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2018 Florida Derby Betting Guide

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2018 Florida Derby Betting Guide HOW TO READ BRISNET PAST PERFORMANCES TWINSPIRES CUSTOMERS GET FREE BRISNET PPs FOR TRACKS THEY WAGER ON The Brisnet.com Ultimate PPs are the most detailed past performance product on the market and include speed ratings, pace figures, exclusive Prime Power and Class ratings, detailed jockey and trainer statistics, and pedigree information. Start using Ultimate PPs and discover why Brisnet.com is the handicapper’s edge. 1 12 10 7 8 9 13 11 2 3 5 4 6 14 19 20 26 20 21 24 15 16 17 18 18 22 23 25 1 BRIS Pace and Speed Pars 14 Positive and Negative Comments 2 Jockey Stats 15 Date of Race, Track, and Race Number 3 Trainer Stats 16 Surface, Distance, and Track Conditions 4 Dam Stats 17 Fractional Times of Leader, Final Time, and Age Designation 5 Sire Stats 18 BRIS Race Rating and Class Rating 6 Sales Stats 19 Race Type 7 Horse’s Pedigree, Sales & Breeding Information 20 BRIS Pace and Speed Ratings 8 BRIS Prime Power Rating 21 Post Position, Placement Throughout Race, and Finish 9 Run Style Stats 22 Jockey and Weight 10 BRIS Pedigree Rating 23 Medication, Equipment, and Odds 11 Medication, Equipment, and Weight the Horse Will Carry 24 Top Finishers, Comment, and Number of Starters 12 Horse’s Lifetime Start Information 25 Workouts 13 Owner & Jockey Silks 26 BRIS Race Shapes FLORIDA DERBY BETTING GUIDE DOWNLOAD THE TWINSPIRES APP & BET GULFSTREAM FLORIDA DERBY DAY STAKES SCHEDULE Date Race Grade Purse Restrictions Surface Distance Saturday, March 31 Cutler Bay $150,000 3YO Turf 1 Mile Saturday, March 31 Sanibel Island $150,000 3YO F Turf 1 Mile Saturday, March 31 Hardacre Mile II $300,000 4&UP Dirt 1 Mile Saturday, March 31 Honey Fox II $250,000 4&UP F&M Turf 1 Mile Saturday, March 31 Gulfstream Park Oaks II $300,000 3YO F Dirt 1 1/16 Miles Saturday, March 31 Pan American II $250,000 4&UP Turf 1 1/2 Miles Saturday, March 31 Florida Derby I $1,100,000 3YO Dirt 1 1/8 Miles FLORIDA DERBY BETTING GUIDE DOWNLOAD THE TWINSPIRES APP & BET GULFSTREAM AT A GLANCE A look at the Gulfstream meet: December 02, 2017 through March 25, 2018 AVG. WINNING ODDS: 5.32 - 1 FAVORITE WIN%: 38% FAVORITE ITM%: 71% EXOTICS PAYOFF Exacta 91.68 Daily Double 87.06 Trifecta 641.65 Pick 3 628.64 Superfecta 4,425.30 Pick 4 4,053.81 Pick 5 19,035.80 Pick 6 Jackpot 168,262.37 Super High Five 6,331.09 TRACK BIAS MEET (12/02 - 03/25) TRACK BIAS WEEK (03/19 - 03/25) Distance # Race % Wire Best Style Best Posts Distance # Race % Wire Best Style Best Posts 5.5fDirt 36 50% E Inside 5.5fDirt 3 33% Inside 6.0fDirt 143 31% E Rail/Ins 6.0fDirt 9 22% Middle 1 MileDirt 115 24% E Outside 1 MileDirt 9 22% Outside 1 1/16mDirt 29 24% E Rail 1 1/16mDirt 1 0% Rail/Ins Turf Sprint 248 24% E/P Rail/Ins Turf Sprint 20 40% Outside Turf Routes 232 16% E/P Inside Turf Routes 10 30% Rail/Ins WHO’S HOT, WHO’S NOT HOT TRAINERS Starts Wins Place Show Avg. Odds Winning Favorites ‘17-’18 Win % Romans Dale L. 16 6 0 1 6.54 4 16% Servis Jason 9 5 1 2 2.92 5 28% Cibelli Jane 11 5 3 0 6.89 2 17% Zerpa Gilberto 7 4 1 0 2.71 3 29% Delgado Jorge 4 3 0 0 11.38 1 15% Breen Kelly J. 7 3 1 1 12.16 2 16% Rodriguez Angel M. 7 3 0 1 7.41 2 25% Eppler Mary E. 3 2 0 0 12.03 0 16% Gonzalez Oscar M. 3 2 0 0 10.43 1 18% Gargan Danny 4 2 0 0 9.15 2 24% Winebaugh Cheryl 4 2 0 0 7.78 1 14% Brown Chad C. 5 2 0 0 5.84 1 26% HOT JOCKEYS Starts Wins Place Show Avg. Odds Winning Favorites ‘17-’18 Win % Ortiz, Jr. Irad 33 13 10 3 2.90 7 22% Perez Edgar 8 2 0 0 22.08 1 16% COLD TRAINERS Starts Wins Place Show Avg. Odds