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TRT Proposal TRANSPORT STUDY FOR THE DANUBE MACRO-REGION Final Report Study prepared for: EUROPEAN INVESTMENT BANK TRT Trasporti e Territorio Milan, 30 June 2017 Transport Study for the Danube Macro-Region – Final Report Document Control Sheet Customer European Investment Bank Contract Number CC8414/PO92839 Project name Transport Study for the Danube Macro-Region File name EIB Transport Study for the Danube Macro-Region – Final Report D5 Version Date 30/04/2019 Document classification Draft Final X Confidential X Restricted X Public Main editor Silvia Maffii and Marco Brambilla Angelo Martino, Marco Pascucci, Ernesto Marzano, Zoltan Gati, Contributors Drazenko Glavic, Fabio Torta, Riccardo Parolin, Claudia de Stasio, Luca Bellodi, Eglantina Dani, Loredana Zani and Dorota Bielanska Final approval Silvia Maffii Available to European Investment Bank Assignment Manager Contact Dr. Silvia Maffii TRT Trasporti e Territorio Via Rutilia 10/8 Milano - Italy Tel: +39 02 57410380 e-mail: [email protected] Web: www.trt.it ii Transport Study for the Danube Macro-Region – Final Report LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ACROSSEE Accessibility Improved at Border Crossing for the Integration of South East Europe AADT Average Annual Traffic per Day ANSP Air Navigation Service Provider ASFINAG Autobahnen - und Schnellstraßen-Finanzierungs - Aktiengesellschaft ATC Air Traffic Control ATM Air Traffic Management B/C Benefit Cost ratio BVWP Bundesverkehrswegeplan CCNR Central Commission for the Navigation of the Rhine CEF Connecting Europe Facility CO2 Carbon Dioxide DARS Družbe za avtoceste v Republiki Sloveniji EC European Commission EaP Eastern Partnership EASA European Aviation Safety Agency EBRD European Bank for Reconstruction and Development EEA European Environmental Agency EIA Environmental Impact Assessment EIB European Investment Bank EIRR Economic Internal Rate of Return ENI European Neighbourhood Instrument ENPV Economic Net Present Values ERTMS European Rail Traffic Management System ESPON European Territorial Observatory Network ETCS European Train Control System EU European Union EUROCONTROL European Organization for the Safety of Air Navigation FFH Flora and Fauna Habitats iii Transport Study for the Danube Macro-Region – Final Report FIRR Financial Internal Rate of Return FNPV Financial Net Present Value FR Functional Region GDP Gross Domestic Product GSM-R Global System for Mobile Communications – Railway HGV Heavy Good Vehicle HUF Hungarian Forint HŽ Hrvatske Željeznice IATA International Air Transport Association IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction and Development ICAO International Civil Aviation Organization IFI International Financing Institution INEA Innovation and Networks Executive Agency IPA Instrument for Pre-accession Assistance ITF International Transport Forum JASPERS Joint Assistance to Support Projects in European Regions MOEW Ministry of Environmental and Waters NRIC National Railway Infrastructure Company of Bulgaria NUTS Nomenclature of territorial units for statistics OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development PA Priority Area PPP Public Private Partnership RCC Regional Cooperation Council REBIS The Regional Balkans Infrastructure Study RWY Runway SEE South East Europe SEETO MAP South-East Europe Transport Observatory Multi Annual Plan TEN-T CNC TEN-T Core Network Corridor TRACECA TRAnsport Corridor Europe-Caucasus-Asia iv Transport Study for the Danube Macro-Region – Final Report TRUST TRansport eUropean Simulation Tool UNECE Economic Commission for Europe VAT Value Added Tax VIA Vienna International Airport WB6 Group of the Six Western Balkan Prime Ministers WBIF Western Balkans Investment Framework v Transport Study for the Danube Macro-Region – Final Report TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................ 1 1.1 PURPOSE OF THE STUDY ............................................................................................................. 1 1.2 CONTENT OF THE DOCUMENT AND ANNEXES .............................................................................. 1 2 THE DANUBE MACRO-REGION ................................................................................................ 4 2.1 MAIN SOCIO-ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS ................................................................................ 5 2.2 THE TRANSPORT NETWORKS ...................................................................................................... 8 2.2.1 TEN-T network and corridors .............................................................................................................. 8 2.2.2 The SEETO and the WB6 initiative ...................................................................................................... 9 2.2.3 Eastern Partnership initiative and the extension of the TEN-T ......................................................... 10 2.3 TRANSPORT DEMAND .............................................................................................................. 13 2.3.1 Current situation .............................................................................................................................. 13 2.3.2 Aggregate indicative projections of key socio-economic parameters and demand volumes .......... 15 2.4 THE TRANSPORT NETWORK BOTTLENECKS ............................................................................ 17 2.5 ENVIRONMENTAL AND SAFETY ASPECTS .................................................................................. 18 3 THE FUNCTIONAL REGIONS OF THE DANUBE MACRO-REGION ............................... 19 3.1 FUNCTIONAL REGIONS IN THE SCIENTIFIC LITERATURE ......................................................... 19 3.2 IDENTIFICATION METHODOLOGY ............................................................................................. 20 3.2.1 Step 1 - Choice of the basic spatial entity ......................................................................................... 20 3.2.2 Step 2 - Spatial interactions.............................................................................................................. 20 3.2.3 Step 3 - Socio-economic homogeneity.............................................................................................. 21 3.2.4 Step 4 - Transport context ................................................................................................................ 21 3.2.5 Step 5 - Measures of accessibility ..................................................................................................... 22 3.3 THE IDENTIFIED FUNCTIONAL REGIONS ................................................................................. 22 4 SCREENING METHODOLOGY FOR IDENTIFICATION OF FUTURE TRANSPORT PROJECTS ............................................................................................................................................. 24 4.1 INFORMATION SOURCES ........................................................................................................... 24 4.1.1 TEN-T CNC studies ............................................................................................................................ 24 4.1.2 Western Balkans countries ............................................................................................................... 24 4.1.3 Eastern Partnership countries and extension of the TEN-T network ................................................ 25 4.1.4 National transport plans and strategies .......................................................................................... 25 4.2 THE SCREENING METHODOLOGY .............................................................................................. 25 5 THE IDENTIFIED FUTURE TRANSPORT PROJECTS ....................................................... 29 5.1 FR 1 – SOUTHERN GERMANY AND WESTERN AUSTRIA ......................................................... 32 5.1.1 Socio-economic characteristics ........................................................................................................ 32 5.1.2 Transport demand and infrastructures ............................................................................................ 32 5.1.2.1 Bottlenecks ....................................................................................................................................... 34 vi Transport Study for the Danube Macro-Region – Final Report 5.1.2.2 Indicative projections of key socio-economic parameters and demand volumes ............................ 34 5.1.3 Environmental aspects ..................................................................................................................... 35 5.1.4 Safety aspects ................................................................................................................................... 35 5.1.5 Accessibility ...................................................................................................................................... 36 5.1.6 Key elements .................................................................................................................................... 36 5.1.7 Identified future transport projects .................................................................................................. 36 5.1.7.1 FR1 Project 1.1 − Widening of A8 motorway South of Munich to the German-Austrian border ...... 38 5.2 FR 2 – EASTERN AUSTRIA AND SLOVENIA .............................................................................
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