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Scotland 2020 2/23/05 3:22 PM Page 1 Scotland 2020 2/23/05 3:22 PM Page 1 About Demos Demos is a greenhouse for new ideas which can improve the quality of our lives. As an independent think tank, we aim to create an open resource of knowledge and learning that operates beyond traditional party politics. We connect researchers, thinkers and practitioners to an international network of people changing politics. Our ideas regularly influence government policy, but we also work with companies, NGOs, colleges and professional bodies. Demos knowledge is organised around five themes, which combine to create new perspectives. The themes are democracy, learning, enterprise, quality of life and global change. But we also understand that thinking by itself is not enough. Demos has helped to initiate a number of practical projects which are delivering real social benefit through the redesign of public services. We bring together people from a wide range of backgrounds to cross-fertilise ideas and experience. By working with Demos, our partners develop a sharper insight into the way ideas shape society. For Demos, the process is as important as the final product. www.demos.co.uk Scotland 2020 2/23/05 3:22 PM Page 2 First published in 2005 by Demos and the Scottish Book Trust © Demos Some rights reserved – see copyright licence for details ISBN 1 84180 138 0 Copy edited by Julie Pickard Typeset by Land & Unwin, Bugbrooke Printed by HenDI Systems, London For further information and subscription details please contact: Demos Magdalen House 136 Tooley Street London SE1 2TU telephone: 0845 458 5949 email: [email protected] web: www.demos.co.uk Scotland 2020 2/23/05 3:22 PM Page 3 Scotland 2020 Hopeful stories for a northern nation Edited by Gerry Hassan Eddie Gibb Lydia Howland With a foreword by George Reid MSP Scotland 2020 2/23/05 3:22 PM Page 4 Open access.Some rights reserved. As the publisher of this work,Demos has an open access policy which enables anyone to access our content electronically without charge. We want to encourage the circulation of our work as widely as possible without affecting the ownership of the copyright,which remains with the copyright holder. Users are welcome to download,save,perform or distribute this work electronically or in any other format, including in foreign language translation without written permission subject to the conditions set out in the Demos open access licence which you can read at the back of this publication. Please read and consider the full licence.The following are some of the conditions imposed by the licence: ● Demos and the author(s) are credited; ● The Demos website address (www.demos.co.uk) is published together with a copy of this policy statement in a prominent position; ● The text is not altered and is used in full (the use of extracts under existing fair usage rights is not affected by this condition); ● The work is not resold; ● A copy of the work or link to its use online is sent to the address below for our archive. Copyright Department Demos Elizabeth House 39 York Road London SE1 7NQ United Kingdom [email protected] You are welcome to ask for permission to use this work for purposes other than those covered by the Demos open access licence. Demos gratefully acknowledges the work of Lawrence Lessig and Creative Commons which inspired our approach to copyright.The Demos circulation licence is adapted from the ‘attribution/no derivatives/non- commercial’version of the Creative Commons licence. To find out more about Creative Commons licences go to www.creativecommons.org Scotland 2020 2/23/05 3:22 PM Page 5 Contents Acknowledgements 9 Foreword 11 1. Scotland 2020:The Power of Hope 13 Gerry Hassan and Eddie Gibb 2. That was Then and This is Now 29 Imagining new stories about a northern nation Gerry Hassan New narratives for a northern nation 49 3. A Futures Literate Nation 51 Matthew Horne and Helen McCarthy 4. Facing the New Atlantic 56 Ken MacLeod 5. The Imagineers 61 Julie Bertagna 6. Scotland the Grave 67 Pennie Taylor 7. Intervention 72 Ruaridh Nicoll Scotland 2020 2/23/05 3:22 PM Page 6 Scotland 2020 8. The Tartan Initiative 78 Anne Donovan The state of Scotland 89 9. An Adaptive State 91 The personalisation of public services 10. Public Sector Change 94 Iain Macwhirter and John Elvidge 11. The Sandyford Initiative 103 Innovation in practice – a revolution in the provision of sexual health care and advice Alison Bigrigg 12. The Learning Network 108 The Real experience – a move towards lifelong learning Jonathan Clark Where are we headed? 