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March 30, 2019

866.88XPRESS (866.889.7737) Xpressbet Expert Picks

Alfredo Alfonzo Millie Ball Jason Blewitt Zoe Cadman Gulfstream Park XBTV Gulfstream Park XBTV @videohipico @camillayakteen @jasonblewitt30 @zoecadman

Maximum Security Hidden Scroll Bourbon War Code of Honor Bourbon War Harvey Wallbanger Hidden Scroll Bourbon War Hidden Scroll Unions Destiny Code of Honor Hidden Scroll Code of Honor Code of Honor Harvey Wallbanger

Johnny D Ron Nicoletti Dustin Fabian Jeremy Plonk Xpressbet Gulfstream Park Xpressbet Xpressbet @XBJohnnyD @ronic17 @Xpressbet @HorsePlayerNow

Harvey Wallbanger Hidden Scroll Bourbon War Bourbon War Code of Honor Bourbon War Code of Honor Hidden Scroll Hidden Scroll Code of Honor Maximum Security Code of Honor Maximum Security Harvey Wallbanger Harvey Wallbanger

Jonathan Van Dine Jeff Siegel Eddie Olczyk Xpressbet XBTV NBC Sports @Xpressbet @jsiegelracing @Xpressbet

Bourbon War Hidden Scroll Bourbon War Maximum Security Code of Honor Bodexpress Hidden Scroll Maximum Security Hidden Scroll Current Bourbon War Code of Honor

Team Consensus 4 Points for 1st, 3 for 2nd, 2 for 3rd and 1 for 4th

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Must be 18 or older (21 in AL, AZ, IA, IN, KS, NH, ND, WA) to open an account with Xpressbet, LLC and reside in a state where such activity is legal. Void where prohibited. National Gambling Support Line 800.522.4700. Gulfstream Park Mile $300,000 - Grade 2 Post Time: 4:14 PM ET Race 4 (Post Time: 1:00PM ET) 4YO+, Fillies & Mares 4YO+, 1 Mile (Dirt) 1 1/2 Miles Turf

Prince Lucky Poised for Knockout Stats & Trends By Jeremy Plonk, Xpressbet.com @Horseplayernow Last Year: Reigning and Xpressbet Florida Analysis: Not every boxing match winds up like the script of Rocky. After a real-life Derby winner had his 2018 return bludgeoning, the bludgeoned may not want a rematch no matter how many zeroes appear spoiled when he chased 12-1 shot Conquest Big E throughout and was a no-match second. Conquest on the pay ledger. After PRINCE LUCKY mopped the ring by 6 lengths in the Hal’s Hope, Big E rebounded off a troubled, fourth-place effort Gulfstream Park Mile nominees Copper Town and Quip said “no mas.” Can anyone step in the Hal’s Hope. Among those also in the upset forward in this one-turn mile to take the favorite’s best shot, or are we simply looking at a winner’s wake was past , Wood Memorial and Pimlico Special winner . clear single in the early multi-race wagers in the day’s fourth race?

