DOCSLIB.ORG

National Risk Analysis 2014 DISASTERS THAT MAY AFFECT NORWEGIAN SOCIETY

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
National Risk Analysis 2014 DISASTERS THAT MAY AFFECT NORWEGIAN SOCIETY National Risk Analysis 2014 DISASTERS THAT MAY AFFECT NORWEGIAN SOCIETY Issued by: Norwegian Directorate for Civil Protection (DSB) 2014 ISBN: 978-82-7768-368-3 (PDF) Cover and design: Dinamo Printed by: Erik Tanche Nilssen AS FLOODING IN WESTERN NORWAY The Flåm River spilled over its banks due to large amounts of precipitation at the end of October 2014, causing a great deal of damage to buildings and properties. Around 200 persons were evacuated from their homes. Photo: NTB/SCANPIX NTB/Scanpix PHOTO: CONTENTS Foreword ...................................................................................................................................................................................................... 5 Summary ........................................................................................................................................................................................................ 7 01 Aim and content ......................................................................................................................................................................... 13 1.1 Scope ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 14 1.2 Use of the National Risk Analysis ................................................................................................................................ 15 02 Risk 19 2.1 Key terms ................................................................................................................................................................................ 20 2.2 Sources of uncertainty ................................................................................................................................................... 21 2.3 Malicious acts ...................................................................................................................................................................... 23 03 Method and process ................................................................................................................................................................ 25 NATURAL EVENTS ............................................................................................................................................................. 31 04 Extreme weather ...................................................................................................................................................................... 33 4.1 "Storm in Inner Oslo Fjord" scenario ......................................................................................................................... 36 4.2 "Long-Term Power Rationing" scenario .................................................................................................................. 40 05 Flooding .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 45 5.1 "Flooding in Eastern Norway" scenario .................................................................................................................... 48 06 Landslides and avalanches ................................................................................................................................................... 53 6.1 "Rockslide at Åkneset with Advance Warning" scenario .................................................................................. 58 6.2 "Quick Clay Landslide in a City» scenario ................................................................................................................. 62 07 Infectious diseases ...................................................................................................................................................................69 7.1 "Pandemic in Norway" scenario .................................................................................................................................... 72 08 Forest and wilderness fires ................................................................................................................................................. 77 8.1 "Three Simultaneous Forest Fires» scenario ....................................................................................................... 80 09 Space weather ........................................................................................................................................................................... 85 9.1 "100-Year Solar Storm" scenario .............................................................................................................................. 88 10 Volcanic activity ........................................................................................................................................................................ 93 10.1 Long-Term Volcanic Eruption in Iceland ................................................................................................................. 96 11 Earthquake new!..................................................................................................................................................................... 103 11.1 Earthquake in a City new! ........................................................................................................................................... 106 2 NATIONAL RISK ANALYSIS 2014 DSB CONTENTS MAJOR ACCIDENTS .............................................................................................................................................................................. 115 12 Hazardous substances ......................................................................................................................................................... 117 12.1 "Gas Emission from an Industrial Plant" scenario ......................................................................................... 120 12.2 "Fire at an Oil Terminal in a City" scenario .......................................................................................................... 124 13 Nuclear accidents .................................................................................................................................................................. 129 13.1 "Nuclear Accident at a Reprocessing Plant" scenario ................................................................................ 132 14 Offshore accidents ................................................................................................................................................................ 137 14.1 "Oil and Gas Blowout on a Drilling Rig" scenario .............................................................................................. 140 15 Transport accidents new! ................................................................................................................................................... 145 15.1 "Collision at Sea Off the Coast of Western Norway" scenario ............................................................... 152 15.2 "Tunnel Fire» scenario new! ....................................................................................................................................... 156 MALICIOUS ACTS ................................................................................................................................................................................. 165 16 Terrorism .................................................................................................................................................................................... 167 16.1 "Terrorist Attack in a City" scenario ..................................................................................................................... 170 17 Security policy crises ........................................................................................................................................................... 175 17.1 "Strategic Attack» scenario ...................................................................................................................................... 178 18 Cyberspace ............................................................................................................................................................................... 183 18.1 "Cyber Attack on Financial Infrastructure" scenario .................................................................................. 186 18.2 "Cyber Attack on Electronic Communications Infrastructure" new! .................................................... 190 19 Overall risk analysis and vulnerabilities ....................................................................................................................... 203 19.1 Overall presentation of analysis results ............................................................................................................ 204 19.2 Assessment of vulnerabilities in systems affected by the events ......................................................... 209 19.3 New opportunities and new challenges in the Norway of the future .................................................... 211 References .............................................................................................................................................................................................
