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Learning from Regional Climate Analogues

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Learning from Regional Climate Analogues Learning from Regional Climate Analogues Synthesis and Integrative Research Program Published by the National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility ISBN: 978-1-921609-41-1 NCCARF Publication (01/12) © University of South Australia and NCCARF This work is copyright. Apart from any use as permitted under the Copyright Act 1968, no part may be reproduced by any process without prior written permission from the copyright holder. Please cite this report as: Kellett J, Ness D, Hamilton C, Pullen S, Leditschke A, 2011: Learning from Regional Climate Analogues; National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility, Gold Coast, 166pp. Acknowledgement: This work was funded through the National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility, which is an initiative of, and funded by the Australian Government Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency, with additional funding from the Queensland Government, Griffith University, Macquarie University, Queensland University of Technology, James Cook University, The University of Newcastle, Murdoch University, University of Southern Queensland and University of the Sunshine Coast. The role of NCCARF is to lead the research community in a national interdisciplinary effort to generate the information needed by decision-makers in government and in vulnerable sectors and communities to manage the risk of climate change impacts. Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this publication not necessarily the views of the Commonwealth, and the Commonwealth does not accept responsibility for any information or advice contained herein. Learning from Regional Climate Analogues Final report October 2011 Prepared by: Barbara Hardy Institute School of Natural and Built Environments University of South Australia, Adelaide, South Australia THE RESEARCH TEAM Authors Jon Kellett Project Leader, Urban planning David Ness Lead Researcher, Infrastructure Cathryn Hamilton Key Researcher, Climate analysis, Health, Ecosystem services Stephen Pullen Key Researcher, Housing and Building Anna Leditschke Research Assistant - Page 2 of 166- ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The research team wishes to acknowledge all those who kindly assisted with this project, and to thank them for their frank and helpful comments, advice, support and time. Firstly, we wish to the thank those associated with the National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility (NCCARF) for their support and encouragement, especially Prof Jean Palutikof, Director; Dr David Rissik, Deputy Director/General Manager; and Mr Frank Stadler, Research Coordinator. Dr John Higgins of the Dept of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency (DCCEE) kindly travelled to Adelaide to attend a Mid-Term Workshop. We also wish to thank those from the various states who attended interviews and workshops, some travelling considerable distances, and provided frank and constructive comments, all on a voluntary basis. We appreciate Port Pirie Regional Council (SA), Dept of Health (WA) and Moreton Bay Regional Council (Qld) for hosting the final workshops in their respective states. South Australian Stakeholders Organisation Representatives Adelaide & Mt Lofty Ranges NRM Mr Stephen Smith, Director Policy and Planning Board Dr Hannah Ellyard, Manager, NRM Planning Dr Gayle Grieger, Senior NRM Policy Officer Central North Local Government Ms Anita Crisp, Chief Executive Officer, and member Region of Northern and Yorke NRM Board City of Playford Ms Sharon Fitzpatrick, Sustainability Officer Mr Paul Johnson, Principal Policy Planner Ms Megan Zwiersen, Strategic Planner City of Port Adelaide Enfield Ms Verity Sanders, Strategic Planner (Environment Policy) City of Whyalla Mr Ian Burfitt, Chief Executive Officer Mr Stewart Payne, Group Manager, Development Services Dept of Health Dr David Simon, Director, Scientific Services, Public Health Dr Carolyn Lewis, Scientific Services, Public Health Dr Lucy Pumpa, Scientific Services, Public Health Dr Monika Nitschke, Principal Scientific Officer, Public Health & Clinic Coordination Division Dept of Planning & Local Government Mr Scott Douglas, Principal Project Officer, Environment & Sustainability, Strategic Policy Division Ms Veronica Phillips, Policy Coordination Project Officer - Page 3 of 166- Organisation Representatives Dept of Premier & Cabinet Ms Stephanie Ziersch, Executive Director, Sustainability & Climate Change Division Eyre Peninsula NRM Board Mr Brian Foster, Presiding Member Ms Kate Clarke, General Manager Mr Tony Irvine, Consultant Local Government Association (SA) Mr Adam Gray, Senior Policy Officer, Sustainability & Environment Port Pirie Regional Council Dr Andrew Johnson, Chief Executive SAICORP Mr Tim Burford, Director, Insurance Mr Daryl Bruhn