Main Contenders: PRINCE LUCKY stands out off his return win in the Grade 3 Hal’s Gulfstream Park Mile Snapshot: (Since 1991) Hope, his first start since taking the on the undercard. Those are Stakes Record: 1:33.80 two key feathers as we know he can handle Gulfstream, and he can handle a day with a lot (Palace Malice, 2014) of pomp, circumstance and crowd. And he’s trained by , who is other-worldly Largest Win Margin: 5 1/4 Lengths (Discreet Dancer, 2013) in Gulfstream one-turn miles. Over the past four years, Pletcher trainees are 36% wins and Winning Favorites: 12 (42.9%) 53% in the exacta for a $1.17 ROI for every $1 bet. That jumps to $1.69 in stakes. If there’s Wire-to-Wire Winners: 4 (14.3%) any hope in beating the favorite it’s that he went almost :13 the final furlong of the Hal’s Average Win Odds: 4.63/1 Average Exacta ($2): $70.22 Hope and didn’t gallop-out with zest. But he had reason to be a bit tired. Now, he’s tight. Average Trifecta ($1): $240.33 TALE OF SILENCE, fourth in the Hal’s Hope, would be the other leading stakes-savvy threat. He’s run several triple-digit late BRIS pace figures, and if you’re going to beat the chalk here, it’s with a late whoosh on the off chance he’s weary late. ? Know This Faltering Favorites : The last 4 favorites in this race Value Plays: Finding value in a 6-horse field with a heavy favorite most often have finished 6th, 3rd, 4th and 2nd at odds of 9-5, means a multi-race wagering strategy. Race 3 has a 9-horse field and could help you 8-5, 6-5 and 6-5. Palace Malice (2014) and (2012) are the only successful chalks leverage the math with a daily double into this race. Within the body of the Gulfstream the past decade. Park Mile, GUY CABALLERO finds a group without much early speed and could be dangerous on or near the lead with a great outside draw. Stretch-out, Not Cutback: 75% of the 72 one-turn mile stakes on the Gulfstream Park dirt since 2013 have been won by horses who last raced at a mile $100 Wagering Strategy: or shorter. • $40 Daily Double Part-Wheel: OWNITIFYOUWANTIT and HAUNT from Race 3 Winning is Contagious: 47% of dirt mile stakes with PRINCE LUCKY ($80) winners at Gulfstream Park since 2013 have exited • $20 Exacta: PRINCE LUCKY over GUY CABALLERO ($20) prep victories. And consider 64% of those winners finished first or second last time out.

Jeremy’s Picks

1. PRINCE LUCKY 3. TALE OF SILENCE 2. GUY CABALLERO 4. BE GONE DADDY Cutler Bay Stakes $125,000 Race 5 (Post Time: 1:30PM ET) 3YO, 1 Mile (Turf)

Castellano Chooses Fresh Face Stats & Trends By Jon VanDine, Xpressbet.com @Xpressbet Last Year: third-place finisher Therapist Analysis: Even with the Cutler Bay drawing a field of seven horses this year, there rallied to nab 6-5 favorite Speed Franco by a neck doesn’t appear to be a standout in this race. The field is devoid of early speed, and the as the second wagering choice. The New York- bred by Freud provided trainer Christophe Clement adage “pace makes the race” will certainly apply here. This race will be determined by with back-to-back wins in the Cutler Bay, following the inside trio of horses, and that’s where my handicapping will focus. Dover Cliffs’ victory in 2017.

Main Contenders: SEISMIC WAVE is coming off of a maiden score going a mile and Cutler Bay Snapshot: one-eighth while sitting just off the pace in his only try on the Gulfstream turf. In the (Since 2016) first two starts of his career he tried to launch from 8th and came up short. With the Stakes Record: 1:33.42 (Therapist, 2018) turn-back in distance, drawing the rail, and lack of speed players involved, this one Largest Win Margin: 1 1/2 Lengths could find the front or be very close. FOREVER MO has 2 wins and a second-place (Dover Cliffs, 2017) finish in four races on the Gulfstream turf. This is another one who’ll be sitting close Winning Favorites: 2 (66.7%) Wire-to-Wire Winners: 1 (33.3%) to the front under Manny Franco. FOREVER MO is in good form entering this race Average Win Odds: 1.80/1 with two wins in his last three races, and enjoys the Gulfstream turf course. MARQUEE Average Exacta ($2): $80.00 PRINCE enters this race off of two straight victories at Fair Grounds. Average Trifecta ($1): $147.80 hops off of SEISMIC WAVE to ride MARQUEE PRINCE. He also sports a wire-to-wire victory going a mile at Churchill, and that pace ability might come in handy vs. these. ? Know This

