1. Introduction 2. UHI in Hong Kong 3. Trends in Extreme UHI 4. Conclusion
Urban heat islands in Hong Kong: Statistical modeling and trend detection 1,2 3 2, 4, 5 4 Weiwen Wang , Wen Zhou , Edward Yan Yung Ng , Yong Xu 1. Institute for Environmental and Climate Research, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China 2. School of Architecture, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China 3. Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre, School of Energy and Environment, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China 4. Institute of Future Cities, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China 5. Institute of Environment, Energy and Sustainability, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China 1. Introduction 3. Trends in extreme UHI Urban heat islands (UHIs), usually defined as temperature differences Extreme UHI events are defined as UHIs with intensity higher than a between urban areas and their surrounding rural areas, are one of the most specific threshold, 4.8°C for summer and 7.8°C for winter. Statistical modeling significant anthropogenic modifications to the Earth’s climate. This study applies based on extreme value theory is found to permit realistic modeling of these the extreme value theory to model and detect trends in extreme UHI events in extreme events. Trends of extreme UHI intensity, frequency, and duration are Hong Kong, which have rarely been documented. introduced through changes in parameters of generalized Pareto, Poisson. As illustrated in Fig. 1, large developments occurred in New Territories In summer, the trend is 0.042 and 0.011 for intensity and frequency per (northern Hong Kong) and in nearby Shenzhen.
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