Russian–Chinese Dialogue: the 2018 Model: Report No
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S SUMMER SCHOOLS EXPERT COMMENTARIES GUEST LECTURES S SCENARIOS INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS T C TABLE NALYSIS AND FORECASTING FOREIGN POLICY ISCUSSIONS S A D S REFERENCE BOOKS T ETWORK DIALOGUE C SCIENCE WORKING PAPERS EDUCATION N PROJE REPORTS OUND ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING URITY R ATION C C OMPETITIONS E ONFERENCES C PROJE S ORGANIZATION NTERNATIONAL ACTIVITY C DU I E S S FOREIGN POLICY TALENT POOL CS EDUCATION S EPORTS OUND TABLES S POLITI R R POOL LOBAL POLITICS G ENARIO ETWORK ION C NTERNATIONAL I N CIVIL SOCIETY INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS S LOBAL G REFERENCE BOOKS INTERNATIONAL RELATION TALENT SS RUSSIAN ORGANIZATIONS Y Y Y DUCATION E S C INTERNATIONAL C ECURITY S S E SUMMER U C C AFFAIRS COUNCIL RELATION SCHOOLS DIALOGUE POLI OUND IETY R GUEST LECTURES ONAL I C TING SC TABLES O I TY S EPORTS IGRATION R I S OREIGN PARTNERSHIP V NTERNATIONAL I IBRARY XPERT ROADMAPS E F A I ONFEREN D IPLOMA M L S LOBAL COMMENTARIES NTERNAT G URITY MIGRATION C IVIL C I ACT ILATERAL NTHOLOGIE C SCIENCE D C REPORTS S POOL E DISCUSSIONS INTERNSHIPS I B BOOK A WEBSITE IPLOMA PARTNERSHIP INTERNSHIPS E S S Y C DIALOGUE LOBAL TALENT GLOBAL C NTHOLOGIES G A Y C D S SCIENCE POLI CONFERENCES FORE POLI Y S C SCIENCE ITE NALYSIS EFEREN S A IGRATION S IBRARY OADMAP EB ENARIO R OREIGN IPLOMA C F R L M OREIGN D S W NALY AND FORECASTING F NTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS A AND DIALOGUE I S INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS NETWORK LUB MEETINGS DIALOGUE DIPLOMACY PROJECTS S C REPORT E DIALOGUE HOOL S S T S URITY UMMER ITE C C S E C S HIP CIVIL SOCIETY EBSITE OMMENTARIE TURE W E C S C C EB S HIP IGRATION S SC PROJE EXPERT COMMENTARIES OREIGN POLICY LE S F T W M S IEN RELATION RUSSIA-IRAN PARTNERSHIP: XPERT IPLOMACY D E RUSSIAN–CHINESE EDIALOGUE:DUCATION UE G S ETWORK ARTNER NESS NALYSIS AND AN OVERVIEWNTERN AND PROSPECTS A I N IBRARY SC E S I P L FORECASTING C URITY IVIL OCIETY ONFEREN C S C THE 2018 MODEL E IEN FOR THE FUTURE S NTHOLOGIES LOBAL POLITICS C A RUSSIAN INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS COUNCIL (RIAC) G C S S LUB MEETINGS S ILATERAL C 1, B. Yakimanka street, 119180, Moscow, Russia S COMPETITIONS B S US HIP Tel.: +7 (495) 225 6283 ROUND TABLES HIP S ORKING PAPERS EPORT W S OADMAPS R S Fax: +7 (495) 225 6284 ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING IGRATION PAPER E E–mail: [email protected] CENARIOS E R B 3929 / 20182016 PARTNERSHIP S C www.russiancouncil.ru LOBAL REFERENCE BOOKS C S OMPETITION LIBRARY S ORKING ARTNER M NTERN IBRARY IEN G C W XPERT COMMENTARIES I L E P S S S OMMENTARIE ION SC C NTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS SS I S U S ORGANIZATION REFERENCE BOOKS DUCATION E IETY DISCUSSIONS SC C I LOBAL SUMMER SCHOOLS OADMAP XPERT UEST LECTURES OMPETITION G IVIL O INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS ILATERAL Report-29_Cover.indd 2 HOOL 12.12.2016 14:46:26 S C R C D G E E ANTHOLOGIES B RELATION WORKING PAPERS MEETING C NTHOLOGIE UMMER ONFEREN GLOBAL POLITICS IEN LUB C NTERNATIONAL S SC C S I A REFERENCE BOOKS C RUSSIAN INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS COUNCIL INSTITUTE OF FAR EASTERN STUDIES OF THE RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL STUDIES AT FUDAN UNIVERSITY MOSCOW 2018 Russian International Affairs Council Institute of Far Eastern Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences Institute of International Studies at Fudan University Editor-in-Chief: I. Ivanov, RAS Corresponding Member, Dr. of History Authors: From Russia: S. Luzyanin, Dr. of History (Head); A. Kortunov, Ph.D. in History; A. Karneev, Ph.D. in History; V. Petrovsky, Dr. of Political Science; V. Kashin, Ph.D. in Political Science; I. Denisov; R. Epikhina; Y. Kulintsev; R. Mamedov; K. Kuzmina From China: Zhao Huasheng, Professor (Head); Liu Huaqin, Ph.D. in Economics; Shi Ze, Professor; Xing Guangcheng, Dr. of Law; Guo Shuqing, Professor, Dr. of History; Feng Yujun, Dr. of Law; Cai Cuihong, Professor, Ph.D. in International Relations; Zheng Jiyong, Ph.D. in International Relations Copy Editors: I. Timofeev, Ph.D. in Political Science; T. Makhmutov, Ph.D. in Political Science; K. Kuzmina; A. Larionova; A. Teslya; M. Smekalova Russian–Chinese Dialogue: The 2018 Model: Report No. 39/2018 / [S.G. Luzyanin (head) et al.; Zhao Huasheng (head) et al.]; [I.S. Ivanov (Editor-in-Chief)]; Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC). – Moscow: NPMP RIAC, 2018. – 152 p. – The names of authors are listed on reverse of title page. ISBN 978-5-6040388-1-9 This report presents the results of the analysis of the state of Russia–China relations in 2017 and the first quarter of 2018. Leading Russian and Chinese experts identify the achievements in the key areas of two states’ interaction and study the prospects for bilateral cooperation in light of the conclusions of the 19th CPC Congress and the results of the Russian Presidential election. The authors assess the prospects of reinforcing Russia–China cooperation on pending issues of global and regional agenda, promoting trade, economic, financial and investment ties to a new level as well as expanding educational and cultural exchanges. The scholars also formulate specific recommendations aimed at promoting bilateral interaction. Russian International Affairs Council thanks Lin Xu and Mees van der Werf for their help in preparing this publication. