NAEP 1999 TRENDS in ACADEMIC PROGRESS Three Decades of Student Performance
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NATIONAL CENTER FOR EDUCATION STATISTICS NAEP 1999 TRENDS IN ACADEMIC PROGRESS Three Decades of Student Performance SCIENCE, 1969–1999 READING, 1971–1999 MATHEMATICS, 1973–1999 U.S. Department of Education Office of Educational Research and Improvement NCES 2000-469 What is The Nation’s Report Card? THE NATION’S REPORT CARD, the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), is the only nationally representative and continuing assessment of what America’s students know and can do in various subject areas. Since 1969, assessments have been conducted periodically in reading, mathematics, science, writing, history, geography, and other fields. By making objective information on student performance available to policymakers at the national, state, and local levels, NAEP is an integral part of our nation’s evaluation of the condition and progress of education. Only information related to academic achievement is collected under this program. NAEP guarantees the privacy of individual students and their families. NAEP is a congressionally mandated project of the National Center for Education Statistics, the U.S. Department of Education. The Commissioner of Education Statistics is responsible, by law, for carrying out the NAEP project through competitive awards to qualified organizations. NAEP reports directly to the Commissioner, who is also responsible for providing continuing reviews, including validation studies and solicitation of public comment, on NAEP’s conduct and usefulness. In 1988, Congress established the National Assessment Governing Board (NAGB) to formulate policy guidelines for NAEP. The Board is responsible for selecting the subject areas to be assessed from among those included in the National Education Goals; for setting appropriate student performance levels; for developing assessment objectives and test specifications through a national consensus approach; for designing the assessment methodology; for developing guidelines for reporting and disseminating NAEP results; for developing standards and procedures for interstate, regional, and national comparisons; for determining the appropriateness of test items and ensuring they are free from bias; and for taking actions to improve the form and use of the National Assessment. The National Assessment Governing Board Mark D. Musick, Chair Edward H. Haertel Migdania D. Vega President Professor, School of Education Principal Southern Regional Education Board Stanford University Coral Way Elementary Bilingual School Atlanta, Georgia Stanford, California Miami, Florida Michael T. Nettles, Vice Chair Juanita Haugen Deborah Voltz Professor of Education & Public Policy Local School Board President Assistant Professor University of Michigan Pleasanton, California Department of Special Education Ann Arbor, Michigan University of Louisville Honorable Nancy Kopp Louisville, Kentucky Moses Barnes Maryland House of Delegates Principal Bethesda, Maryland Honorable Michael E. Ward Hallandale High School State Superintendent of Public Instruction Fort Lauderdale, Florida Mitsugi Nakashima North Carolina Public Schools President Raleigh, North Carolina Melanie A. Campbell Hawaii State Board of Education Fourth-Grade Teacher Honolulu, Hawaii Marilyn A. Whirry Topeka, Kansas Twelfth-Grade English Teacher Debra Paulson Manhattan Beach, California Honorable Wilmer S. Cody Eighth-Grade Mathematics Teacher Former Commissioner of Education El Paso, Texas Dennie Palmer Wolf State of Kentucky Senior Research Associate Frankfort, Kentucky Honorable Jo Ann Pottorff Harvard Graduate School of Education Kansas House of Representatives Cambridge, Massachusetts Daniel A. Domenech Wichita, Kansas Superintendent of Schools C. Kent McGuire (Ex-Officio) Fairfax County Public Schools Diane Ravitch Assistant Secretary of Education Fairfax, Virginia Senior Research Scholar Office of Educational Research New York University and Improvement Edward Donley New York, New York Former Chairman U.S. Department of Education Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. Honorable Roy Romer Washington, DC Allentown, Pennsylvania Former Governor of Colorado Superintendent of Schools Honorable John M. Engler Los Angeles, CA Governor of Michigan Roy Truby Executive Director, NAGB Lansing, Michigan John H. Stevens Washington, DC Thomas H. Fisher Executive Director Director, Student Assessment Services Texas Business and Education Coalition Florida Department of Education Austin, Texas Tallahassee, Florida Adam Urbanski Michael J. Guerra President Executive Director Rochester Teachers Association Secondary Schools Department Rochester, New York National Catholic Education Association Washington, DC NATIONAL CENTER FOR EDUCATION STATISTICS NAEP 1999 TRENDS IN ACADEMIC PROGRESS Three Decades