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Home , Chuck Schumer, Omarosa Manigault Newman

The Economist/YouGov Poll

Sample 1500 US Adults Conducted August 19 - 21, 2018 Margin of Error ±3%

1. Would you say things in this country today are...

Generally headed in the right direction ...... 37% Off on the wrong track ...... 49% Notsure ...... 15%

2. Do you consider the countries listed below to be a friend or an enemy of the ?

Not sure Ally Friendly Unfriendly Enemy Canada 47% 32% 8% 2% 12% 4% 21% 36% 16% 23% 34% 34% 10% 3% 19% 2% 6% 26% 48% 18% Israel 40% 22% 10% 6% 22% Japan 39% 31% 8% 3% 19% 3% 6% 24% 51% 17% South Korea 37% 31% 8% 7% 17% Mexico 16% 36% 24% 5% 19% 3% 12% 30% 35% 20% United Kingdom 52% 26% 5% 2% 14%

3. Do you think considers these countries to be friends or enemies of the United States?

Not sure Ally Friendly Unfriendly Enemy Canada 21% 34% 19% 8% 19% China 5% 21% 31% 22% 22% Germany 14% 32% 21% 9% 24% Iran 3% 7% 16% 54% 20% Israel 41% 21% 8% 9% 21% Japan 26% 30% 13% 8% 24% North Korea 4% 20% 21% 34% 21% continued on the next page . . .

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Ally Friendly Unfriendly Enemy Not sure South Korea 25% 35% 11% 8% 22% Mexico 7% 21% 32% 21% 18% Russia 14% 33% 20% 14% 20% United Kingdom 29% 31% 13% 7% 21%

4. Who was the best President in U.S. history?

George Washington ...... 10% John Adams ...... 1% ...... 2% James Madison ...... 0% James Monroe ...... 0% John Quincy Adams ...... 0% ...... 1% ...... 0% William Henry Harrison ...... 0% JohnTyler ...... 0% JamesK.Polk ...... 0% Zachary Taylor ...... 0% Millard Fillmore ...... 0% ...... 0% ...... 0% Abraham Lincoln ...... 17% Andrew Johnson ...... 0% Ulysses S. Grant ...... 0% Rutherford B. Hayes ...... 0% James A. Garfield ...... 0% Chester Arthur ...... 0% (first term) ...... 0% Benjamin Harrison ...... 0% Grover Cleveland (second term) ...... 0% William McKinley ...... 0% Theodore Roosevelt ...... 2% William Howard Taft ...... 0% ...... 0% Warren G. Harding ...... 0% Calvin Coolidge ...... 0% Herbert Hoover ...... 0% Franklin D. Roosevelt ...... 10% continued on the next page . . .

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continued from previous page HarryS.Truman ...... 0% Dwight D. Eisenhower ...... 1% John F. Kennedy ...... 8% Lyndon B. Johnson ...... 0% Richard Nixon ...... 0% GeraldFord ...... 0% ...... 1% Ronald Reagan ...... 13% George Bush ...... 0% ...... 4% George W. Bush ...... 1% ...... 16% Donald Trump ...... 6%

5. Who was the worst President in U.S. history?

George Washington ...... 0% John Adams ...... 0% Thomas Jefferson ...... 0% James Madison ...... 0% James Monroe ...... 0% John Quincy Adams ...... 0% Andrew Jackson ...... 1% Martin Van Buren ...... 1% William Henry Harrison ...... 0% JohnTyler ...... 1% JamesK.Polk ...... 0% Zachary Taylor ...... 0% Millard Fillmore ...... 1% Franklin Pierce ...... 0% James Buchanan ...... 1% Abraham Lincoln ...... 0% Andrew Johnson ...... 1% Ulysses S. Grant ...... 0% Rutherford B. Hayes ...... 0% James A. Garfield ...... 0% Chester Arthur ...... 0% Grover Cleveland (first term) ...... 0% Benjamin Harrison ...... 0% Grover Cleveland (second term) ...... 0% William McKinley ...... 0% continued on the next page . . .

