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(1980 – 2019) Of FOUR DECADES (1980 – 2019) OF TRANSPORTATION, DEVELOPMENT & DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR THE 22202 ZIP CODE AREA CRYSTAL CITY, PENTAGON CITY, POTOMAC YARD, AURORA HIGHLANDS & ARLINGTON RIDGE SEPTEMBER 2020 TABLE OF CONTENTS TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY SLIDES SUPPLEMENTAL SUMMARY SLIDES SECTION 1 DEVELOPMENT, TRAFFIC, & TRANSIT TRENDS SECTION 2 TOTAL DEVELOPMENT - PAST, PRESENT, & PIPELINE SECTION 3 HISTORIC TRAFFIC COUNT DATA (1980 – 2019) SECTION 4 METRORAIL AVERAGE DAILY PASSENGER BOARDINGS SECTION 5 ARLINGTON TRANSIT (ART) ANNUAL RIDERSHIP SECTION 6 BUILDING LEVEL TRANSPORTATION STUDIES SECTION 7 TRANSPORTATION RELATED DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOUR DECADES (1980 – 2019) OF TRANSPORTATION, DEVELOPMENT & DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR THE 22202 ZIP CODE AREA TABLE OF APPENDICES TABLE OF APPENDICES Appendix A DEVELOPMENT DATA TABLES Appendix B AVERAGE WEEKDAY DAILY TRAFFIC (AWDT) DATA TABLES Appendix C AVERAGE WEEKDAY DAILY TRAFFIC (AWDT) MAPS BY YEAR Appendix D AVERAGE WEEKDAY DAILY TRAFFIC (AWDT) BETWEEN 1980 AND 2019 GRAPHED BY LOCATION Appendix E WMATA AVERAGE DAILY PASSENGER BOARDINGS BY STATION (1977 – 2019) DATA TABLE Appendix F TRANSPORTATION RELATED DEMOGRAPHIC DATA TABLES FOUR DECADES (1980 – 2019) OF TRANSPORTATION, DEVELOPMENT & DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR THE 22202 ZIP CODE AREA EXECUTIVE SUMMARY SLIDES EXECUTIVE SUMMARY SLIDES FOUR DECADES (1980 – 2019) OF TRANSPORTATION, DEVELOPMENT & DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR THE 22202 ZIP CODE AREA FOUR DECADES (1980 – 2019) OF TRANSPORTATION, DEVELOPMENT & DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR THE 22202 ZIP CODE AREA CRYSTAL CITY, PENTAGON CITY, POTOMAC YARD, AURORA HIGHLANDS & ARLINGTON RIDGE EXECUTIVE SUMMARY SLIDES THIS STUDY BRINGS TOGETHER NEARLY 40 YEARS OF INFORMATION FOR THE 22202 ZIP CODE AREA COVERING TRANSPORTATION, DEVELOPMENT AND DEMOGRAPHIC DATA DATA UPDATE FOR 2019: TRANSPORTATION DEMOGRAPHICS DEVELOPMENT • NEW DAILY TRAFFIC COUNTS FOR 35 • POPULATION AND HOUSEHOLDS WITHIN • DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS COMPLETED LOCATIONS 22202 • DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS UNDER • METRORAIL BOARDINGS AT PENTAGON • HOUSEHOLD VEHICLE ACCESS CONSTRUCTION CITY AND CRYSTAL CITY STATIONS. • JOURNEY TO WORK BY MODE OF • PROJECTS APPROVED BY COUNTY • ARLINGTON TRANSIT (ART) RIDERSHIP TRAVEL BOARD • AVERAGE COMMUTE TIME • PERFORMANCE MONITORING STUDY DATA FOR COMPLETED PROJECTS • HISTORIC OFFICE VACANCY DATA ARLINGTON’S APPROACH, COORDINATING TRANSPORTATION AND LAND USE, IS RESULTING IN SUSTAINABLE GROWTH WITHIN 22202. CHANGES IN 22202 SINCE THE YEAR 2000: -18% 6% 50% 28% REDUCTION IN CUMULATIVE INCREASE IN COMBINED INCREASE IN ESTIMATED INCREASE IN ESTIMATED AVERAGE DAILY WEEKDAY TRAFFIC AVERAGE DAILY BOARDINGS AT POPULATION TOTAL DEVELOPMENT (ADWT) PENTAGON CITY AND CRYSTAL CITY (2000 CENSUS VS. 2018 ACS) GROSS FLOOR AREA (GFA) METRORAIL STATIONS WITHIN 22202 2018 ACS = Census Bureau's 2014-2018 American Community Survey (ACS) Estimates PENTAGON AND CRYSTAL CITY ARE NEIGHBORHOODS OF CHOICE FOR CAR FREE AND CAR LIGHT HOUSEHOLDS PENTAGON CITY AND CRYSTAL CITY RESIDENTS: 24% 1,195 75% OF HOUSEHOLDS IN PENTAGON CITY NEW CAR FREE