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Brukerundersøkelse I Raet Nasjonalpark
    1606 Brukerundersøkelse i Raet nasjonalpark Sommeren 2018 Sofie K. Selvaag Line C. Wold NINAs publikasjoner NINA Rapport Dette er NINAs ordinære rapportering til oppdragsgiver etter gjennomført forsknings-, overvåkings- eller utredningsarbeid. I tillegg vil serien favne mye av instituttets øvrige rapportering, for eksempel fra seminarer og konferanser, resultater av eget forsknings- og utredningsarbeid og litteraturstudier. NINA Rapport kan også utgis på annet språk når det er hensiktsmessig.. NINA Temahefte Som navnet angir behandler temaheftene spesielle emner. Heftene utarbeides etter behov og serien favner svært vidt; fra systematiske bestemmelsesnøkler til informasjon om viktige problemstillinger i samfunnet. NINA Temahefte gis vanligvis en populærvitenskapelig form med mer vekt på illustrasjoner enn NINA Rapport. NINA Fakta Faktaarkene har som mål å gjøre NINAs forskningsresultater raskt og enkelt tilgjengelig for et større publikum. Faktaarkene gir en kort framstilling av noen av våre viktigste forskningstema. Annen publisering I tillegg til rapporteringen i NINAs egne serier publiserer instituttets ansatte en stor del av sine vitenskapelige resultater i internasjonale journaler, populærfaglige bøker og tidsskrifter. Brukerundersøkelse i Raet nasjonalpark Sommeren 2018 Sofie K. Selvaag Line C. Wold Norsk institutt for naturforskning NINA Rapport 1606 Selvaag S.K. & Wold L.C. 2019. Brukerundersøkelse i Raet nasjo- nalpark sommeren 2018. NINA Rapport 1606. Norsk institutt for na- turforskning. Lillehammer, januar 2019 ISSN: 1504-3312
    [Show full text]
  • Utkast Besøksstrategi Jærstrendene LVO 2019
    Besøksstrategi for Jærstrendene landskapsvernområde med biotopfredninger og naturminner 2019 - 2025 Fylkesmannen i Rogaland, miljøvernavdelingen 1 2 Besøksstrategi Jærstrendene Dette er den første besøksstrategi for Jærstrendene landskapsvernområde med biotopfredninger og naturminne i Randaberg, Sola, Klepp og Hå kommuner, Rogaland. Besøksstrategien bygger på informasjon hentet fra: - Verneforskriften - Forvaltningsplanen - Brukerundersøkelser - Dialogmøter med kommuner, Jæren Friluftsråd, Statens naturoppsyn, Rogaland fylkeskommune, Rådgivende utvalg for Jærstrendene, og regionale reiselivsaktører. Besøksstrategien presiserer i et visst omfang retningslinjer gitt i forvaltningsplanen, samtidig som det pekes ut behov for nye tiltak for en seksårig periode. Eksisterende kunnskap og forslag til tiltak er vist i en egen kartportal: https://www.temakart-rogaland.no/bsj Figur 1. Strandvolleyball på Sola strand. Foto: Fylkesmannen i Rogaland 3 Innholdsfortegnelse 1. Innledning ..............................................................................................................................................5 1.1 Bakgrunn ..........................................................................................................................................8 1.1.1 Prosjektansvar og medvirkning .................................................................................................8 1.2 Målsetting og forventning til besøksstrategi ...................................................................................9 1.2.1 Mål
