FY19 Interim Results 15 February 2019
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FY19 interim results 15 February 2019 Vicinity Centres | FY19 interim results | 15 February 2019 DFO Perth, WA FY19 interim results Grant Kelley overview and strategy CEO AND MANAGING DIRECTOR update Financials and Michael O’Brien FY19 guidance CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER Kah Wong ACTING CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER Portfolio Stuart Macrae EGM LEASING Retail and mixed-use Carolyn Viney development EGM DEVELOPMENT Strategic growth initiatives Justin Mills EGM SHOPPING CENTRE MANAGEMENT Questions Grant Kelley CEO AND MANAGING DIRECTOR Vicinity Centres | FY19 interim results | 15 February 2019 QueensPlaza, QLD FY19 interim results overview and strategy update Grant Kelley CEO AND MANAGING DIRECTOR Vicinity Centres | FY19 interim results | 15 February 2019 The Strand Arcade, NSW Vicinity’s strategy Unlocking Vicinity’s potential Horizon 1 On balance sheet – Listed (VCX) Strengthening the core Create market-leading Accretive destinations developments, Ongoing divestments portfolio and review acquisitions Land parcel Wholesale carve outs assets Capital Capital Horizon 2 and fees and fees Off balance sheet – Unlisted Realise Expand mixed-use wholesale opportunities Mixed-use assets funds Vicinity Centres | FY19 interim results | 15 February 2019 4 FY19 interim results overview Strategy delivering results Financial results Statutory net profit of $235.3m Funds from operations (FFO) of 9.06 cps, reflecting 2.0% comparable growth1 Gearing reduced to 25.1% Strengthening the core Performance enhanced due to divestment of non-core assets Specialty MAT2/sqm up 6.0% to $10,7463 from Jun-18 Specialty and mini majors MAT growth3 of 4.2% Leasing spreads4 of 4.4% Portfolio occupancy of 99.7% Accretive developments Perth DFO opened fully leased and recorded 40% valuation gain The Glen Stage 3 opened fully leased and on budget Chadstone Victoria’s Secret flagship and atrium dining opened, and progressed hotel construction Strategic initiatives Sold $631m of up to $1b of non-core assets targeted for divestment Discussions with potential wholesale fund investors ongoing UNIQLO opening at The Glen, VIC Progressing on a select number of large, strategic, high-value mixed-use opportunities 1. Adjusted for the impact of divestments. Unadjusted FFO per security is down 0.9%. Refer to slide 50 for full reconciliation of FFO to statutory net profit. 2. Moving Annual Turnover. 3. Excludes divestments and development-impacted centres in accordance with Shopping Acquired 40m securities for $106m at 11.1% discount to Dec-18 NTA5 Centre Council of Australia (SCCA) guidelines (refer to slide 46 for details). 4. Leasing spreads include all store types other than majors, offices, ATMs and storage. For leases greater than 18 months duration and excludes project-impacted leasing and divestments. 5. Net tangible assets per security. Vicinity Centres | FY19 interim results | 15 February 2019 5 Market-leading destinations Portfolio repositioning well progressed Progress on divestment of up to $1.0b of non-core assets Progress to market-leading destination portfolio Divested 11 assets for $631m in October 20181 Number of assets Progressing divestment of the four remaining assets, however no further divestments expected for FY19 (12) Proposed ~$1.0b wholesale fund discussions with potential investors ongoing (12) Establishment of wholesale fund assumed post FY19 Strong reinvestment opportunities 74 Gearing reduced to 25.1%, at the low end of target range Acquired 40m securities for $106m at 11.1% discount to Dec-18 NTA 50 Portfolio enhancement through significant retail development pipeline Jun-18 Non-core Wholesale fund and Market-leading portfolio divestments remaining planned destinations 1H FY19 divestments2 (destination portfolio) 1. Excludes the sale of Flinders Square, WA for $39.5m, which settled in August 2018. 2. Includes the remaining non-core assets planned to be sold of the up to $1.0b divestment program, and the proposed establishment of a wholesale fund to be seeded with ~$1.0b of assets from Vicinity’s balance sheet. Vicinity Centres | FY19 interim results | 15 February 2019 6 Market-leading destinations Outstanding performance from Flagship assets, with plans to strengthen High Potential portfolio Chadstone, VIC QueensPlaza, QLD DFO Perth, WA Total MAT growth1 (%) Leasing spreads2 (%) Comparable NPI growth3 (%) 12 20 8 9.7 15.9 10 16 5.8 6 8 6.7 Total 12 9.2 Total 3.9 6 4 Total portfolio 7.5 portfolio 8 portfolio 4 2.7 4.4 2.2 4 2 1.1 2 0.9 1.0 -1.4 0 0 0 -0.7 Chadstone Premium DFOs High Chadstone Premium DFOs High -4 Chadstone Premium DFOs High CBD Potential CBD Potential -2 CBD Potential Flagship Flagship Flagship 1. Excludes divestments and