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Toward an Enhanced Strategic Policy in the Philippines
Toward an Enhanced Strategic Policy in the Philippines EDITED BY ARIES A. ARUGAY HERMAN JOSEPH S. KRAFT PUBLISHED BY University of the Philippines Center for Integrative and Development Studies Diliman, Quezon City First Printing, 2020 UP CIDS No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, without written permission from the publishers. Recommended Entry: Towards an enhanced strategic policy in the Philippines / edited by Aries A. Arugay, Herman Joseph S. Kraft. -- Quezon City : University of the Philippines, Center for Integrative Studies,[2020],©2020. pages ; cm ISBN 978-971-742-141-4 1. Philippines -- Economic policy. 2. Philippines -- Foreign economic relations. 2. Philippines -- Foreign policy. 3. International economic relations. 4. National Security -- Philippines. I. Arugay, Aries A. II. Kraft, Herman Joseph S. II. Title. 338.9599 HF1599 P020200166 Editors: Aries A. Arugay and Herman Joseph S. Kraft Copy Editors: Alexander F. Villafania and Edelynne Mae R. Escartin Layout and Cover design: Ericson Caguete Printed in the Philippines UP CIDS has no responsibility for the persistence or accuracy of urls for external or third-party internet websites referred to in this publication, and does not guarantee that any content on such websites is, or will remain, accurate or appropriate. TABLE OF CONTENTS Acknowledgements ______________________________________ i Foreword Stefan Jost ____________________________________________ iii Teresa S. Encarnacion Tadem _____________________________v List of Abbreviations ___________________________________ ix About the Contributors ________________________________ xiii Introduction The Strategic Outlook of the Philippines: “Situation Normal, Still Muddling Through” Herman Joseph S. Kraft __________________________________1 Maritime Security The South China Sea and East China Sea Disputes: Juxtapositions and Implications for the Philippines Jaime B. -
Nigro Statusandtrends FEAM 0
Forest Ecology and Management 441 (2019) 20–31 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Forest Ecology and Management journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/foreco Status and trends of fire activity in southern California yellow pine and T mixed conifer forests ⁎ Katherine Nigroa,b, , Nicole Molinaric a University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA 93106, United States b Colorado State University, Forest and Rangeland Stewardship, 200 W. Lake St, 1472 Campus Delivery, Fort Collins, CO 80523-1472, United States c USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Region, Los Padres National Forest, 6750 Navigator Way, Suite 150, Goleta, CA 93117, UnitedStates ARTICLE INFO ABSTRACT Keywords: Frequent, low to moderate severity fire in mixed conifer and yellow pine forests of California played anintegral Southern California role in maintaining these ecosystems historically. Fire suppression starting in the early 20th century has led to Fire return interval altered fire regimes that affect forest composition, structure and risk of vegetation type conversion following Burn severity disturbance. Several studies have found evidence of increasingly large proportions and patches of high severity Fire size fire in fire-deprived conifer forests of northern California, but few studies have investigated the impactsoffire Natural range of variation suppression on the isolated forests of southern California. In this study, spatial data were used to compare the Yellow pine Mixed conifer current fire return interval (FRI) in yellow pine and mixed conifer forests of southern California tohistorical conditions. Remotely sensed burn severity and fire perimeter data were analyzed to assess changes inburn severity and fire size patterns over the last 32–100 years. -
Report on Fires in California