of Student Performance Jay R. Campbell Catherine M. Hombo John Mazzeo In collaboration with Steve Isham Jo-lin Liang Norma Norris Inge Novatkoski Tatyana Petrovicheva Spence Swinton Lois Worthington August 2000 U.S. Department of Education Office of Educational Research and Improvement NCES 2000–469 U.S. Department of Education Richard W. Riley Secretary Office of Educational Research and Improvement C. Kent McGuire Assistant Secretary National Center for Education Statistics Gary W. Phillips Acting Commissioner Assessment Division Peggy G. Carr Associate Commissioner August 2000 SUGGESTED CITATION U.S. Department of Education. Office of Educational Research and Improvement. National Center for Education Statistics. NAEP 1999 Trends in Academic Progress: Three Decades of Student Performance, NCES 2000–469, by J.R. Campbell, C.M. Hombo, and J. Mazzeo. Washington, DC: 2000. FOR MORE INFORMATION Content contact: Patricia Dabbs 202–502–7332 To obtain single copies of this report, while supplies last, or ordering information on other U.S. Department of Education products, call toll free 1–877– 4ED PUBS (877–433–7827), or write: Education Publications Center (ED Pubs) U.S. Department of Education P.O. Box 1398 Jessup, MD 20794–1398 TTY/TDD 1–877–576–7734 FAX 301–470–1244 Online ordering via the Internet: http://www.ed.gov/pubs/edpubs.html Copies also are available in alternate formats upon request. This report also is available on the World Wide Web: http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard Due to the confidential nature of NAEP surveys, the photographs throughout this report do not portray actual students who participated in the NAEP long-term trend assessment. The photographs are from Comstock, EyeWire Images, The Stock Market, and PhotoDisc stock libraries. The work upon which this publication is based was performed for the National Center for Education Statistics by Educational Testing Service, Westat, and National Computer Systems. TABLE OF CONTENTSC ix EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 INTRODUCTION 2 NAEP’s Long-Term Trend Assessments 3 The Student Sample 3 Analysis of Student Performance 4 This Report 7 CHAPTER 1. NATIONAL TRENDS IN ACADEMIC ACHIEVEMENT 8 National Trends in Reading, Mathematics, and Science 10 National Trends by Quartiles 16 National Trends in Attainment of Performance Levels 26 Summary 31 CHAPTER 2. TRENDS IN ACADEMIC ACHIEVEMENT AMONG STUDENT SUBGROUPS 31 Trends in Academic Achievement Among Racial/Ethnic Subgroups 38 Trends in Score Differences Between Racial/Ethnic Subgroups 41 Trends in Academic Achievement for Male and Female Students 44 Trends in Score Differences Between Male and Female Students 46 Trends in Academic Achievement by Parents’ Level of Education 52 Trends in Academic Achievement for Public and Nonpublic School Students 56 Summary 61 CHAPTER 3. TRENDS IN STUDENTS’ SCHOOL AND HOME EXPERIENCES 62 Mathematics Course-Taking 65 Science Course-Taking 68 Technology and Scientific Equipment in the Classroom 71 Homework 75 Home Experiences Related to Learning 79 Summary 83 APPENDIX A: OVERVIEW OF PROCEDURES USED IN THE 1999 NAEP TREND ASSESSMENTS 99 APPENDIX B: DATA APPENDIX 137 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS NAEP 1999 TRENDS IN ACADEMIC PROGRESS • TABLE OF CONTENTS iii FIGURES 9 Figure 1.1: Trends in Average Scale Scores for the Nation in Reading, Mathematics, and Science 11 Figure 1.2: Trends in Average Reading Scale Scores by Quartile 13 Figure 1.3: Trends in Average Mathematics Scale Scores by Quartile 15 Figure 1.4: Trends in Average Science Scale Scores by Quartile 21 Figure 1.5: Trends in Percentages of Students At or Above Reading Performance Levels 23 Figure 1.6: Trends in Percentages of Students At or Above Mathematics Performance Levels 25 Figure 1.7: Trends in Percentages of Students At or Above Science Performance Levels 26 Figure 1.8: Summary of Trends in National Average Scores 27 Figure 1.9: Summary of Trends in Average Scores by Quartile 28 Figure 1.10: Summary of Trends in Performance Level Results 33 Figure 2.1: Trends in Average Reading Scale Scores by Race/Ethnicity 35 Figure 2.2: Trends in Average Mathematics Scale Scores by Race/Ethnicity 37 Figure 2.3: Trends in Average Science Scale Scores by Race/Ethnicity 39 Figure 2.4: Trends in Differences Between White and Black Students’ Average Scores Across Years (White Minus Black) 40 Figure 2.5: Trends in Differences Between White and Hispanic Students’ Average Scores Across Years (White Minus Hispanic) 41 Figure 2.6: Trends in Average Reading Scale Scores by Gender 42 Figure 2.7: Trends in Average Mathematics Scale Scores by Gender 43 Figure 2.8: Trends in Average Science Scale Scores by Gender 45 Figure 2.9: Trends in Differences Between Male and Female Students’ Average Scale Scores Across Years (Male Minus Female) 46 Figure 2.10: Trends in Average Reading Scale Scores by