HOUSEHOLDS ADDED OF TRIPS ARE MADE BY NON-SOV AND CRYSTAL CITY CENSUS TRACTS BETWEEN 2013 AND 2018 ACS MODES BASED ON RESPONSES FROM REPORT ZERO CAR ACCESS BUILDING LEVEL TRANSPORTATION (CAR FREE) STUDIES FOR NEW RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS 2013 ACS = Census Bureau's 2009-2013 American Community Survey (ACS) Estimates 2018 ACS = Census Bureau's 2014-2018 American Community Survey (ACS) Estimates ARLINGTON COUNTY CONTINUES TO INVEST IN MULTIMODAL TRANSPORTATION TO SUPPORT SUSTAINABLE GROWTH ARLINGTON COUNTY CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PLAN (2019 – 2028): $ Million $270 21 Projects MULTIMODAL INVESTMENT IN THE AREA TO CAPITAL PROJECTS INCLUDING NEW CRYSTAL CITY SUPPORT FUTURE GROWTH AND SUPPORT METRORAIL STATION ENTRANCE, TRANSIT WAY MULTIMODAL TRANSPORTATION CHOICE WITH EXTENSION, NEW PENTAGON CITY METRORAIL STATION TRAVEL PATTERNS SHIFTING AWAY FROM USING ELEVATOR, BICYCLE NETWORK ENHANCEMENTS, SINGLE OCCUPANCY VEHICLES MULTIMODAL STREET NETWORK IMPROVEMENTS SUPPLEMENTAL SUMMARY SLIDES SUPPLEMENTAL SUMMARY SLIDES FOUR DECADES (1980 – 2019) OF TRANSPORTATION, DEVELOPMENT & DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR THE 22202 ZIP CODE AREA POPULATION CHANGE OVER TIME 50% 18% Increase in Population Increase in Population Between 2000 Census Between 2013 and 2018 ACS and 2018 ACS 27,500 25,000 22,500 20,000 17,500 15,000 12,500 24,579 Population 10,000 20,760 7,500 16,376 15,945 5,000 11,815 9,665 7,575 2,500 6,896 6,037 4,985 3,205 3,012 3,464 3,462 3,767 3,996 2,380 2,327 2,343 2,731 0 1990 2000 2013 ACS 2018 ACS 22202 Total Crystal City/Potomac Yards Pentagon City Aurora Highlands Arlington Ridge 2013 ACS = Census Bureau's 2009-2013 American community Survey (ACS) Estimates 2018 ACS = Census Bureau's 2014-2018 American community Survey (ACS) Estimates FOUR DECADES (1980 – 2019) OF TRANSPORTATION, DEVELOPMENT & DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR THE 22202 ZIP CODE AREA HISTORIC DEVELOPMENT TRENDS VS. CUMULATIVE AVERAGE WEEKDAY DAILY TRAFFIC (AWDT) TREND -18% vs. 28% Reduction in Cumulative Average Weekday Increase in Development Daily Traffic (AWDT) Since 2000 by Square Footage Since 2000 45,000,000 440,000 40,000,000 390,000 4,278,000 35,000,000 3,843,000 4,278,000 340,000 305,450 302,600 30,000,000 291,600 3,770,000 265,550 290,000 3,480,000 25,000,000 274,950 16,610,000 18,817,000 233,800 16,610,000 246,100 249,500 240,000 12,210,000 20,000,000 193,650 11,440,000 1,668,000 190,000 15,000,000 2,802,000 2,802,000 2,920,000 Count Locations in 22202 1,840,000 2,255,000 9,020,000 140,000 10,000,000 Gross Floor Area (GFA) -(GFA) Floor Area Gross Feet Square 675,000 11,830,000 12,020,000 12,840,000 13,170,000 12,458,000 5,000,000 90,000 6,010,000 Sum of Avrage Sum of Daily Avrage Weekday Traffic Volumes for 25 0 40,000 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2019 Office GFA (SF) Year Retail GFA (SF) Residential GFA (Est. SF) Hotel GFA (Est. SF) Cumulative 22202 Average Weekday Daily Traffic Trend FOUR DECADES (1980 – 2019) OF TRANSPORTATION, DEVELOPMENT & DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR THE 22202 ZIP CODE AREA HISTORIC LEASING AND VACANCY RATES FOR COMBINED CRYSTAL CITY AND PENTAGON CITY AREA 1.6Million 47% Additional Square Feet of Office Reduction in Office Vacancy Space Leased Since 2013 Since Peak Vacancy in 2013 14,000,000 13,000,000 12,000,000 11,000,000 