Report On Fires In California Gymnospermous Terencio requires mighty while Quill always hirsling his antispasmodic trumps retrally, he besmirches so diabolically. Is Herschel conventionalized or locular after pandurate Porter catalyses so acidly? Zacharia still revictuals morphologically while complaining Schroeder scry that colonic. All of Calabasas is now under mandatory evacuation due trial the Woolsey fire, department city announced Sunday evening. Unlock an ad free cover now! In this Saturday, Sept. Yucaipa Blvd to Ave E southeast to the intersection of Mesa Grande, east to Wildwood Canyon Rd to trail all portions of Hidden Meadows and the southern portion of the Cherry Valley away from Nancy Lane coming to Beaumont Ave. Angeles National Forest that this been threatened by friendly Fire. As the climate heats up, than other states in their West, including Oregon and Colorado, are seeing larger, more devastating fires and more dangerous air aside from wildfire smoke. Account Status Pending It looks like you started to grease an exhibit but did share complete it. CAL FIRE investigators determined that fire started in two locations. Mouillot F, Field CB. Groups of people walked along the parking lot up the Goebel adult center Friday morning, girl with masks over their noses and others still scrape their pajamas from their first morning escapes. Check high fire ban situation in their area. Another among people refusing to evacuate. Here can, however, ratio are gaps where municipalities lack police authority we act and statewide action is required. Large swaths of Ventura and Los Angeles counties are down under evacuation orders due provide the fires. -
ASEAN-Philippine Relations: the Fall of Marcos
ASEAN-Philippine Relations: The Fall of Marcos Selena Gan Geok Hong A sub-thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts (International Relations) in the Department of International Relations, Research School of Pacific Studies, Australian National University, Canberra. June 1987 1 1 certify that this sub-thesis is my own original work and that all sources used have been acknowledged Selena Gan Geok Hong 1 Table of Contents Acknowledgements 2 Abbreviations 3 Introduction 5 Chapter One 14 Chapter Two 33 Chapter Three 47 Conclusion 62 Bibliography 68 2 Acknowledgements 1 would like to thank my supervisors, Dr Ron May and Dr Harold Crouch, both from the Department of Political and Social Change of the Research School of Pacific Studies, Australian National University, for their advice and criticism in the preparation of this sub-thesis. I would also like to thank Dr Paul Real and Mr Geoffrey Jukes for their help in making my time at the Department of International Relations a knowledgeable one. I am also grateful to Brit Helgeby for all her help especially when I most needed it. 1 am most grateful to Philip Methven for his patience, advice and humour during the preparation of my thesis. Finally, 1 would like to thank my mother for all the support and encouragement that she has given me. Selena Gan Geok Hong, Canberra, June 1987. 3 Abbreviations AFP Armed Forces of the Philippines ASA Association of Southeast Asia ASEAN Association of Southeast Asian Nations CG DK Coalition Government of Democratic -
Post-Fire Debris Flows in California: an Atmospheric Perspective
Post-Fire Debris Flows in California: an Atmospheric Perspective Nina Oakley, Ph.D., WRCC/CNAP/CW3E Jeremy Lancaster, CA Geological Survey ALERT User Group Conference, Ventura, CA April 2018 Atmospheric river influenced post-fire debris flow near Santa Barbara, CA, Jan 20 2017 Western Regional Climate Center What is a post-fire debris flow? USGS baseline rate: 25 mm h-1 rate for 15 min 2 Factors • Soils/geology • Burn severity • Steepness of terrain • Rainfall intensity • Are there people there? Source: CA Alluvial Fan Task Force Community of Rancho Mirage CA, situated on an alluvial fan Max intensity may not be triggering intensity Nov 2009, Station Fire burn area (Los Angeles County) Staley et al. 2013, Landslides Outline: CA Post-Fire Debris Flows 1. Climatological study in Transverse Ranges 2. Observations in central/northern California 3. Post-fire debris flows in a future climate Post-fire debris flow on Springs Fire burn area 12/12/2014, Camarillo, CA Outline: CA Post-Fire Debris Flows 1. Climatological study in Transverse Ranges 2. Observations in central/northern California 3. Post-fire debris flows in a future climate Post-fire debris flow on Springs Fire burn area 12/12/2014, Camarillo, CA Study Area You are here Cool Seasons 1980-2014: 19 storm events triggering debris flows on 12 burn areas Oakley et al. 2017 Natural Hazards7 Atmospheric Rivers 13 of 19 (68%) of events associated with Atmospheric River Image Source: CIMSS Thanks to Shawn Roj for assembling 8 Conceptual- Synoptic Conditions Oakley et al. 2017 Natural Hazards9 Conceptual-Cross-Section Oakley et al. -
