Research Proceedings from the 2015 Bushfire and Natural Hazards Crc & Afac Conference
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RESEARCH PROCEEDINGS FROM THE 2015 BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC & AFAC CONFERENCE Adelaide, 1-3 September 2015 RESEARCH PROCEEDINGS FROM THE BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC & AFAC CONFERENCE 2015| REPORT NO. 2015.112 Version Release history Date 1.0 Initial release of document 11/09/2015 © Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC 2015 No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form without the prior written permission from the copyright owner, except under the conditions permitted under the Australian Copyright Act 1968 and subsequent amendments. Disclaimer: The Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC advises that the information contained in this publication comprises general statements based on scientific research. The reader is advised and needs to be aware that such information may be incomplete or unable to be used in any specific situation. No reliance or actions must therefore be made on that information without seeking prior expert professional, scientific and technical advice. To the extent permitted by law, the Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC (including its employees and consultants) excludes all liability to any person for any consequences, including but not limited to all losses, damages, costs, expenses and any other compensation, arising directly or indirectly from using this publication (in part or in whole) and any information or material contained in it. Publisher: Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC ISBN: 978-0-9941696-5-5 September 2015 Citation: Rumsewicz M (Ed) 2015, ‘Research Proceedings from the 2015 Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC & AFAC Conference’ 1-3 September 2015, Adelaide, Australia, Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC. ISBN: 978-0-9941696-5-5 Cover: Dr Mark Finney from the US Forest Service delivers the opening keynote his new fire behaviour research at the 2015 Research Forum. Photo by the Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC. i RESEARCH PROCEEDINGS FROM THE BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC & AFAC CONFERENCE 2015| REPORT NO. 2015.112 TABLE OF CONTENTS PEER REVIEWED PAPERS THE FUTURE OF ‘NON-TRADITIONAL’ EMERGENCY VOLUNTEERING: WHAT WILL IT LOOK LIKE AND HOW CAN IT WORK? ................................................................................................................... 2 B. McLennan, J. Whittaker and J. Handmer CULTURALLY APPROPRIATE MAPPING TOOLS FOR INFORMING TWO-WAY FIRE MANAGEMENT PLANNING IN REMOTE INDIGENOUS NORTH AUSTRALIAN COMMUNITIES ......................................13 A. Edwards, J. Russell-Smith, K. Sangha and C. Yates HOW WILL THE NEW SATELLITE NAVIGATION SYSTEMS HELP WITH THE PROVISION OF INFORMATION AND WARNINGS? ......................................................................................................23 S. Choy, J. Handmer, J. Whittaker, Y. Shinohara, T. Hatori and N. Kohtake THE ROLE OF EXTREME VALUE ANALYSIS TO ENHANCE DEFENDABLE SPACE FOR CONSTRUCTION PRACTICE AND PLANNING IN BUSHFIRE PRONE ENVIRONMENTS ....................................................34 G. Douglas, Y. He, Y. Xiang and E. Morris IMPROVED ASSESSMENT OF GRASSLAND FUELS IN MULTIPLE JURISDICTIONS ACROSS AUSTRALIA .........................................................................................................................................53 D. Wright, D. Nichols, A. Slijepcevic, S. Kidnie, A. Chen and R. Bessell IMPROVEMENTS AND DIFFICULTIES ASSOCIATED WITH THE SEISMIC ASSESSMENT OF INFRASTRUCTURE IN AUSTRALIA .......................................................................................................64 R. Hoult, H. Goldsworthy and E. Lumantarna BRINGING HAZARD AND ECONOMIC MODELLERS TOGETHER: A SPATIAL PLATFORM FOR DAMAGE AND LOSSES VISUALISATION ..............................................................................................79 M. Rahman, Y. Chen, K. Potts, P. Bhattacharya, A. Rajabifard, M. Ulubasoglu and M. Kalantari VICTORIA FIRE WEATHER CLIMATOLOGY DATASET ...........................................................................93 S. Harris, G. Mills, T. Brown, D. Podnar, H. Reinbold and M. Fearon SHARED RESPONSIBILITY – SHADES OF GREY ................................................................................. 111 S. Redshaw, V. Ingham, K. Harrison, T. Quigley and K. Newton FRAMEWORK TO INSPECT FLOODWAYS TOWARDS ESTIMATING DAMAGE ................................... 123 B. Wahalathantri, W. Lokuge, W. Karunasena and S. Setunge RISK OWNERSHIP AND NATURAL HAZARDS: ACROSS SYSTEMS AND ACROSS VALUES ............... 135 R. Jones, C. Young and J. Symons LARGE EDDY SIMULATIONS OF PYRO-CONVECTION AND ITS SENSITIVITY TO ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS .................................................................................................................................... 