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Issue 50, 3d Quarter 2008 JFQ coming next in... Focus on Weapons of Mass Destruction Essay Competition Winners plus Whatever Happened to the “War on Drugs”? Legal Solutions to Terrorist Violence JOINT FORCE QUARTERLY JOINT FORCE . and more in issue 51, 4th Quarter 2008 of JFQ Focus on Naval Power The People’s Liberation Army Navy ISSUE fifty Challenges to Stability JOINT FORCE QUARTERLY 3 , D Published for the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff quarter by National Defense University Press Institute for National Strategic Studies Use of Military Force 2008 National Defense University, Washington, DC by the President 1070-0692(200833)50;1-P JOINT FORCE QUARTERLY Inside Issue 50, 3d Quarter 2008 New from NDU Press JFQ Dialogue Editor Col David H. Gurney, USMC (Ret.) . from the Institute for National Strategic Studies [email protected] From the Chairman Executive Editor Jeffrey D. Smotherman, Ph.D. 2 Choosing War: The Decision to Invade Iraq Managing Editor, NDU Press 4 Letters to the Editor LTC Robert E. Henstrand, USA and Its Aftermath Supervisory Editor George C. Maerz Forum Production Supervisor Martin J. Peters, Jr. by Joseph J. Collins Senior Copy Editor Calvin B. Kelley Executive Summary 6 Book Review Editor Lisa M. Yambrick Since 2006, the Institute for National Strategic Studies (INSS) has contributed to the On Naval Power By Milan N. Vego Project on National Security Reform’s study of the interagency process. As part of this Associate Editor CDR Margaret Kerr-McKown, USN 8 cooperative effort and in furtherance of the INSS mission to inform the national de- Design Rebecca J. White and Chris Dunham, 18 Hobson’s Choice for the American Maritime Industry: The Navy or Nothing fense policy debate, INSS is publishing selected analyses on national security reform. U.S. Government Printing Office By Douglas T. Tastad Printed in St. Louis, Missouri In this case study, Joseph J. Collins outlines how the United States chose to go to war by 24 Information Technology and China’s Naval Modernization By Andrew S. Erickson and Michael S. Chase in Iraq, how its decisionmaking process functioned, and what improvements could be made in that process. Finding that U.S. efforts were hobbled by faulty assumptions, flawed planning, and continuing inability to create adequate 31 China’s New Undersea Nuclear Deterrent: Strategy, Doctrine, and Capabilities By Toshi Yoshihara and James R. Holmes security conditions in Iraq, Collins concludes with several NDU Press is the National Defense University’s recommendations to improve the decisionmaking process for cross-component, professional military and 39 Seabased Ballistic Missile Defense By Alan B. Hicks complex contingency operations, such as developing a new academic publishing house. It publishes books, planning charter, improving the interagency planning process, policy briefs, occasional papers, monographs, and Seabasing: Expanding Access By Douglas M. King and John C. Berry, Jr. 46 and strengthening interagency execution. special reports on national security strategy, defense policy, national military strategy, regional security affairs, and global strategic problems. NDU Press is Special Features 43 pages. Available only from NDU Press. Visit the NDU Press part of the Institute for National Strategic Studies, a Web site for more information on this and other publications: policy research and strategic gaming organization. <ndupress.ndu.edu> 51 ISR Evolution in the Iraqi Theater By Raymond T. Odierno, Nichoel E. Brooks, and Francesco P. Mastracchio This is the authoritative, official U.S. Department Employing ISR: SOF Best Practices By Michael T. Flynn, Rich Juergens, of Defense edition of JFQ. Any copyrighted portions 56 of this journal may not be reproduced or extracted and Thomas L. Cantrell without permission of the copyright proprietors. Joint . from the Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction Force Quarterly should be acknowledged whenever 62 Tribal Engagement in Anbar Province: The Critical Role of Special material is quoted from or based on its content. Operations Forces By Thomas R. Searle International Partnerships to Combat The Imbalance in Iraqi Security Force Transition By Scott S. Jensen 67 COMMUNICATIONS Weapons of Mass Destruction The Influence of Just War Perspectives: Implications for Please visit NDU Press and Joint Force Quarterly 73 online at ndupress.ndu.edu for more on upcoming U.S. Central Command By Tyler Rauert by Paul I. Bernstein issues, an electronic archive of JFQ articles, and access to many other useful NDU Press publications. 