Intense Atmospheric Vortices Associated with a 1000 MW Fire
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Fire-Modified Meteorology in a Coupled Fire–Atmosphere Model
704 JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY VOLUME 54 Fire-Modified Meteorology in a Coupled Fire–Atmosphere Model MIKA PEACE Bushfire Cooperative Research Centre, Melbourne, Victoria, and Applied Mathematics, Adelaide University, and Bureau of Meteorology, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia TRENT MATTNER AND GRAHAM MILLS Applied Mathematics, Adelaide University, South Australia, Australia JEFFREY KEPERT Bureau of Meteorology, Adelaide, South Australia, and Bushfire Cooperative Research Centre, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia LACHLAN MCCAW Department of Parks and Wildlife, Manjimup, Western Australia, Australia (Manuscript received 19 March 2014, in final form 27 November 2014) ABSTRACT The coupled fire–atmosphere model consisting of the Weather and Forecasting (WRF) Model coupled with the fire-spread model (SFIRE) module has been used to simulate a bushfire at D’Estrees Bay on Kangaroo Island, South Australia, in December 2007. Initial conditions for the simulations were provided by two global analyses: the GFS operational analysis and ERA-Interim. For each NWP initialization, the simulations were run with and without feedback from the fire to the atmospheric model. The focus of this study was examining how the energy fluxes from the simulated fire modified the local meteorological environment. With feedback enabled, the propagation speed of the sea-breeze frontal line was faster and vertical motion in the frontal zone was enhanced. For one of the initial conditions with feedback on, a vortex developed adjacent to the head fire and remained present for over 5 h of simulation time. The vortex was not present without fire–atmosphere feedback. The results show that the energy fluxes released by a fire can effect significant changes on the surrounding mesoscale atmosphere. -
Soaring Weather
Chapter 16 SOARING WEATHER While horse racing may be the "Sport of Kings," of the craft depends on the weather and the skill soaring may be considered the "King of Sports." of the pilot. Forward thrust comes from gliding Soaring bears the relationship to flying that sailing downward relative to the air the same as thrust bears to power boating. Soaring has made notable is developed in a power-off glide by a conven contributions to meteorology. For example, soar tional aircraft. Therefore, to gain or maintain ing pilots have probed thunderstorms and moun altitude, the soaring pilot must rely on upward tain waves with findings that have made flying motion of the air. safer for all pilots. However, soaring is primarily To a sailplane pilot, "lift" means the rate of recreational. climb he can achieve in an up-current, while "sink" A sailplane must have auxiliary power to be denotes his rate of descent in a downdraft or in come airborne such as a winch, a ground tow, or neutral air. "Zero sink" means that upward cur a tow by a powered aircraft. Once the sailcraft is rents are just strong enough to enable him to hold airborne and the tow cable released, performance altitude but not to climb. Sailplanes are highly 171 r efficient machines; a sink rate of a mere 2 feet per second. There is no point in trying to soar until second provides an airspeed of about 40 knots, and weather conditions favor vertical speeds greater a sink rate of 6 feet per second gives an airspeed than the minimum sink rate of the aircraft. -
2018 Natural Hazard Report 2018 Natural Hazard Report G January 2019
2018 Natural Hazard Report 2018 Natural Hazard Report g January 2019 Executive Summary 2018 was an eventful year worldwide. Wildfires scorched the West Coast of the United States; Hurricanes Michael and Florence battered the Gulf and East Coast. Typhoons and cyclones alike devastated the Philippines, Hong Kong, Japan and Oman. Earthquakes caused mass casualties in Indonesia, business interruption in Japan and structure damage in Alaska. Volcanoes made the news in Hawaii, expanding the island’s terrain. 