Socio Economic Update No 31 H T January 2016
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s e id r Comhairle nan Eilean Siar b e H r e Development Department t u O e Socio Economic Update No 31 T January 2016 ational Records of % Second %Vacant Scotland have released Data zone Homes Dwellings Nsmall area statistics on North Barra 15 8 households and dwellings. These statistics were published South Harris 13 9 for higher geographies in Vatersay to Castlebay 11 8 ‘Estimates of Households Uig and Bernera 11 8 and Dwellings in Scotland’, West North Uist to Baleshare 10 7 released in July 2015. Eriskay to South Boisdale 9 11 The adjacent table illustrates North Harris and Scalpay 9 6 the percentage of second Pairc and Kinloch 9 9 homes and vacant dwellings Carloway to Shawbost 9 8 in each of the 36 data zone Grimsay, East North Uist to Berneray 8 5 areas in the Outer Hebrides. Loch Eynort to Iochdar 7 7 There are 5 data zones where Loch Roag 7 8 10% or more of the houses Habost to Port of Ness 7 9 are second homes, mainly Loch Boisdale 6 8 in Barra, North Uist and Uig Galson to Swainbost 6 6 and Bernera. The Scottish South Benbecula 5 5 average is 1.1%, and 5.3% for Bragar to Brue 5 8 the Outer Hebrides. Gress to Tolsta 5 6 The data zone with the highest North Lochs 4 7 percentage of empty dwellings Barvas to Borve 4 7 is in South Uist where 11% Coll to Back 4 4 of dwellings are vacant. The Scottish average is 2.9% and Sheshader to Tiumpan Head 4 4 6.2% in the Outer Hebrides. Garrabost 3 6 Knock to Bayble 3 6 Springfield, Goathill, Melbost to Braighe and North North Benbecula 2 6 Manor Park data zones have Marybank to Newvalley 2 4 the highest percentage of North Bayhead (Stornoway) 2 5 occupied dwellings at 96%. Melbost to Braighe 2 2 North Barra and South Harris Tong to Upper Coll 1 4 have the lowest at 78%. Newmarket 1 5 Central Stornoway 1 6 Newton to Plasterfield 1 4 Springfield 1 3 Coulegrain to Stenish 1 4 North Manor Park 0 4 Goathill 0 4 2011 Census ational Records of Scotland has released further information from the 2011 Census. A report on Scotland’s Inhabited Islands was released in September 2015. This provides further detailed Ninformation on Population, Households, Health, Ethnicity, Identity, Language and Religion, Qualifications, Labour Market and Transport. A Gaelic Language report was published in two parts with the 1st part published in September 2015 and the second part published in October 2015. Reports available on Scotland’s Census web page. National Records of Scotland published a National Records of Scotland released a report on Centenarians in September 2015 publication on Winter Mortality 2014/15 in showing that the number of Centenarians October 2015. continues to increase. Some findings for the The seasonal increase in mortality in the Outer Hebrides for 2014 are as follows: winter is defined as the difference between • There are 7 people in the Outer Hebrides the number of deaths in the 4 month “winter” who were 100 and over and all were period (Dec to March) and the average female. This makes up 0.026% of the numbers of deaths in the two 4 month total population and is the 5th highest in periods which precede winter (Aug to Nov) Scotland and follow winter (April to July). A negative • There were 307 people aged 90 and over figure appears when there were fewer deaths making up 1.13% of the total population during the winter period than the average of in the Outer Hebrides, this is the highest the two “non-winter” periods. in Scotland The winter • The percentage of the population aged Outer Hebrides mortality for the Winter Mortality 90 and over by age groups is as follows: Outer Hebrides 2006/07 -7 from 2006/07 to • Age 90 - 94 (86%), highest percentage 2007/08 6 2014/15 is shown in Scotland 2008/09 9 in the adjacent • Age 95 - 99 (11.7%) 2009/10 38 table. The highest • Age 100+ (2.3%) 2010/11 -3 winter mortality 2011/12 25 was recorded in • The percentage change in persons 90 and 2012/13 17 over from 2004 to 2014 is as follows: 2013/14 -9 2009/10, this was in contrast to the • 38% increase in all persons 2014/15(P) 34 Scotland trend of • 89% increase in males lower deaths. • 28% increase in females Previously the highest figure had been recorded in 1999/00 with 70. Winter mortality has risen once again, both in the Outer Hebrides and in Scotland as a whole. Winter 2014/15 has been unusually bad, compared to previous winters. Figures for 2014/15 are still Provisional. Page 2 Death Rate in