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Summer 2008 Full Issue the .SU Naval War College Review Volume 61 Article 18 Number 3 Summer 2008 Summer 2008 Full Issue The .SU . Naval War College Follow this and additional works at: https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review Recommended Citation War College, The .SU . Naval (2008) "Summer 2008 Full Issue," Naval War College Review: Vol. 61 : No. 3 , Article 18. Available at: https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol61/iss3/18 This Full Issue is brought to you for free and open access by the Journals at U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Naval War College Review by an authorized editor of U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. War College: Summer 2008 Full Issue Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2008 1 Naval War College Review, Vol. 61 [2008], No. 3, Art. 18 Cover Vice Admiral Stockdale (1923–2005) left his mark on the Naval War College not only as president of the institution, from October 1977 to August 1979, but as a thinker on and writer about—and as an exemplar of—leadership. His contribu- tions in the latter respect are remembered today in the school’s College of Opera- tional and Strategic Leadership, particu- larly in the Stockdale Group, a team of students carefully selected each year for directed study. This issue offers a prime example of that group’s recent work, in “Developing the Navy’s Operational Leaders: A Critical Look,” by Com- mander Christopher D. Hayes, U.S. Navy, who graduated (with distinction, as a lieutenant commander) in 2007. Vice Admiral Stockdale’s observation re- produced on the cover is drawn from his essay “Moral Leadership” in the U.S. Na- val Institute Proceedings 106, no. 931 (September 1980), a contribution to the Leadership Forum department of that journal—of course, set conventionally, as prose. The work was reprinted as “Machiavelli, Management, and Moral Leadership” in Military Ethics: Reflec- tions on Principles, edited by Malham Wakin et al. (Washington, D.C.: Na- tional Defense Univ. Press, 1987). Cover design by the Naval War College Visual Communications Branch. https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol61/iss3/18 2 War College: Summer 2008 Full Issue NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW Summer 2008 Volume 61, Number 3 NAVAL WAR COLLEGE PRESS 686 Cushing Road Newport, RI 02841-1207 Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2008 3 Naval War College Review, Vol. 61 [2008], No. 3, Art. 18 NAVAL WAR COLLEGE PRESS ADVISORY BOARD PRESIDENT, NAVAL WAR COLLEGE Adam Bellow Rear Adm. Jacob L. Shuford, USN Capt. Wayne P. Hughes, USN (Ret.) PROVOST AND DEAN OF ACADEMICS (ACTING) Gale Mattox William R. Spain Robert Silano Marin Strmecki DEAN OF NAVAL WARFARE STUDIES Dov Zakheim Robert C. Rubel NAVAL WAR COLLEGE PRESS NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW EDITORIAL BOARD Carnes Lord, Editor Col. James Conklin, USMC Pelham G. Boyer, Managing Editor Audrey Kurth Cronin Phyllis P. Winkler, Book Review Editor Peter Dombrowski Lori A. Almeida, Secretary and Circulation Manager Stephen Downes-Martin Frank Uhlig, Jr., Editor Emeritus Lt. Cdr. Derek S. Reveron, USN Col. Theodore L. Gatchel, USMC (Ret.) Naval War College Review Capt. Dennis Mandsager, JAGC, USN (Ret.) Code 32, Naval War College William C. Martel 686 Cushing Rd., Newport, RI 02841-1207 Col. Mackubin Owens, USMC (Ret.) Fax: 401.841.1071 Capt. Peter M. Swartz, USN (Ret.) DSN exchange, all lines: 948 Scott C. Truver Website: www.nwc.navy.mil/press Karl F. Walling Editor, Circulation, or Business James J. Wirtz 401.841.2236 [email protected] Managing Editor 401.841.4552 [email protected] Newport Papers, Books [email protected] Essays and Book Reviews 401.841.6584 [email protected] Other Naval War College Offices 401.841.3089 https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol61/iss3/18 4 War College: Summer 2008 Full Issue The Naval War College Review was established in 1948 as a forum for discussion of public policy matters of interest to the maritime services. The thoughts and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the authors and are not necessarily those of the U.S. government, the U.S. Navy Department, or the Naval War College. The journal is published quarterly. Distribution is limited generally to commands and activities of the U.S. Navy, Marine Corps, and Coast Guard; regular and reserve officers of U.S. services; foreign officers and civilians having a present or previous affiliation with the Naval War College; selected U.S. government officials and agen- cies; and selected U.S. and international libraries, research centers, publications, and educational institutions. Contributors Please request the standard contributors’ guidance from the managing editor or access it online before submitting manuscripts. The Naval War College Review nei- ther