I-394 Minneapolis, Minnesota
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I-394 Minneapolis, Minnesota, Analysis Plan www.its.dot.gov/index.htm Final Report – February 2010 FHWA-JPO-10-037 EDL Number 14944 Produced by the Technical Support and Assistance for the Federal Highway Administration’s Office of Operations contract DTFH61-06-D-00004 U.S. Department of Transportation Federal Highway Administration Notice This document is disseminated under the sponsorship of the Department of Transportation in the interest of information exchange. The United States Government assumes no liability for its contents or use thereof. The U.S. Government is not endorsing any manufacturers, products, or services cited herein and any trade name that may appear in the work has been included only because it is essential to the contents of the work. Technical Report Documentation Page 1. Report No. 2. Government Accession No. 3. Recipient’s Catalog No. FHWA-JPO-10-037 EDL No. 14944 4. Title and Subtitle 5. Report Date Integrated Corridor Management February 2010 I-394 Minneapolis, Minnesota – Analysis Plan 6. Performing Organization Code 7. Author(s) 8. Performing Organization Report No. Vassilis Papayannoulis, Brian Kary, Dean Deeter, Yi-Chang Chiu, Douglas Sallman, Karl Wunderlich, and Vassili Alexiadis 9. Performing Organization Name and Address 10. Work Unit No. (TRAIS) Cambridge Systematics, Inc. 555 12th Street, Suite 1600 11. Contract or Grant No. Oakland, California 94607 DTFH61-06-D-00004 12. Sponsoring Organization Name and Address 13. Type of Report and Period Covered U.S. Department of Transportation Final Report Research and Innovative Technology Administration (RITA) 14. Sponsoring Agency Code 1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE HOP Washington, DC 20590 15. Supplementary Notes The COTM for FHWA is Dale Thompson. 16. Abstract This AMS Analysis Plan for the Interstate 394 (I-394) Pioneer Corridor outlines the various tasks associated with the application of the ICM AMS tools to the corridor in support of a benefit/cost assessment of the proposed strategies. The report provides a brief description of the Pioneer Corridor in Minneapolis, Minnesota, and the methodology used for the AMS. It lays out ICM strategies that will be tested, and provides a list of the AMS scenarios. This report then defines performance measures that will be utilized in the analysis of the ICM strategies on the Pioneer Corridor and sets out the simulation model validation requirements and the data needs for this calibration. Finally, the last two sections of this report present an overview of the Pioneer Corridor AMS document that will be developed to summarize the results of the AMS effort and provides a schedule and a resource guide for the AMS tasks. 17. Key Words 18. Distribution Statement Integrated Corridor Management, ICM, mesoscopic models, cluster No Restrictions. analysis, incident, strategies, traveler information, pioneer corridor, analysis plan, analysis modeling simulation, AMS, performance measures, and Minneapolis, Minnesota, MN, I-394 19. Security Classification (of this 20. Security Classification (of this 21. No. of Pages 22. Price report) page) 71 NA unclassified unclassified Form DOT F 1700.7 (8-72) Reproduction of completed page authorized Table of Contents Chapter 1 Introduction and Background ............................................ 1 1.1 PRINCIPLES IN DEVELOPING AND APPLYING THE ANALYSIS PLAN ............ 2 Chapter 2 I-394 Corridor Site and AMS Methodology ........................ 3 2.1 I-394 CORRIDOR DESCRIPTION .............................................................. 3 2.2 MODELING APPROACH ............................................................................ 5 Travel Demand Forecasting Model .................................................... 5 Mesoscopic Simulation Model ............................................................ 6 Microscopic Simulation Model ............................................................ 9 Analysis of Mode Shift and Transit ..................................................... 9 Chapter 3 Analysis Scenarios and ICM Strategies .......................... 11 3.1 ANALYSIS SCENARIOS .......................................................................... 11 3.2 ICM STRATEGIES.................................................................................. 18 Earlier Dissemination (Pre-Trip Traveler Information)..................... 18 Earlier Dissemination (En-Trip Traveler Information) ...................... 20 Comparative Travel Times (Mode and Route) ................................ 21 Parking Availability at Park-and-Ride Lots ....................................... 21 Incident Signal Retiming Plans ......................................................... 