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Risk Assessment of Water Area in the Shanghai Port

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Risk Assessment of Water Area in the Shanghai Port World Maritime University The Maritime Commons: Digital Repository of the World Maritime University Maritime Safety & Environment Management Dissertations Maritime Safety & Environment Management 8-23-2015 Risk assessment of water area in the Shanghai Port Na Lin Follow this and additional works at: https://commons.wmu.se/msem_dissertations Part of the Risk Analysis Commons This Dissertation is brought to you courtesy of Maritime Commons. Open Access items may be downloaded for non-commercial, fair use academic purposes. No items may be hosted on another server or web site without express written permission from the World Maritime University. For more information, please contact [email protected]. WORLD MARITIME UNIVERSITY Dalian, China RISK ASSESSMENT OF WATER AREA IN THE SHANGHAI PORT By LIN NA The People’s Republic of China A research paper submitted to the World Maritime University in partial Fulfillment of the requirements for the award of the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE (MARITIME SAFETY AND ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT) 2015 © Copyright Lin Na, 2015 DECLARATION I certify that all the material in this research paper that is not my own work has been identified, and that no material is included for which a degree has previously been conferred on me. The contents of this research paper reflect my own personal views, and are not necessarily endorsed by the University. Signature: Lin Na Date: 29 July 2015 Supervised by: Shi Guoyou Professor Dalian Maritime University Assessor: Co-assessor: I ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Special thanks should be given to the Maritime Safety Administration of the Ministry of Transportation of the People’s Republic of China, Dalian Maritime University and World Maritime University for providing the second study career and good academic systems of Maritime Safety and Environment Management. Meanwhile particular thanks to Tianjin MSA and M.V. Yukun for the practice study. Without the generous support and help from those excellent persons, I might not complete this paper to apply for my master’s degree of science successfully. I would give my appreciation into my family who give me the support morally. Meanwhile I would give my sincere thanks to those persons: Geng J.H. and Li Y. from Shanghai Maritime Safety Administration for the data collection of VTS; Zhou H.W., Lu J.Q. and Gu J. from Shanghai Pilot Station for the collection of meteorological data, information of channel features and experience of ship operation. I am so sorry I cannot list all the people who have given me a lot of help, but I will remember it forever The special appreciation must be given to my dissertation supervisor, Dr. Shi Guoyou, who gave me a lot of professional advice. Needless to say, my thanks shall also be conveyed to all the hard-working professors who have ever taught me. In additional, I’d really like to extend my thanks to the staff of the MSEM programme for their efforts that make my study meaningful, especially Prof. Ma Shuo and Ms. Wang Yanhua who is in charge of the service work. II Title: Risk Assessment of Water Area in the Shanghai Port Degree: MSc III ABSTRACT The Shanghai Port remains the champion of port container throughput in the world for 5 years. In the development of the Shanghai port and shipping industry, Shanghai has become a world-class shipping port from a small fishing village. Due to its special geographical location, a large number of goods have been transported to the other countries and inland provinces and cities along the Yangtze River. While economy and trade are increasing every day, the safety of the Shanghai Port have attracts attention and becomes the major problem. The development of shipping industry is protected by IMO that pays attention to the lives and properties and prevention of environmental pollution According to the statistics, the safety of water area in the Shanghai Port gets the high attention from Shanghai MSA. However the number of traffic accidents does not decrease though law enforcement force has increased by Shanghai MSA. Various factors will affect the safety of water area in Shanghai Port, including human factors, vessel factors, environment factors, management factors and so on. Crew members may be nervous when they face to urgent or dangerous situation due to the lack of experience and the problem of vessel which will lead to out of control, grounding and collision accidents. Meanwhile, typhoon and visibility will influence the safety of water area in the Shanghai Port. The delay of plan, lack of technology of pilotage and interference of engineering vessels and fishing vessels are all the risky factors to the water area in Shanghai. Therefore, due to these various factors, the comprehensive evaluation mode should be used in estimating the safety of water area in the Shanghai Port. Fuzzy mathematics has affected many fields since its emergence and development. Meanwhile these fields have developed so well due to the role of fuzzy mathematics IV which aims at the study of inaccurate things. The position of water area has not changed, but the different vessels which are piloted by different crews or pilots and different environment will produce different effects. In this study, a new risk evaluation of different water area in the Shanghai Port has been done according to the actual situation of Shanghai Port. Because the mode of fuzzy mathematics is a kind of dynamic model on the risk assessment of water area in the Shanghai Port according to the analysis of five types of factors, it is important to clear all the factors and make sure the degree of importance of each factor. And then establishing the subset by these factors and considering the degree of each factor. Due to the fuzzy factors influence and different fuzzy degree of factors of water area in Shanghai Port, fuzzy mathematics theory has been used to describe and analyze. In the result, a comprehensive evaluation mode on the risk assessment of water area in the Shanghai Port has been established. The fuzzy evaluation method has been used in the evaluation system by consideration of various factors. In order to check the feasibility and reliability of mode, the actual example will be used for verification. KEYWORDS: Shanghai Port, risk assessment, Degree of Membership， comprehensive evaluation model V List of Content DECLARATION ........................................................................................................ I ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ..................................................................................... II ABSTRACT ........................................................................................................... IVV LIST OF FIGURES ................................................................................................. IX LIST OF TABLES ................................................................................................... XI LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS .............................................................................. XIII CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION .............................................................................. 1 1.1 Background ................................................................................................................... 1 1.2 The Purpose and Scope of the Study .......................................................................... 2 1.3 The Methodology of the Study .................................................................................... 4 1.4 Current Study of Shanghai Port ................................................................................. 7 CHAPTER 2 BLOCK DIVISION OF SAHNGHAI PORT .................................. 8 2.1 The Reason for Block Division .................................................................................... 8 2.2 Main Channel of Shanghai Section of the Yangtze River ........................................ 8 2.2.1 The Deep Water Channel of 12.5m in North Passage ............................ 8 2.2.2 The Waigaoqiao Channel .......................................................................... 9 2.2.3 The Baoshan Channel ............................................................................. 11 2.2.4 The Baoshan North Channel .................................................................. 11 2.2.5 The Baoshan South Channel .................................................................. 12 2.2.6 The Precautionary Area .......................................................................... 12 2.3 Auxiliary Channel of Shanghai Section of Yangtze River ...................................... 13 2.3.1 Downstream Section of South Passage .................................................. 13 2.3.2 Upstream Section of the South Passage ................................................. 14 2.3.3 The Jiuduansha Precautionary Area ..................................................... 14 2.3.4 Analysis of Channel in the Shanghai Port ............................................. 16 CHAPTER 3 ANALLYSIS OF RISK FACTORS INFLUENCING SAFETY OF SHANGHAI PORT ......................................................................... 20 3.1 Analysis of Vessel Factors ......................................................................................... 21 3.1.1 Analysis of Ship Age ................................................................................ 21 VI 3.1.2 Analysis of Ship Position ......................................................................... 21 3.1.3 Analysis of Ship Speed ...........................................................................
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