Value Plays: CANDY CRUSHEM was beaten by FOREVER MO two starts ago, but Note the Speed: The Cutler Bay pacemaker has finished in the exacta in each of the three editions of in that race he was bumped at the top of the stretch, and steadied late. He returned this race, including a win and two runner-up efforts. next out to break his maiden at 7-1 going a mile over the turf. He could round out the trifecta at a price. Palm Beach Dreamin’: Horses exiting defeats in Gulfstream Park’s Palm Beach Stakes have accounted for victories in two of the three editions $100 Wagering Strategy: of the Cutler Bay to date. • $30 Exacta Part-Wheel: MARQUEE PRINCE over SEISMIC WAVE and FOREVER MO ($60)

• $10 Exacta Part-Wheel: SEISMIC WAVE and FOREVER MO over MARQUEE PRINCE ($20) Winners Gonna Win: 40% of the more than 110 turf • $5 Trifecta Part-Wheel: MARQUEE PRINCE over FOREVER MO, CANDY CRUSHEM mile stakes races run at Gulfstream Park since 2013 over FOREVER MO, CANDY CRUSHEM, SEISMIC WAVE ($20) have been won by horses coming off of victories.

Jon’s Picks

1. MARQUEE PRINCE 3. FOREVER MO 2. SEISMIC WAVE 4. CANDY CRUSHEM Sanibel Island Stakes $125,000 Post Time: 4:14 PM ET Race 6 (Post Time: 2:00PM ET) 4YO+, Fillies & Mares 3YO Fillies, 1 Mile (Turf) 1 1/2 Miles Turf

More Than ‘A Bit’ Special Stats & Trends Dustin Fabian, Xpressbet.com @Xpressbet Last Year: 9-5 favorite Best Performance rallied mildly for Analysis: Gulfstream’s Sanibel Island Stakes drew a solid field of eight three-year-old fourth in her first start since a runner-up finish in fillies and from a betting perspective, the question is simple – bank on A BIT SPECIAL the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf nearly four months prior. Leading slowed the or play against her? The way I see it, there’s no middle ground. If you like A BIT pace on 8-1 shot Figarella’s Queen and wired the SPECIAL, she’s probably a single and a key horse. If you don’t like her, you’ve got a field after taking maidens coast-to-coast in her number of viable alternatives that are going to pay much better. In my eyes, however, prior start. this race starts and ends with A BIT SPECIAL.

Sanibel Island Snapshot: Main Contenders: A BIT SPECIAL is just that – A BIT SPECIAL. She’s 4-for-5 in her (Since 2016) career, has won three stakes races and routed the field in the Grade 3 Sweetest Chant Stakes Record: 1:34.68 (Harmonize, 2016) Stakes last time out. Her only defeat came last September when she got caught too far Largest Win Margin: 3 1/4 Lengths behind a pedestrian pace in an allowance race and came flying late only to lose by a (Celestine, 2015) neck. Norm Casse’s BELLE LAURA was third in the Grade 3 Winning Favorites: 0 (0.0%) Wire-to-Wire Winners: 2 (50.0%) here on March 2 and was regarded enough to compete in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Average Win Odds: 6.90/1 Fillies Turf last November. She finished 7th that day, but was beaten less than 3 lengths Average Exacta ($2): $91.75 for second. Klaravich Stables, Chad Brown and Javier Castellano have teamed to win a Average Trifecta ($1): $182.08 ton of stakes races and they send out POSITIVE SKEW, who broke her maiden here on January 6. Based on human connections alone, she’s worth consideration. ? Know This Speed is Dangerous: Two straight Sanibel Island Value Plays: TRENCHTOWN CAT was the heavy chalk when she broke her winners have registered wire-to-wire upsets at 8-1 maiden going five furlongs here on February 17. She’ll need to prove she can prices, Figarella’s Queen last year and Conquest stretch out and step up in company, but her speed figures are on par with Hardcandy in 2017. In fact, 8-1 shot Celestine also won the inaugural edition of this race in 2015. most of her rivals. LA AUSTRALIANA should get a quicker pace here than she chased in her debut and could back into the Tri or Super. Chalk Dust: Favorites are 0-for-4 in the Sanibel Island, finishing second at 3-5; third at 9-5; second at 2-1, and fourth at 9-5. $100 Wagering Strategy:

• $40 Exacta: A BIT SPECIAL over POSITIVE SKEW ($40) Does Class Matter? Twice in the four-year history • $5 Trifecta Key: A BIT SPECIAL over LA AUSTRALIANA, BELLE LAURA, of the Sanibel Island, the winner was rising in class out of the maiden ranks, Celestine in 2015 and TRENCHTOWN CAT and POSITIVE SKEW ($60) Figarella’s Queen in 2018.

