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Man-Induced Environmental Risks: Monitoring, Management and Remediation of Man- Made Changes in Siberia

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Man-Induced Environmental Risks: Monitoring, Management and Remediation of Man- Made Changes in Siberia Scientific Report 07-04 Enviro-RISKS: Man-induced Environmental Risks: Monitoring, Management and Remediation of Man- made Changes in Siberia First-Year EC 6FP CA Enviro–RISKS Project Report: Overview and Pro- gress Reports by Partners INCO-CT-2005-013427: D10.1, D10.6 Editor: Alexander Baklanov, Danish Meteorological Institute Copenhagen 2007 www.dmi.dk/dmi/sr07-04 page 1 of 109 Scientific Report 07-04 Colophon Serial title: Scientific Report 07-04 Title: Enviro-RISKS: Man-induced Environmental Risks: Monitoring, Management and Remediation of Man-made Changes in Siberia Subtitle: First-Year EC 6FP CA Enviro–RISKS Project Report: Overview and Progress Reports by Partners Author(s): Alexander Baklanov (Editor) See also Team leaders on page 6 Other contributors (co-authors): Aakjær P.D., Abdrakhmanova N.N., Balakay L.A., Belan B.D., Christensen J.H., Dedova T.V., Evtyushkin A.V., Fazliev A.Z., Gordov E.P., Gordova Yu.E., Grinkov S., Gross A., Heimann M., Kabanov M.V., Kharitonov Y.A., Korets M.A., Lopatin K.I., Lykosov V.N., Mahura A.G., Mik- heyeva N.A., Mirkarimova B.M., Nikolaeva, A.V., Nilsson S., Nuterman R.B., Onuchin A.A., Pak K, Penenko V.V., Pushistov P.Yu., Schmullius C., Schumacher M., Shishkin A.S., Shvidenko A., Sørensen J.H., Soromotin A.V., Starchenko, A.V., Stendel M., Vtorushin M.N., Zakarin E.A. Responsible institution: Danish Meteorological Institute Language: English Keywords: Environmental risks, atmospheric pollution, climate change, terrestrial ecosystems, information systems Url: www.dmi.dk/dmi/sr07-04 Digital ISBN: 978-87-7478-550-7 ISSN: 1399-1949 Version: January 2007 Website: www.dmi.dk Copyright: Danish Meteorological Institute www.dmi.dk/dmi/sr07-04 page 2 of 109 Scientific Report 07-04 Content: Abstract ................................................................................................................................................5 List of Enviro-RISKS CA Team Leaders ............................................................................................6 Aakjær P.D., DMI Director: Welcome speech for Project start ..........................................................7 Baklanov A.A. Gordov E.P.: Overview of the FP6 INCO Co-ordination Action “Man-induced Environmental Risks: Monitoring, Management and Remediation of Man-made Changes in Siberia” (Enviro-RISKS) .....................................................................................................................8 1. Atmospheric Pollution and Risks...................................................................................................15 1.1. Gordov E.P., A.V. Starchenko: Integrated System for Intelligent Regional Environmental Monitoring and Management (ISIREMM)....................................................................................15 1.2. Mahura A.G., A.A. Baklanov, J.H. Sørensen: Assessment of Dispersion Modelling Results (AR-NARP) ...................................................................................................................................19 1.3. Zakarin E.A., T.V. Dedova: Development of GIS Technology for Monitoring and Modeling of Dust Storm.................................................................................................................................24 1.4. Mirkarimova B.M.: Geographic Information Systems Technology for Monitoring and Modeling of Air Pollution due to Burning of Hydrocarbons.........................................................26 1.5. Penenko V.V.: Methods and Models for Studying and Forecasting Changes in Environment ........................................................................................................................................................29 1.6. Penenko V.V., B.D. Belan, Y.A. Kharitonov: Ecological Problems of Siberian Cities.......30 1.7. Penenko V.V.: Development of Models and Methods for Revealing and Studying Regions of Increased Ecological Risk taking Siberian Region as Example ................................................33 1.8. Baklanov A.A.: Integrated Systems for Forecasting Urban Meteorology, Air Pollution and Population Exposure (FUMAPEX) ...............................................................................................36 1.9. Gross A.: Global and Regional Earth-System Monitoring Using Satellite and In-Situ Data (GEMS)..........................................................................................................................................44 1.10 Nuterman R.B., A.V. Starchenko and A.A. Baklanov: Microscale model for urban environment ...................................................................................................................................47 