July 2014 Global Catastrophe Recap 2
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
Homeowners Handbook to Prepare for Natural Disasters
HOMEOWNERS HANDBOOK HANDBOOK HOMEOWNERS DELAWARE HOMEOWNERS TO PREPARE FOR FOR TO PREPARE HANDBOOK TO PREPARE FOR NATURAL HAZARDSNATURAL NATURAL HAZARDS TORNADOES COASTAL STORMS SECOND EDITION SECOND Delaware Sea Grant Delaware FLOODS 50% FPO 15-0319-579-5k ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This handbook was developed as a cooperative project among the Delaware Emergency Management Agency (DEMA), the Delaware Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Control (DNREC) and the Delaware Sea Grant College Program (DESG). A key priority of this project partnership is to increase the resiliency of coastal communities to natural hazards. One major component of strong communities is enhancing individual resilience and recognizing that adjustments to day-to- day living are necessary. This book is designed to promote individual resilience, thereby creating a fortified community. The second edition of the handbook would not have been possible without the support of the following individuals who lent their valuable input and review: Mike Powell, Jennifer Pongratz, Ashley Norton, David Warga, Jesse Hayden (DNREC); Damaris Slawik (DEMA); Darrin Gordon, Austin Calaman (Lewes Board of Public Works); John Apple (Town of Bethany Beach Code Enforcement); Henry Baynum, Robin Davis (City of Lewes Building Department); John Callahan, Tina Callahan, Kevin Brinson (University of Delaware); David Christopher (Delaware Sea Grant); Kevin McLaughlin (KMD Design Inc.); Mark Jolly-Van Bodegraven, Pam Donnelly and Tammy Beeson (DESG Environmental Public Education Office). Original content from the first edition of the handbook was drafted with assistance from: Mike Powell, Greg Williams, Kim McKenna, Jennifer Wheatley, Tony Pratt, Jennifer de Mooy and Morgan Ellis (DNREC); Ed Strouse, Dave Carlson, and Don Knox (DEMA); Joe Thomas (Sussex County Emergency Operations Center); Colin Faulkner (Kent County Department of Public Safety); Dave Carpenter, Jr. -
Contextualizing Disaster
Contextualizing Disaster This open access edition has been made available under a CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license, thanks to the support of Knowledge Unlatched. Catastrophes in Context Series Editors: Gregory V. Button, former faculty member of University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Mark Schuller, Northern Illinois University / Université d’État d’Haïti Anthony Oliver-Smith, University of Florida Volume ͩ Contextualizing Disaster Edited by Gregory V. Button and Mark Schuller This open access edition has been made available under a CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license, thanks to the support of Knowledge Unlatched. Contextualizing Disaster Edited by GREGORY V. BUTTON and MARK SCHULLER berghahn N E W Y O R K • O X F O R D www.berghahnbooks.com This open access edition has been made available under a CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license, thanks to the support of Knowledge Unlatched. First published in 2016 by Berghahn Books www.berghahnbooks.com ©2016 Gregory V. Button and Mark Schuller Open access ebook edition published in 2019 All rights reserved. Except for the quotation of short passages for the purposes of criticism and review, no part of this book may be reproduced in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system now known or to be invented, without written permission of the publisher. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Names: Button, Gregory, editor. | Schuller, Mark, 1973– editor. Title: Contextualizing disaster / edited by Gregory V. Button and Mark Schuller. Description: New York : Berghahn Books, [2016] | Series: Catastrophes in context ; v. -
Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR Sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ Updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET
Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET Summary Report Ongoing typhoon situation The storm had lost strength early Tuesday July 8, going from the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane to a Category 3 on the Saffir‐Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which means devastating damage is expected to occur, with major damage to well‐built framed homes, snapped or uprooted trees and power outages. It is approaching Okinawa, Japan, and is moving northwest towards South Korea and the Philippines, bringing strong winds, flooding rainfall and inundating storm surge. Typhoon Neoguri is a once‐in‐a‐decade storm and Japanese authorities have extended their highest storm alert to Okinawa's main island. The Global Assessment Report (GAR) 2013 ranked Japan as first among countries in the world for both annual and maximum potential losses due to cyclones. It is calculated that Japan loses on average up to $45.9 Billion due to cyclonic winds every year and that it can lose a probable maximum loss of $547 Billion.2 What are the most devastating cyclones to hit Okinawa in recent memory? There have been 12 damaging cyclones to hit Okinawa since 1945. Sustaining winds of 81.6 knots (151 kph), Typhoon “Winnie” caused damages of $5.8 million in August 1997. Typhoon "Bart", which hit Okinawa in October 1999 caused damages of $5.7 million. It sustained winds of 126 knots (233 kph). The most damaging cyclone to hit Japan was Super Typhoon Nida (reaching a peak intensity of 260 kph), which struck Japan in 2004 killing 287 affecting 329,556 people injuring 1,483, and causing damages amounting to $15 Billion. -
An Incoherent Subseasonal Pattern of Tropical Convective and Zonal Wind
An incoherent subseasonal pattern of tropical convective and zonal wind anomalies contributed to weak signals on both the Wheeler-Hendon (RMM) and CPC MJO indices during the past week. The spatial pattern of upper-level velocity potential anomalies exhibited influences from higher frequency modes, such as tropical cyclone activity over the eastern Pacific and anomalous divergence over Africa. During the past several days, however, these conflicting signals have weakened. Additionally, constructive interference of a strong equatorial Rossby Wave (ERW) and a Kelvin Wave over the eastern Indian Ocean and Maritime Continent contributed to an ongoing large area of enhanced convection. The RMM Index has responded to this evolution and is currently projecting a signal in Phase-4. Dynamical model MJO index forecasts are consistent with a rapid propagation of this signal eastward over the Maritime Continent during the upcoming week, likely due to influence from the Kelvin Wave. Beyond this period, however, the GFS weakens the MJO signal while the CFS, UKMET, and ECMWF models continue a slower eastward propagation over the western Pacific. There is uncertainty whether the enhanced convection over the Maritime Continent associated with the interactions between a more transient Kelvin Wave and the ERW will evolve into a more robust subseasonal signal on the MJO time scale. Due to the consensus among numerous dynamical models, however, impacts of MJO propagation from the Maritime Continent to the West Pacific were considered for this outlook. Tropical cyclones developed over both the eastern and western Pacific basins during the past week. Super Typhoon Neoguri, the third typhoon of 2014 and the first major cyclone, developed east of the Philippines on 3 July. -
The South Texas Regional Cocorahs Newsletter
NWS Corpus The South Texas Regional Christi CoCoRaHS Newsletter Winter 2012 Edition by Christina Barron Quite the weather pattern, eh? Some- But even with some of these good, strong times it still feels like Summer even fronts, rain has been lacking lately. Moisture though we’re officially in Winter! But over the area just has not been able to re- we’ve had some Fall and Winter tem- bound after these strong, fast moving fronts. peratures over the past months, with a few good strong cold fronts that blew In this edition of the newsletter, we’ll talk Inside this issue: through the area. Lows dipped into the about the changes in the upcoming weather 40s to even 30s for the first time since pattern with a recap of the Summer. Also, Welcome Message 1 last winter during mid-November. Tem- we’ll talk about a new way to do SKYWARN peratures even dropped into the mid training. The 2012 Active Hurri- 1-2 20s over areas in mid-to-late December cane Season as strong Arctic fronts moved in. Drought Conditions to 2-3 Persist Observer Honors 3 by Juan Alanis 2012 Daily Reporters 4 The 2012 Atlantic Hurricane season came to a close November 30th, continuing a decades- SKYWARN Classes 4 long streak of very active hurricane seasons. Observer Corner 5 The 2012 season finished well above average with 19 named storms, 10 of which became hurricanes (winds > 73 mph), with one of CoCoRaHS Webinars 5 those becoming a major hurricane (winds >110 mph). The climatologically average is 12 National Weather Ser- 6 named storms in a season. -