    [Show full text]
  • Fiskeribiologiske Undersøkelser I Nidelva Og Gjøv I Åmli , Aust-Agder
    FISKERIBIOLOGISKE UNDERSØKELSER I NIDELVA OG GJØV I ÅMLI , AUST-AGDER SIGURD KJETIL BJØRTUFT FORORD I forbindelse med det planlagte Åmli kraftverk ble Laborato- rium for ferskvannsØkologi og innlandsfiske bedt av Aust-Agder Kraftverk om å foreta fiskeribiologiske undersøkelser i Nidelva og GjØv. Naturforvaltningskandidat Sigurd Kjetil BjØrtuft ble engasjert for å arbeide med denne undersØkelsen. Han har stått ansvarlig for gjennomfØringen av hele undersØkelsen etter opplegg fra undertegnede. Feltarbeidet er utført i periodene 6.-11.juni, 24.-27.juni, 10.-14.juli og 7.-12.august, 1978. Foruten BjØrtuft har Harry Johansen, Jan-Olav Styrvold, Jørgen Brabrand og Finn Smedstad vært med på feltarbeidet. Vannanalysene er utfØrt av Eva Brorson, Avd. Limnologi, Institutt for marinbiologi og limnologi, Universitetet i Oslo. Det rettes en takk til alle som har vært engasjert og for- Øvrig konsultert i forbindelse med undersøkelsen. Oslo, 25.oktober, 1978. Svein Jakob Saltveit. INNHOLD SAMMENDRAG ............................ 3 INNLEDNING ............................ 5 OMRÅDEBESKRIVELSE ..................... 5 METODER ... .. ......................... 7 RESULTATER ............................ 12 Kjemiske målinger .................. 12 PrØvefisket ........................ 13 Ørret .............................. 14 Abbor .............................. 25 Ernæring ........................... 29 Gyteforhold ........................ 38 Parasitter ......................... 39 Sportsfiske 41 KOMMENTARER ........................... 42 LITTERATUR ...........................
    [Show full text]
  • Lasting Legacies
    Tre Lag Stevne Clarion Hotel South Saint Paul, MN August 3-6, 2016 .#56+0).')#%+'5 6*'(7674'1(1742#56 Spotlights on Norwegian-Americans who have contributed to architecture, engineering, institutions, art, science or education in the Americas A gathering of descendants and friends of the Trøndelag, Gudbrandsdal and northern Hedmark regions of Norway Program Schedule Velkommen til Stevne 2016! Welcome to the Tre Lag Stevne in South Saint Paul, Minnesota. We were last in the Twin Cities area in 2009 in this same location. In a metropolitan area of this size it is not as easy to see the results of the Norwegian immigration as in smaller towns and rural communities. But the evidence is there if you look for it. This year’s speakers will tell the story of the Norwegians who contributed to the richness of American culture through literature, art, architecture, politics, medicine and science. You may recognize a few of their names, but many are unsung heroes who quietly added strands to the fabric of America and the world. We hope to astonish you with the diversity of their talents. Our tour will take us to the first Norwegian church in America, which was moved from Muskego, Wisconsin to the grounds of Luther Seminary,. We’ll stop at Mindekirken, established in 1922 with the mission of retaining Norwegian heritage. It continues that mission today. We will also visit Norway House, the newest organization to promote Norwegian connectedness. Enjoy the program, make new friends, reconnect with old friends, and continue to learn about our shared heritage.