1,000-year flood events (or floods that are said statistically to have a 1 in 1,000 chance of occurring) took place in Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas and Wisconsin once again. Severe convective storms pelted Dallas, Texas, and Colorado Springs, Colorado, with large hail while a rash of tornado outbreaks, spawning 82 tornadoes in total, occurred from Western Louisiana and Arkansas all the way down to Southern Florida and up to Western Virginia. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)1, there were 11 weather and climate disaster events with losses exceeding $1 billion in the U.S. Although last year’s count of billion- dollar events is a decrease from the previous year, both 2017 and 2018 have tracked far above the 1980- 2017 annual average of $6 billion events. In this report, CoreLogic® takes stock of the 2018 events to protect homeowners and businesses from the financial devastation that often follows catastrophe. No one can stop a hurricane in its tracks or steady the ground from an earthquake, but with more information and an understanding of the risk, recovery can be accelerated and resiliency can be attained. -
CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, NORTHRIDGE FORECASTING CALIFORNIA THUNDERSTORMS a Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Re
CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, NORTHRIDGE FORECASTING CALIFORNIA THUNDERSTORMS A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements For the degree of Master of Arts in Geography By Ilya Neyman May 2013 The thesis of Ilya Neyman is approved: _______________________ _________________ Dr. Steve LaDochy Date _______________________ _________________ Dr. Ron Davidson Date _______________________ _________________ Dr. James Hayes, Chair Date California State University, Northridge ii TABLE OF CONTENTS SIGNATURE PAGE ii ABSTRACT iv INTRODUCTION 1 THESIS STATEMENT 12 IMPORTANT TERMS AND DEFINITIONS 13 LITERATURE REVIEW 17 APPROACH AND METHODOLOGY 24 TRADITIONALLY RECOGNIZED TORNADIC PARAMETERS 28 CASE STUDY 1: SEPTEMBER 10, 2011 33 CASE STUDY 2: JULY 29, 2003 48 CASE STUDY 3: JANUARY 19, 2010 62 CASE STUDY 4: MAY 22, 2008 91 CONCLUSIONS 111 REFERENCES 116 iii ABSTRACT FORECASTING CALIFORNIA THUNDERSTORMS By Ilya Neyman Master of Arts in Geography Thunderstorms are a significant forecasting concern for southern California. Even though convection across this region is less frequent than in many other parts of the country significant thunderstorm events and occasional severe weather does occur. It has been found that a further challenge in convective forecasting across southern California is due to the variety of sub-regions that exist including coastal plains, inland valleys, mountains and deserts, each of which is associated with different weather conditions and sometimes drastically different convective parameters. In this paper four recent thunderstorm case studies were conducted, with each one representative of a different category of seasonal and synoptic patterns that are known to affect southern California. In addition to supporting points made in prior literature there were numerous new and unique findings that were discovered during the scope of this research and these are discussed as they are investigated in their respective case study as applicable. -
The Iberian Peninsula Thermal Low
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. (2003), 129, pp. 1491–1511 doi: 10.1256/qj.01.189 The Iberian Peninsula thermal low 1 2 By KLAUS P. HOINKA ¤ and MANUEL DE CASTRO 1Institut fur¨ Physik der Atmosph¨are, DLR, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany 2Dpto. Ciencias Ambientales, Universidad Castilla-La Mancha, Toledo, Spain (Received 9 November 2001; revised 26 September 2002) SUMMARY Statistics of the thermal low above the Iberian Peninsula are presented for the period between 1979 and 1993, based on gridded data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis project. The sample of days with a thermal low above the Iberian Peninsula was selected objectively using criteria applied to mean-sea-level pressure and 925 hPa geopotential elds. The synoptic- and regional-scale horizontal structure is characterized by the climatology of the 500 hPa geopotential and mean-sea-level pressure distributions. The diurnal evolution of the mean-sea-level pressure is portrayed by mean elds at 00, 06, 12 and 18 UTC. The climatological vertical structure of the thermal low is shown by relation to meridional and zonal cross- sections passing through the thermal low’s centre. The diurnal evolution of the divergence, relative vorticity, potential temperature and vertical velocity is investigated. Statistics are presented also for the monthly frequency, geographical location, vertical extent and intensity of the Iberian thermal low. KEYWORDS: ERA data Heated low 1. INTRODUCTION A thermal low is a warm, shallow, non-frontal depression which forms above continental regions, mostly in the subtropics, but also in the lower midlatitudes. They form mostly during summer months because of the intense surface heating over land. -