Dustin’s Picks

1. A BIT SPECIAL 3. BELLE LAURA 2. POSITIVE SKEW 4. LA AUSTRALIANA Ticket Time! Recommended Picks for the Day’s Biggest Bets

$750,000 Guaranteed Late Pick 4 One of ’s most popular bets has a $750,000 guarantee on Xpressbet Florida Derby Day!

Race 11: 5 Race 12: 1, 2, 3, 4, 8, 11 Race 13: 1, 3, 8, 9 Race 14: 1, 4, 9

Total Ticket Cost ($.50 Base): $36.00

Mandatory Payout Rainbow 6 Xpressbet Florida Derby Day is Mandatory Payout Day for the Rainbow 6. That means the entire carryover must go! Heading into Thursday’s races, the carryover was over $2.4 million. If that holds until Saturday, there are going to be some very happy handicappers!

Race 9: 1, 8, 9, 10, 14 Race 10: 4, 8, 9 Race 11: 5 Race 12: 1, 2, 3, 4, 8, 11 Race 13: 1, 3, 8, 9 Race 14: 1, 4

Total Ticket Cost ($.20 Base): $144.00

Gulfstream Park Oaks $250,000 - Grade 2 Race 8 (Post Time: 3:00PM ET) 3YO Fillies, 1 1/16 Miles (Dirt)

Oaks Road Runs Through ‘Dunbar’ Stats & Trends By Johnny D., Xpressbet.com @XBJohnnyD Last Year: Coach Rocks rallied to give trainer Analysis: A field of 7 sophomore gals line up for this mile and one-sixteenth, Grade 2, his third GP Oaks title in the last four years, nabbing $250,000 test. Leading the charge is DUNBAR ROAD, an impressive, nearly 9-length race favorite Take Charge Paula in the final yards. The formful race produced just a $36 trifecta winner in her only start at one mile. She’s trained by Chad Brown, a 30% winning trainer for $1, despite an 11-horse field, as the Top-3 all at the current meeting. She will be ridden by Irad Ortiz, Jr., who’s currently in a nip- were 3-1 or less. Coach Rocks was coming off a and-tuck dogfight with Luis Saez for honors as the meet’s leading rider. Well-fancied maiden win at the meet, and would go on to be the runner-up in the Black-Eyed Susan at Pimlico. is COOKIE DOUGH, second last out in this track’s Grade 2 going one- mile. She has a pair of dominating Gulfstream Park victories in restricted stakes on her resume, including a head defeat last out in the Grade 2 Davona Dale. Snapshot: (Since 1991) Stakes Record: 1:42.40 Main Contenders: What makes things interesting in here is that DUNBAR ROAD and (, 1984) COOKIE DOUGH are drawn in posts 6 and 7, respectively, and both have speed. What Largest Win Margin: 21 3/4 Lengths (Dreaming of Julia, 2013) happens early in this race will determine what happens late. Will Ortiz permit jockey Winning Favorites: 14 (50.0%) Jeffrey Sanchez and mount COOKIE DOUGH to outrun him to the first turn? If not, Wire-to-Wire Winners: 6 (21.4%) and Ortiz holds inside position with his filly, how fast might the pair go and how much Average Win Odds: 3.48/1 Average Exacta ($2): $35.63 energy will they expend? If things become silly early, unbeaten POINT OF HONOR Average Trifecta ($1): $69.62 seems most likely to benefit. She has a Gulfstream maiden win and a Tampa stakes tally in her only two starts. CHAMPAGNE ANYONE adds blinkers and could show more early interest. She closed well going 7 furlongs in the to miss by less than a ? Know This length. Last out in the Davona Dale, she ran evenly to finish a well-beaten third. Dale & Todd Show: Trainers Dale Romans (3) and Todd Pletcher (4) have accounted for 7 of the last 9 Value Plays: There really isn’t much apparent value to be found unless, of course, as editions of the Gulfstream Park Oaks. stated early, DUNBAR ROAD and COOKIE DOUGH wage a pace war on the front end. If Winning Matters: 54% of the winners in 1-1/16 miles that pair go at a breakneck pace and POINT OF HONOR isn’t up to the task, the race sets dirt stakes races since 2013 at Gulfstream Park have up for newly blinkered CHAMPAGNE ANYONE, who should be at an acceptable price. been coming off of prep victories. Two-thirds of the winners ran first or second last-time out.

