intervention, financial crises, third world debt crises, Mexican crisis, Asian financial crises Edwin M. Truman, senior fellow since 2001, served as assistant secretary of the US Treasury for International Affairs from December 1998 to January 2001, and returned as counselor to the secretary from March–May 2009. He directed the Division of International Finance of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System from 1977 to 1998. He is the author, coauthor, or editor of Sovereign Wealth Funds: Threat or Salvation? (2010), Reforming the IMF for the 21st Century (2006), A Strategy for IMF Reform (2006), Chasing Dirty Money: The Fight Against Money Laundering (2004), and Inflation Targeting in the World Economy (2003). -
Baker Hughes, a GE Company
Bancalari Ottavio +39 392 1816630 [email protected] MINERVA Loiacono Stefano Investment Management +39 331 5854464 [email protected] Society Ricciardi Giacomo +39 327 9751195 [email protected] Segreto Luigi Gianluca +39 342 8003015 [email protected] Zingrone Matteo +39 329 5675554 [email protected] Milan, 1st December 2018 Baker Hughes, a GE company Equity Research Baker Hughes, a GE company (BHGE) NYSE – Currency in USD Key Points: Price Target: $ 29.47 - $32.20 Business. The Oil and Gas industry has always been extremely volatile especially in the last few weeks. When valuating cash flows related to these companies, it must be considered that revenues and main financial items are Key Statistics: influenced by these fluctuations. As a consequence, we also Service and oil decided to include in the Investment Risk section some of the Sector company most relevant risks that could be faced when investing in Industry Oil and Gas companies in this sector in general. Full Time Employees 64.000 Valuation. Our analysis is mainly concentrated on the FCFO Revenue 17,259 Bn valuation model. We decided to implement a two-stage model Market Cap 23,62 Bn as the company is a mature one. Firstly, we computed the Shares out. 1,129 Bn fundamental components of the cost of equity (including specific country risk premium), the cost of debt and found the D/E ratio for Baker Hughes. As no preferred stocks are issued, we computed the WACC that we used to discount both FCFO and Terminal Value. Assumptions about the revenues were related to the barrel price and some of the most important ratios were kept constant in order not to overestimate the cash flows.