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March 30, 2019 Gulfstream Park

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March 30, 2019 Gulfstream Park March 30, 2019 Gulfstream Park 866.88XPRESS (866.889.7737) Xpressbet Florida Derby Expert Picks Alfredo Alfonzo Millie Ball Jason Blewitt Zoe Cadman Gulfstream Park XBTV Gulfstream Park XBTV @videohipico @camillayakteen @jasonblewitt30 @zoecadman Maximum Security Hidden Scroll Bourbon War Code of Honor Bourbon War Harvey Wallbanger Hidden Scroll Bourbon War Hidden Scroll Unions Destiny Code of Honor Hidden Scroll Code of Honor Code of Honor Harvey Wallbanger Maximum Security Johnny D Ron Nicoletti Dustin Fabian Jeremy Plonk Xpressbet Gulfstream Park Xpressbet Xpressbet @XBJohnnyD @ronic17 @Xpressbet @HorsePlayerNow Harvey Wallbanger Hidden Scroll Bourbon War Bourbon War Code of Honor Bourbon War Code of Honor Hidden Scroll Hidden Scroll Code of Honor Maximum Security Code of Honor Maximum Security Harvey Wallbanger Harvey Wallbanger Jonathan Van Dine Jeff Siegel Eddie Olczyk Xpressbet XBTV NBC Sports @Xpressbet @jsiegelracing @Xpressbet Bourbon War Hidden Scroll Bourbon War Maximum Security Code of Honor Bodexpress Hidden Scroll Maximum Security Hidden Scroll Current Bourbon War Code of Honor Team Consensus 4 Points for 1st, 3 for 2nd, 2 for 3rd and 1 for 4th 1. BOURBON WAR (30) 3. CODE OF HONOR (22) 2. HIDDEN SCROLL (28) 4. MAXIMUM SECURITY (13) Money-Back Guarantee on the Preps Get Your Cash Back When Your Horse Finishes 2nd or 3rd in this Year’s Top Preps Upcoming Money-Back Guarantee Races March 30 UAE Derby Meydan March 30 Xpressbet Florida Derby Gulfstream April 6 Santa Anita Derby Santa Anita April 6 Blue Grass Stakes Keeneland April 6 Wood Memorial Aqueduct April 13 Arkansas Derby Oaklawn April 13 Lexington Stakes Keeneland April 20 Xpressbet Federico Tesio Laurel $500 New Customer Welcome Bonus Sign Up for an Xpressbet account and get up to $500! Use Promo Code: XB500. Must be 18 or older (21 in AL, AZ, IA, IN, KS, NH, ND, WA) to open an account with Xpressbet, LLC and reside in a state where such activity is legal. Void where prohibited. National Gambling Support Line 800.522.4700. Gulfstream Park Mile $300,000 - Grade 2 Post Time: 4:14 PM ET Race 4 (Post Time: 1:00PM ET) 4YO+, Fillies & Mares 4YO+, 1 Mile (Dirt) 1 1/2 Miles Turf Prince Lucky Poised for Knockout Stats & Trends By Jeremy Plonk, Xpressbet.com @Horseplayernow Last Year: Reigning Kentucky Derby and Xpressbet Florida Analysis: Not every boxing match winds up like the script of Rocky. After a real-life Derby winner Always Dreaming had his 2018 return bludgeoning, the bludgeoned may not want a rematch no matter how many zeroes appear spoiled when he chased 12-1 shot Conquest Big E throughout and was a no-match second. Conquest on the pay ledger. After PRINCE LUCKY mopped the ring by 6 lengths in the Hal’s Hope, Big E rebounded off a troubled, fourth-place effort Gulfstream Park Mile nominees Copper Town and Quip said “no mas.” Can anyone step in the Hal’s Hope. Among those also in the upset forward in this one-turn mile to take the favorite’s best shot, or are we simply looking at a winner’s wake was past Holy Bull, Wood Memorial and Pimlico Special winner Irish War Cry. clear single in the early multi-race wagers in the day’s fourth race? Main Contenders: PRINCE LUCKY stands out off his return win in the Grade 3 Hal’s Gulfstream Park Mile Snapshot: (Since 1991) Hope, his first start since taking the Easy Goer on the Belmont Stakes undercard. Those are Stakes Record: 1:33.80 two key feathers as we know he can handle Gulfstream, and he can handle a day with a lot (Palace Malice, 2014) of pomp, circumstance and crowd. And he’s trained by Todd Pletcher, who is other-worldly Largest Win Margin: 5 1/4 Lengths (Discreet Dancer, 2013) in Gulfstream one-turn miles. Over the past four years, Pletcher trainees are 36% wins and Winning Favorites: 12 (42.9%) 53% in the exacta for a $1.17 ROI for every $1 bet. That jumps to $1.69 in stakes. If there’s Wire-to-Wire Winners: 4 (14.3%) any hope in beating the favorite it’s that he went almost :13 the final furlong of the Hal’s Average Win Odds: 4.63/1 Average Exacta ($2): $70.22 Hope and didn’t gallop-out with zest. But he had reason to be a bit tired. Now, he’s tight. Average Trifecta ($1): $240.33 TALE OF SILENCE, fourth in the Hal’s Hope, would be the other leading stakes-savvy threat. He’s run several triple-digit late BRIS pace figures, and if you’re going to beat the chalk here, it’s with a late whoosh on the off chance he’s weary late. ? Know This Faltering Favorites : The last 4 favorites in this race Value Plays: Finding value in a 6-horse field with a heavy favorite most often have finished 6th, 3rd, 4th and 2nd at odds of 9-5, means