$100 Wagering Strategy: Don’t Toss Stretch-Out Horses: Just over half of • $20 Exacta Box: DUNBAR ROAD and POINT OF HONOR ($40) the 1-1/16 miles dirt graded stakes at Gulfstream Park since 2013 have been won by horses • $20 Exacta: DUNBAR ROAD and CHAMPAGNE ANYONE ($20) extending distance out off of a 1-turn prep, so • $10 Exacta Part-Wheel: DUNBAR ROAD with POINT OF HONOR, don’t be afraid of a stretch-out. CHAMPAGNE ANYONE, COOKIE DOUGH ($30) • $10 Exacta: POINT OF HONOR with DUNBAR ROAD ($10)

Johnny D’s Picks

1. DUNBAR ROAD 3. CHAMPAGNE ANYONE 2. POINT OF HONOR 4. COOKIE DOUGH Sand Springs Stakes $100,000 Post Time: 4:14 PM ET Race 10 (Post Time: 4:17PM ET) 4YO+, Fillies & Mares 4YO+ Fillies & Mares, 1 Mile (Turf) 1 1/2 Miles Turf

Ledge Stays Perfect at Gulfstream Stats & Trends By Johnny D., Xpressbet.com @XBJohnnyD Last Year: Contested the first Saturday in March, Team of Analysis: Wagering decisions in this race hinge on how one views the chances of Teams led every step of the way under John Velazquez to pull an 11-1 upset for trainer Jimmy PROCTOR’S LEDGE off a 4-month layoff while breaking from the most outside post. Jerkens. It was an empty finale for 2-5 favorite She’s clearly the most accomplished in the field. No argument. However, she’s been Celestine, the defending Sand Springs champion away since Oct. 13 and may lose ground in this race. Still, she’s a multiple Grade 2 who had won this race at 3-10 odds a year prior and also been third here in 2016. stakes winner that usually shows up. She’s improved steadily throughout her career, is 2-for-2 on Gulfstream turf and 3 of 4 in-the-money at the distance. Early speed belongs to VALEDICTORIAN and TOO CHARMING, so the pace should be honest. If Sand Springs Snapshot: (Since 2016) ready, PROCTOR’S LEDGE will be difficult to down. Stakes Record: 1:33.01 (Faufiler, 2016) Largest Win Margin: 3 Lengths Main Contenders: After the aforementioned PROCTOR’S LEDGE, there’s a bit (Team of Teams, 2018) Winning Favorites: 1 (33.3%) of a scramble. VALEDICTORIAN seems logical. She figures to be hounded by TOO Wire-to-Wire Winners: 2 (66.7%) CHARMING early, though. FIRE KEY has some respectable races, but she’s now age 6; Average Win Odds: 8.23/1 so it’s difficult to expect improvement. Also, she’s been closing recently and, therefore, Average Exacta ($2): $100.47 Average Trifecta ($1): $294.13 needs pace help. QUEBEC is an interesting invader returning from California, and who gains the services of jockey Irad Oritiz, Jr. She’s a steady performer with 3 wins and 3 seconds in 7 past appearances on the Gulfstream turf. She’s 4-for-6 first or second at ? Know This the distance. stalwart Richard Baltas conditions the filly in California, and it Winners Gonna Win: 40% of the more than 110 turf appears he prepped her there for this. She races Saturday under Bobby Dibona’s name. mile stakes races run at Gulfstream Park since 2013 have been won by horses coming off of victories. Value Plays: ANDINA DEL SUR is a bit interesting because she seems to be a forward- Upset Special: The Sand Springs has produced moving, 4-year-old type. Trouble is, she’s just 1-for-her-last-11. Co-leading rider Luis 12-1 and 11-1 upsets in the past three editions. Saez will ride—he’s been second with her twice before. She’s got an even running style (mid-pack early with a minor kick late). Her connections have regarded her highly all Bet Fresh Horses: The 2016 and 2017 winners of the Sand Springs both were making their first starts along—matching her against top 3-year-old fillies last season—but she’s never really put of the calendar year. it all together. Perhaps, if PROCTOR’S LEDGE stumbles, ANDINA DEL SUR will surge.