10,000,000 9,000,000 8,000,000 9,765,000 9,948,000 10,411,000 10,406,000 10,575,000 9,681,000 10,826,000 11,363,000 7,000,000 11,129,000 10,783,000 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 24% 21% 23% 19% 20% 3,127,569 2,944,953 18% 16% 1,000,000 2,580,959 2,518,380 13% 9% 12% 2,482,446 2,349,003 2,097,714 1,478,895 1,661,084 ‐ 1,132,912 2010 4Q 2011 4Q 2012 4Q 2013 4Q 2014 4Q 2015 4Q 2016 4Q 2017 4Q 2018 4Q 2019 4Q % Vacancy / Square Feet Vacant Square Feet Leased FOUR DECADES (1980 – 2019) OF TRANSPORTATION, DEVELOPMENT & DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR THE 22202 ZIP CODE AREA ARLINGTON COUNTY HISTORIC TRAFFIC COUNT DATA 22202 WESTERN LOCATIONS ARLINGTON RIDGE RD. & 23RD ST. S. Below 3.2% 1980 Levels While development has more than doubled in 22202 since 1980, the average weekday daily traffic volume trend for the locations counted within the single family neighborhoods is below the levels observed in 1980. 20,000 18,000 16,500 16,900 16,000 16,000 15,300 15,100 15,100 15,100 Volumes 15,400 13,900 15,300 14,000 15,100 14,400 12,600 14,200 13,700 (ADWT) 13,900 12,000 12,900 13,200 12,000 11,800 Traffic 10,000 11,000 10,800 11,200 10,500 8,900 9,700 Daily 8,100 9,600 8,000 8,700 8,200 8,400 8,500 7,500 7,800 6,000 7,300 7,100 Weekday 4,000 3,100 Average 3,200 3,000 2,000 2,700 3,000 2,800 3,000 2,400 2,600 Estimated Volume 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2019 Year Count Locations 23rd Street S. west of Arlington Ridge Rd. 23rd Street S. between S. Hayes St. & S. Ives St. Arlington Ridge Road between 19th St. S. and I-395* Arlington Ridge Road between 23rd St. S. and S. Lang St.* Arlington Ridge Road between S. Lang St. and S. Glebe Rd.* FOUR DECADES (1980 – 2019) OF TRANSPORTATION, DEVELOPMENT & DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR THE 22202 ZIP CODE AREA WEEKDAY METRORAIL PASSENGER BOARDINGS AT PENTAGON CITY AND CRYSTAL CITY STATIONS 6% 2018 Increase in Weekday First Year Showing Passenger Boardings Since 2000 Increases in Boardings Since 2011 Peak 35,000 32,210 30,000 2000 2019 23,166 24,516 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Average Weekday Average Weekday Boardings Passenger 0 M 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 M Metrorail Station Pentagon City Crystal City Crystal City/Pentagon City Total FOUR DECADES (1980 – 2019) OF TRANSPORTATION, DEVELOPMENT & DEMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR THE 22202 ZIP CODE AREA 2018 ACS HOUSEHOLD VEHICLE ACCESS BY MULTI-FAMILY VS. SINGLE FAMILY AREAS 24% 1,100+ Households Living Car-Free in Additional Households Pentagon City, Crystal City & Potomac Yard Living Car-Free Since 2013 ACS Multi-Family Census Tracts Single Family Census Tracts (103402, 103500, 103602) (103700, 103601) 12500 ** 1785 10000 ** 1644 7500 6869 Households 5000 5944 2500 2812 374 483 1617 861 827 0 549 103 564 48 2013 ACS 2018 ACS 2013 ACS 2018 ACS Vehicles per Household Multi-Family Census Tracts 0 1 2 3+ (103402, 103500, 103602) Single Family Census Tracts ** ACS reported 247 and 159, 3+ vehicle household in the multi –family tracts for 2013 ACS = Census Bureau's 2009-2013 American community Survey ACS Estimates (103700, 103601) 2018 ACS = Census Bureau's 2014-2018 American community Survey ACS Estimates 2013 ACS and 2018 ACS respectively however, the sample size tested unreliable.
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