University of SA: Centre for Regional Dr Karen Cosgrove, Research Fellow, Strategy & Engagement Planning University of SA: Centre for Rural Assoc Research Prof Gary Misan Health & Community Development University of SA: School of Natural & Mr Rezaul Chowdhury, Research Associate/Fellow, Built Environments Goyder Institute Queensland Stakeholders Organisation Representatives CSIRO Dr Ryan McAllister, Research Scientist, Ecosystem Services SE Qld Climate Adaptation Research Initiative Dept of Community Safety: Strategic Mr Stephen Hinkler, Policy Adviser, Policy & Policy Division Legislative Reform Dept of Community Safety: Ms Wendy Rodgers, Senior Project Officer, Climate Emergency Management Qld Change Strategy Mr Ian Lang, Project Manager, Climate Change Strategy Ms Nicola Moore, Senior Project Officer, Climate Change Strategy Dept of Environment & Resource Ms Karen Touchie, Director, Policy Development and Management: Office of Climate Implementation Change Ms Carol Wall, Principal Policy Officer, Policy Development and Implementation Dept of Environment & Resource Dr Keryn Oude-Egberink, Principal Scientist Management: Queensland Climate Change Centre of Excellence Dept of Infrastructure & Planning Mr Michael Papageorgiou, Executive Director, Policy Planning Division - Page 4 of 166- Organisation Representatives Gladstone Regional Council Mr Charlie Sotiris, Assistant Director, Environment & Regulation Ms Anthea Bennett, Environment Officer Mr Colin Chapman, Councillor Mr Ron Doherty, Director, Environment & Regulation Local Government Association of Qld Ms Dorean Erhart, Principal Advisor, Natural Asset Ltd Management, NRM & Climate Change Mr Scott Leonard (Disaster Management & Community Resilience) Moreton Bay Regional Council Mr Evan Raymond, Senior Policy Officer, Sustainability Queensland Health Dr Uma Rajappa, Director, Environmental Health Science and Ms Mary Donlevy, Advanced Environmental Health Regulation Unit Officer Western Australian Stakeholders Organisation Representatives City of Armadale Mr Guenter Best, Councillor City of Bunbury Mr Geoff Klem, A/Chief Executive City of Geraldton-Greenough Mr Mark Chadwick, Manager, Environmental Health & Sustainability Mr Nicholas Els, Manager, Projects Ms Kim Logue, A/Senior Environmental Officer Mr Kevin O’Neill, Risk Management Coastal Zone Management Pty Ltd Dr Robert Kay, Principal Consultant Curtin University Assoc Professor Laura Stocker, Sustainability Policy Institute, Deputy Leader, Coastal Collaboration Cluster Faculty of Humanities Dept of Agriculture & Food (Geraldton Dr Mike Clarke, Senior Development Officer, Office) Agricultural Resource Risk Management Dept of Environment & Conservation: Dr Anne Mathews, A/Director Climate Change Unit Mr James Duggie, Principal Policy Officer Dept of Environment & Conservation: Dr Colin Yates Biodiversity & Conservation Dept of Health Ms Dianne Katscherian, Manager, Health Impact Assessment, Science & Policy Unit Dr Revle Bangor-Jones, Acting Principal Medical Officer Ms Muriel Leclercq, Manager, Disaster Preparedness and Management Unit Dept of Transport Mr Charlie Bicknell, Senior Coastal Engineer, Coastal Infrastructure Business Unit - Page 5 of 166- Organisation Representatives Eastern Metropolitan Regional Council Ms Yulia Volobeuva, Regional Climate Change Adaptation Action Plan Fisheries Research Development Ms Jenny Shaw, Climate Change Adaptation Project Corporation & WAMSI Local Government Association Ms Melanie Bainbridge, Climate Change Coordinator (WALGA) Mr Rob Weymouth Mid West Development Commission Mr Mark Canny, Senior Project Manager Northern Agricultural Catchments Ms Jackie Gill, Communications & Research Manager Council (NACC) Ms Chiara Danese, Coastal Project Coordinator, & PhD candidate, Curtin University Sustainability Policy Institute Mr Rolan Deutekom, Project Officer Planning WA Ms Vivienne Panizza, Manager, Coastal Planning. South West Development Commission Mr Graeme Baesjou, Manager, Regional Development Mr Jon Birch, Business Development Mr Don Carlson Ms Gayle Gray, Grants Coordinator Mr Matthew Monisse, Research Officer - Page 6 of 166- Table of Contents ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ............................................................................................................................. 3 LIST OF FIGURES ..................................................................................................................................... 10 LIST OF BOXES ......................................................................................................................................... 10 LIST OF TABLES ....................................................................................................................................... 11 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...........................................................................................................................
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