148 W. Thurston, K. Tory, R. Fawcett and J. Kepert AN EARTHQUAKE LOSS SCENARIO FOR ADELAIDE ........................................................................ 161 V. Koschatzky, F. Dimer de Oliveira and P. Somerville ii RESEARCH PROCEEDINGS FROM THE BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC & AFAC CONFERENCE 2015| REPORT NO. 2015.112 NON-PEER REVIEWED EXTENDED ABSTRACTS “WE’VE GOT TROUBLE GETTING AROUND BUT WE’RE STILL ALRIGHT”: DISABILITY IDENTITIES AND THE IMPLICATIONS FOR BUSHFIRE PLANNING ....................................................................... 178 D. Every VERIFICATION OF SOIL MOISTURE FROM LAND SURFACE MODELS AND TRADITIONAL SOIL DRYNESS INDICES ............................................................................................................................. 181 V. Kumar and I. Dharssi DEVELOPING A TARGETED RESILIENCE INTERVENTION FOR THE PRIMARY PREVENTION OF PTSD ................................................................................................................................................. 186 P. Skeffington, C. Rees, T. Mazzucchelli and R. Kane THE INTEGRATION OF INFORMAL VOLUNTEERS INTO ANIMAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT: EXPERIENCES FROM THE 2015 SOUTH AUSTRALIAN BUSHFIRES .................................................... 191 M. Taylor, M. McCarthy and G. Eustace SCIENCE IN MOTION: KNOWLEDGE PRACTICES AND PRESCRIBED BURNING IN SOUTH WEST VICTORIA ......................................................................................................................................... 195 T. Neale and J. Weir DISASTER MANAGEMENT: BUILDING RESILIENT SYSTEMS TO AID RECOVERY ................................ 199 D. Bunker, T. Sleigh, L. Levine and C. Ehnis A DECISION SUPPORT FRAMEWORK FOR MULTI-HAZARD MITIGATION PLANNING ..................... 205 J. Newman, H. van Delden, G. Riddell, C. Newland, A. Zecchin, H. Maier, R. Vanhout, E. Pikusa and G. Dandy RISK AND PROTECTIVE FACTORS FOR BUSHFIRE RESILIENCE AND RECOVERY .............................. 210 L. Gibbs, E. Waters, H. Gallagher, K. Block, E. Snowdon, L. Harms, R. Bryant, D. Lusher, D. Forbes, G. Ireton, J. Richardson, C. MacDougall, V. Sinnott, C. Kellett and P. Pattison UNDERSTANDING PRESENT AND FUTURE BUSHFIRE HAZARD REDUCTION BURN WINDOWS IN NEW SOUTH WALES .......................................................................................................................... 214 H. Clarke and B. Kenny A BUSHFIRE EVACUATION PLANNING SERVICE UTILISING MULTIPLE SIMULATION SYSTEMS ........ 218 K. Steer, A. Beloglazov, E. Abebe and M. Almashor IMPROVED MODELING OF EXTREME STORM SURGES AND WAVES ALONG THE AUSTRALIAN COAST .............................................................................................................................................. 225 I. Janekovic, Y. Hetzel and C. Pattiaratchi LINKING LOCAL WILDFIRE DYNAMICS TO PYROCB DEVELOPMENT ................................................ 231 R. McRae, J. Sharples, M. Fromm and G. Kablick MAPPING IT OUT: A USER-CENTRED DESIGN FRAMEWORK FOR WEBGIS PUBLIC WARNINGS ....... 234 Y. Cao, B. Boruff and I. McNeill COMBINING HYDROLOGIC AND HYDRAULIC MODELS FOR REAL TIME FLOOD FORECASTING ..... 238 Y. Li, S. Grimaldi, V. Pauwels, J. Walker and A. Wright INVESTIGATION OF DAMAGE: BRISBANE 27 NOVEMBER 2014 SEVERE STORM EVENT ................. 240 K. Parackal, M. Mason, D. Henderson, D. Smith and J. Ginger iii RESEARCH PROCEEDINGS FROM THE BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC & AFAC CONFERENCE 2015| REPORT NO. 2015.112 HOW DO WE REDUCE VEHICLE RELATED DEATHS: EXPLORING AUSTRALIAN FLOOD FATALITIES 1900-2015 ........................................................................................................................................ 249 A. Gissing, K. Haynes, L. Coates and C. Keys DEVELOPING ENTERPRISE OPPORTUNITIES AND RESILIENCE IN REMOTE NORTH AUSTRALIAN COMMUNITIES .................................................................................................................................. 256 K. Sangha, J. Russell-Smith, A. Edwards, C. Yates, J. Gould, C. Michael and G. James THE SYDNEY 2014 FORECAST DEMONSTRATION PROJECT – A STEP FROM RESEARCH TO OPERATIONS .................................................................................................................................... 265 M. Foley, M. Peace, D. Griffiths, J. Sofra and J. Kepert IMPLEMENTING POLICY FOR ENABLING DISASTER RESILIENCE IN THE AUSTRALIAN FEDERATION: WHAT ROLE FOR GOVERNMENT? .................................................................................................... 273 S. Hunt iv PEER REVIEWED PAPERS 1 THE FUTURE OF ‘NON-TRADITIONAL’ EMERGENCY VOLUNTEERING: WHAT WILL IT LOOK LIKE AND HOW CAN IT WORK? Research proceedings from the Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC & AFAC conference