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continued from previous page Theodore Roosevelt ...... 0% William Howard Taft ...... 0% Woodrow Wilson ...... 0% Warren G. Harding ...... 1% Calvin Coolidge ...... 0% Herbert Hoover ...... 1% Franklin D. Roosevelt ...... 0% HarryS.Truman ...... 0% Dwight D. Eisenhower ...... 0% John F. Kennedy ...... 0% Lyndon B. Johnson ...... 1% Richard Nixon ...... 5% GeraldFord ...... 0% Jimmy Carter ...... 2% Ronald Reagan ...... 1% George Bush ...... 2% Bill Clinton ...... 2% George W. Bush ...... 5% Barack Obama ...... 28% Donald Trump ...... 41%

6. Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people?

Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Don’t know favorable favorable unfavorable unfavorable 5% 12% 13% 31% 39% 14% 14% 10% 28% 34% Sarah Huckabee Sanders 22% 11% 12% 27% 29% John Kelly 11% 15% 17% 13% 44% James Mattis 16% 16% 13% 9% 47% Paul Manafort 3% 10% 16% 29% 42% Omarosa Manigault Newman 3% 10% 20% 34% 34% 21% 21% 19% 22% 17%

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7. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements:

Some- Neither Some- Strongly what agree nor what Strongly Not sure agree agree disagree disagree disagree Donald Trump is a successful business man 36% 19% 11% 9% 19% 5% Donald Trump is an excellent negotiator 22% 17% 13% 9% 31% 7% Donald Trump hires the best people 10% 17% 17% 12% 37% 6% Donald Trump can get people to do what he wants 14% 35% 21% 10% 13% 7% Donald Trump fires people who need to be fired 22% 15% 14% 15% 26% 8% Donald Trump understands important issues in detail 17% 18% 13% 10% 36% 5% Donald Trump cares about people like you 19% 12% 13% 7% 43% 6% Donald Trump is an excellent father 15% 12% 23% 11% 24% 15%

8. Do you think Donald Trump exercises mostly good or mostly bad judgment?

Mostly good judgment ...... 34% Mostly bad judgment ...... 49% Notsure ...... 17%

9. How satisfied are you with the way democracy is working in America?

Very satisfied ...... 8% Somewhat satisfied ...... 28% Not too satisfied ...... 27% Not at all satisfied ...... 25% Notsure ...... 12%

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10. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Presidents should govern without too much interfer- ence from Congress and the courts.

Strongly agree ...... 8% Somewhat agree ...... 21% Somewhat disagree ...... 25% Strongly disagree ...... 30% Notsure ...... 16%

11. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Democracy is best form of government.

Strongly agree ...... 39% Somewhat agree ...... 30% Somewhat disagree ...... 7% Strongly disagree ...... 6% Notsure ...... 19%

12. Do you think that America’s democracy works better or worse than other countries?

Better ...... 42% Worse ...... 16% About the same ...... 21% Notsure ...... 21%

13. How important are each of the following to the United States maintaining a strong democracy?

Not at all Somewhat Not too important Very important important important That national elections are open and fair 76% 15% 5% 4% That there is a system of checks and balances dividing power between the President, Congress, and the courts 67% 26% 4% 3% continued on the next page . . .

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Somewhat Not too Not at all Very important important important important That news organizations are free to criticize political leaders 51% 28% 15% 6% That the rights of people with unpopular views are protected 53% 35% 9% 4% That people have the right to non-violent protest 64% 25% 7% 4%

14. How much respect do you think Donald Trump has for this country’s democratic institutions and traditions?

A great deal ...... 21% A fair amount ...... 19% Not too much ...... 21% None at all ...... 29% Don’t know ...... 10%

15. How much have you heard about President Trump’s request for a military parade to be held in Washington DC similar to the military parade he saw conducted by the French military during his trip to France on Bastille Day last year?

Heard a lot ...... 29% Heard a little ...... 42% Heard nothing at all ...... 29%

16. Do you favor or oppose holding a large military parade in Washington DC?

Favor strongly ...... 11% Favor somewhat ...... 19% Oppose somewhat ...... 16% Oppose strongly ...... 31% Notsure ...... 23%

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17. Do you agree or disagree with the following statments?