Dynamical and Synoptic Characteristics of Heavy Rainfall Episodes in Southern Brazil
598 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW VOLUME 135 Dynamical and Synoptic Characteristics of Heavy Rainfall Episodes in Southern Brazil MATEUS DA SILVA TEIXEIRA Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Sdo Jose dos Campos, Sdo Paulo, Brazil PRAKKI SATYAMURTY Centro de Previsao de Tempo e Estudos Climdticos/INPE,Sio Jose dos Campos, Sdo Paulo, Brazil (Manuscript received 21 December 2005, in final form 19 May 2006) ABSTRACT The dynamical and synoptic characteristics that distinguish heavy rainfall episodes from nonheavy rainfall episodes in southern Brazil are discussed. A heavy rainfall episode is defined here as one in which the 2 50 mm day-' isohyet encloses an area of not less than [0 000 km in the domain of southern Brazil. One hundred and seventy such events are identified in the 11-yr period'of 1991-2001. The mean flow patterns in the period of 1-3 days preceding the episodes show some striking synoptic-scale features that may be considered forerunners of these episodes: (i) a deepening midtropospheric trough in the eastern South Pacific approaches the continent 3 days before, (ii) a surface low,pressure center forms in northern Ar- gentina 1 day before, (iii) a northerly low-level jet develops over Paraguay 2 days before, and (iv) a strong moisture flux convergence over southern Brazil becomes prominent 1 day before the episode. A parameter called rainfall quantity, defined as the product .of the area enclosed by the 50 mm day-' isohyet and the average rainfall intensity, is,correlated with fields of atmospheric variables such as 500-hPa geopotential and 850-hPa meridional winds. Significant lag correlations show that the anomalies of some atmospheric vari- ables could be viewed as precursors of heavy rainfall in southern Brazil that can be explored for use in improving the forecasts. -
Review of Vortices in Wildland Fire
Hindawi Publishing Corporation Journal of Combustion Volume 2011, Article ID 984363, 14 pages doi:10.1155/2011/984363 Review Article Review of Vortices in Wildland Fire Jason M. Forthofer1 and Scott L. Goodrick2 1 Rocky Mountain Research Station, USDA Forest Service, 5775 W US Highway 10, Missoula, MT 59808, USA 2 Southern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, 320 Green Street, Athens, GA 30602, USA Correspondence should be addressed to Jason M. Forthofer, [email protected] Received 30 December 2010; Accepted 15 March 2011 Academic Editor: D. Morvan Copyright © 2011 J. M. Forthofer and S. L. Goodrick. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. Vortices are almost always present in the wildland fire environment and can sometimes interact with the fire in unpredictable ways, causing extreme fire behavior and safety concerns. In this paper, the current state of knowledge of the interaction of wildland fire and vortices is examined and reviewed. A basic introduction to vorticity is given, and the two common vortex forms in wildland fire are analyzed: fire whirls and horizontal roll vortices. Attention is given to mechanisms of formation and growth and how this information can be used by firefighters. 1. Introduction 2. Vorticity Basics Large fire whirls are often one of the more spectacular aspects Simply stated, vorticity is the measure of spin about an of fire behavior. Flames flow across the ground like water axis. That axis can be vertical, as in the case of a fire whirl, feeding into the base of the vortex, the lowest thousand feet of or horizontal for a roll vortex, or somewhere in between. -
Synthesis of Knowledge of Extreme Fire Behavior: Volume I for Fire Managers