a multi-race wagering strategy. Race 3 has a 9-horse field and could help you 8-5, 6-5 and 6-5. Palace Malice (2014) and Mucho Macho Man (2012) are the only successful chalks leverage the math with a daily double into this race. Within the body of the Gulfstream the past decade. Park Mile, GUY CABALLERO finds a group without much early speed and could be dangerous on or near the lead with a great outside draw. Stretch-out, Not Cutback: 75% of the 72 one-turn mile stakes on the Gulfstream Park dirt since 2013 have been won by horses who last raced at a mile $100 Wagering Strategy: or shorter. • $40 Daily Double Part-Wheel: OWNITIFYOUWANTIT and HAUNT from Race 3 Winning is Contagious: 47% of dirt mile stakes with PRINCE LUCKY ($80) winners at Gulfstream Park since 2013 have exited • $20 Exacta: PRINCE LUCKY over GUY CABALLERO ($20) prep victories. And consider 64% of those winners finished first or second last time out. Jeremy’s Picks 1. PRINCE LUCKY 3. TALE OF SILENCE 2. GUY CABALLERO 4. BE GONE DADDY Cutler Bay Stakes $125,000 Race 5 (Post Time: 1:30PM ET) 3YO, 1 Mile (Turf) Castellano Chooses Fresh Face Stats & Trends By Jon VanDine, Xpressbet.com @Xpressbet Last Year: Palm Beach Stakes third-place finisher Therapist Analysis: Even with the Cutler Bay drawing a field of seven horses this year, there rallied to nab 6-5 favorite Speed Franco by a neck doesn’t appear to be a standout in this race. The field is devoid of early speed, and the as the second wagering choice. The New York- bred by Freud provided trainer Christophe Clement adage “pace makes the race” will certainly apply here. This race will be determined by with back-to-back wins in the Cutler Bay, following the inside trio of horses, and that’s where my handicapping will focus. Dover Cliffs’ victory in 2017. Main Contenders: SEISMIC WAVE is coming off of a maiden score going a mile and Cutler Bay Snapshot: one-eighth while sitting just off the pace in his only try on the Gulfstream turf. In the (Since 2016) first two starts of his career he tried to launch from 8th and came up short. With the Stakes Record: 1:33.42 (Therapist, 2018) turn-back in distance, drawing the rail, and lack of speed players involved, this one Largest Win Margin: 1 1/2 Lengths could find the front or be very close. FOREVER MO has 2 wins and a second-place (Dover Cliffs, 2017) finish in four races on the Gulfstream turf. This is another one who’ll be sitting close Winning Favorites: 2 (66.7%) Wire-to-Wire Winners: 1 (33.3%) to the front under Manny Franco. FOREVER MO is in good form entering this race Average Win Odds: 1.80/1 with two wins in his last three races, and enjoys the Gulfstream turf course. MARQUEE Average Exacta ($2): $80.00 PRINCE enters this race off of two straight victories at Fair Grounds. Javier Castellano Average Trifecta ($1): $147.80 hops off of SEISMIC WAVE to ride MARQUEE PRINCE. He also sports a wire-to-wire victory going a mile at Churchill, and that pace ability might come in handy vs. these. ? Know This Value Plays: CANDY CRUSHEM was beaten by FOREVER MO two starts ago, but Note the Speed: The Cutler Bay pacemaker has finished in the exacta in each of the three editions of in that race he was bumped at the top of the stretch, and steadied late. He returned this race, including a win and two runner-up efforts. next out to break his maiden at 7-1 going a mile over the turf. He could round out the trifecta at a price. Palm Beach Dreamin’: Horses exiting defeats in Gulfstream Park’s Palm Beach Stakes have accounted for victories in two of the three editions $100 Wagering Strategy: of the Cutler Bay to date. • $30 Exacta Part-Wheel: MARQUEE PRINCE over SEISMIC WAVE and FOREVER MO ($60) • $10 Exacta Part-Wheel: SEISMIC WAVE and FOREVER MO over MARQUEE PRINCE ($20) Winners Gonna Win: 40% of the more than 110 turf • $5 Trifecta Part-Wheel: MARQUEE PRINCE over FOREVER MO, CANDY CRUSHEM mile stakes races run at Gulfstream Park since 2013 over FOREVER MO, CANDY CRUSHEM, SEISMIC WAVE ($20) have been won by horses coming off of victories. Jon’s Picks 1. MARQUEE PRINCE 3. FOREVER MO 2. SEISMIC WAVE 4. CANDY CRUSHEM Sanibel Island Stakes $125,000 Post Time: 4:14 PM ET Race 6 (Post Time: 2:00PM ET) 4YO+, Fillies & Mares 3YO Fillies, 1 Mile (Turf) 1 1/2 Miles Turf More Than ‘A Bit’ Special Stats & Trends Dustin Fabian, Xpressbet.com @Xpressbet Last Year: 9-5 favorite Best Performance rallied mildly for Analysis: Gulfstream’s Sanibel Island Stakes drew a solid field of eight three-year-old fourth in her first start since a runner-up finish in fillies and from a betting perspective, the question is simple – bank on A BIT SPECIAL the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf nearly four months prior.
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