Regular Meeting of the Board of Directors Upper San Gabriel Valley Municipal Water District 602 E
A REGULAR MEETING OF THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS UPPER SAN GABRIEL VALLEY MUNICIPAL WATER DISTRICT 602 E. HUNTINGTON DRIVE, SUITE B, MONROVIA, CA 91016 9:00 A.M. – SEPTEMBER 23, 2020 SPECIAL NOTICE Teleconference Accessibility Pursuant to Executive Order N-29-20 issued by Governor Newsom in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Upper District will hold its board meeting via teleconference or the most rapid means of communication available at the time. Instructions to participate in the teleconference are below: Attendee Join Zoom Meeting Meeting ID: 849 0079 9369 https://us02web.zoom.us/j/84900799369 Telephone Dial: Meeting ID: 849 0079 9369 1 (669) 900 - 6833 Public comments may be made through teleconference when prompted by the President during the public comment period. Public comments may also be provided by emailing [email protected] in advance of the meeting. Please indicate “PUBLIC COMMENT” in the subject line. If you have difficulty connecting to the teleconference line, please call (626) 443-2297 or email [email protected]. It may take a few minutes to join Zoom or connect via telephone so please join early. AGENDA 1. PLEDGE OF ALLEGIANCE 2. ROLL CALL OF BOARD OF DIRECTORS 3. ADOPTION OF AGENDA [1] 4. PUBLIC COMMENT Anyone wishing to discuss items should do so now. The Board of Directors may allow additional input during the meeting. A three-minute time limit on remarks is requested. 5. CONSENT CALENDAR [1] (a) Approve minutes of a regular meeting of the Board of Directors held on September 9, 2020 at 9:00 a.m. -
IRAN-RUSSIA Relations SPECIAL ESSAY:See Pg
fmso.leavenworth.army.mil Foreign Military Studies Office Volume 6 Issue #7 OEWATCH July 2016 FOREIGN NEWS & PERSPECTIVES OF THE OPERATIONAL ENVIRONMENT IRAN-RUSSIA Relations SPECIAL ESSAY:see pg. 62-68 TURKEY INDO-PACIFIC ASIA RUSSIA, UKRAINE 3 The PKK and MANPADs: A Game Changer 22 India’s NAVIC Constellation Is Underway 38 Fleshing Out the Details of Reintroducing Divisions 4 ISIS Targeting Turkey with Katyusha Rockets 24 Space Age Clothing for Indian Soldiers at High 40 Innovation, Cost, and Compromise Regarding the 5 Turkey Opens Military Base in Qatar Altitudes “God of War” 25 Fighting Piracy in the Sulu Sea Through a Subregional 42 Russia Successfully Tests Hypersonic Glide Vehicle for MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA Agreement ICBMs 6 Iran: Chinese Eye Port of Chabahar 26 Terrorism Expert: Jemaah Islamiya Poses a Greater Threat 44 Russia’s Near-Term Asymmetric Response to the 7 Iran: Kurdish Insurgents on the Upsurge than ISIS to Southeast Asia BMD- the Iskander 8 Iran: IRGC Debuts New Explosives Plant 27 President-Elect Duterte’s Approach to Peace in 46 Russian Electronic Warfare Equipment and Personnel 9 Water Scarcity and Conflict: Yemen, Egypt, and Saudi Mindanao Developments Arabia 28 Can Indonesia Spread its Version of Moderate Islam 48 Tank Combat Support Vehicle “Terminator-3” on an 10 Turkistan Islamic Party Makes its Mark on the Syrian Internationally? Armata Chassis? Rebellion 29 Indonesian Official: Southeast Asia is Becoming the New 49 Georgian Perspectives on Armenia-Azerbaijan 11 Tunnels and Refugees: Can ISIS Breach Jordan’s Somalia for Piracy Conflict and Russia’s Position Borders? 30 Southern Thailand Peace Talk Hit Another Bump in the 50 Armenian Officials Reassure the Public about Military Road Effectiveness AFRICA 52 Armenian Views on Russia’s Peacemaking Efforts in 12 New Insurgent Group Emerges in Niger Delta CHINA, KOREA, JAPAN Karabakh 13 New Nigerian Insecurity: Nomads v. -
Estimating Post-Fire Debris-Flow Hazards Prior to Wildfire Using a Statistical Analysis of Historical Distributions of Fire Severity from Remote Sensing Data