United States Department of Agriculture Synthesis of Knowledge of Forest Service Pacific Northwest Extreme Fire Behavior: Research Station General Technical Volume I for Fire Managers Report PNW-GTR-854 November 2011 Paul A. Werth, Brian E. Potter, Craig B. Clements, Mark A. Finney, Scott L. Goodrick, Martin E. Alexander, Miguel G. Cruz, Jason A. Forthofer, and Sara S. McAllister A SUMMARY OF KNOWLEDGE FROM THE The Forest Service of the U.S. Department of Agriculture is dedicated to the principle of multiple use management of the Nation’s forest resources for sustained yields of wood, water, forage, wildlife, and recreation. Through forestry research, cooperation with the States and private forest owners, and management of the national forests and national grasslands, it strives—as directed by Congress—to provide increasingly greater service to a growing Nation. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, and where applicable, sex, marital status, familial status, parental status, religion, sexual orientation, genetic information, political beliefs, reprisal, or because all or part of an individual’s income is derived from any public assistance program. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA’s TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, DC 20250-9410 or call (800) 795-3272 (voice) or (202) 720-6382 (TDD). -
Micrometeorological Observations of Fire-Atmosphere Interactions and Fire Behavior on a Simple Slope" (2018)
San Jose State University SJSU ScholarWorks Master's Theses Master's Theses and Graduate Research Summer 2018 Micrometeorological Observations of Fire- Atmosphere Interactions and Fire Behavior on a Simple Slope Jonathan Marc Contezac San Jose State University Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarworks.sjsu.edu/etd_theses Recommended Citation Contezac, Jonathan Marc, "Micrometeorological Observations of Fire-Atmosphere Interactions and Fire Behavior on a Simple Slope" (2018). Master's Theses. 4934. DOI: https://doi.org/10.31979/etd.d7nc-77e4 https://scholarworks.sjsu.edu/etd_theses/4934 This Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by the Master's Theses and Graduate Research at SJSU ScholarWorks. It has been accepted for inclusion in Master's Theses by an authorized administrator of SJSU ScholarWorks. For more information, please contact [email protected]. MICROMETEOROLOGICAL OBSERVATIONS OF FIRE-ATMOSPHERE INTERACTIONS AND FIRE BEHAVIOR ON A SIMPLE SLOPE A Thesis Presented to The Faculty of the Department of Meteorology and Climate Science San José State University In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Master of Science by Jonathan M. Contezac August 2018 © 2018 Jonathan M. Contezac ALL RIGHTS RESERVED The Designated Thesis Committee Approves the Thesis Titled MICROMETEOROLOGICAL OBSERVATIONS OF FIRE-ATMOSPHERE INTERACTIONS AND FIRE BEHAVIOR ON A SIMPLE SLOPE by Jonathan M. Contezac APPROVED FOR THE DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATE SCIENCE SAN JOSÉ STATE UNIVERSITY August 2018 Dr. Craig B. Clements Department of Meteorology and Climate Science Dr. Sen Chiao Department of Meteorology and Climate Science Dr. Neil Lareau Department of Meteorology and Climate Science ABSTRACT by Jonathan M. -
Chapter 7 – Atmospheric Circulations (Pp
Chapter 7 - Title Chapter 7 – Atmospheric Circulations (pp. 165-195) Contents • scales of motion and turbulence • local winds • the General Circulation of the atmosphere • ocean currents Wind Examples Fig. 7.1: Scales of atmospheric motion. Microscale → mesoscale → synoptic scale. Scales of Motion • Microscale – e.g. chimney – Short lived ‘eddies’, chaotic motion – Timescale: minutes • Mesoscale – e.g. local winds, thunderstorms – Timescale mins/hr/days • Synoptic scale – e.g. weather maps – Timescale: days to weeks • Planetary scale – Entire earth Scales of Motion Table 7.1: Scales of atmospheric motion Turbulence • Eddies : internal friction generated as laminar (smooth, steady) flow becomes irregular and turbulent • Most weather disturbances involve turbulence • 3 kinds: – Mechanical turbulence – you, buildings, etc. – Thermal turbulence – due to warm air rising and cold air sinking caused by surface heating – Clear Air Turbulence (CAT) - due to wind shear, i.e. change in wind speed and/or direction Mechanical Turbulence • Mechanical turbulence – due to flow over or around objects (mountains, buildings, etc.) Mechanical Turbulence: Wave Clouds • Flow over a mountain, generating: – Wave clouds – Rotors, bad for planes and gliders! Fig. 7.2: Mechanical turbulence - Air flowing past a mountain range creates eddies hazardous to flying. Thermal Turbulence • Thermal turbulence - essentially rising thermals of air generated by surface heating • Thermal turbulence is maximum during max surface heating - mid afternoon Questions 1. A pilot enters the weather service office and wants to know what time of the day she can expect to encounter the least turbulent winds at 760 m above central Kansas. If you were the weather forecaster, what would you tell her? 2. -
