Market Report
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® E-Book Market Research Kindle Market Analysis By Search Words MARKET REPORT October 2019 Based on 2018's Actual Christmas Sales Data © by K-lytics.com and Newton Production UG ® Report Objective ■ Assess the Kindle market for: Christmas Romance ■ Create a "Virtual Bestseller List" for the target keywords based on true Amazon Sales Rank, not display sequence ■ Provide an estimate of the market size and "drop-off": — #1 Bestseller, Top 20, Top 100, Top 500, etc. — Copies sold per day and estimated monthly royalties ■ Develop a comprehensive market profile including: — Kindle category usage and performance — Price levels, page length distribution, short reads share — Typical cover art, top authors and top publishers in the segment — Kindel Unlimited vs. Non-KU and Series vs. Standalone ■ Identify the best keywords for titles and descriptions ■ Provide a Top 100 title database with all key book data points including book descriptions for further research and reference © by K-lytics.com and Newton Production UG ebook market intelligence for success 2 of 97 Context: Romance is the top-selling genre on Kindle Average Amazon Kindle Sales Rank of Top 100 Titles in Category © by K-lytics.com and Newton Production UG ebook market intelligence for success 3 of 97 Holiday Romance shows a strong seasonal performance around Christmas Average Amazon Kindle Sales Rank of Top 20 Titles in Category Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec 01 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Romance-Holidays Trend 1,400 © by K-lytics.com and Newton Production UG ebook market intelligence for success 4 of 97 Holiday Romance is a high-performing bestseller list that has moved from "Hot Niches" into the "Hot Mainstream" K-LYTICS STRATEGY MAP TIMELINE Competitive Bestsellers 10 Romance-Holidays Hot Mainstream Hot Niches 100 Dec 2015 Dec 2017 Dec 2018 Dec 2014 Dec 2016 Jul 2019 Hot Cells Jul 2017 Jul 2018 1,000 Jul 2015 Jul 2016 Jul 2014 2,000 5,000 10,000 Amazon Sales Rank* Amazon 20,000 50,000 100,000 Beaten Track Average Average Slow Cells Mainstream 200,000 and Niches Non-sellers 1,000,000 10 100 1,000 2,000 5,000 10,000 20,000 100,000 350,000 Competition (No. of Titles) * Based on top 20 titles in each category monitored over several days © by K-lytics.com and Newton Production UG ebook market intelligence for success 5 of 97 Holiday Romance has a number of related categories, each with different levels of popularity and competition K-LYTICS STRATEGY MAP Competitive Bestsellers 10 Hot Mainstream Hot Niches 100 Romance-Inspirational Romance-Holidays 1,000 Romance-Inspirational-Christian Hot Cells Religion & Spirituality-Religious Fiction-Romance 2,000 Literature & Fiction-Genre Fiction-Holidays Amazon Sales Rank* Amazon 5,000 10,000 20,000 Teen & Young Adult-Literature & Fiction-Holidays & Celebrations Average Average 50,000 Beaten Track 100,000 Slow Cells Mainstream 200,000 and Niches 1,000,000 Non-sellers 10 100 1,000 2,000 5,000 10,000 20,000 100,000 350,000 Competition (No. of Titles) * Based on top 20 titles in each category monitored over several days © by K-lytics.com and Newton Production UG ebook market intelligence for success 6 of 97 The Genre Fiction category for the Holidays is on track for its next peak Average Amazon Kindle Sales Rank of Top 20 Titles in Category Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct 2018 2019 01 Literature & Fiction-Genre Fiction-Holidays 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 © by K-lytics.com and Newton Production UG ebook market intelligence for success 7 of 97 Other religious and inspirational romance categories have shown varying performance Average Amazon Kindle Sales Rank of Top 20 Titles in Category Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct 2019 01 2018 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Romance-Inspirational 1,400 Religion & Spirituality-Religious Fiction-Romance 1,600 Romance-Inspirational-Christian © by K-lytics.com and Newton Production UG ebook market intelligence for success 8 of 97 "Christmas romance" is seasonal but with remarkably high peaks compared to generic romance book searches Google Search Volume By Search Term (Index: Maximum = 100) christmas romance: (Worldwide) romance books: (Worldwide) 100 80 60 40 20 0 Oct 2014 Oct 2015 Oct 2016 Oct 2017 Oct 2018 Oct 2019 Source: Google Trends © by K-lytics.com and Newton Production UG ebook market intelligence for success 9 of 97 Annex All Category Paths that include the terms "Holiday, Christmas, etc." K-lytics ELITE Database | Extract Sorted by most favorable Sales-to-Competition Ratio SALES-TO-COMP BOOK MARKET / NICHE SALES VOLUME PRICE REALIZATION COMPETITION EFFORT "STRATEGY MAP" RATIO Est. Average Estimate Sales Lowest Sales Average Sales-to-Comp Sales d Sales Rank of Price Averag per Day Price Number Ratio: Sales Per ID Level Category Path Rank of per Day Graph No. 1 Graph2 Graph3 among Graph4 e Page Graph5 Day x 1000 Graph6 Cluster of No. 1 of Top 20 of Titles Top 20 per Top Best- Top 20 