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FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Public Disclosure Authorized Report No: PAD3295 INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT ON A PROPOSED GRANT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 26.8 MILLION (US$37 MILLION EQUIVALENT) Public Disclosure Authorized TO THE REPUBLIC OF TAJIKISTAN FOR THE TAJIKISTAN SOCIO-ECONOMIC RESILIENCE STRENGTHENING PROGRAM May 30, 2019 Public Disclosure Authorized Social, Urban, Rural and Resilience Global Practice Europe and Central Asia Region This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. Public Disclosure Authorized CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective April 30, 2019) Currency Unit = SDR SDR 0.722 = US$1 US$ 1.385 = SDR 1 FISCAL YEAR January 1–December 31 Regional Vice President: Cyril E. Muller Country Director: Lilia Burunciuc Senior Global Practice Director: Ede Jorge Ijjasz-Vasquez Practice Manager: Kevin Tomlinson Task Team Leader(s): Robert Wrobel, Gloria La Cava ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AKDN Agha Khan Development Network PDO project development objective BFM beneficiary feedback mechanism PIU project implementation unit CAE centers for additional education CASA-1000 Central Asia South Asia Electricity PPSD Project Procurement Strategy Transmission and Trade Project Document CDD community-driven development POM Project Operations Manual CPF Country Partnership Framework REDP Rural Economy Development CYAS Committee for Youth Affairs and Project Sports under the Government of REP Rural Electrification Project the Republic of Tajikistan RMR Risk Mitigation Regime CSP community support project RSP Resilience Strengthening Program DHS Demographic and Health Survey RRA Risk and Resilience Assessment DFID U.K. Department for International RWSSP Rural Water Supply and Sanitation Development Project EIRR economic internal rate of return TFP training and facilitating partner EU European Union SDC Swiss Development Cooperation FCV fragility, conflict, and violence SERSP Socio-Economic Resilience FM financial management Strengthening Project GBAO Gorno-Badakhshan Autonomous SGM subgrants operations manual Oblast SPF State and Peacebuilding Fund GBV gender-based violence SUE State Unitary Enterprise, Khojagii GDP gross domestic product Manziliyu Kommunali GoT Government of Tajikistan UNDP United Nations Development GRM grievance redress mechanism Program GRS Grievance Redress Service (of the UNICEF United Nations International World Bank) Children's Emergency Fund IDA International Development USAID United States Agency for Association International Development IP implementing partner VPC village project committee ISP implementation support plan WBG World Bank Group JICA Japan International Cooperation WUA Water Users Association Agency JPC jamoat project commission KfW German Bank of Reconstruction M&E monitoring and evaluation MIS management information system MSDSP Mountain Societies Development Support Program NGO nongovernmental organization NPV net present value NSIFT National Social Investment Fund of Tajikistan O&M operations and maintenance The World Bank Tajikistan Socio-Economic Resilience Strengthening Program (P168052) TABLE OF CONTENTS DATASHEET ............................................................................................................................. 1 I. STRATEGIC CONTEXT ......................................................................................................... 1 A. Country Context................................................................................................................................ 1 B. Sector Context .................................................................................................................................. 2 C. Relevance to Higher-Level Objectives .............................................................................................. 5 II. PROJECT DESCRIPTION....................................................................................................... 7 A. Project Development Objective (PDO) ............................................................................................. 7 B. Project Components ......................................................................................................................... 8 C. Project Beneficiaries ....................................................................................................................... 14 D. Results Chain .................................................................................................................................. 16 E. Rationale for Bank Involvement and Role of Partners ................................................................... 17 F. Lessons Learned and Reflected in the Project Design .................................................................... 18 III. IMPLEMENTATION ARRANGEMENTS ................................................................................. 21 A. Institutional and Implementation Arrangements .......................................................................... 21 B. Results Monitoring and Evaluation Arrangements......................................................................... 26 C. Sustainability ................................................................................................................................... 26 IV. PROJECT APPRAISAL SUMMARY ........................................................................................ 27 A. Technical, Economic, and Financial Analysis .................................................................................. 27 B. Fiduciary .......................................................................................................................................... 29 C. Legal Operational Policies. .............................................................................................................. 31 D. Environmental and Social. .............................................................................................................. 31 E. Citizen Engagement, Gender, and Climate Change ........................................................................ 32 V. KEY RISKS ....................................................................................................................... 34 VI. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND MONITORING ......................................................................... 36 ANNEX 1: Implementation Arrangements and Support Plan ........................................................ 49 ANNEX 2: Detailed Description of Subcomponent 1b and Component 2 ........................................ 58 ANNEX 3: Gender ................................................................................................................... 64 ANNEX 4: Map of Tajikistan ..................................................................................................... 68 The World Bank Tajikistan Socio-Economic Resilience Strengthening Program (P168052) DATASHEET BASIC INFORMATION BASIC_INFO_TABLE Country(ies) Project Name Tajikistan Tajikistan Socio-Economic Resilience Strengthening Project Project ID Financing Instrument Environmental and Social Risk Classification Investment Project P168052 Substantial Financing Financing & Implementation Modalities [ ] Multiphase Programmatic Approach (MPA) [ ] Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) [ ] Series of Projects (SOP) [ ] Fragile State(s) [ ] Disbursement-linked Indicators (DLIs) [ ] Small State(s) [ ] Financial Intermediaries (FI) [✓] Fragile within a non-fragile Country [ ] Project-Based Guarantee [ ] Conflict [ ] Deferred Drawdown [ ] Responding to Natural or Man-made Disaster [ ] Alternate Procurement Arrangements (APA) Expected Approval Date Expected Closing Date 20-Jun-2019 30-Jun-2024 Bank/IFC Collaboration No Page 1 of 75 The World Bank Tajikistan Socio-Economic Resilience Strengthening Program (P168052) Proposed Development Objective(s) The development objectives of this project are to strengthen participatory local governance, improve the quality of local infrastructure, both in targeted communities, and increase extracurricular or livelihood opportunities for youth. Components Component Name Cost (US$, millions) Component 1: Inclusive Local Development Initiatives 22.60 Component 2: Youth Inclusion and Livelihoods 12.50 Component 3: Project Management and Monitoring and Evaluation 1.90 Organizations Borrower: Ministry of Finance Implementing Agency: National Social Investment Fund of Tajikistan PROJECT FINANCING DATA (US$, Millions) SUMMARY-NewFin1 Total Project Cost 37.00 Total Financing 37.00 of which IBRD/IDA 37.00 Financing Gap 0.00 Page 2 of 75 The World Bank Tajikistan Socio-Economic Resilience Strengthening Program (P168052) DETAILS-NewFinEnh1 World Bank Group Financing International Development Association (IDA) 37.00 IDA Grant 37.00 IDA Resources (in US$, Millions) Credit Amount Grant Amount Guarantee Amount Total Amount National PBA 0.00 37.00 0.00 37.00 Total 0.00 37.00 0.00 37.00 Expected Disbursements (in US$, Millions) WB Fiscal Year 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Annual 0.00 3.31 6.81 8.89 9.73 8.26 Cumulative 0.00 3.31 10.12 19.01 28.74 37.00 INSTITUTIONAL DATA Practice Area (Lead) Contributing Practice Areas Social, Urban, Rural and Resilience Global Fragile, Conflict & Violence, Governance, Poverty and Equity, Practice Water Climate Change and Disaster Screening This operation has been screened for