offers nor makes compensation for articles or book reviews, and it assumes no responsibility for the return of manuscripts, although every effort is made to return those not accepted. In submitting work, the sender warrants that it is original, that it is the sender’s property, and that neither it nor a similar work by the sender has been accepted or is under consideration elsewhere. Permissions Reproduction and reprinting are subject to the Copyright Act of 1976 and appli- cable treaties of the United States. To obtain permission to reproduce material bearing a copyright notice, or to reproduce any material for commercial pur- poses, contact the editor for each use. Material not bearing a copyright notice may be freely reproduced for academic or other noncommercial use; however, it is requested that the author and Naval War College Review be credited and that the editor be informed. Periodicals postage paid at Newport, R.I. POSTMASTERS, send address changes to: Naval War College Review, Code 32S, Naval War College, 686 Cushing Rd., Newport, R.I. 02841-1207. ISSN 0028-1484 Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2008 5 Naval War College Review, Vol. 61 [2008], No. 3, Art. 18 https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol61/iss3/18 6 War College: Summer 2008 Full Issue CONTENTS From the Editors. 3 President’s Forum . 7 Asia Rising Revisiting Taiwan’s Defense Strategy . 13 William S. Murray If, as was long presumed, Taiwan could fend off a Chinese bombardment, invasion, or blockade, it probably can no longer. But in a wholly new defense posture Taiwan might prevent such an attack from achieving the goals for which it was mounted—and perhaps deter it from being made at all. China and the United States in the Indian Ocean An Emerging Strategic Triangle? . 41 James R. Holmes and Toshi Yoshihara Conditions today are auspicious for shaping a mutually beneficial maritime relationship among India, China, and the United States. Maritime security cooperation, however, is by no means foreordained, and the opportunity to achieve it may not endure for long. Strategy and Policy Reflections on Future War . 61 Mackubin Thomas Owens Despite recent experience, the more extreme claims of the technological optimists who largely dominated the debate in the 1990s continue to exert substantial influence. But is this the correct vision of future war? In fact, the character (not the nature) of war is changing in fundamental and dangerous ways. Leadership and Decision Developing the Navy’s Operational Leaders A Critical Look . 77 Commander Christopher D. Hayes, U.S. Navy There is a leadership crisis in the Navy, and it is a consequence of a misaligned, fragmented, and marginalized system of officer professional development. Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2008 7 2 NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW Naval War College Review, Vol. 61 [2008], No. 3, Art. 18 Admiral Richard G. Colbert Pioneer in Building Global Maritime Partnerships . 109 John B. Hattendorf Building global maritime alliances, a central element of the U.S. Navy’s new strategy, has been a hallmark of the Naval War College for more than half a century. In this, Admiral Richard Colbert was a key leader, both at the College and in the Navy. Research & Debate The Effect of Tactical Ballistic Missiles on the Maritime Strategy of China . 133 Wang Wei Translated by OS3 Danling Cacioppo, U.S. Navy Book Reviews Taiwan’s Statesman: Lee Teng-hui and Democracy in Asia, by Richard C. Kagan Why Taiwan? Geostrategic Rationales for China’s Territorial Integrity, by Alan M. Wachman reviewed by Bernard D. Cole . 141 Defending the Homeland: Historical Perspectives on Radicalism, Terrorism, and State Responses, edited by Melinda M. Hicks and C. Belmont Keeney reviewed by Randy L. Unger . 143 Brown Waters of Africa: Portuguese Riverine Warfare, 1961–1974, by John P. Cann reviewed by Martin N. Murphy . 144 Assignment Pentagon: How to Excel in a Bureaucracy, 4th ed., by Perry M. Smith and Daniel M. Gerstein reviewed by Albert J. Shimkus . 145 Flying Tigers: Claire Chennault and His American Volunteers, 1941–1942, by Daniel Ford reviewed by William Calhoun . 146 The Kaoboys of R&AW: Down Memory Lane, by B. Raman reviewed by John R. Arpin . 147 Portuguese Oceanic Expansion, 1400–1800, edited by Francisco Bethencourt and Diogo Ramada Curto reviewed by John B. Hattendorf . 148 In My View. 150 https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol61/iss3/18 8 War College: Summer 2008 Full Issue FROM THE EDITORS On 22 March, in an exemplary display of democracy in action that seems to have been little noticed in this country, the people of Taiwan voted by an unexpect- edly large margin to reject the presidential candidate of the governing Demo- cratic Progressive Party in favor of the leader of the main opposition party, the Kuomintang.
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