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2003/05/31-Applicant Pre-Filed Exhibit 048, Korotkevich, 2003

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2003/05/31-Applicant Pre-Filed Exhibit 048, Korotkevich, 2003 CURRENT STATE AND PERSPECTIVE,S ON THE DEVlELOPMENT OF THE RUSSIAN ENRICHMENT INDUSTRY AND ITS IMPACT ON THE WORLD URANIUM MIARIKT V.M. Korotkevich (Department of Nuclear Fuel Cycle, Minatom), A.P. Knutarev, G.S. Soloviev (Ural Electrochemical Integrated Plant) Introduction Exactly thirty years ago in May 1973 the leading enrichment enterprise of the Russian Federation Ministry of Atomic Energy (Minatom), the Ural Electric Chemical Complex (Novouralsk, Sverdlovsk region) shipped for the first time for export products under the first foreign trade contract concluded between the foreign trade company "Techsnabexport" (TENEX) and the French Atomic Energy Commissariat for the provision of uranium enrichment services. Thus today we have an excellent reason to speak about the Russian approach to the development and implementation of commercial centrifuge technology for isotope separation, the changes in trends of using Russian enrichment capacities throughout our thirty years of work on the world market, and our view of the prospects for development in the enrichment industry that would satisfy the demands of the world uranium market. Russian approach to development and implementation of centrifuge technology) In 2002 the Russian scientific and engineering community celebrated the 50th anniversary of the adoption of the USSR Government Decree on development of the design of the commercial gas centrifuge for uranium isotope separation. The design bureau of the Leningrad Kirov plant was designated to produce it. The work was preceded by studies performed in 1946-1951 by a team of Germnan specialists headed by Dr. Max Steenbeck and Soviet scientists under the guidance of academician I.K. Kikoin. The Steenbeck team developed prototypes of 3-m centrifuges consisting of ten short tubes connected by silfons. The rotor bottom rested on a thin steel needle that, in its turn, was mounted on a bearing made of solid alloy with a damper. The rotor's upper end was fixed with a permanent magnet, shaped as an empty cylinder. The designers proposed a mechanical mode for inducing circulation using a brake disk. Fatigue tests of six prototypes lasted over 1,000 hours and confirmed a possibility of isotope separation, despite a failure to solve the technological problem of transferring the gas from one centrifuge to the adjacent ones. A team of researchers headed by academician I.I. Kikoin succeeded in solving this problem that was crucial to the creation of a commercial cascade of centrifuges by introducing sorting tubes to transfer gas from one centrifuge to another. The designers also proposed the concept of a "rigid" subcritical rotor with molecular compaction. LES-02485 Av 2o3 LES Exhibit 48 2 A thorough study by designers of the advantages and disadvantages of the concept of flexible and rigid subcritical rotors favored a choice of a subcritical rotor of the centrifuge for commercial separation of uranium isotopes. Shortly afterwards the Russian commercial centrifuges of the first generation were made. On October 10, 1955 the USSR Government passed a decision on the construction of a pilot centrifuge plant. The pilot plant with about 2,500 centrifuges designed by the Leningrad Kirov plant was commissioned on November 2-4, 1957 at the Ural Electrochemical Integrated Plant (Novouralsk, Sverdlovsk- region). The results of the tests and of the run of the pilot plant were the basis to making the next step and moving on to industrial exploitation of the centrifuge separation of uranium isotopes. The relevant decision was adopted on May 5, 1958 at the session of the Scientific and Technological Board of Minatom chaired by academician I.V. Kourchatov. On August 22, 1960 Minatom approved the design statement prepared by the Leningrad designing institute VNIPIET for the construction of the world's first industrial plant at the Ural Electrochemical Integrated Plant commissioned in three stages during the period from 1962 to 1964. In accordance with the design, gas centrifuges were arranged in 20 units assemblies with shared collectors for feed and withdrawal of enriched and depleted factions mounted on multi-tier ferroconcrete columns (Slide 1). Through engineering communications with locking and regulating devices, power supply and controls, dozens of assembly units were arranged into sections and units making tip technological stages of a separation module (cascade). The design solution envisaged a possibility of halting individual sections or units to replace failed centrifuges or modernize the units by replacing the old generation centrifuges with the last generation models without stopping the entire separation module. Thus, the design solution adopted