Report on UN ESCAP / WMO Typhoon Committee Members Disaster Management System
Report on UN ESCAP / WMO Typhoon Committee Members Disaster Management System UNITED NATIONS Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific January 2009 Disaster Management ˆ ` 2009.1.29 4:39 PM ˘ ` 1 ¿ ‚fiˆ •´ lp125 1200DPI 133LPI Report on UN ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee Members Disaster Management System By National Institute for Disaster Prevention (NIDP) January 2009, 154 pages Author : Dr. Waonho Yi Dr. Tae Sung Cheong Mr. Kyeonghyeok Jin Ms. Genevieve C. Miller Disaster Management ˆ ` 2009.1.29 4:39 PM ˘ ` 2 ¿ ‚fiˆ •´ lp125 1200DPI 133LPI WMO/TD-No. 1476 World Meteorological Organization, 2009 ISBN 978-89-90564-89-4 93530 The right of publication in print, electronic and any other form and in any language is reserved by WMO. Short extracts from WMO publications may be reproduced without authorization, provided that the complete source is clearly indicated. Editorial correspon- dence and requests to publish, reproduce or translate this publication in part or in whole should be addressed to: Chairperson, Publications Board World Meteorological Organization (WMO) 7 bis, avenue de la Paix Tel.: +41 (0) 22 730 84 03 P.O. Box No. 2300 Fax: +41 (0) 22 730 80 40 CH-1211 Geneva 2, Switzerland E-mail: [email protected] NOTE The designations employed in WMO publications and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of WMO concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. -
Emergency Managers On-Line Survey on Extratropical and Tropical Cyclone Forecast Information: Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program/Storm Surge Roadmap
Emergency Managers National Science On-FoundationLine Survey on Extratropical and Tropical Cyclone Forecast Information: Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program/Storm Surge Roadmap January, 2013 Betty Hearn Morrow Jeffrey K. Lazo Research Applications Laboratory Weather Systems and Assessment Program Societal Impacts Program NCAR Technical Notes National Center for Atmospheric Research P. O. Box 3000 Boulder, Colorado 80307-3000 www.ucar.edu NCAR/TN-497 +STR NCAR TECHNICAL NOTES http://www.ucar.edu/library/collections/technotes/technotes.jsp The Technical Notes series provides an outlet for a variety of NCAR Manuscripts that contribute in specialized ways to the body of scientific knowledge but that are not yet at a point of a formal journal, monograph or book publication. Reports in this series are issued by the NCAR scientific divisions, published by the NCAR Library. Designation symbols for the series include: EDD – Engineering, Design, or Development Reports Equipment descriptions, test results, instrumentation, and operating and maintenance manuals. IA – Instructional Aids Instruction manuals, bibliographies, film supplements, and other research or instructional aids. PPR – Program Progress Reports Field program reports, interim and working reports, survey reports, and plans for experiments. PROC – Proceedings Documentation or symposia, colloquia, conferences, workshops, and lectures. (Distribution maybe limited to attendees). STR – Scientific and Technical Reports Data compilations, theoretical and numerical investigations, and experimental results. The National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) is operated by the nonprofit University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR) under the sponsorship of the National Science Foundation. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation. -
Vortex Polygons Nature Astron 4-02-21
