Population, Housing and Employment Projections Study County of Frontenac ________________________ Final Report Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. 905-272-3600 January 20, 2020
[email protected] Table of Contents Page Executive Summary ....................................................................................................... i 1. Introduction ...................................................................................................... 1-1 1.1 Terms of Reference ................................................................................ 1-1 2. Approach .......................................................................................................... 2-1 2.1 What Drives Population Growth .............................................................. 2-1 2.2 Long-term Permanent Population and Housing Forecast Approach ....... 2-5 3. Overview of Macro-Economic Employment and Demographic Trends ...... 3-1 3.1 Ontario Economic Outlook within the Canadian Context ........................ 3-1 3.1.1 Outlook for Ontario’s Manufacturing Sector ............................... 3-2 3.2 Regional Economic Trends ..................................................................... 3-3 3.2.1 Regional Labour Force Trends, Kingston C.M.A., 2001 to 2016 ........................................................................................... 3-3 3.2.2 Frontenac County Economic Trends .......................................... 3-5 3.3 Observations ........................................................................................