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of RIAC. Any linguistic inadequacies in the publication are the sole responsibility of the translators. Cover photo credits: REUTERS/Sergei Karpukhin/Pixstream. The full text is published on RIAC’s website. You can download the report or leave a comment via this direct link russiancouncil.ru/en/report39 © Authors, 2018 © Drafting, translation and design. NPMP RIAC, 2018 TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction 5 The Development of the Comprehensive Partnership and Strategic Cooperation between Russia and China in a New Era 7 Priorities for the Development of Russia–China Relations in a New Historical Period 7 Impact of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China on Russia–China Bilateral Relations 9 Cooperation between Russia and China on Pressing Global and Regional Issues 16 Russia, China and the Problems of Global Governance: the 2018 Model 16 Russia, China and the United States. Security and Development 17 Potential Cooperation between Russia and China in Ensuring Security in Neighbouring Regions 21 Prospects for Reducing Tension on the Korean Peninsula: Opportunities for Russia–China Cooperation 24 Prospects for Russia–China Cooperation in the Middle East 31 Russia–China Cooperation in Information Security, Information Space Governance and Artificial Intelligence 37 The Development of Russia—China Cooperation in the Eurasian Space 46 The Development of Cooperation within the Framework of the SCO 46 Development of the Greater Eurasian Partnership Initiative 51 Promoting the Implementation of the Belt and Road Initiative and Alignment with the EAEU 53 The Arctic as a Sphere of Russia–China Cooperation 57 Development of Trade and Economic Cooperation between Russia and China 66 Dynamics of Bilateral Trade 66 Joint Projects and Investment Cooperation between Russia and China 77 Russia–China Cooperation in the Banking and Financial Sector 84 Inter-Regional Cooperation 85 Russia–China Military-Technical Cooperation 94 Cooperation between Russia and China in Education, Culture, Sports, Media and Related Areas 98 Cooperation between Russia and China in Education, Culture, Sports, Media, and Related Areas: Key Events, Priority Areas and Support at the Government Level 98 RUSSIAN–CHINESE DIALOGUE: THE 2018 MODEL Russia and China: Opportunities for Expanding Cooperation in Higher Education 103 Chinese Language Study in Russia and Russian Language Study in China 111 Media Cooperation between Russia and China 112 Developing Contacts between the Russian and Chinese People 115 Tourism Exchanges in Russia–China Cooperation 118 Recommendations 120 Monitoring of the Key Events in Russia–China Relations in Q2–Q4 2017 and Q1 2018 126 About the Authors 148 4 Report 39 / 2018 RUSSIAN–CHINESE DIALOGUE: THE 2018 MODEL INTRODUCTION Introduction The comprehensive partnership and strategic cooperation between Russia and China continued progressively during the second half of 2017 and early 2018, receiving a new impetus on both the domestic and foreign policy fronts. Cooperation between Moscow and Beijing is being carried out within the new national context related to updating domestic political priorities and a new politi cal cycle starting in the two countries. The 19th National Congress of the Com munist Party of China (CPC) took place in October 2017, and the 13th National People’s Congress of the People’s Republic of China followed in March 2018 – the same month presidential elections were held in Russia. The re-election of Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin as leaders of their countries reaffirms the coun tries’ commitment to the chosen course, in which the consistent strengthening of Russia–China cooperation in the bilateral and multilateral dimensions is an important foreign political component. In June 2018, Vladimir Putin attended the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) Summit in China, his first foreign state visit as the newly elected President of the Russian Federation was to China. The development of ties between Moscow and Beijing is taking place against the background of alienation between Russia and the West and the growing tensions in China–U.S. relations. In early 2018, the already profound crisis in Russia’s relations with Europe and the United States was deepened with a new round of mutual accusations, additional sanctions against Russian businesses and individuals, mass expulsion of diplomats and growing divergence of posi tions on a number of global and regional issues, including approaches to the settlement of the Syrian crisis.