Soft security problems in Northwest Russia and their implications for the outside world A framework for analysis and action Dr Christer Pursiainen (ed.) Director Aleksanteri Institute – Finnish Centre for Russian and East European Studies at the University of Helsinki www.kolumbus.fi/christer .pursiainen
[email protected] with the assistance of Pekka Haavisto and Nikita Lomagin of the Finnish Institute of International Affairs 2 Contents: I Introduction: a holistic approach to soft security problems 3 II The severity of Russian soft security problems for the outside world 3 Nuclear safety – waiting for a catastrophe? 4 Environmental problems: from individual risks to potential catastrophes 9 Infectious diseases: a creeping crisis? 11 Illegal immigration: still under control? 13 III Russian decision-making in soft security issues 17 State agents in soft security: the sources of impotence 18 Business and soft security: extra benefits by violating laws? 21 Does civil society matter? 22 The conflicting nature of Russian soft security decision-making 24 IV International co-operation: widespread but fragmented 25 The international agents 25 Problems of co-operation 30 V Towards a more intensified soft security analysis and action 32 3 I Introduction: a holistic approach to soft security problems* Ten years after the end of the Cold War, the traditional security dilemma based on the perception of a military threat between Russia and the West has largely given way to a variety of new challenges related to non-military security, so-called soft security threats. These threats are not merely problems internal to Russia, but constitute existing or potential problems for other countries as well.