White Paper on National Capital Region Development (2006)
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White Paper on National Capital Region Development (2006) Summary May 2006 Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport Entire Composition Chapter 1 Recent Trends of National Capital Region Development Section 1. Changes in population trends in the National Capital Region and residential trends Section 2. Trends of site location of the industry and universities Section 3. Trends relating to measures against earthquakes that occur directly under the Tokyo metropolitan area Section 4. Review of the National Capital Region development system Chapter 2 Present State of the National Capital Region Section 1. Status of population and the number of households Section 2. Status of functions that contribute to creating vitality Section 3. Development of various activities led by individuals Section 4. Coexistence with the environment Section 5. Development of a safe, comfortable and high-quality living environment Section 6. Development of infrastructure to be inherited in the future Chapter 3 Promotion of National Capital Region Development Reference Various Data Relating to National Capital Region Development This document is a report of the situation relating to the formulation and implementation of the National Capital Region Development Plan pursuant to the provision of Article 30-2 of the National Capital Region Development Act (Act No. 83 of 1956). 【Chapter 1 Recent Trends of National Capital Region Development】 With respect to the recent trends of the National Capital Region, this chapter describes distinctive matters and measures that contribute to development in the region. Section 1 Changes in population trends in the National Capital Region and residential trends Although population in Japan has been entering a downturn due to the advance of the declining birthrate and aging society, it is expected that population will increase over the next decade or so in the National Capital Region, especially in the Tokyo region. However, looking at population changes in the Tokyo region between 2000 and 2005, it is not that population has increased in the entire Tokyo region but population has been decreasing at the outer edge of the Suburban Development and Redevelopment Area while it has been on a strong increasing trend in the inner-city area of Tokyo (Figure 1). This reveals that there has been a significant change in the past population trends in which the Suburban Development and Redevelopment Area accepts population that flows in the National Capital Region, thereby contributing to restraining a rapid population increase in the Urban District. Therefore, this section analyzes the status of household movements and characteristics thereof in each area, focusing on the inner-city area of Tokyo in which population trends have notably changed between 2000 and 2005 as well as municipalities where population is on the decrease in the Suburban Development and Redevelopment Area. 1 Figure 1 Population changes in the Urban District and Suburban Development and Redevelopment Area Population decrease in the suburban areas 1990→1995 2000→2005 Rate of annual average change in population Decrease by 1.0% or more Decrease by 0.5-1.0% Decrease by 0.0-0.5% Increase by 0.0-0.5% Increase by 0.5-1.0% Population increase in the inner-city of Tokyo Increase by 1.0-2.0% Increase by 2.0% or more Note: Municipal boundaries were modified as of October 1, 2005. Figures for wards in Chiba City, Yokohama City, and Saitama City were those processed by the National and Regional Planning Bureau of the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport based on Population Census figures. Data: Prepared by the National and Regional Planning Bureau of the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport based on the “Population Census” (Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications). 1. Status of household movements, etc. Figure 2 Population changes in 23 wards of Tokyo (Million(百万人) persons) in the inner-city area 9.0 Looking at changes in population in the 8.48 8.5 23 wards of Tokyo between 1990 and 8.16 8.13 8.0 2005, population has turned upward 7.97 Population increase Population decrease (Figure 2). 7.5 Thus, the trends of households and 7.0 characteristics thereof are analyzed below, 1990平成2 1995 7 2000 12 2005 17 (年)(Year) Data: Prepared by the National and Regional focusing on three inner-city wards of Planning Bureau of the Ministry of Land, Tokyo (Chiyoda Ward, Chuo Ward and Infrastructure and Transport based on the “Population Census” (Ministry of Internal Affairs and Minato Ward) for which the population Communications). growth rate between 2000 and 2005 was particularly high at 15% or higher. 