Agree Agree Disagree Disagree Not sure strongly somewhat somewhat strongly A military parade would project strength by showcasing the might of our armed forces and the depth and breadth of our arsenal 12% 27% 17% 29% 16% When you’re the most powerful nation, you don’t have to show it off 42% 30% 12% 6% 9%

18. Do you think a large military parade in Washington DC would...

Honor America’s military and veterans ...... 36% Resemble military parades in undemocratic countries like North Korea, China and the old ...... 39% Notsure ...... 25%

19. How disappointed are you that the parade has been cancelled this year due to the high cost of putting on the parade?

Very disappointed ...... 7% Somewhat disappointed ...... 18% Not very disappointed ...... 21% Not disappointed at all ...... 54%

20. Do you approve or disapprove of canceling the parade this year due to the high cost of putting on the parade?

Approve strongly ...... 47% Approve somewhat ...... 21% Disapprove somewhat ...... 9% Disapprove strongly ...... 5% Notsure ...... 18%

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21. Do you think race relations in the United States are generally...

Good ...... 34% Bad ...... 66%

22. How big a problem is racism in our society today?

A big problem ...... 41% Somewhat of a problem ...... 36% A small problem ...... 18% Not a problem ...... 5%

23. Since the 1960’s, do you think race relations in the United States have gotten...

Better ...... 41% Stayed about the same ...... 34% Worse ...... 25%

24. Have you ever heard the phrase ’politically correct’?

Yes ...... 86% No ...... 14%

25. In general, do you think being ’politically correct’ is a good thing or a bad thing?

A good thing ...... 24% A bad thing ...... 43% Notsure ...... 34%

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26. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? A big problem this country has is being politically correct.

Agree strongly ...... 28% Agree somewhat ...... 23% Disagree somewhat ...... 13% Disagree strongly ...... 11% Notsure ...... 20% Prefer not to say ...... 5%

27. One newer edition of Mark Twain’s ’Adventures of Huckleberry Finn’ removes all instances of the ’N-word’ and replaces them with the word ’slave.’ What do you think of the decision to change the novel?

Good idea ...... 19% Badidea ...... 52% Don’t know how I feel about it ...... 29%

28. Which of the following best describes your reaction to the use of the ’N-word’?

Offensive ...... 53% Inappropriate, but not offensive ...... 24% Nothing wrong ...... 8% Notsure ...... 11% Prefer not to say ...... 5%

29. If a Black/African American person uses the ’N-word’ when referring to another Black/African American person, do you consider it more offensive, less offensive, or does it make no difference to you?

More offensive ...... 17% Less offensive ...... 24% No difference ...... 54% Prefer not to say ...... 6%

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30. How many Black people do you think use the ’N-word’ when referring to another Black/African American person?

Allofthem ...... 4% Most of them ...... 25% Half of them ...... 23% Fewofthem ...... 26% None of them ...... 2% Notsure ...... 20%

31. If a White person uses the ’N-word’ when referring to a Black/African American person, do you consider it more offensive, less offensive, or does it make no difference to you?

More offensive ...... 54% Less offensive ...... 6% No difference ...... 34% Prefer not to say ...... 6%

32. How many White people do you think use the ’N-word’ when referring to a Black/African American person?

Allofthem ...... 3% Most of them ...... 11% Half of them ...... 21% Fewofthem ...... 45% None of them ...... 2% Notsure ...... 18%

33. Does a White person using the ’N-word’ to refer to a black/African American person mean he or she is a racist?

Yes, the person is a racist ...... 38% No, the person is not a racist ...... 26% Notsure ...... 30% Prefer not to say ...... 6%

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34. How often have you heard the ’N-word’ used in regular conversation?

Often ...... 10% Sometimes ...... 24% Seldom ...... 44% Never ...... 16% Prefer not to say ...... 5%

35. Do you know people who sometimes use the ’N-word’ to refer to a black/African American person or not?

Yes ...... 49% No ...... 40% Prefer not to say ...... 11%

36. Have you ever used the ’N-word’ to refer to a black/African American person or not?

Yes ...... 27% No ...... 64% Prefer not to say ...... 10%

37. Do you think the men listed below have or have not used the ’N-word’ while serving as President of the United States?

