Crossbow 2013-10.Indd 2 26/09/2013 12:03:38 Foreword 3 Contents
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2 CONTENTS Crossbow Magazine SEPTEMBER 2013 Conference Agenda UNITE THE RIGHT: HOW TO RENEW THE CONSERVATIVE MOVEMENT. This event will feature the launch of our conference edition of Crossbow and a discussion of “Can the UKIP and Conservative Party unite in a national conservative movement?” Time - October 1st 5:00PM- 7:00PM Venue - The Bridgewater Conference Centre in the Charles Halle room. Speakers - Toby Young, James Delingpole and Andrew Lilico. CAN ROYAL MAIL SURVIVE PRIVATISATION? Join us to discuss the future of Royal Mail.The Government wants to privatise Royal Mail. In the long term will the new owner be willing to provide the current level of services to rural communities? What impact will the sale have on the future of the Post Offi ce branch network? Time - Tuesday 1 October 7.15pm - 8.30pm Venue- Marquee – Manchester Central Speakers - Chair: Jackie Ashley, columnist and political interviewer, the Guardian Speakers: Mario Dunn, campaign director, Save Our Royal Mail, Ben Harris- Quinney, chairman, Bow Group, Conservative MP TBC. The Bow Group Council President Offi cers Crossbow Team The Rt. Hon. Sir John Major KG CH PC Chairman – Ben Harris-Quinney Editor – Luke Springthorpe Deputy Editor - Peter Smith Research Secretary – Luke Springthorpe Layout by Smart Page (www.smart-page.co.uk) Senior Patrons Secretary – Jack Chubb The Rt. Hon. Lord Howe of Aberavon CH QC PC Treasurer – Anthony Samuels Links The Rt. Hon. Lord Heseltine of Thenford CH PC Communications Director – Raheem Kassam Web: www.bowgroup.org The Rt. Hon. Lord Lamont of Lerwick CH PC Events Director – Ben Ballinger Twitter: @bowgroup The Rt. Hon. Lord Howard of Lympne CH PC QC Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/thebowgroup Campaigns Director – Nic Conner Online Editor – Graham Godwin-Pearson Ordinary Member – Brian Cattell (former Chairman) Contact Email offi [email protected] Ordinary Member – Atula Abeysekera This edition of Crossbow is published by Bow Publications Limited. The views put forward in this magazine are the views of the relevant contributors only and not the views of the Bow Group nor any of its affi liates. © Bow Group 2013 Crossbow 2013-10.indd 2 26/09/2013 12:03:38 www.bowgroup.org FOREWORD 3 Contents Chairman’s Message How Can the Conservative It is time for the state 4 Ben Harris-Quinney Chairman 26 Party Deliver For Scotland? 50 to divorce from marriage The Bow Group Annabel Goldie MSP altogether. Ben Harris-Quinney Editors’ Letter How will the Conservative 5 Luke Springthorpe 28 Party win city seats? Marriage and fathers make a James Cleverly AM 52 difference Who’s voting Conservative? Dr Samantha Callan 6 Gideon Skinner North West Blue Collar 28 Conservatism How can the Conservatives Government Policy Ged Mirfin 54 improve relations with the 7 Performance, Public Opinion churches? and Electoral Consequences A Majority without Engaging Peter Smith Prof. Jane Green & Will 30 Minorities is Impossible Jennings Samuel Kasumu On Power and Progress 55 Cllr Robin Millar Political Lessons of the Winning public sector voters 8 Fifth Anniversary of 2008 31 Charlotte Leslie MP More Time For Bow: The Andrew Lilico 57 Modernisers Place in the What Happened to Green Think-Tank Archipelago Reviving the Conservative 32 Conservatism? Todd Carter 10 Family David Davis MP Graham Godwin Pearson There’s No Accounting For Conservatives and party Message Matters 59 Accountability. 11 membership Nabil Najjar Ben Balliger Sir Edward Leigh MP 34 We are for you How to Join the Bow Group What to do about declining 36 Sajid Javid MP 61 13 Party membership Paul Goodman Lessons from Keynes Sir Samuel Brittan Our Expats are Ex citizens: 37 15 The lost Conservative Plan A is best abroad 39 John Redwood MP Ben Harris-Quinney Towards a free-market anti- The Aspiration Nation 40 poverty strategy 16 Donna Edmunds Kristian Niemietz Why reforming our Doing Foreign Aid the 18 organisation is crucial to 42 Conservative Way long-term electoral success Miles Windsor Gavin Barwell MP Conservatism and the How to revive party owning of ownership membership 43 19 Phillip Blond Sarah-Jane Sewell It’s time to deliver real Boris Johnson and the loss rail competition; twenty to politics of Merry England 45 20 years since Conservatives Andrew Gimson delivered railway Unite the Right privatisation 22 Toby Young Tony Lodge Winning over minorities will Localism: Our RSVP Has 23 win majorities 48 Been Lost In The Post Baroness Sayeeda Warsi Joshua Crossley How will the Conservatives A Case for the Marriage 25 win the next election? 