21 Predefined Freeway and Arterial Closure Points ............................ 21 HOT Lanes ......................................................................................... 21 Dynamic Rerouting ............................................................................ 22 Transit Signal Priority ........................................................................ 22 3.3 SUMMARY OF ANALYSIS SETTINGS ....................................................... 24 3.4 DATA REQUIREMENTS ........................................................................... 24 Chapter 4 Performance Measures ..................................................... 26 4.1 MOBILITY .............................................................................................. 27 4.2 RELIABILITY AND VARIABILITY OF TRAVEL TIME ...................................... 27 4.3 SAFETY ................................................................................................. 28 4.4 EMISSIONS AND FUEL CONSUMPTION ................................................... 29 4.5 COST ESTIMATION ................................................................................ 29 Chapter 5 Model Calibration ............................................................... 31 5.1 SIMULATION MODEL CALIBRATION ........................................................ 31 5.2 CALIBRATION APPROACH ...................................................................... 31 Validation Criteria ............................................................................... 32 5.3 MODEL CALIBRATION DATA REQUIREMENTS ......................................... 32 5.4 MODEL SENSITIVITY .............................................................................. 33 Chapter 6 Documentation ................................................................... 34 Chapter 7 Schedule and Allocation of Responsibilities .................. 35 APPENDIX A. Mn/DOT Summary of Pre- and Post-ICM Strategies ....... 36 APPENDIX B. Mn/DOT Performance Measures ....................................... 41 MINNESOTA I-394 INTEGRATED CORRIDOR MANAGEMENT (ICM) .................. 41 1. Definition of Performance Measures – Draft ............................. 41 2. Performance Measure 1 – Vehicle and Person Throughput.... 42 3. Performance Measure 2 – Incident Impacts on Delay ............. 46 ii 4. Performance Measure 3 – Maximum Travel Time Reliability .. 48 5. Performance Measure 4: Influence on Travelers Behavior .... 50 6. Matrix of MOEs, Hypotheses, and Data Needs ........................ 52 APPENDIX C. U.S. DOT Guidance on Performance Measures .............. 54 CALCULATION PROCEDURES FOR KEY INTEGRATED CORRIDOR PERFORMANCE MEASURES FROM SIMULATION OUTPUTS ...................................................... 54 Travel Time ........................................................................................ 54 Delay .................................................................................................. 56 Travel Time Reliability ....................................................................... 57 Variance in Travel Time ..................................................................... 58 Throughput ......................................................................................... 59 Estimation of Travel Times and Travel Distance for Incomplete Trips61 Comparing Pre- and Post-ICM Cases ............................................. 62 Comparing Observed and Simulated Performance Measures ...... 62 APPENDIX D. Metric/English Conversion Factors .................................. 64 iii List of Tables Table 3-1. Freeway Operating Scenarios ...................................................... 18 Table 3-2. Sample Summary Responses From the Omnibus Survey .......... 19 Table 3-3. ICM Strategies and Scenarios Summary ..................................... 23 Table 3-4. Summary of Analysis Settings ...................................................... 25 Table 4-1. Injury and PDO Crash Rates ........................................................ 29 Table 5-1. Validation Criteria for the I-394 Corridor AMS .............................. 32 Table 5-2. Known Incident Characteristics for the I-394 Corridor AM ........... 33 Table 7-1. Project Schedule ........................................................................... 35 Table A-1. Minnesota ICM – Table Outlining Assumptions of Outcomes and Effects ............................................................................................. 37 Table B-1. Freeway Incident Scenarios ......................................................... 45 Table B-2. Data Needs and Availability for Vehicle and Person Throughput ............................................................................................. 46 Table B-3. Data Needs and Availability for Incident Impacts on Delay ......... 48