Beaten Favorites ‘17-’18 Win % Mejia Jaime 18 0 2 3 48.73 0 4% Catanese, III Joseph C. 10 0 0 2 25.83 0 10% Walsh Brendan P. 10 0 2 0 10.11 1 17% COLD JOCKEYS Starts Wins Place Show Avg. Odds Beaten Favorites ‘17-’18 Win % Panici Luca 10 0 0 1 25.76 0 9% FLORIDA DERBY BETTING GUIDE DOWNLOAD THE TWINSPIRES APP & BET GULFSTREAM TWINSPIRES TIPSHEET FLORIDA DERBY Florida Derby (Gr 1) 1 1/8-Miles PURSE $1,100,000 POST HORSE ML ODDS TOP PICKS 1 Strike Power 4-1 1 Strike Power 2 Millionaire Runner 50-1 6 Catholic Boy 3 Tip Sheet 30-1 8 Audible 4 Promises Fulfilled 3-1 $20 WIN 5 Storm Runner 20-1 1 6 Catholic Boy 7-2 7 Hofburg 20-1 $10 EXACTA BOX 8 Audible 9-5 1-6 ($20) 9 Mississippi 12-1 $1 TRIFECTA WHEEL powered by brisnet.com 1,6 with 1,6,8 with 1,6,7,8,9 ($12) A nice field of nine will square off in Saturday’s $1 million Florida Derby (G1) at Gulfstream Park and all but Promises Fulfilled, who garnered 50 points upsetting the Fountain of Youth (G2), need points to secure a berth in a 20-horse Kentucky Derby field. The 1 1/8-mile Florida Derby will reward points on 100-40-20-10 scale to the top four finishers. Strike Power yielded the early lead last time to Promises Fulfilled, who proceeded to establish a moderate pace, but look for a change in tactics Saturday. Drawn in the rail post, Strike Power figures to be sent from the gate by Luis Saez and he’s got the speed to dictate terms after displaying tremendous early zip recording a pair of sharp gate-to-wire sprint wins in his first two starts, The Speightstown colt answered the two-turn question finishing second, 2 ¼-length clear of champion 2yo Good Magic, in the Fountain of Youth and trainer Mark Hennig has raved about his charge’s development in the four-week interim since his last start. We’ll tab a wire-to-wire win from the improving colt. Catholic Boy came up a little short when opening 2018 with a second in the Sam F. Davis (G3) but still registered a respectable 101 BRIS Speed rating (career-best) after rallying into a slow pace. With only four published works beforehand, the son of More Than Ready had every reason to be a little short last time and we expect him to be more fit for Jonathan Thomas, who shipped his pupil to Gulfstream early for a visually impressive half-mile drill earlier this week. If any other speed takes on our top choice, Catholic Boy figures to receive an ideal set-up for his late run and we’ll look for a strong finish from the Grade 2-winning juvenile. Audible has been rated as the 9-5 morning line favorite off a smashing 5 ½-length win in the Holy Bull (G2) and Todd Pletcher will seek to extend his record with a fifth Florida Derby tally, winning last year’s edition with subsequent Kentucky Derby winner Always Dreaming. The Into Mischief colt will have to overcome post 8 and doesn’t figure to receive the same plum trip from last time when no quality speed was present. And the extra sixteenth of a mile is at least a minor concern with his speed-oriented pedigree (by Into Mischief and out of a Gilded Time mare). We still have plenty of respect for the talented performer but will try to beat Audible for the win at short odds. Promises Fulfilled made it look easy last time but we’re expecting a different result with different circumstances Saturday. FLORIDA DERBY BETTING GUIDE DOWNLOAD THE TWINSPIRES APP & BET GULFSTREAM BET ANYWHERE! DOWNLOAD THE TWINSPIRES APP SIGN UP FOR A $100 BONUS!* SELECT TRACK 1 CHOOSE 2 WAGER TYPE/AMOUNT SELECT RUNNER 3 4 CLICK 'BET' OFFICIAL BETTING PARTNER OF THE BREEDERS UP AND ENTU DERB *See TwinSpires.com for full details. .
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