Prefer not Definitely Probably Probably Definitely to say has has not not Not sure President Eisenhower 7% 29% 16% 7% 39% 2% President Kennedy 6% 22% 25% 12% 33% 2% President Johnson 16% 29% 13% 4% 36% 2% President Nixon 14% 34% 12% 4% 34% 2% President Ford 6% 20% 27% 6% 38% 2% President Carter 6% 18% 25% 16% 33% 2% President Reagan 7% 20% 26% 13% 32% 2% President Bush (George H.W.) 7% 22% 25% 13% 30% 2% President Clinton 8% 25% 24% 14% 28% 2% continued on the next page . . .

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Definitely Probably Probably Definitely Prefer not has has not not Not sure to say President Bush (George W.) 7% 22% 27% 12% 30% 2% President Obama 12% 17% 14% 31% 24% 2% President Trump 32% 23% 11% 8% 23% 2%

38. Nowadays, do you think it is possible that a person who uses the ’N-word’ while in office can still be a good President of the United States?

Yes, it is possible ...... 36% No, it is not possible ...... 37% Notsure ...... 22% Prefer not to say ...... 5%

39. Would you ever support a presidential candidate whom you knew for a fact uses the ’N-word’ to refer to a black/African American person?

Definitely would ...... 8% Probably would ...... 14% Probably would not ...... 17% Definitely would not ...... 35% Notsure ...... 23% Prefer not to say ...... 4%

40. How much have you heard in the news recently about Omarosa Manigault Newman promoting her new book about her time serving in the Trump ?

Heard a lot ...... 33% Heard a little ...... 42% Heard nothing at all ...... 25%

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41. Do you think Omarosa Manigault Newman is honest and trustworthy, or not?

Honest and trustworthy ...... 11% Not honest and trustworthy ...... 45% Notsure ...... 44%

42. Who do you believe more?

Donald Trump ...... 30% Omarosa Manigault Newman ...... 25% Both are equally trustworthy ...... 8% Neither one ...... 37%

43. From what you know about it now, do you support or oppose the new tax reform law?

Strongly support ...... 16% Somewhat support ...... 15% Somewhat oppose ...... 14% Strongly oppose ...... 21% No opinion ...... 34%

44. When you file your taxes, do you itemize deductions or do you take the standard deduction?

Itemize deductions ...... 25% Standard deduction ...... 46% Notsure ...... 19% Prefer not to say ...... 11%

45. From what you know about it now, do you think you will pay more or less under the new tax plan?

Paymore ...... 20% Pay about the same ...... 32% continued on the next page . . .

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continued from previous page Payless ...... 19% Notsure ...... 30%

46. How important are the following issues to you?

Somewhat Not very Unimportant Very Important Important Important The economy 68% 24% 5% 3% Immigration 51% 34% 11% 4% The environment 48% 32% 15% 5% Terrorism 57% 29% 11% 3% Gay rights 23% 25% 26% 26% Education 60% 28% 8% 4% Health care 72% 20% 5% 3% Social security 66% 25% 7% 3% The budget deficit 44% 39% 12% 5% The war in Afghanistan 29% 40% 22% 9% Taxes 54% 35% 8% 3% Medicare 63% 24% 9% 3% Abortion 39% 29% 21% 11% Foreign policy 41% 43% 13% 4% Gun control 50% 25% 15% 10% International trade and globalization 37% 44% 14% 5% Use of military force 43% 40% 12% 4%

47. Which of these is the most important issue for you?

The economy ...... 15% Immigration ...... 11% The environment ...... 8% Terrorism ...... 6% Gayrights ...... 2% Education ...... 6% Health care ...... 17% Social security ...... 14% The budget deficit ...... 3% The war in Afghanistan ...... 0% continued on the next page . . .

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continued from previous page Taxes ...... 3% Medicare ...... 4% Abortion ...... 5% Foreign policy ...... 2% Gun control ...... 5%

48. Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people?

Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Don’t know favorable favorable unfavorable unfavorable Donald Trump 25% 15% 10% 42% 7% 23% 15% 12% 30% 19% Paul Ryan 6% 20% 21% 30% 23% Mitch McConnell 5% 14% 18% 31% 32% 7% 20% 15% 35% 22% Chuck Schumer 7% 18% 14% 27% 34%

49. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the political parties?

Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Don’t know favorable favorable unfavorable unfavorable The Democratic Party 13% 24% 20% 30% 12% The Republican Party 12% 22% 20% 33% 13%

50. Is the Democratic Party...

Tooliberal ...... 40% About right ...... 25% Not liberal enough ...... 12% Notsure ...... 23%

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51. Is the Republican Party...