Length divided by Bestsell Titles Titles 20 Title seller Titles No. of Titles er 2663 CCC Teen & Young Adult-Romance-Clean & Wholesome 9,835 15 2,618 44 $3.59 $0.99 450 333 33.7 Hot Cell 1527 CCC Literature & Fiction-Religious & Inspirational Fiction-Women's Fiction 2,431 47 205 348 $4.57 $0.99 1,811 248 26.0 Hot Cell 4100 LVL4 Religion & Spirituality-Spirituality-Inspirational-Fiction 3,929 32 862 110 $3.30 $0.99 1,257 407 25.4 Hot Cell 310 CC Romance-Clean & Wholesome 970 100 9 1,866 $3.31 $0.99 6,602 306 15.1 Hot Niche 1522 CCC Literature & Fiction-Religious & Inspirational Fiction-Inspirational 2,880 41 645 138 $3.12 $0.99 2,945 458 13.9 Hot Niche 4107 LVL4 Religion & Spirituality-Spirituality-Inspirational-Women's Inspirational 7,829 18 2,487 46 $3.59 $0.99 1,397 230 13.1 Hot Cell 1520 CCC Literature & Fiction-Religious & Inspirational Fiction-Contemporary 5,287 25 433 191 $3.67 $0.99 2,604 245 9.6 Hot Niche 1053 LVL5 Literature & Fiction-Religious & Inspirational Fiction-Christian-Romance-Contemporary 1,521 69 111 573 $3.12 $0.99 7,463 261 9.2 Hot Niche 4121 LVL4 Romance-Inspirational-Christian-Contemporary 1,614 66 116 552 $3.06 $0.99 7,508 255 8.7 Hot Niche 316 CC Romance-Holidays 596 148 141 473 $2.51 $0.99 19,090 311 7.7 Hot Mainstream 1526 CCC Literature & Fiction-Religious & Inspirational Fiction-Short Stories 21,190 6.2 1,045 93 $2.22 $0.99 1,096 313 5.7 Hot Cell 2630 CCC Teen & Young Adult-Literature & Fiction-Holidays & Celebrations 45,873 2.5 6,418 21 $4.48 $0.99 530 251 4.7 Hot Cell 4106 LVL4 Religion & Spirituality-Spirituality-Inspirational-Relationships 18,913 7.1 2,969 40 $3.74 $0.99 1,549 274 4.6 Hot Cell 1404 CCC Literature & Fiction-Genre Fiction-Holidays 1,874 58.2 163 420 $3.92 $0.99 13,269 243 4.4 Hot Mainstream 317 CC Romance-Inspirational 383 210.7 27 1,124 $2.88 $0.99 53,402 339 3.9 Beaten Track Mainstream 1524 CCC Literature & Fiction-Religious & Inspirational Fiction-Romance 1,046 93.3 122 529 $3.16 $0.99 24,588 300 3.8 Beaten Track Mainstream 1057 LVL4 Literature & Fiction-Religious & Inspirational Fiction-Christian-Romance 902 105.7 150 448 $2.39 $0.99 31,957 327 3.3 Beaten Track Mainstream 2316 CCC Romance-Inspirational-Christian 919 104.1 123 526 $2.74 $0.99 33,848 312 3.1 Beaten Track Mainstream 217 CC Literature & Fiction-Religious & Inspirational Fiction 619 143.1 102 613 $3.19 $0.99 88,612 320 1.6 Beaten Track Mainstream Green = New Bluecategory = Category introduced renamed by amazon.com and/or reclassified by amazon.com © by K-lytics.com and Newton Production UG ebook market intelligence for success 10 of 97 Scope: Approx. 20,000 search results narrowed down to 8,147 items ■ Paid books only One 'virtual bestseller list' from keyword-based and besteller list searches ■ Filter for book title and/or description: INCLUDE KEYWORDS on the Amazon.com Kindle Store Christmas, etc Romance, romantic, etc. Keyword/Bestseller List Search Results: Data Validation: INCLUDE CATEGORIES romance = Project romantic Focus on database Virtual 20,000 Top to each Apply filters Bestseller List ►►►►► 11,432 ►►►►► 8,147 Eliminate "christmas romance" Search Books 20,000 ►►► duplicates Books Results ■ Exclude when title and/or description contains EXCLUDE KEYWORDS EXCLUDE CATEGORIES Erotica, Thrillers, etc. ■ Sort by Amazon Sales Rank rather than search display rank © by K-lytics.com and Newton Production UG ebook market intelligence for success 11 of 97 Kindle Market Analysis by Keyword - Database Market: Christmas Romance # of books # share of total Number search results overall: 20,000 175% Thereof top results captured (displayed by Amazon, duplicates removed, data validated) 11,432 100% Books matching keyword criteria in title and/or description: 8,509 74% Books on free promo: 515 5% Books for detailed analysis (custom market definition): 8,147 71% i.e. Paid AND book title and/or description contain the target keywords © by K-lytics.com and Newton Production UG ebook market intelligence for success 12 of 97 Market Performance - Overview and Rank Drop-off Market: Christmas Romance Relative Rank in List out of 8147 Books #1 Overall Amazon Sales Rank (Paid) 30 #20 Sold copies per day (Estimate) 1,064 300 257 #100 1,455 71 #500 8,208 18 A major seasonal market with solid sales levels also towards #1000 the tail-end of the market 23,488 5.5 © by K-lytics.com and Newton Production UG ebook market intelligence for success 13 of 97 Market Size and Financials - Detailed View Market: Christmas Romance Relative Sales Absolute Amazon Best Sellers Estimated Estimated Author Royalties* Position of Number Rank (Kindle Paid) Sold Copies Per Day Per Month in USD Books with the of Books Target Keyword Best Average Worst Best Average Worst Best Average Worst Top 1-20 20 30 169 300 1,064 497 257 $102,982 $18,358 $2,667 Top 21-100 80 308 842 1,455 251 128 71 $29,083 $5,084 $628 Top 101-500 400 1,473 4,455 8,208 71 34 17.6 $13,061 $1,524 $183 Rest 7,647 8,209 516,159 5,152,506 17.6 1.3 0.0 $3,545 $73 $0.1 Total 8,147 Market Total: 43,409 All books sum: $1,944,657 Up from last year! copies per day royalties Christmas month excl.