Ruxandra Paul Assistant Professor, Political Science Department, Amherst College Visiting Scholar, Center for European Studies, Harvard University
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[email protected] September 20, 2019 Citizens of the Market Migration’s Rescue of Liberal Democracy and the European Union Thirty years after the fall of communism in 1989, the political trajectories of Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries continue to defy expectations. The early 1990s were dominated by concerns over the likelihood that democracy will not take root in CEE. Some predicted the erosion of support for democracy as a result of economic reforms (Przeworski, 1991), while others thought that “the danger of new dictatorship in Eastern Europe comes from the bottom, not from the top” (Ost, 1992). The mid-1990s and early 2000s brought reassurance that democratic CEE polities worked fairly well (Levitz and Pop-Eleches, 2010; Roberts, 2009). Some saw the region as an “unqualified democratic success story” and declared earlier analogies with Latin America misplaced (Greskovits, 1998). The first couple of decades after the end of the Cold War seemed to bode well for postcommunist new democracies. Since 2004, eleven CEE have countries joined the European Union (EU). Many noted that Poland and Hungary had rapidly consolidated (Linz and Stepan, 1996) and thought they “passed the point of no return” making “authoritarian reversal” inconceivable (Ekiert and Kubik, 1998). In the 2000s, however, it became clear that earlier optimism had been somewhat premature. Some warned of “democratic fatigue” and populist backlash (Rupnik, 2007). What was most puzzling, however, was the uneven way in which backsliding affected the region.