Too conservative ...... 36% About right ...... 21% Not conservative enough ...... 18% Notsure ...... 25%

52. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President?

Strongly approve ...... 21% Somewhat approve ...... 20% Somewhat disapprove ...... 12% Strongly disapprove ...... 37% Notsure ...... 10%

53. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling these specific issues?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly No opinion approve approve disapprove disapprove Abortion 16% 17% 9% 32% 26% Budget deficit 15% 20% 14% 33% 19% Civil rights 16% 20% 9% 35% 20% Economy 27% 17% 15% 27% 15% Education 15% 21% 11% 32% 20% Environment 16% 17% 12% 37% 18% Foreign policy 22% 18% 14% 32% 15% Gay rights 12% 15% 13% 28% 31% Gun control 21% 18% 11% 33% 16% Health care 16% 21% 13% 36% 15% Immigration 26% 15% 9% 40% 10% Medicare 14% 18% 14% 32% 22% Social security 14% 18% 14% 30% 24% Taxes 23% 18% 11% 33% 15% Terrorism 26% 16% 13% 27% 17% Veterans 24% 17% 13% 25% 20% Women’s rights 18% 17% 10% 33% 22%

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54. Which of these words would you use to describe Donald Trump, and which of these words would you definitely not use to describe Donald Trump? (Please check all that apply.)

No Opinion Positive Negative Honest 18% 41% 41% Intelligent 28% 33% 39% Religious 10% 32% 59% Inspiring 15% 38% 48% Patriotic 31% 23% 46% Strong 33% 23% 44% Bold 41% 13% 46% Experienced 17% 36% 47% Sincere 18% 38% 44% Partisan 16% 16% 69% Effective 27% 28% 45% Exciting 15% 25% 60% Steady 13% 29% 58% Hypocritical 42% 16% 42% Arrogant 61% 8% 30%

55. Would you say Donald Trump is...

Veryliberal ...... 3% Liberal ...... 3% Moderate ...... 17% Conservative ...... 29% Very conservative ...... 17% Notsure ...... 31%

56. Do you think Donald Trump...

Says what he believes ...... 49% Says what he thinks people want to hear ...... 35% Notsure ...... 16%

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57. How much do you think Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like you?

Alot ...... 19% Some ...... 18% Notmuch ...... 14% Doesn’t care at all ...... 40% Notsure ...... 9%

58. Would you say Donald Trump is a strong or a weak leader?

Very strong ...... 26% Somewhat strong ...... 24% Somewhat weak ...... 18% Veryweak ...... 32%

59. Do you think Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy, or not?

Honest and trustworthy ...... 30% Not honest and trustworthy ...... 52% Notsure ...... 18%

60. Do you think Donald Trump has the temperament to be the President?

Yes ...... 34% No ...... 53% Notsure ...... 13%

61. How likely do you think it is that Donald Trump will get us into a war?

Verylikely ...... 22% Fairly likely ...... 27% Fairly unlikely ...... 20% continued on the next page . . .

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continued from previous page Very unlikely ...... 13% Notsure ...... 18%

62. Do you think the way Donald Trump uses Twitter is appropriate or inappropriate for the President of the United States?

Appropriate ...... 24% Inappropriate ...... 58% Notsure ...... 18%

63. Are you optimistic or pessimistic about the next few years with Donald Trump as President?

Optimistic ...... 36% Pessimistic ...... 43% Notsure ...... 21%

64. Do you want Donald Trump to run for re-election in 2020?

Yes ...... 33% No ...... 52% Notsure ...... 15%

65. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that the is handling its job?

Strongly approve ...... 2% Somewhat approve ...... 9% Neither approve nor disapprove ...... 17% Somewhat disapprove ...... 25% Strongly disapprove ...... 32% Notsure ...... 15%

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66. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the following groups in Congress?

Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Don’t know favorable favorable unfavorable unfavorable Democrats in Congress 9% 24% 20% 31% 16% Republicans in Congress 7% 20% 22% 35% 17%

67. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Paul Ryan is handling his job as Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives?