2. Climate/Global Change and Risks .................................................................................................52 2.1. Kabanov M.V., E.P. Gordov: Siberian Geosphere-Bioshere Program -- Integrated Regional Study of Modern Natural and Climatic Changes (SGBP) .............................................................52 2.2. Penenko V.V.: Study of Relations Between Energy Activity Centers in Climatic System and Ecological Risk/Vulnerability Zones ......................................................................................54 2.3. Lykosov V.N.: Mathematical Modelling of Natural and Anthropogenic Changes of Siberian Climate and Environment ..............................................................................................................56 2.4. Stendel M., J.H. Christensen: Carbon Budget Studies and Permafrost Modelling in Northern Russia..............................................................................................................................60 2.5. Heimann M., M. Schumacher: Observing Biogeochemical Processes in Eurasia................62 3. Terrestrial Ecosystems/Hydrology and Risks................................................................................66 3.1. Onuchin A.A., M.A. Korets, A.S. Shishkin, N.A. Mikheyeva: Some Aspects of Environmental After-Effects of Natural Resources Using in Siberian Taiga................................66 3.2. Evtyushkin A.V.: Space Monitoring of Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug – Ugra Territory .........................................................................................................................................69 3.3. Pushistov P. Yu., M. N. Vtorushin: Conservation and Management of Lower Ob and Irtysh Basin Water Bodies on Basis of Information-Simulating Hydrodynamics and Water Quality Systems ..........................................................................................................................................72 3.4. Lopatin K.I., A.V. Nikolaeva, A.V. Soromotin: Remediation of Lands and Water Bodies Polluted with Oil and Formation Waters on the Territory of Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug – Ugra .................................................................................................................................76 3.5. Kabanov M.V.: Complex Monitoring of Great Vasyugan Bog: Modern State and Development Processes Research..................................................................................................79 www.dmi.dk/dmi/sr07-04 page 3 of 109 Scientific Report 07-04 3.6. Balakay L.A.: Modeling of Oil Pollution Spreading on Sea ................................................82 3.7. Shvidenko A., S. Nilsson, C. Schmullius: Terrestrial Biota Regional Full Greenhouse Gas Account: Understanding Impacts of Man-made Changes in Siberia.............................................85 4. Information Systems, Integration and Synthesis............................................................................89 4.1. Gordov E.P., Yu.E. Gordova: Environmental Observations, Modelling and Information Systems ( FP6 Specific Support Action ENVIROMIS) ................................................................89 4.2. Zakarin E.A., B.M. Mirkarimova, N. N. Abdrakhmanova: Development of GIS-technology for Solution of Agricultural Tasks .................................................................................................92 4.3. Gordov E.P., V.N. Lykosov, A.Z. Fazliev: Web Portal on Environmental Sciences (ATMOS) ........................................................................................................................................................95 4.4. Zakarin E., K. Pak, S. Grinkov: Interbranch Geoinformation System .................................99 APPENDIX 1: Enviro-RISKS CA Kick-Off Meeting.....................................................................103 APPENDIX 2: Enviro-RISKS CA middle-point 1st year meeting ..................................................106 www.dmi.dk/dmi/sr07-04 page 4 of 109 Scientific Report 07-04 Abstract The Siberian environment has been influenced by serious man-made transformations during the last 50 years. Current regional level environmental risks are: direct damages to environment caused by accidents during petroleum/gas production and transportation including their influence on water, soil, vegetation and animals; caused by deforestation (cutting and forest fires) variations in Siberian rivers’ runoffs and wetland regimes; direct and indirect influence of forest fires, flambeau lights and losses of gas and petroleum during their transportation on regional atmosphere composition; deposi- tion of hazardous species leading to risks for soil, water and consequently to risks in food-chains. These regional problems are typical for some NIS and European countries, whose territories
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