2 (1) Changes in the excess of Figure 3 Status of excess of move-ins and move-outs move-ins/move-outs of households of households in the three inner-city wards Urban District (except the three inner-city wards) Urban District Suburban Development and Suburban(except Development the three inner-city and Redevelopmentwards) AreaRedevelo pment Area Looking at the status of excess of Areas other than the Urban District and Suburban Development and Redevelopment Area Areas other than the Urban District and Suburban Excess of move-ins/move-outs ExcessDevelopment of move-ins/move-outs and Redevelopment Area move-ins and move-outs of (Households) households in the three inner-city wards in each period of five years up to 1993, 1998 and 2003, the number of households that moved out of these wards during the five-year period up to Move-out Move-in 1993 exceeded the number of households that moved in. However, that number decreased for the five-year period up to 1998, and the 1993 1998 2003 (Year) Note: Covering households that moved during each period of number of households that moved into five years up to 1993, 1998 and 2003. these wards was in excess for the Data: Prepared by the National and Regional Planning Bureau of the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport based on five-year period up to 2003. In the “Housing Survey” and “Housing and Land Survey” (Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications). particular, the trends of households have significantly changed in the Urban District (except the three inner-city wards) (Figures 3 and 4). Figure 4 Status of excess of move-ins and move-outs of households in the three inner-city wards (1993 and 2003) 1989 → 1993 1999 → 2003 Suburban Development Suburban Development and Redevelopment Area and Redevelopment Area Areas other than the Areas other than the Urban District and Urban District and Suburban Development Three inner-city Suburban Development and Redevelopment wards and Redevelopment Three inner-city Area Area wards Urban District (except the three inner-city wards) Urban District Excess of households that moved (except the three (No. of households) into the three inner-city wards Significant shift inner-city wards) from move-out to (No. of households) Excess of households that moved Excess of households out of the three inner-city wards move-in (No. of households) that moved into the three inner-city wards Data: Prepared by the National and Regional Planning Bureau of the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport based on the “Housing Survey” and “Housing and Land Survey” (Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications). Note: Covering households that moved during each period of five years up to 1993 and 2003 3 In addition, looking at the excess of move-ins by ward for the five-year Figure 5 Number of excess households that moved into each of the three inner-city wards period up to 2003 when move-ins were (世帯)(Households) 6,000 in excess, the excess was particularly 4,687 large in terms of Chuo Ward (Figure 4,000 5). 2,878 3,806 1,809 2,000 881 0 Chiyoda千代田区 Ward Chuo 中央区 Ward Minato 港区 Ward Note: Covering households that moved during five years up to 2003. Data: Prepared by the National and Regional Planning Bureau of the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport based on the “Housing and Land Survey” (Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications). (2) Status by age of the head of household Looking at the excess of move-ins/move-outs in terms of the three inner-city wards for the five-year period up to 2003 by age of the head of household, move-ins exceeded move-outs for households with a head aged less than 65. In particular, move-ins significantly exceeded move-outs for households with a head aged 35-44 and those with a head aged 45-54. On the other hand, regarding households with a head aged 65 and above, the number of move-outs exceeded move-ins by 834 (Figure 6). Moreover, looking at the percentage of households that moved into or out of the three inner-city wards by age of the head of household, households with a head aged 25-44 account for a high percentage, occupying over 50% (54.2% of households that moved in and 56.6% of household that moved out). Households with a head aged 65 and above make up a low percentage of the total households that moved in or moved out, accounting for 5.5% of those that moved in and 11.3% of those that moved out (Figure 7). 4 Figure 6 Status of excess move-ins and move-outs in the three inner-city wards by age of the head of household Total合計 7,378 Under 25 25歳未満years old 1,302 25-34 25~34歳years old 157 35-44 35~44歳years old 3,341 Move-ins exceeded move-outs by 6,161. 45~54歳 2,820 45-54 years old 55-64 55~64歳years old 510 65-74 65~74歳years old -367 Move-outs exceeded 75 years old and75歳以上 above -467 move-ins by 834.