Strongly approve ...... 5% Somewhat approve ...... 19% Somewhat disapprove ...... 18% Strongly disapprove ...... 30% Notsure ...... 29%

68. Do you want the next leader of Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives to be more or less conser- vative than Paul Ryan?

More conservative ...... 24% Less conservative ...... 29% About the same ...... 13% Notsure ...... 33%

69. Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people?

Never Some- heard of Some- what this Very what unfavor- Very unfa- Don’t person favorable favorable able vorable know Jim Jordan 12% 7% 6% 14% 25% 35% Kevin McCarthy 7% 13% 7% 13% 28% 32% Steve Scalise 13% 12% 10% 13% 24% 28%

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70. Who do you think should lead Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives?

Jim Jordan ...... 11% Kevin McCarthy ...... 6% Steve Scalise ...... 8% Some other Republican ...... 3% Notsure ...... 41% I don’t care who leads the Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives ...... 31%

71. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mitch McConnell is handling his job as of the U.S. Senate?

Strongly approve ...... 3% Somewhat approve ...... 17% Somewhat disapprove ...... 17% Strongly disapprove ...... 29% Notsure ...... 34%

72. Who do you think should lead Republicans in the U.S. Senate?

Mitch McConnell ...... 9% Some other Republican ...... 31% Notsure ...... 31% I don’t care who leads the Republicans in the U.S. Senate ...... 28%

73. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Nancy Pelosi is handling her job as the of the U.S. House of Representatives?

Strongly approve ...... 7% Somewhat approve ...... 19% Somewhat disapprove ...... 15% Strongly disapprove ...... 32% Notsure ...... 27%

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74. Who do you think should lead Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives?

Nancy Pelosi ...... 14% Some other Democrat ...... 35% Notsure ...... 26% I don’t care who leads the Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives ...... 24%

75. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chuck Schumer is handling his job as Minority Leader of the U.S. Senate?

Strongly approve ...... 8% Somewhat approve ...... 19% Somewhat disapprove ...... 13% Strongly disapprove ...... 23% Notsure ...... 38%

76. Who do you think should lead Democrats in the U.S. Senate?

Chuck Schumer ...... 16% Some other Democrat ...... 24% Notsure ...... 34% I don’t care who leads the Democrats in the U.S. Senate ...... 26%

77. Do you think the current Congress has accomplished more or less than Congress usually does at this point in its two-year term?

More than usual ...... 9% About the same ...... 26% Less than usual ...... 41% Notsure ...... 24%

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78. Do you think the current Congress has accomplished more or less than Congress usually does at this point in its two-year term?

A lot more than usual ...... 3% Somewhat more than usual ...... 6% About the same ...... 26% Somewhat less than usual ...... 17% A lot less than usual ...... 23% Notsure ...... 24%

79. Who is more to blame for Congress achieving less than usual? Asked if respondent says Congress accomplished less than usual

Democrats in Congress ...... 15% Republicans in Congress ...... 48% Both equally ...... 32% Neither ...... 2% Notsure ...... 2%

80. Do you wish the Democratic candidates who run for Congress this year will be more like Barack Obama or more like ?

More like Barack Obama ...... 36% More like Bernie Sanders ...... 27% Notsure ...... 37%

81. Do you wish the Republican candidates who run for Congress this year will be more like Donald Trump or more like George W Bush?

More like Donald Trump ...... 29% More like George W Bush ...... 40% Notsure ...... 31%

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82. What is your preference for the outcome of this year’s congressional elections?

Congress controlled by Democrats ...... 33% Congress controlled by Republicans ...... 31% Congress divided between both parities ...... 15% No preference ...... 21%

83. Overall, do you think the economy is getting better or worse?

Getting better ...... 31% About the same ...... 31% Getting worse ...... 25% Notsure ...... 13%

84. Do you think the stock market will be higher or lower 12 months from now?

Higher ...... 25% About the same ...... 26% Lower ...... 19% Notsure ...... 29%

85. Would you say that you and your family are...

Better off financially than you were a year ago ...... 20% About the same financially as you were a year ago ...... 45% Worse off financially than you were a year ago ...... 24% Notsure ...... 10%

86. Is the place where you live owned or rented?

Owned by you or your family ...... 58% Rented from someone else ...... 40% Other ...... 2%

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87. Do you have a mortgage? Asked of those who own the place where they live