development-impacted centres in accordance with 2. Leasing spreads include all store types other than majors, offices, ATMs and storage. For leases 3. Excludes acquisitions, divestments and development-impacted centres and is SCCA guidelines (refer to slide 46 for details). greater than 18 months duration and excludes project-impacted leasing and divestments. calculated on a like-for-like basis versus the prior corresponding period. Vicinity Centres | FY19 interim results | 15 February 2019 7 Market-leading destinations ~40% of destination portfolio value comprised of highly productive Chadstone and Premium CBD assets Destination portfolio Flagship Specialty MAT/sqm $20,000 ~$18,400 ~$11,200 Occupancy costs $16,000 15.4% $12,000 ~$10,100 1 17.5% ~$8,600 $8,000 SpecialtyMAT/sqm 11.3%1 $4,000 15.4%1 $0 ~38% ~12% ~50% Chadstone and Premium CBD DFOs High Potential Proportion of portfolio value Emporium Melbourne, VIC 1. Percentages on charts reflect average occupancy costs. Vicinity Centres | FY19 interim results | 15 February 2019 8 Market-leading destinations High Potential assets present opportunities to strengthen performance Destination portfolio1 Live development High Potential assets category detail The Glen, VIC Live development 2% Development pipeline Development pipeline 11% Bankstown Central, NSW Box Hill Central, VIC Mixed-use 3% Chatswood Chase Sydney, NSW – future Flagship Ellenbrook Central, WA Product call 12% Mixed-use 2 High Victoria Gardens Shopping Centre, VIC Flagship Potential 50% 50% Product call3 Altona Gate, VIC, Grand Plaza, QLD and Northland, VIC Regional and Sub Regional Regional and Carlingford Court, NSW, Castle Plaza, SA, Nepean Village, NSW, Sub Regional 22% Runaway Bay Centre, QLD and Warriewood Square, NSW Note: The list of assets on this slide is not exhaustive. 1. By December 2018 portfolio value for the 50 assets in the destination portfolio. 2. Flagship = Chadstone, Premium CBDs and DFOs. 3. Remixing opportunities which substantially enhance the centre’s retailer offering to the market. Vicinity Centres | FY19 interim results | 15 February 2019 9 Vicinity response to macro environment Unique portfolio and strategic direction yielding benefits Wages growth is now out-pacing living costs growth 7% Vicinity strategically well positioned Wages Growth Living Costs Growth 6% Focus on market-leading destinations Forecasts 5% Continue to divest non-core assets and reinvest prudently 4% Enhance unrivalled Flagship assets 3% Growth Rate (YoY) Rate Growth Develop select High Potential assets 2% Drive ancillary income 1% Digital platform to drive income, efficiencies and experience 0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: ABS & Melbourne Institute Exchange rate leading growth in inbound tourism to Australia Realising mixed use opportunities 1.20 1.5 Exchange Rate (AUD:USD) Focus on a select number of large, high value projects 1.10 Overseas Travel OUT:IN Ratio 1.4 1.3 1.00 Expand wholesale funds platform 1.2 0.90 1.1 0.80 More Outbound Travel 1.0 0.70 More Inbound Travel 0.9 Exchange Rate (AUD:USD) Rate Exchange 0.60 0.8 0.50 0.7 Ratio) (Outbound:Inbound Travel Overseas 0.40 0.6 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: ABS & RBA Vicinity Centres | FY19 interim results | 15 February 2019 10 Vicinity is uniquely positioned now and into the future Attractive portfolio a first port of call for Australian and international retailers CHADSTONE DFOs Australia’s #1 Australia’s #1 retail asset Outlet Centre portfolio PREMIUM CBD LEADING LUXURY LOCATIONS OFFER Unrivalled Australian Australia’s #1 east coast retail offer landlord to this growing segment Vicinity Centres | FY19 interim results | 15 February 2019 11 Financials and FY19 guidance Michael O’Brien CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER Kah Wong ACTING CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER Vicinity Centres | FY19 interim results | 15 February 2019 Chadstone, VIC FY19 guidance re-affirmed1 Forecast comparable FY19 FFO per security growth of 2.3% to 3.4%1 FY19 FFO per security guidance of 18.0 to 18.2 cents FY19 FFO guidance reiterated 19 Represents 2.3% to 3.4% FFO per security comparable growth, after adjusting for the impact of portfolio changes2 Comparable growth of 18.2 FY19 FFO 2.3% to 3.4% Assumes impact of $106m securities bought back and $670m guidance 18 of divestments completed to date in FY19 (0.6) range No further divestments, nor establishment of wholesale fund, assumed in FY19 18.2 17 18.0 Cents per security per Cents Distribution payout ratio is expected to be at the upper 17.6 end of 95% to 100% of adjusted FFO (AFFO), or 85% to 90% of FFO1 16 FY19 maintenance capex and incentives forecast of ~$80m to $90m FY18 FFO Portfolio Adjusted Stable business FY19 FFO changes2 FY18 FFO and development (stable portfolio) growth 1. Assuming