49 (Same Sex Couples) Bill Rebecca Harris MP Matthew McCarthy-Rechowicz Crossbow 2013-10.indd 3 26/09/2013 12:03:38 4 CHAIRMAN’S MESSAGE Crossbow Magazine September 2013 Chairman’s Message Party Shrugged. politics, its cultural norms are deeply set in Westminster and its death throws will be as t best, membership of the Conservative ugly as the demolition of any establishment. Party has halved since David Cameron Atook over leadership of the Party in Those that have based their political careers 2005. around this model that are expectantly advancing along the traditional conveyor belt to Many have defended and dismissed these power are likely to be disappointed, those that figures as being a modern cross-party trend placed power before principle are likely to be and many have blamed Cameron’s distant, defeated, and parties that place establishment seemingly anti-conservative leadership. as a defence against ideas are likely to be Neither analysis gets to the heart of what is destroyed. happening. Ben Harris-Quinney The Conservative Party can survive, but its grave is now marked: If the Party cannot Chairman In the Bow Group’s last conference edition of Crossbow conservative authors came together envision a future where its ideas are as distinct The Bow Group to bemoan the politics of the third-way, and from others as they were in the post-war era, offer the beginnings of an alternative – a return then it won’t have a future at all. to primary colours conservatism, with ideas, As is often the case, this great challenge to the democracy and genuine expertise at its heart. future of the Conservative Party comes with the We could not, however, have predicted such a greatest of opportunities alongside. UKIP’s rise stark beginning to the shifting of the political has proven that if a party sets out clear, distinct plates that the last year has witnessed. and forthright ideas, the public will respond, and will swiftly buck the trend against political When Party membership was at its peak, big malaise. ideas mattered and the difference between political parties was never so clear; public vs When Peter Lilley was Chairman of the Bow private ownership, state control vs personal Group in 1973, battling against the mediocrity liberty, traditional vs “progressive” values. of Heath’s leadership, things had to get worse before they got better, but the darkest of nights We are often warned by the current produced the brightest of days: Thatcher rebuilt Conservative Party leadership of the dire and re-energised the Conservative Party, she set socialist republic that awaits us if Ed Milliband ideas at its heart, and inspired a generation to succeeds Cameron as Prime Minister in 2015, come. but the last 3 years have proven that there really is no discernible difference, at least to As a country we also face greater challenges the general public, between any of the major today, our role in the world is yet further political parties. diminished, our economic model based on borrowing has collapsed, our society is more It is this failure that underpins the results divided than ever. These challenges will not we are now seeing: membership of all pass swiftly, and the solutions to them will be parliamentary parties at rock bottom, varied and often violently opposed. confidence in all major Party leaders at a historic low: a citizenry broadly apathetic to Conservative ideas work and conservative politics as a whole. leadership inspires, there are millions of lost conservatives in Britain currently turned off The British public and the few remaining Party by political parties that want to be part of a members will only tolerate the status quo for so genuine conservative movement. long. We have the tools in thought and ideas to The question for the next 25 years of the British rebuild Britain, and the Conservative Party can political party is not funding, be it state, union again be our vehicle to do so, but we will have or private donor, it is existence itself. to make great changes within the Party, before Unless the political party changes radically we can make them without. and moves purposefully into a new era, the I hope that you will enjoy this edition of public and rapidly decreasing membership , Crossbow that aims to explore the internal once relied upon to be the leafleters, donors and issues in the Conservative Party, how it lost its voters, will shrug. base, and how it can win it back. Moving beyond the populist politics of the third way will be a painful process for British Crossbow 2013-10.indd 4 26/09/2013 12:03:38 www.bowgroup.org EDITORS’ LeTTer 5 Editors’ Letter Luke Springthorpe he theme for this edition- finding representatives have a firm enough starting to cause considerable damage. the ‘Lost Conservative’- is the grasp of their brief to make any It has resulted in a membership base TBow Group’s move to breathe difference. that feels completely disillusioned life into the vital debate on how to and alienated from the direction their Combined with this, we have seen the revive our ailing membership and to party is moving in.