Yes ...... 45% No ...... 55%

88. Six months from now do you think there will be...

More jobs ...... 31% The same amount of jobs ...... 32% Fewerjobs ...... 18% Notsure ...... 19%

89. How worried are you about losing your job?

Veryworried ...... 9% Somewhat worried ...... 28% Not very worried ...... 63%

90. If you lost your job, how hard would it be for you to find a new job that paid as much as you are making now?

Very hard – I would probably have to take a pay cut...... 26% Somewhat hard – It might take a while before I found a job that paid as much...... 35% Not very hard ...... 26% Notsure ...... 13%

91. How happy would you say you are with your current job?

Veryhappy ...... 23% Happy ...... 34% continued on the next page . . .

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continued from previous page Neither happy nor unhappy ...... 31% Unhappy ...... 8% Veryunhappy ...... 4%

92. Some people seem to follow what’s going on in government and public affairs most of the time, whether there’s an election going on or not. Others aren’t that interested. Would you say you follow what’s going on in government and public affairs ...

Most of the time ...... 42% Some of the time ...... 27% Only now and then ...... 14% Hardly at all ...... 9% Don’tknow ...... 7%

93. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?

Liberal ...... 24% Moderate ...... 28% Conservative ...... 33% Notsure ...... 15%

94. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?

Veryliberal ...... 10% Liberal ...... 14% Moderate ...... 28% Conservative ...... 21% Very conservative ...... 12% Notsure ...... 15%

95. Are you registered to vote?

Registered ...... 67% continued on the next page . . .

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continued from previous page Not registered ...... 33%

96. If an election for U.S. Congress were being held today, who would you vote for in the district where you live? Asked of registered voters

The Democratic Party candidate ...... 44% The Republican Party candidate ...... 38% Other ...... 1% Notsure ...... 14% I would not vote ...... 3%

97. If Donald Trump runs for re-election in 2020, would that make you more or less likely to vote the Republican Congressional candidate in the district where you live, or would it have no effect on how you vote? Asked of registered voters

More likely to vote for the Republican Congressional candidate ...... 26% Less likely to vote for the Republican Congressional candidate ...... 25% Have no effect on your vote choice ...... 42% Notsure ...... 7%

98. Did you vote in the 2016 Presidential primary or caucus in your state? Asked of registered voters

Yes, I voted the Democratic Presidential primary or caucus ...... 35% Yes, I voted the Republican Presidential primary or caucus ...... 34% No, I did not vote in either the Republican or Democratic Presidential primary or caucus . 24% I don’t remember ...... 7%

99. Which candidate did you vote for in the 2016 Democratic Presidential primary or caucus in your state? Asked of registered voters who voted in their state’s 2016 Democratic Presidential primary or caucus

Hillary Clinton ...... 64% continued on the next page . . .

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continued from previous page Martin O’Malley ...... 2% Bernie Sanders ...... 32% Someone else ...... 2%

100. Which candidate did you vote for in the 2016 Republican Presidential primary or caucus in your state? Asked of registered voters who voted in their state’s 2016 Republican Presidential primary or caucus

Donald Trump ...... 52% Someone else ...... 48%

101. Did you vote in the election on Tuesday, November 8, 2016? Asked of registered voters

Yes ...... 56% No ...... 44%

102. Who did you vote for in the election for President?

Hillary Clinton ...... 26% Donald Trump ...... 25% Gary Johnson ...... 1% JillStein ...... 0% Evan McMullin ...... 0% Other ...... 1% Did not vote for President ...... 46%

103. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?

Democrat ...... 31% Republican ...... 25% Independent ...... 29% Other ...... 3% continued on the next page . . .

29 The Economist/YouGov Poll

continued from previous page Notsure ...... 12%

104. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?

Strong Democrat ...... 19% Not very strong Democrat ...... 12% Lean Democrat ...... 8% Independent ...... 20% Lean Republican ...... 9% Not very strong Republican ...... 9% Strong Republican ...... 16% Notsure ...... 7%

105. Which candidate did you vote for in the 2012 Presidential election? Asked of registered voters old enough to vote in 2012

Barack Obama ...... 27% ...... 25% Other candidate ...... 1% I did not vote ...... 47%

106. What is your gender?

Male ...... 49% Female ...... 51%

107. Respondent age by category

Under30 ...... 22% 30-44 ...... 24% 45-64 ...... 34% 65+ ...... 21%

30 The Economist/YouGov Poll

108. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?