CSIRO PUBLISHING International Journal of Wildland Fire 2018, 27, 595–608 https://doi.org/10.1071/WF17122 Estimating post-fire debris-flow hazards prior to wildfire using a statistical analysis of historical distributions of fire severity from remote sensing data Dennis M. StaleyA,D, Anne C. TilleryB, Jason W. KeanA, Luke A. McGuireC, Hannah E. PaulingA, Francis K. RengersA and Joel B. SmithA AU.S. Geological Survey, Landslide Hazards Program, Golden, CO 80422, USA. BU.S. Geological Survey, New Mexico Water Science Center, Albuquerque, NM 87113, USA. CUniversity of Arizona, Department of Geosciences, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA. DCorresponding author. Email: [email protected] Abstract. Following wildfire, mountainous areas of the western United States are susceptible to debris flow during intense rainfall. Convective storms that can generate debris flows in recently burned areas may occur during or immediately after the wildfire, leaving insufficient time for development and implementation of risk mitigation strategies. We present a method for estimating post-fire debris-flow hazards before wildfire using historical data to define the range of potential fire severities for a given location based on the statistical distribution of severity metrics obtained from remote sensing. Estimates of debris-flow likelihood, magnitude and triggering rainfall threshold based on the statistically simulated fire severity data provide hazard predictions consistent with those calculated from fire severity data collected after wildfire. Simulated fire severity data also produce hazard estimates that replicate observed debris-flow occurrence, rainfall conditions and magnitude at a monitored site in the San Gabriel Mountains of southern California. Future applications of this method should rely on a range of potential fire severity scenarios for improved pre-fire estimates of debris-flow hazard. -
Recaap ISC Annual Report 2016 3
Stay updated with our Mobile App. Scan the QR code above to download CONTENTS 02 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 04 PART ONE - OVERVIEW Incidents of Piracy and Armed Robbery Against Ships in Asia reported in 2016 • Number • Status and location PART TWO - 08 INSIGHT Analysis of incidents in 2016 compared to past four years (2012-2015) • Number • Significance level (actual incidents) • Location • Violence factor (actual incidents) • Economic factor (actual incidents) • Types of ship 15 PART THREE – GEOGRAPHICAL Incidents on board ships while underway and at ports and anchorages • Straits of Malacca and Singapore • South China Sea • India • Indonesia • Vietnam 21 PART FOUR – INCIDENTS OF ABDUCTION OF CREW FROM SHIPS IN THE SULU-CELEBES SEA AND WATERS OFF EASTERN SABAH • Overview • Modus Operandi • Actions by littoral States • Recommendations PART FIVE – 27 CASE STUDIES PART SIX 30 ReCAAP ISC Main Activities (October-December 2016) 36 CONCLUSION 38 APPENDICES • Definitions & methodology in classifying incidents • Description of incidents (January-December 2016) • Flow diagram on procedure for reporting incidents of piracy and armed robbery against ships in Asia • Contact details of ReCAAP Focal Points / Contact Point • Acknowledgements EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ReCAAP ISC Annual Report 2016 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY There has been a significant improvement in the situation of piracy and armed robbery against ships in Asia in 2016 compared to the past four years (2012-2015). The total number of incidents reported in 2016 has decreased by 58% compared to 2015. A total of 85 incidents were reported in 2016 compared to 203 incidents in 2015. Of the 85 incidents reported in 2016, five were incidents of piracy occurred in the South China Sea and 80 were incidents of armed robbery against ships, mostly occurred at ports and anchorages. -
Facing Fire Tour Checklist
EXHIBITION CHECKLIST Curated by Douglas McCulloh Organized by UCR ARTS: California Museum of Photography Noah Berger Kevin Cooley Josh Edelson Samantha Fields Jeff Frost Luther Gerlach Christian Houge Richard Hutter Anna Mayer Stuart Palley Norma I. Quintana Justin Sullivan FACING FIRE—CHECKLIST 1 Noah Berger Carr Fire, 2018 (printed 2020) Dye sublimation print on aluminum 20 x 30 inches Courtesy of the artist and Associated Press Noah Berger Delta Fire, 2018 (printed 2020) Dye sublimation print on aluminum 20 x 30 inches Courtesy of the artist and Associated Press Noah Berger Delta Fire, 2018 (printed 2020) Dye sublimation print on aluminum 24 x 36 inches Courtesy of the artist and Associated Press Noah Berger Ferguson Fire, 2018 (printed 2020) Dye sublimation print on aluminum 24 x 36 inches Courtesy of the artist and Associated Press FACING FIRE—CHECKLIST 2 Noah Berger Ferguson