79 Forty Years of COIN: The Israeli Occupation of the Palestinian Territories This paper examines the role, manifestations, and challenges of international coopera- Constructive comments and contributions By Nathan W. Toronto tion to combat the weapons of mass destruction (WMD) threat and poses important are important to us. Please direct editorial questions for future leaders to address in improving international cooperation in this communications to the link on the NDU Press Web 85 Israel’s Survival Instincts and the Dangers of Nuclear Weapons in Iranian Hands By Richard L. Russell area. The author delves into subjects such as the Proliferation Security Initiative, the site or write to: G–8 Global Partnership against the Spread of WMD, financial measures, United Integration of Coalition Forces into the USCENTCOM Mission Nations Security Council Resolution 1540, the Global Initiative to Combat Nuclear Editor, Joint Force Quarterly 92 National Defense University Press By John F. Couture Terrorism, the Global Nuclear Energy Partnership, nuclear 300 Fifth Avenue detection and forensics, biodefense and biosecurity, and U.S. Battling Misperceptions: Challenges to U.S. Security Cooperation Fort Lesley J. McNair 98 efforts to engage with allies and other security partners to Washington, DC 20319-5066 in Central Asia By Roger D. Kangas increase their capacity to deter, defend against, and respond to WMD threats. Near East South Asia Center for Strategic Studies: Building Relationships, Telephone: (202) 685-4220/DSN 325 105 FAX: (202) 685-4219/DSN 325 Enhancing Security By John D. Lawrence 42 pages. Available only from CSWMD. Visit the CSWMD Email: [email protected] Web site for more information on this and other publica- JFQ online: ndupress.ndu.edu tions: <ndu.edu/WMDCenter> 3d Quarter, July 2008 ISSN 1070-0692 Commentary PUBLISHER ADM Michael G. Mullen, USN Thinking Total Cost Requires Thinking Up Front By Adam B. Siegel 109 DIRECTOR, INSS The Use of Military Force by the President: Defensive Uses Short of War 113 Dr. Patrick M. Cronin By James P. Terry ADVISORY COMMittee The Case for JPME Phase Zero: Building a Joint Culture in the U.S. Navy 121 Gen James E. Cartwright, USMC The Joint Staff By David K. Richardson BG David A. Armstrong, USA (Ret.) Office of the Chairman MG Byron S. Bagby, USA Joint Forces Staff College Col Jeremiah D. Canty, USMC Marine Corps War College Interagency Dialogue A. Denis Clift National Defense Intelligence College Col Thomas Greenwood, USMC Marine Corps Command and Staff College 127 An Interview with Admiral James G. Stavridis, Commander, U.S. Southern Command RADM Garry E. Hall, USN Industrial College of the Armed Forces Brig Gen Jimmie C. Jackson, Jr., USAF Air Command and Staff College Col Jerome M. Lynes, USMC The Joint Staff Recall Maj Gen Stephen J. Miller, USAF Air War College BG Mark E. O’Neill, USA U.S. Army Command and General Staff College Why a Conversation with the Country? A Backward Look at Some Forward- LTG Walter L. Sharp, USA The Joint Staff 130 RADM Jacob L. Shuford, USN Naval War College thinking Maritime Strategists By Karl F. Walling Col David A. Smarsh, USAF Naval Postgraduate School Maj Gen Robert P. Steel, USAF National War College MG Robert M. Williams, USA U.S. Army War College Book Reviews LtGen Frances C. Wilson, USMC National Defense University Off the Shelf By Robert E. Henstrand Editorial Board 140 Richard K. Betts Columbia University Fighting Talk: Forty Maxims on War, Peace, and Strategy 141 Stephen D. Chiabotti School of Advanced Air and Space Studies Reviewed by Todd Manyx Eliot A. Cohen The Johns Hopkins University Aaron L. Friedberg Princeton University Hidden Iran: Paradox and Power in the Islamic Republic 142 Alan L. Gropman Industrial College of the Armed Forces Reviewed by Rizwan Ali Douglas N. Hime Naval War College Mark H. Jacobsen Marine Corps Command and Staff College The Highway War: A Marine Company Commander in Iraq Daniel T. Kuehl Information Resources Management College 143 Reviewed by Andrew Marvin Thomas L. McNaugher The RAND Corporation Kathleen Mahoney-Norris Air Command and Staff College Joint Doctrine Update John J. Mearsheimer The University of Chicago 144 LTG William E. Odom, USA (Ret.) Hudson Institute Col Mark Pizzo, USMC (Ret.) National War College James A. Schear National Defense University The opinions, conclusions, and recommendations expressed or implied within are those of the contributors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Department of Defense or COL Robert E. Smith, USA (Ret.) U.S. Army War College any other agency of the Federal Government. LtGen Bernard E. Trainor, USMC (Ret.) CONTRIBUTIONS ABOUT THE COVERS Joint Force Quarterly welcomes submission of scholarly, independent research from members of the Armed Forces, security policymakers and shapers, defense analysts, academic specialists, and civilians About the covers: The front cover shows a composite of three photos (top to bottom): from the United States and abroad. Submit articles for consideration SH–60F approaching for landing aboard USS Momsen (U.S. Navy/James R. Evans); USS to the address on the opposite page or by email to [email protected] Hampton surfacing at North Pole (U.S. Navy/Kevin Elliott); and Navy diver descending into “Attention A&R Editor” in the subject line. For further information, water off coast of St. Croix (U.S. Navy/Glen Hurd). The table of contents shows (left to right): see the guidelines on the NDU Press Web site at ndupress.ndu.edu.