Economic Impact Assessment
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APPENDICES APPENDIX C-10 ASSESSMENT IMPACT ECONOMIC ECONOMIC IMPACT ASSESSMENT APPENDIX C-10 | C-10 APPENDIX JERVOIS BASE METAL PROJECT W S Cummings Environmental Impact B Econ Statement 38 Grafton St Baseline Investigations Cairns Q 4870 www.cummings.net.au Economic Impact CUMMINGS ECONOMICS ABN: 99 734 489 175 Ref: J3087-V5 September 2018 J E R V O I S B A S E M E T A L P R O J E C T Environmental Impact Statement Baseline Investigations Economic Impact Assessment JERVOIS BASE METAL PROJECT Environmental Impact Statement Baseline Investigations Economic Impact Ref: J3087-V4 September 2018 NITRO SOLUTIONS CUMMINGS ECONOMICS Ngaire Tranter W S Cummings Managing Director Principal Suite 7/31 Middle Street PO Box 2148 CLEVELAND Q. 4163 CAIRNS Q 4870 M: 0417 851 817 P: 07 4031 2888 M: 0418 871 011 E: [email protected] E: [email protected] W: www.nitrosolutions.com.au W: www.cummings.net.au Ref: J3087-V4 September 2018 Page 2/49 J E R V O I S B A S E M E T A L P R O J E C T Environmental Impact Statement Baseline Investigations Economic Impact Assessment Con tents Pg SUMMARY OF MAIN POINTS ............................................................................................................................. 7 1. INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................................... 11 1.1 General ........................................................................................................................ 11 1.2 Qualifications ............................................................................................................... 11 1.3 Methodology ............................................................................................................... 11 1.4 Definition of Areas Affected ........................................................................................ 11 2. THE PROJECT ....................................................................................................................................... 12 2.1 Location ....................................................................................................................... 12 2.2 Mining Operations ....................................................................................................... 12 2.3 On-Site Development .................................................................................................. 12 2.4 Workforce .................................................................................................................... 13 3. ECONOMIC BACKGROUND .................................................................................................................. 16 3.1 Local ............................................................................................................................. 16 3.1.1 Location Geography ............................................................................................... 16 3.1.2 Pastoral Industry .................................................................................................... 16 3.1.3 Mining .................................................................................................................... 16 3.1.4 Tourism ................................................................................................................... 20 3.1.5 Government Support & Services ............................................................................. 20 3.1.6 Employment by Industry ......................................................................................... 21 3.1.7 Population Size & Growth ....................................................................................... 21 3.1.8 Road Traffic ............................................................................................................ 22 3.2 The Alice Springs Regional Economy ........................................................................... 22 3.2.1 General ................................................................................................................... 22 3.2.2 Population & Population Growth ........................................................................... 23 3.2.3 Workforce Status .................................................................................................... 23 3.2.4 Workforce by Industry & Occupation ..................................................................... 24 3.2.5 Gross Regional Product .......................................................................................... 25 3.2.6 Economic Trends ..................................................................................................... 25 3.3 Northern Territory Economy ....................................................................................... 27 3.3.1 General ................................................................................................................... 27 3.3.2 Population & Growth .............................................................................................. 27 3.3.3 Employment............................................................................................................ 27 3.3.4 Economic Trends ..................................................................................................... 29 3.3.5 Supplies ................................................................................................................... 30 3.3.6 Gross Regional Product .......................................................................................... 30 Ref: J3087-V4 September 2018 Page 3/49 J E R V O I S B A S E M E T A L P R O J E C T Environmental Impact Statement Baseline Investigations Economic Impact Assessment 4. ECONOMIC IMPACT .............................................................................................................................. 31 4.1 Construction Phase ...................................................................................................... 31 4.1.1 Initial Construction Phase ....................................................................................... 31 4.1.2 Subsequent Construction Phase ............................................................................. 32 4.2 Operating Phase .......................................................................................................... 33 4.3 Other Economic Impacts ............................................................................................. 35 4.3.1 Community Benefits ............................................................................................... 35 4.3.2 Royalties & Tax Benefits to Northern Territory Government ................................. 35 4.3.3 Exports .................................................................................................................... 35 4.3.4 Adelaide to Darwin Railway ................................................................................... 36 4.3.5 Residual Infrastructure ........................................................................................... 36 4.3.6 Employment of Currently Unemployed .................................................................. 36 5. OPPORTUNITIES, RISKS & MITIGATION .............................................................................................. 37 5.1 Workforce .................................................................................................................... 37 5.1.1 Indigenous .............................................................................................................. 37 5.1.2 Non Indigenous Local Workforce ............................................................................ 37 5.1.3 Regional Workforce ................................................................................................ 37 5.1.4 Other Northern Territory Workforce ...................................................................... 38 5.1.5 Other At-mine Workforce ....................................................................................... 38 5.1.6 Overseas Recruitment ............................................................................................ 38 5.2 Supplies & Services ...................................................................................................... 38 5.2.1 Local Indigenous Community.................................................................................. 38 5.2.2 Alice Springs Services & Supplies ............................................................................ 38 5.3 Heavy Transport Movements on the Plenty Highway ................................................. 39 Appendix 1 - Maps – Statistical Areas ................................................................................................. 41 Appendix 2 - Maps – Statistical Areas ................................................................................................. 43 Appendix 3 – Technical Note .............................................................................................................. 45 Appendix 4 – 2016 Census Workforce by Industry & by Occupation ................................................. 48 Ref: J3087-V4 September 2018 Page 4/49 J E R V O I S B A S E M E T A L P R O J E C T Environmental Impact Statement Baseline Investigations Economic Impact Assessment Tables & Maps Table #1: Anticipated Peak Production Workforce for the Jervois Project..........................................................