113 13. Boho Boffins 115 Why cities need science and jazz Melissa Mean 14. The Age of Capitals 123 Edinburgh as Culture City Marc Lambert 15. Scotland after Barnett 134 Towards fiscal autonomy Iain McLean 16. Scotland, Europe and the World Crisis 149 Regionalism and Scotland’s shifting position between Britain and Europe Christopher Harvie 6Demos Scotland 2020 2/23/05 3:22 PM Page 7 Contents 17. The Authentic Tourist 160 How the past keeps coming back Ian Yeoman, Mandy Brown and Una McMahon-Beattie 18. The Myth of the Egalitarian Society and the Equality Debate 166 Are we really Jock Tamson’s bairns? Rowena Arshad and Elinor Kelly 19. The Future of Scottish Football 175 Time for a new story? Stephen Morrow 20. Nairn Day 185 A public conversation about the future Eddie Palmer and Matthew Horne Public conversations about Scotland 193 21. Happiness,Well-being and Economic Prosperity 195 David Bell in conversation with Clive Hamilton 22. Scotland’s ‘Velvet Revolution’ 213 Carol Craig in conversation with Tom Devine 23. Scotland in the Global Age 225 Tom Nairn in conversation with George Kerevan Demos 7 Scotland 2020 2/23/05 3:22 PM Page 8 To retreat behind the notion that the audience simply wants to dump its troubles at the door and escape reality is a cowardly abandonment of the artist’s responsibility. Story isn’t a flight from reality but a vehicle that carries us on our search for reality, our best effort to make sense out of the reality of existence. Robert McKee Story: Substance, structure, style and the principles of screenwriting Scotland 2020 2/23/05 3:22 PM Page 9 Acknowledgements In the last year, the Scotland 2020 programme has weaved its way around the country – a bit like a modern travelling road show – engaging in discussions and conversation about the future, how to think creatively about it, and the future of Scotland. It has been our pleasure over that period to discuss some of these issues, ideas and thoughts with the people mentioned here, and many more besides. First of all we would like to acknowledge the project partners who made Scotland 2020 possible, and should probably point out that the conclusions of the project are ours and do not necessarily represent the policies of any of the partner organisations. So thanks are due to: Michael Bird, British Council Scotland; Sandy Brady, Highlands and Islands Enterprise; Brendan Dick, BT Scotland; John Downie, Federation of Small Businesses; Ashley Evans, Electronics Scotland; Ewan Mearns, Scottish Enterprise; Martin Raymond, NHS Health Scotland; Jane Richardson, Oracle Corporation UK; Gavin Wallace, Scottish Arts Council; and Steve Youd-Thomas, The Co-operative Group. We would particularly like to thank Marc Lambert and his team at the Scottish Book Trust who hosted several events during the course of the project, and put us in touch with the fiction writers who contributed to this book. A project like Scotland 2020 is an exercise in which many people gave their time, ideas and enthusiasm. In particular, the following Demos 9 Scotland 2020 2/23/05 3:22 PM Page 10 Scotland 2020 people all gave valuable insights and support at key moments during the project: Alex Bell, Shona Cormack, Carol Craig, Jane Denholm, Jerome de Groot, Phil Hanlon, Christopher Harvie, Elinor Kelly, Faith Liddell, Jim McCormick, Susan McPhee, Tom Nairn, Robert Rae, Nigel Smith, Jean Urquhart and Andy Wightman. We would like to thank Keir Bloomer and his team at Clackmannanshire Council for partnering us on the Scotland 2020: An Adaptive State event in Alloa, and also the very hospitable staff of Gean House in Alloa. At Demos numerous people contributed ideas and encouragement to the project. Matthew Horne facilitated two scenario-building workshops with his usual skill, and helped us to understand ‘futures literacy’. After reading an early draft of the introduction, Paul Skidmore literally gave us ‘hope’,which became an important concept in our thinking. Thanks also to Paul Miller and Melissa Mean who gave valuable insights. Throughout, Claire Ghoussoub did a fantastic job of developing and maintaining a ‘community of interest’ around the project, and made several events happen against the odds. And Tom Bentley, the director of Demos, encouraged us throughout the project and then helped us to say what we really meant. The people who copyedited, proofread and typeset this book deserve particular thanks: Julie Pickard, Susannah Wight and John Unwin of Land & Unwin. Finally we would like to thank all the people of Nairn who took part in Nairn Day and made it such a success. It was the defining event of the project, and helped to convince us that futures thinking is an activity that everyone in Scotland can and should get involved in. Gerry Hassan Eddie Gibb Lydia Howland February 2005 [email protected] [email protected] 10 Demos Scotland 2020 2/23/05 3:22 PM Page 11 Foreword George Reid MSP Holyrood is certainly not Westminster. In its architecture, practice and procedures the new Scottish Parliament has been deliberately designed for new models of 21st century participative governance.
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