White ...... 67% Black ...... 13% Hispanic ...... 11% Other ...... 9%

109. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

HSorless ...... 39% Some college ...... 33% College grad ...... 18% Postgrad ...... 10%

110. What is your marital status?

Married ...... 45% Separated ...... 2% Divorced ...... 11% Widowed ...... 5% Never married ...... 33% Domestic / civil partnership ...... 4%

111. Are you the parent or guardian of any children under the age of 18?

Yes ...... 26% No ...... 74%

31 The Economist/YouGov Poll

112. Calculated from respondent’s state of residence

Northeast ...... 20% Midwest ...... 18% South ...... 43% West ...... 19%

113. Which of the following best describes the place where you live?

A large city ...... 19% A suburb near a large city ...... 34% A small city or town ...... 26% Aruralarea ...... 21%

114. Overall, how would you rate your city or town as a place to live?

Excellent ...... 15% Verygood ...... 30% Good ...... 36% Onlyfair ...... 14% Poor ...... 5%

115. Which of the following best describes your current employment status?

Full-time employed ...... 37% Part-time employed ...... 13% Self-employed ...... 0% Unemployed or temporarily on layoff ...... 10% Retired ...... 21% Permanently disabled ...... 10% Homemaker ...... 8% Other ...... 1%

32 The Economist/YouGov Poll

116. Thinking back over the last year, what was your family’s annual income?

Under $50K ...... 50% $50-100K ...... 24% $100K or more ...... 13% Prefer not to say ...... 14%

117. We’d like to know whether you or someone in your immediate family is currently serving or has ever served in the U.S. military. Immediate family is defined as your parents, siblings, spouse, and children. Please check all boxes that apply.

Military Household - I am ...... 1% Military Household - Family ...... 7% Military Household - I served previously ...... 12% Military Household - Family served previously ...... 38% Military Household - None ...... 48%

118. Are you or is someone in your household a member of a labor union?

Yes,Iam ...... 6% Yes, household member is ...... 9% No ...... 86%

119. How important is religion in your life?

Very important ...... 40% Somewhat important ...... 25% Not too important ...... 15% Not at all important ...... 20%

120. Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services?

More than once a week ...... 8% continued on the next page . . .

33 The Economist/YouGov Poll

continued from previous page Onceaweek ...... 19% Once or twice a month ...... 9% A few times a year ...... 12% Seldom ...... 21% Never ...... 27% Don’tknow ...... 4%

121. Would you describe yourself as a "born-again" or evangelical Christian, or not?

Yes ...... 33% No ...... 67%

122. People practice their religion in different ways. Outside of attending religious services, how often do you pray?

Several times a day ...... 26% Onceaday ...... 17% A few times a week ...... 13% Onceaweek ...... 3% A few times a month ...... 6% Seldom ...... 16% Never ...... 16% Don’tknow ...... 3%

123. What is your present religion, if any?

Protestant ...... 36% Roman Catholic ...... 18% Mormon ...... 2% Eastern or Greek Orthodox ...... 1% Jewish ...... 2% Muslim ...... 2% Buddhist ...... 1% Hindu ...... 1% Atheist ...... 5% continued on the next page . . .

34 The Economist/YouGov Poll

continued from previous page Agnostic ...... 6% Nothing in particular ...... 24% Something else ...... 4%

Sponsorship The Economist

Fieldwork YouGov

Interviewing Dates August 19 - 21, 2018

Target population US Adult Population

Sampling method Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in Internet panel us- ing sample matching. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2014 American Community Study. Voter registration was imputed from the November 2014 Current Population Survey Registration and Voting Supplement.

Weighting The sample was weighted based on gender, age, race, education, 2012 and 2016 Presidential votes (or non-votes). The weights range from 0.184 to 5.016, with a mean of one and a standard deviation of 0.638.

Number of respondents 1500 1247 (Registered voters)

Margin of error ± 3% (adjusted for weighting) ± 2.9% (Registered voters)

Survey mode Web-based interviews

Questions not reported 28 questions not reported.

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