Fire, 2018 (printed 2020) Dye sublimation print on aluminum 24 x 36 inches Courtesy of the artist and Associated Press Noah Berger Holiday Fire, 2018 (printed 2020) Dye sublimation print on aluminum 24 x 36 inches Courtesy of the artist and Associated Press Noah Berger Justin Sullivan shooting low, Camp Fire, 2018 (printed 2020) Dye sublimation print on aluminum 24 x 36 inches Courtesy of the artist and Associated Press Noah Berger Kincade Fire, 2019 (printed 2020) Dye sublimation print on aluminum 20 x 30 inches Courtesy of the artist and Associated Press FACING FIRE—CHECKLIST 3 Noah Berger Kincade Fire, 2019 (printed 2020) Dye sublimation print on aluminum -
Recaap ISC 3Rd Quarter Report 2016
Stay updated with our Mobile App. Scan the QR code above to download CONTENTS 02 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 04 PART ONE - OVERVIEW Incidents of Piracy and Armed Robbery Against Ships in Asia reported during January-September 2016 • Number and significance level • Status and location of ships PART TWO - 11 INSIGHT • Violence factor • Economic factor • Type of ships PART THREE – 14 GEOGRAPHICAL • Straits of Malacca and Singapore • South China Sea • Indonesia • India • Vietnam 17 PART FOUR – UPDATE ON ABDUCTION OF CREW IN SULU SEA PART FIVE 23 ReCAAP ISC Activities (July-September 2016) 28 CONCLUSION 30 APPENDICES • Definitions & methodology in classifying incidents • Description of incidents (January-September 2016) • Flow diagram on procedure for reporting incidents of piracy and armed robbery against ships in Asia • Contact details of ReCAAP Focal Points / Contact Point • Acknowledgements EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ReCAAP ISC Quarterly Report January-September 2016 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY There has been a significant improvement in the situation of piracy and armed robbery against ships in Asia during January-September 2016 compared to the same period in past four years (2012-2015). The number of incidents reported during January-September 2016 has decreased by 65% compared to the same period in 2015. A total of 59 incidents were reported during January-September 2016 compared to 169 incidents during the same period in 2015. The total number of incidents reported during January-September 2016 is also the lowest amongst the reporting period of January-September of 2012-2016. Of the 59 incidents, three were incidents of piracy and 56 armed robberies against ships. Of concern was the CAT 1 (very significant) incidents involving the abduction of crew from ships while underway in the Sulu Sea, and they accounted for seven of the nine CAT 1 incidents reported during January- September 2016. -
Digital Edition
AUSTRALIA/ISRAEL REVIEW VOLUME 46 No. 7 JULY 2021 AUSTRALIA/ISRAEL & JEWISH AFFAIRS COUNCIL A GOVERNMENT LIKE NO OTHER The prospects and symbolism of Israel’s unique new governing coalition THE NETANYAHU PARADOX THE PRESIDENT’S THE PLACARD NOT CHILD’S PLAY MASSACRES STRATEGY How personal flaws brought down Israel’s Ugliness invades The alleged past human How not to think about the children’s book longest serving PM ............................. PAGE 20 rights abuses of newly- the Israeli-Palestinian industry ........ PAGE 40 selected Iranian Presi- conflict ..........PAGE 31 dent Raisi ........PAGE 25 NAME OF SECTION WITH COMPLIMENTS AND BEST WISHES FROM GANDEL GROUP CHADSTONE SHOPPING CENTRE 1341 DANDENONG ROAD CHADSTONE VIC 3148 TEL: (03) 8564 1222 FAX: (03) 8564 1333 2 AIR – July 2021 AUSTRALIA/ISRAEL VOLUME 46 No. 7 REVIEW JULY 2021 EDITOR’S NOTE NAME OF SECTION his AIR edition focuses on Israel’s unique and highly diverse new eight-party coalition ON THE COVER TGovernment. Members of Israel’s new Amotz Asa-El looks at the way this complicated, ideologically-diverse coalition gov- ministry led by Prime Min- ernment has been structured and what it can and cannot aspire to accomplish as a result. ister Naftali Bennett sit with In addition, we offer a profile of new Israeli PM Naftali Bennett from BICOM, plus President Reuven Rivlin in Je- profiles of other key players in the governing coalition penned by Zachary Milewicz and rusalem (Source: Israeli Prime Minister’s Office/ Flickr) other AIR staff. Finally, in the editorial, Colin Rubenstein points out how this diverse and democratic Government debunks the claims of Israel haters.