$100 Wagering Strategy: • $10 Exacta Box: PROCTOR’S LEDGE and ANDINA DEL SUR ($20) • $4 Trifecta Key: PROCTOR’S LEDGE with FIRE KEY, QUEBEC, VALEDICTORIAN, TOO CHARMING, ANDINA DEL SUR ($80)

Johnny D’s Picks

1. PROCTOR’S LEDGE 3. QUEBEC 2. ANDINA DEL SUR 4. VALEDICTORIAN Pan American Stakes $250,000 - Grade 2 Post Time: 4:14 PM ET Race 13 (Post Time: 6:00PM ET) 4YO+, Fillies & Mares 4YO+, 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) 1 1/2 Miles Turf

Same Script for Bigger Picture? Stats & Trends By Jeremy Plonk , Xpressbet.com @Horseplayernow Last Year: Defending champion and 9-5 favorite Sadler’s Joy Analysis: Not to be the guy who gives away the end of the movie during the previews, mustered a modest fourth behind a dawdling pace but this is the flick where BIGGER PICTURE comes off a score in the Connally Turf at Sam as Hi Happy was able to push by front-running One Go All Go in a veritable merry-go-round. The top Houston and turns in a dud, unable to make a dent against an Argentine pace player from pair both exited the 1-1/8 miles Gulfstream Park the Todd Pletcher barn. Have you seen it? The 2018 Pan American Stakes may very well Turf. This marked the third stakes win on the card present its sequel in Saturday’s 13th of 14 races. Grab your popcorn; let’s get to work. for jockey Luis Saez, who won the Sanibel Island and Gulfstream Park Oaks prior.

Main Contenders: BIGGER PICTURE figures to be a tenuous favorite worth opposing. The 2-time Connally Turf champ has those bookend trophies around 8 straight losses, including Pan American Snapshot: his 2018 Pan American seventh. He’s without a lot of pace in a race that figures to offer very (Since 1991) Stakes Record: 2:22.63 little early pace help to his style. Maker did win the one-mile Canadian Turf here last year with (Twilight Eclipse, 2013) Hogy in Houston-to- fashion. The barn also tries with SOGLIO, whose last 5 stakes Largest Win Margin: 4 Lengths losses have been by less than 2 combined lengths. He’s due some luck and should be fairly (Twilight Eclipse, 2013) Winning Favorites: 5 (17.9%) close to a slow pace. Alternatives to Maker’s pair include FOCUS GROUP, third in the Grade 1 Wire-to-Wire Winners: 4 (14.3%) Canadian International at Woodbine last October. Sure, it’s a long layoff, but Betmix stats show Average Win Odds: 5.03/1 Chad Brown at 6: 3-1-0 with horses off 150+ days and returning in 1-1/2 miles turf races since Average Exacta ($2): $63.68 Average Trifecta ($1): $221.34 2015. One of those included Wake Forest, second by a head in the 2016 Pan American after an August hiatus from the Arlington Million. The layoff won’t beat him; though the slow pace might. Another top contender who could be pace-compromised is MELMICH. He was second in the ? Know This Mac Diarmida with a wide trip behind a dawdling pace, and galloped out better than the winner. Javy’s World: Jockey Javier Castellano leads all Gulfstream jockeys in 1-1/2 miles turf stakes wins Value Plays: Todd Pletcher won this race last year with Hi Happy (Arg) and returns with since 2013 with 5. He’s hit at 29% in these races another export of South America, VILLAGE KING (ARG). While this Group 1 winner in with a $1.43 ROI for each $1 bet.