Polygonal patterns of cyclones on Jupiter: Convective forcing and anticyclonic shielding Andrew Ingersoll ( [email protected] ) California Institute of Technology https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2035-9198 Shawn P. Ewald California Institute of Technology Federico Tosi Istituto Nazionale di AstroFisica Alberto Adriani Istituto Nazionale di AstroFisica Alessandro Mura Istituto Nazionale di AstroFisica Davide Grassi Istituto Nazionale di AstroFisica Christina Plainaki Agenzia Spaziale Italiana Giuseppe Sindoni Agenzia Spaziale Italiana Cheng Li University of Michigan Lia Siegelman Scripps Institution of Oceanography Patrice Klein California Institute of Technology William R. Young Scripps Institution of Oceanography Article Keywords: Jupiter, Juno, vortex, convection, atmosphere Posted Date: May 11th, 2021 DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-388198/v1 License: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. Read Full License 1 Polygonal patterns of cyclones on Jupiter: 2 Convective forcing and anticyclonic shielding 3 4 Andrew P. Ingersolla,1, Shawn P. Ewalda, Federico Tosib, Alberto Adrianib, Alessandro Murab, Davide 5 Grassib, Christina Plainakic, Giuseppe Sindonic, Cheng Lid, Lia Siegelmane, Patrice Kleinf, William R. 6 Younge 7 8 aPlanetary Science, California Institute of Technology, 1200 E. California Blvd, Pasadena, CA 91125, 9 USA 10 bIstituto Nazionale di AstroFisica – Istituto di Astrofisica e Planetologia Spaziali (INAF-IAPS), Rome, Italy 11 cAgenzia Spaziale Italiana (ASI), Via del Politecnico snc, 00133 - Rome, Italy 12 dClimate and Space Sciences and Engineering, University of Michigan, 2455 Hayward Street, Ann Arbor, 13 MI 48109, USA 14 eScripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA 15 16 fEnvironmental Science and Engineering Department, Geological and Planetary Sciences Division, 17 CALTECH, 1200E California Blvd, Pasadena CA 91125, USA 18 19 1Corresponding author: Andrew P. -
Initializing the WRF Model with Tropical Cyclone Real-Time Reports Using the Ensemble
Initializing the WRF Model with Tropical Cyclone Real-Time Reports using the Ensemble Kalman Filter Algorithm Tien Duc Du(1), Thanh Ngo-Duc(2), and Chanh Kieu(3)* (1)National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, 8 Phao Dai Lang, Hanoi, Vietnam 1 (2)Department of Space and Aeronautics, University of Science and Technology of Hanoi, Vietnam 2 (3)Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Indiana University, Bloomington IN 47405, USA Revised: 18 April 2017 Submitted to Pure and Applied Geophysical Science Abbreviated title: Tropical Cyclone Ensemble Forecast Keywords: Tropical cyclones, ensemble Kalman filter, the WRF model, tropical cyclone vital, ensemble forecasting ____________________ *Corresponding author: Chanh Kieu, Atmospheric Program, GY428A Geological Building, Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405. Tel: 812-856-5704. Email: [email protected]. 1 1 Abstract 2 This study presents an approach to assimilate tropical cyclone (TC) real-time reports and the 3 University of Wisconsin-Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS) 4 Atmospheric Motion Vectors (AMV) data into the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model 5 for TC forecast applications. Unlike current methods in which TC real-time reports are used to either 6 generate a bogus vortex or spin-up a model initial vortex, the proposed approach ingests the TC real- 7 time reports through blending a dynamically consistent synthetic vortex structure with the CIMSS- 8 AMV data. The blended dataset is then assimilated into the WRF initial condition, using the local 9 ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF) algorithm. Retrospective experiments for a number of 10 TC cases in the north Western Pacific basin during 2013-2014 demonstrate that this approach could 11 effectively increase both the TC circulation and enhance the large-scale environment that the TCs are 12 embedded in. -
Near Or Above Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted
Near or Above Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center indicates climate conditions point to a near normal or above normal hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin this season. Their outlook calls for a 65 percent probability of an above normal season and a 25 percent probability of a near normal season. This means there is a 90 percent chance of a near or above normal season. The climate patterns expected during this year’s hurricane season have in past seasons produced a wide range of activity and have been associated with both near-normal and above-normal seasons. For 2008, the outlook indicates a 60 to 70 percent chance of 12 to 16 named storms, including 6 to 9 hurricanes and 2 to 5 