ERTH 365 - Lecture 8 Notes
1 Yoon Chang Kimberly Le ERTH 365 - Lecture 8 Notes Topics Discussed - Further processes for warming and cooling the atmosphere - Cold and warm core low pressure systems; - Hurricanes in depth - Hurricane Harvey review for Homework 2 (suppl. Notes) Warming & Cooling the atmosphere - other processes ● Another way of WARMING air ○ Physicists tell us that when water vapor condenses, a certain amount of thermal energy is “given” to the atmosphere. In short, condensation is a warming process. ○ The amount of heating is proportional to the amount of water that condenses. At sea-level temperatures and pressures, the warming is about 590 calories for each gram of water that condenses. The 590 calories is known as “latent heat.” ○ Since air with 100% relative humidity at lower dewpoint temperatures holds less water vapor than air with 100% relative humidity at higher dewpoint temperatures, much more heat is liberated in cases for which cloud development is occurring in high dewpoint environments. ● Another way of COOLING air ○ Conductional Cooling ■ Air flows over a cold surface and is cooled by conduction. (this process is termed “advective cooling”) If the cooling is sufficient to take the air parcel’s temperature to the dew point, the resulting condensation will produce a layered cloud on the ground. ■ Air “sits” on a surface that gets cold overnight. (radiation cooling) if the cooling is sufficient to take the air parcel’s temperature to the 2 dew point, the resulting condensation will produce a layered cloud on the ground. ○ Expansion cooling ■ Air expands, molecules get “further apart”, do not strike each other as often, do not “vibrate” as much. -
Synthesis of Knowledge of Extreme Fire Behavior: Volume I for Fire Managers Paul A
University of Nebraska - Lincoln DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln JFSP Research Project Reports U.S. Joint Fire Science Program 2011 Synthesis of Knowledge of Extreme Fire Behavior: Volume I for Fire Managers Paul A. Werth Northwest Interagency Coordination Center Brian E. Potter Forest Service Craig B. Clements San Jose State University Mark. A. Finney U.S. Department of Agriculture Scott L. Goodrick U.S. Department of Agriculture See next page for additional authors Follow this and additional works at: http://digitalcommons.unl.edu/jfspresearch Part of the Forest Biology Commons, Forest Management Commons, Natural Resources and Conservation Commons, Natural Resources Management and Policy Commons, Other Environmental Sciences Commons, Other Forestry and Forest Sciences Commons, Sustainability Commons, and the Wood Science and Pulp, Paper Technology Commons Werth, Paul A.; Potter, Brian E.; Clements, Craig B.; Finney, Mark. A.; Goodrick, Scott L.; Alexander, Martin E.; Cruz, Miguel G.; Forthofer, Jason A.; and McAllister, Sara S., "Synthesis of Knowledge of Extreme Fire Behavior: Volume I for Fire Managers" (2011). JFSP Research Project Reports. 75. http://digitalcommons.unl.edu/jfspresearch/75 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the U.S. Joint Fire Science Program at DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln. It has been accepted for inclusion in JFSP Research Project Reports by an authorized administrator of DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln. Authors Paul A. Werth, Brian E. Potter, Craig B. Clements, Mark. A. Finney, Scott L. Goodrick, Martin E. Alexander, Miguel G. Cruz, Jason A. Forthofer, and Sara S. McAllister This article is available at DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln: http://digitalcommons.unl.edu/jfspresearch/75 United States Department of Agriculture Synthesis of Knowledge of Forest Service Pacific Northwest Extreme Fire Behavior: Research Station General Technical Volume I for Fire Managers Report PNW-GTR-854 November 2011 Paul A.