Island Areas by Quarterly Return 2011-2015 Vital Events 18.0 he Vital Events section on 16.0 the National Records of 14.0 T 12.0 Scotland web site provides a wide 10.0 8.0 range of statistical information 6.0 4.0 about events such as, births, popn. 1,000 per deaths 2.0 marriages, deaths, divorces etc. 0.0 Q1, Q3, Q1, Q3, Q1, Q3, Q1, Q3, Q1, Q3, 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 The death rate continues to be high in the Outer Hebrides, and Outer Hebrides Scotland Shetland Orkney is usually the highest in Scotland. The death rate was 12.6 in the Outer Hebrides in 2014 while the Scottish average was 10.2. Birth Rate in Island Areas by Quarterly Return 2011 to 2015 The first chart illustrates how 16 varied the death rate has been and 14 also how much higher it is in the 12 10 Outer Hebrides in comparison 8 to other areas. Over the period 6 4 Rate Rate per 1,000 popn. 2011-2015 it was at its highest in 2 0 Q1 2013 at 16.5 (Scot.avg. 11.6) Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4, Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4, Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4, Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4, Q1, Q2, Q3, and was also high in Q1 2015 at 2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2013 2013 20132014 2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2015 16.1 (Scot.avg. 12.5). Outer Hebrides Shetland Orkney Scotland The second chart illustrates the birth rate in the islands. This is Birth and Death Rates in the Outer Hebrides consistently one of the lowest in 2009 to 2014 Scotland and varies from that of 16 Shetland and the Orkney islands 14 15.0 where the birth rate is usually 12 13.4 13.7 13.9 12.2 12.6 similar to the Scottish average 10 and is often higher in Shetland. 8 9.0 9.0 9.1 8.9 8.7 8.2 6 Over the period 2011-2015 the Rate per 1,000 4 highest birth rate in the Outer 2 Hebrides was in Q3 2013 at 10.8 0 (Scot.avg.10.8) and the lowest 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 was in Q4 2014 at 6.1 (Scot.avg. Births Deaths 10.3). There were a total of 226 births in the Outer Hebrides in 2014. The chart above shows the difference between the birth rate There were 115 male births and and the death rates in the Outer Hebrides. This illustrates 111 female births. why natural change (the difference between births and deaths) is consistently negative. This is the main reason for Out of the 226 births 142 were population decline in the Outer Hebrides and positive net born within marriage and 84 migration is needed to sustain the population in the Outer were born outside marriage. Hebrides. Page 3 Life Expectancy by Administrative Area 2012-2014 n 13 October 2015 National Records of Life expectancy at birth for men in the Outer Scotland (NRS) produced a publication Hebrides is 77 years, ranked 22 out of the on Life Expectancy for Administrative 32 Local Authority areas. Ten years ago life OAreas 2012-2014. Male and female life expectancy for men was 72.4 years, ranked 28. expectancy continue to rise, however, it varies In contrast, life expectancy at birth for women widely across Scotland. Male and female life is 82.1 years, ranked 11. Ten years ago life expectancy was highest in East Dunbartonshire expectancy for women was 79.9 years, rank 10. Council area while male life expectancy was lowest in Glasgow City Council area and Life expectancy at birth is slightly higher in Shetland female life expectancy was lowest in West and Orkney as illustrated in the chart below. Dunbartonshire Council. People living in rural The gap between men and women is also less in areas, in general, live longer than those in towns. Shetland and Orkney at 4.5 and 4.1 years respectively. Scottish males and females continue to have the lowest life expectancy in the United Kingdom and although male and female life expectancy Life expectancy at birth in island continues to improve in Scotland, the gap areas 2012-2014 between Scottish and English life expectancy for 84.0 82.8 both males and females has widened since 1980- 82.1 82.4 82.0 81.1 1982 by 0.3 years for both males and females. 80.0 78.7 77.9 Males The chart below illustrates the difference between Age 78.0 77.0 77.1 Females male and female life expectancy for all Scottish 76.0 Local Authoritiy areas. The gap between males 74.0 and females in the Outer Hebrides remains Outer Scotland Shetland Orkney very wide at 5.1, the 3rd highest in Scotland Hebrides after Glasgow City (5.3) and Inverclyde (5.4).