Argentina sports just a 1-for-6 record since coming to America, he’s got a strong pace Marathon Edge: Of the 24 turf marathon stakes at advantage here as potential lone speed under Hall of Fame rider John Velazquez. Surely Gulfstream since 2013, 21 of the winners exited he knows what to do with an edge. VILLAGE KING (ARG) has been 10-1 and 12-1 in a preps at 1-1/8 miles or farther. pair of stakes at the meet, so the connections alone won’t drag down his price. It Takes All Kinds: Only 6 of the 24 marathon turf stakes winners at Gulfstream since 2013 exited a $100 Wagering Strategy: victory, and notably 11 of them finished out of the money in their most recent start. • $30 Win: VILLAGE KING (ARG) ($30) • $25 Exacta Part-Wheel: VILLAGE KING (ARG) and FOCUS GROUP over SOGLIO ($50) • $10 Exacta Box: VILLAGE KING (ARG) and FOCUS GROUP ($20)

Jeremy’s Picks

1. VILLAGE KING (ARG) 3. FOCUS GROUP 2. SOGLIO 4. BIGGER PICTURE Xpressbet Florida Derby Stats and Trends

All-Time Xpressbet Florida Derby Record – Today’s Trainers AVG Post Trainer Horse Starts Win Place Show Win ROI Odds 1 Bill Mott Hidden Scroll 6 0 2 1 $0.00 11.92/1 2 Todd Pletcher Current 21 5 2 4 $1.58 5.87/1 3 Ken McPeek Harvey Wallbanger 6 1 0 1 $0.90 13.13/1 4 Mark Hennig Bourbon War 6 0 0 0 $0.00 44.05/1 5 Dale Romans Everfast 13 0 2 0 $0.00 31.18/1 6 Jaime Mejia Hard Belle 2 0 0 0 $0.00 148.30/1 7 Jason Servis Maximum Security 0 0 0 0 - - 8 Gustavo Delgado Bodexpress 2 0 1 0 $0.00 62.35/1 9 Claude McGaughey III Code of Honor 4 1 0 0 $1.95 5.50/1 10 Juan Avila Union’s Destiny 0 0 0 0 - - 11 Ralph Nicks Garter and Tie 0 0 0 0 - -

All-Time Xpressbet Florida Derby Record – Today’s Jockeys AVG Post Jockey Horse Starts Win Place Show Win ROI Odds 1 Javier Castellano Hidden Scroll 10 1 1 2 $0.86 18.11/1 2 Manny Franco Current 0 0 0 0 - - 3 Brian Hernandez Jr. Harvey Wallbanger 0 0 0 0 - - 4 Irad Ortiz Jr. Bourbon War 2 0 0 0 $0.00 32.05/1 5 Chris Landeros Everfast 0 0 0 0 - - 6 Jose Batista Hard Belle 1 0 0 0 $0.00 116.30/1 7 Luis Saez Maximum Security 4 0 0 0 $0.00 4.10/1 8 Nik Juarez Bodexpress 2 0 0 0 $0.00 92.90/1 9 John Velazquez Code of Honor 13 5 2 4 $2.03 8.89/1 10 Leonel Reyes Union’s Destiny 1 0 0 0 $0.00 153.70/1 11 Jeffrey Sanchez Garter and Tie 0 0 0 0 - -