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale). An average season has 11 named storms, including six hurricanes for which two reach major status. The science behind the outlook is rooted in the analysis and prediction of current and future global climate patterns as compared to previous seasons with similar conditions. “The main factors influencing this year’s seasonal outlook are the continuing multi-decadal signal (the combination of ocean and atmospheric conditions that have spawned increased hurricane activity since 1995), and the anticipated lingering effects of La Niña,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “One of the expected oceanic conditions is a continuation since 1995 of warmer-than-normal temperatures in the eastern tropical Atlantic.” “The outlook is a general guide to the overall seasonal hurricane activity,” said retired Navy Vice Adm. -
HURRICANE IRMA (AL112017) 30 August–12 September 2017
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE REPORT HURRICANE IRMA (AL112017) 30 August–12 September 2017 John P. Cangialosi, Andrew S. Latto, and Robbie Berg National Hurricane Center 1 24 September 2021 VIIRS SATELLITE IMAGE OF HURRICANE IRMA WHEN IT WAS AT ITS PEAK INTENSITY AND MADE LANDFALL ON BARBUDA AT 0535 UTC 6 SEPTEMBER. Irma was a long-lived Cape Verde hurricane that reached category 5 intensity on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. The catastrophic hurricane made seven landfalls, four of which occurred as a category 5 hurricane across the northern Caribbean Islands. Irma made landfall as a category 4 hurricane in the Florida Keys and struck southwestern Florida at category 3 intensity. Irma caused widespread devastation across the affected areas and was one of the strongest and costliest hurricanes on record in the Atlantic basin. 1 Original report date 9 March 2018. Second version on 30 May 2018 updated casualty statistics for Florida, meteorological statistics for the Florida Keys, and corrected a typo. Third version on 30 June 2018 corrected the year of the last category 5 hurricane landfall in Cuba and corrected a typo in the Casualty and Damage Statistics section. This version corrects the maximum wind gust reported at St. Croix Airport (TISX). Hurricane Irma 2 Hurricane Irma 30 AUGUST–12 SEPTEMBER 2017 SYNOPTIC HISTORY Irma originated from a tropical wave that departed the west coast of Africa on 27 August. The wave was then producing a widespread area of deep convection, which became more concentrated near the northern portion of the wave axis on 28 and 29 August. -
Member Report
MEMBER REPORT ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee 9th Integrated Workshop REPUBLIC OF KOREA 20-24 October 2014 ESCAP – UN Conference Center, Bangkok, Thailand CONTENTS I. Overview of tropical cyclones which have affected/impacted Member’s area since the last Typhoon Committee Session (as of 10 October) II. Summary of progress in Key Result Areas (1) Begin to provide the seasonal typhoon activity outlook for TC members (2) 7th Korea-China Joint Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (3) Capacity building of typhoon analysis and forecasting through the typhoon research fellowship program (4) Implementation of Typhoon Analysis and Prediction System (TAPS) to Department of Meteorology and Hydrology (DMH), Lao PDR (5) Recent advance of estimation of the radius of 15 m/s wind speed of Tropical Cyclones using COMS and Microwaves imagery in KMA/NMSC (6) Typhoon Monitoring by Drifting Buoys around the Korean Peninsula (7) Structural and Nonstructural Measurements to Extreme Floods (8) Flood Control Measures Assessment System Manual (9) Extreme Flood Control Guidelines (10) Developing the smart phone application for flood information dissemination (11) 3rd WGH meeting and TC WGH web-page (12) Empirical experiment for Typhoon and heavy rainfall response (13) Value Improvement Project-8 (VIP-8) (14) 2014 Northern Mindanao Project in Philippines by NDMI and PAGASA (15) Upgrade of the function in Typhoon Committee Disaster Information System (16) The 9th WGDRR Annual Workshop (17) Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) Between NDMI and PAGASA (18) 2014 Expert Mission in Guam (USA) (19) Host of 8th WMO IWTC including 3rd IWTCLP I. Overview of tropical cyclones which have affected/impacted Member’s area in 2014 (as of 10 October) 1.