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Mnpass System Study Phase 2 MnPASS Study II September 2010 final report MnPASS System Study Phase 2 prepared for Minnesota Department of Transportation prepared by Cambridge Systematics, Inc. 100 CambridgePark Drive, Suite 400 Cambridge, MA 02140 date August 2010 Minnesota Department of Transportation 395 John Ireland Boulevard Saint Paul, MN 55155 September 24, 2010 Dear Citizens of Minnesota: I am pleased to share with you the MnPASS System Study Phase 2 Report, which provides analysis and recommendations for the next generation of MnPASS managed lane projects in the Twin Cities metropolitan region. The study was conducted by a consultant team and a joint Mn/DOT-Metropolitan Council technical advisory committee. The committee originally identified 19 sections of road and recommended several projects that can be built early and in conjunction with other planned construction. The team also looked for roads that have strong transit services, provide direct links to downtown areas, provide regional equity and build on the existing MnPASS Express Lane system. Eight routes are recommended, ranging from highest priority projects that could move forward in two to 10 years to more long-term opportunities. The report recognizes several policy issues that will need careful consideration and analysis as the MnPASS Express Lane system expands. These issues include establishing a regional consensus on the purpose of the MnPASS Express Lanes; ensuring equitable treatment of travelers across the region, working with the state’s partners at the Federal Highway Administration to develop safe and cost-effective designs, developing strategies for financing new lanes, considering freight and how it will be affected by the MnPASS system; and ensuring continued advantages for transit. MnPASS Express Lanes currently operate on I-394 between Wayzata and downtown Minneapolis and in two segments on I-35W, from Highway 13 in Burnsville to I-494 and from I-94 to downtown Minneapolis. MnPASS Express Lanes between I-494 and 42nd Street will open in November 2010. Additional MnPASS Express Lanes on I-35W in Burnsville will open in late 2011. The MnPASS Express Lanes have successfully provided motorists with safe, predictable travel while providing transportation choices. We believe expanding the MnPASS system is a cost- effective strategy to manage congestion in the Twin Cities. The lanes build on existing management strategies and can provide relief to traffic problem areas throughout the system. The technology allows us to maximize efficiency by managing all elements of the system. The result is a 21st century solution that is technology-based, multi-modal and problem-focused. Sincerely, Thomas K. Sorel Commissioner An Equal Opportunity Employer MnPASS System Study Phase 2 Table of Contents Executive Summary and Recommendations ....................................................... ES-1 Corridor Analysis ..............................................................................................ES-3 Recommendations .............................................................................................ES-6 1.0 Introduction ......................................................................................................... 1-1 1.1 Existing MnPASS System .......................................................................... 1-1 1.2 Future MnPASS Opportunities ................................................................ 1-2 2.0 Corridor Screening ............................................................................................. 2-1 3.0 Travel Demand and Cost Estimation Methodology .................................... 3-1 3.1 Travel Demand Forecasting....................................................................... 3-1 3.1.1 Met Council Model Treatment of Tolling..................................... 3-1 3.1.2 Model Updates for the MnPASS II Study ................................... 3-4 3.2 Cost Estimation Methodology .................................................................. 3-5 3.2.1 Structures ......................................................................................... 3-5 3.2.2 Roadway Construction .................................................................. 3-5 3.2.3 Advanced Traffic Management (ATM)....................................... 3-6 3.2.4 Roadway Connections ................................................................... 3-7 3.2.5 Risk ................................................................................................... 3-7 3.2.6 Operating and Maintenance Cost ................................................ 3-7 4.0 Cost and Engineering Results .......................................................................... 4-1 4.1 Individual Corridors .................................................................................. 4-1 4.2 Combined Corridors ................................................................................ 4-16 5.0 Travel Demand Forecasting Results ............................................................... 5-1 6.0 Performance Measures....................................................................................... 6-1 6.1 Performance Results................................................................................... 6-1 6.2 Transit Suitability Results.......................................................................... 6-4 i 8308.001 Table of Contents, continued 7.0 Benefit/Cost and Financial Analysis............................................................... 7-1 7.1 Approach to Benefit/Cost Analysis......................................................... 7-1 7.2 Benefit/Cost Analysis Findings ............................................................... 7-2 7.3 Approach to Financial Analysis ............................................................... 7-4 7.4 Results .......................................................................................................... 7-5 8.0 Policy, Technical, and Legal Issues ................................................................. 8-1 8.1 Policy ............................................................................................................ 8-1 8.1.1 Purpose of Future MnPASS Lanes............................................... 8-1 8.1.2 Should HOVs Pay? ......................................................................... 8-1 8.1.3 Equity ............................................................................................... 8-1 8.1.4 Transit Advantages ........................................................................ 8-3 8.1.5 Revenue Use .................................................................................... 8-4 8.2 Legal and Institutional Issues ................................................................... 8-5 8.3 Technical and Implementation Issues ..................................................... 8-6 8.3.1 System Design................................................................................. 8-6 8.3.2 Freight .............................................................................................. 8-6 8.3.3 Business Rules................................................................................. 8-7 8.3.4 Financing.......................................................................................... 8-7 ii 8308.001 MnPASS System Study Phase 2 List of Tables Table ES.1 MnPASS Corridor Short-Term Evaluation Summary ......................ES-9 Table 2.1 Initial Corridor Screening Summary..................................................... 2-6 Table 4.1 Cost Estimation Summary: Individual Corridors .............................. 4-2 Table 4.2 Cost Estimation Summary: Combined Corridors ............................ 4-16 Table 4.3 Comparison of MnPASS and MHSIS Cost Estimates....................... 4-20 Table 5.1 Average Daily Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) Comparison.............. 5-2 Table 5.2 Average Daily Volume Comparison..................................................... 5-3 Table 5.3 Change in Average Speed: MnPASS Alternative Compared to Base in the General Purpose (GP) Lanes and in Total A.M and P.M. Peak Periods and Daily.................................................................. 5-4 Table 6.1 Travel-Time Reliability............................................................................ 6-2 Table 6.2 Change in Average Daily Vehicle Throughput................................... 6-3 Table 6.3 Average Daily Reduction in Vehicle Hours Traveled ........................ 6-3 Table 6.4 Average Daily Change in Systemwide Congested VMT ................... 6-4 Table 6.5 Transit Suitability Summary .................................................................. 6-5 Table 7.1 Benefit/Cost Assumptions ..................................................................... 7-1 Table 7.2 Benefit/Cost Analysis Results ............................................................... 7-3 Table 7.3 Financial Assumptions............................................................................ 7-4 Table 7.4 Financial Analysis Results ...................................................................... 7-6 iii MnPASS System Study Phase 2 List of Figures Figure ES.1 Corridor Location Map .........................................................................ES-4 Figure ES.2 Top Performing Corridors for Each of the Performance Metric .....ES-11 Figure ES.3 Top Performing Corridors – Benefit/Cost Analysis and Financial Analysis................................................................................ES-12
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