Winning Xpressbet Florida Derby Post Positions Since 1991

Post 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Starters 28 28 28 28 28 28 27 25 20 15 8 5 3 1

Winners 0 3 4 7 2 4 4 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 Xpressbet Florida Derby $1,000,000 - Grade 1 Post Time: 4:14 PM ET Race 14 (Post Time: 6:30PM ET) 4YO+, Fillies & Mares 3YO, 1 1/8 Miles (Dirt) 1 1/2 Miles Turf

Bourbon War Stands Out Stats & Trends By Eddie Olczyk, NBC Sports @Xpressbet Last Year: Trainer Todd Pletcher won his fourth Xpressbet Analysis: The importance of the Xpressbet Florida Derby has been long-standing, Florida Derby in five years when 8-5 favorite Audible but really in the spotlight in recent years. Kentucky Derby winners , and rallied to post an easy, 3-length score. It was Pletcher’s fifth win in the event overall and fifth for Always Dreaming all have come out of this race just since 2013. It’s the capper to a jockey John Velazquez (third in tandem). Audible great, 14-race card on Saturday. Good luck to those playing in the live-money $50,000 had been victorious in the earlier Xpressbet Showdown online tournament. in the meet and sat out the Xpressbet Fountain of Youth to point for GP’s headline 3-year-old race. He would go on to run third in the Kentucky Derby. Main Contenders: The pace got to favorite HIDDEN SCROLL in the Fountain of Youth when he finished fourth at 6-5. I respect him, but not sure he offers any more value this time … or if the pace will be any more forgiving. That’s because unbeaten Xpressbet Florida Derby Snapshot: (Since 1991) sprinter MAXIMUM SECURITY should offer a big challenge to those up front. The Stakes Record: 1:46.80 Xpressbet Florida Derby should come down to the best finisher. In the Fountain of (Gen. Duke, 1957) Youth, that was BOURBON WAR. He ran huge in the local prep when second to CODE Largest Win Margin: 9 3/4 Lengths (, 2003) OF HONOR and should get the perfect set-up. The longer the better for BOURBON Winning Favorites: 8 (28.6%) WAR. And keep in mind that closers have taken the Mucho Macho Man, Holy Bull and Wire-to-Wire Winners: 5 (17.9%) Fountain of Youth this winter on the Florida Derby path. Average Win Odds: 6.14/1 Average Exacta ($2): $99.61 Average Trifecta ($1): $324.42 Value Plays: BODEXPRESS will be a big price (30-1 morning line, but likely much higher as a maiden). I know he’s never been around two turns, but he’s bred to like this. Sire Bodemeister dominated the Arkansas Derby at this same 1-1/8 miles and ran ? Know This huge seconds in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness. I’m looking for BODEXPRESS to Run to the Roses: Since moving on the calendar be just off the speed in that second flight. closer to the Kentucky Derby as a final prep, the Xpressbet Florida Derby has produced 5 winners in Louisville since 2006 – , , Orb, $100 Wagering Strategy: Nyquist and Always Dreaming. • $43 Win: BOURBON WAR ($43) No ‘Youth’ Needed: Five straight Florida Derby • $5 Exacta Part-Wheel: BOURBON WAR over BODEXPRESS, HIDDEN SCROLL, winners were horses who did not compete in the CODE OF HONOR ($15) Xpressbet . In fact, Orb (2013) • $3 Trifecta Key: BOURBON WAR over BODEXPRESS, HIDDEN SCROLL, is the only Fountain of Youth alumnus in the last 8 years to win the Florida Derby. CODE OF HONOR ($18) • $1 Trifecta Box: BOURBON WAR, BODEXPRESS, HIDDEN SCROLL, Longshots Need Not Apply: 6 straight Xpressbet CODE OF HONOR ($24) Florida Derby victors have come into the race off of a prep victory. The last 8 have first or second- place final prep runs.

Eddie’s Picks

1. BOURBON WAR 3. HIDDEN SCROLL 2. BODEXPRESS 4. CODE OF HONOR