forty years ago had an inherent potential for continuous modernization without acute decrease or increase of enrichment capacity while maintaning engineering communications and multi-tier support columns. It allowed minimum capital investments related to commissioning new generations of Russian centrifuges. During forty years of the first industrial plant operation it witnessed three generations of gas centrifuges. The initial enrichment capacity increased about sixfold. It is common knowledge that enrichment capacity of a gas centrifuge is determined primarily by the peripheral velocity of rotor's tube wvall and length of the rotor's working chamber (Slide 2): E=aVn-L In the extreme case n=4, although in actual life it depends on parameters of the internal gas dynamics of the rotor and tends to n=2 along with a growing peripheral velocity of the rotor. LES-02486 3 Obviously, it is more effective to increase the peripheral velocity of the centrifuge rotor rather than its length. For this reason the Russian designers selected the option of creating and improving subcritical centrifuges with multi-tier arrangement in units. To increase the peripheral velocity of the rotor it is essential to use materials with highly specific characteristics, as well as effective technological processes for their manufacturing. Advance in designing such materials was concomitant with improvement of Russian centrifuges. In the past ears seven generations of industrial subcritical gas centrifuges were developed and introduced (Slide 3). The enrichment capacity of a single centrifuge increased about eight times, while specific expenditures per SWU reduced about six times, at the same time the size of a 20-machine assembly unit remained the same. Russian scientists and specialists created a unique system of assuring the quality of the initial materials, component parts, manufacturing and operation of gas centrifuges, control of technical condition throughout their service life that ensured an extremely high level of their reliability and extended their service life from 10 years of the first generation centrifuges to 25-30 years of the last generation centrifuges with minimum maintenance of all systems of enrichment modules throughout their service life. Use of Russian enrichment capacities Presently there are four enrichment plants are operating centrifuges of the 5 th, 6 th and 7t 1hgenerations. Total enrichment capacity over 20 million SWU is distributed as follows (Slide 4): Name of enterprise Per cent Ural Electrochemical Integrated Plant 48 (UEIP, Novouralsk) Electrochemical Plant (ECP, 29 Zelenogorsk) Siberian Chemical Integrated Plant 14 (SCIP, Seversk) Angarsk Electrolysis Chemical 9 Complex (AECC, Angarsk) In 2002 Russian enrichment capacities were used as follows (Slide 5): - Enriched uranium for Russian made reactors (Russia, CIS, East - 33% Europe) - Implementation of HEU-LEU program (accumulation of - 24 % blendstock with a lower content of U-234) - Export contracts (including reenrichment of tails supplied by - 43% LES-02487 4 foreign customers) Radical changes have occurred on the world uranium market in the past thirty years. Firstly, the number of suppliers has changed. The emergence on the market of "Techsnabexport" (TENEX), a representative of Minatom's enrichment enterprises, was followed by the appearance of Urenco, Eurodif and more recently companies from China and Japan. Secondly, the trends for using enrichment capacities have changed. Traditional uranium enrichment services were followed in the 980-ties by contracts for the supplies of enriched uranium product (EUP), and in 1990-ties - enrichment of reprocessed uranium, enrichment of previously accumulated tails, and starting from the second half of the 1990-ties within the framework of HEU-LEU program an accumulation of blendstock with a lower content of U-234 used to dilute weapons grade HEU. Thirdly, following a long stagnation period most countries adopted programs of nuclear energy renaissance and development. Future prospects The required development of enrichment capacities is primarily dictated by the prospects of nuclear energy advancement. Today the share of NPPs in the world electricity generation is about 17%. In 2002 thirty countries of the world operated 438 power reactors with the design output of 353 GWe. The beginning of the 215' century is marked by a change of attitude towards nuclear energy. Alongside the countries of the Asian Pacific region (Japan, China, Taiwan, Republic of Korea, India and Pakistan) that in the early 1990-ties announced their programs for accelerated development of nuclear energy, an intention to build up nuclear power capacities were announced by such European countries as France, Finland and Czech Republic. The Italian scientific community increasingly supports the idea of switch back to nuclear energy.
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