    [Show full text]
  • Forskrift Om Skolerute for Viken Skoleåret 2021-2022
    Forskrift om skolerute for Viken skoleåret 2021-2022 Forskrift gitt med hjemmel i opplæringslovens §3-2. Vedtatt av fylkestinget i Viken fylkeskommune dato 21.oktober 2020 Skoleruta for skoleåret 2021-2022 for skoler i Hurdal, Eidsvoll, Nes, Aurskog-Høland, Marker, Aremark, Halden, Hvaler, Sarpsborg, Rakkestad, Fredrikstad, Råde, Moss, Våler, Skiptvedt, Indre Østfold, Vestby, Ås, Frogn, Nesodden, Nordre Follo, Enebakk, Lørenskog, Rælingen, Lillestrøm, Nittedal, Gjerdrum, Ullensaker, Nannestad, Asker og Bærum Skoledager elever Ferier, fridager, kommentarer August 10 Første skoledag: uke 33, onsdag 18.08 September 22 Oktober 16 Høstferie: uke 40: f.o.m. mandag 04.10 t.o.m. fredag 08.10 November 21 Onsdag 17.11 Fri for elever, felles plandag for lærere Desember 15 Juleferie f.o.m. onsdag 22.12 Januar 21 Juleferie t.o.m. søndag 02.01 Februar 15 Vinterferie uke 8: f.o.m. mandag 21.02 t.o.m. fredag 25.02 Mars 23 April 15 Påskeferie f.o.m lørdag 09.04 t.o.m. mandag 18.04 Mai 20 Fri/helgedag: 17.05, 26.05 Juni 12 Fri 06.06 Siste skoledag: fredag 17.06 Sum 190 Offentlige fridager: Søndag 01.05 Tirsdag 17.05 Torsdag 26.05 Kr. Himmelfartsdag Mandag 06.06 2. pinsedag Oslo, 25.06.2020 Skoleruta for skoleåret 2021-2022 for skoler i Hemsedal, Gol, Ål, Nes i Hallingdal, Hol, Nore og Uvdal, Modum, Flå, Ringerike, Hole, Krødsherad, Sigdal, Rollag, Flesberg, Øvre Eiker, Kongsberg, Drammen, Lier, Jevnaker og Lunner Skoledager elever Ferier, fridager, kommentarer August 10 Første skoledag: uke 33, onsdag 18.08 September 22 Oktober 16 Høstferie: uke 40: f.o.m.
    [Show full text]
  • Boligfelt B9 Ask Sentrum, Gjerdrum Kommune
    Teknisk notat Til: Nordbohus Romerike as v/: Tom A. Johansen Kopi: Odd Sæther, Hagaveien 6, 2022 Gjerdrum Fra: Norges Geotekniske Institutt Dato: 2003-11-19 Prosjekt: 20031570 Boligfelt B9 Ask sentrum, Gjerdrum kommune Utarbeidet av: Odd Gregersen Kontrollert av: Steinar Hermann Tittel: Stabilitetsforhold og stabilitetsforbedrende tiltak Vi viser til møte med Dem 23.09.2003, Deres E-post av 31.10.2003 samt vår oppdragsbekreftelse av 06.11.2003. Arbeidsbeskrivelse og bakgrunnsmateriale NGI er bedt om å foreta en vurdering av stabilitetsforholdene og nødvendige masseforflytninger knyttet til utbygging av boligfelt B9, kfr. reguleringsplanen. Likeledes skal NGI utarbeide forslag til plan for eventuelle nødvendige supplerende grunnundersøkelser. Grunnlagsmaterialet for oppdraget er: Reguleringsplan for Ask sentrum. NGI-rapport 20021504-1 ”ROS-analyse kvikkleireskred, med forslag til tiltaksplan”. NGI-rapport 20021504-2 ”Grunnundersøkelser-datarapport”. Plan og profiler av veg 1.1 og 1.2 utarbeidet av arkitekt Atle Klungrehaug (E-post av 20.10.2003). Beliggenhet og topografi Det aktuelle utbygningsområdet ligger mellom Fjelstadbekken i vest og Hønsisletta i øst og er på ca 50 da, se Reguleringsplanen. Området er sterkt ravinert. Terrenget faller mot vest med en høydeforskjell på 25-30 m. Grunnen består av en mektig leiravsetning, 20 m eller mer. Under 2-4 m tørrskorpe er det et lag av forvitret leire. Derunder er leiren for en stor del sensitiv/kvikk. På rygger og platåer er dybden til den sensitive/kvikke leiren av størrelse 6-8 m. I skråninger og raviner er dybden en del mindre. p:\2020\09\20200910\background-ngi\rapporter\20031570 boligfelt b9 ask sentrum\ask gjerdrum boligfelt b8 01.doc OG Postal address: P.O.
    [Show full text]
  • G the Aircraft Accident Investigation Board I
    GTHE AIRCRAFT ACCIDENT INVESTIGATION BOARD I NORWAY HAV 02/93 REPORT ON THE CONVAIR 340/580 IN-PAA AIRCRAFT ACCIDENT NORTH OF HIRTSHALS, DENMARK, ON SEPTEMBER 8, 1989 SUBMITTED FEBRUARY 1993 THE AIRCRAFT ACCIDENT INVESTIGATION BOARD/ NORWAY HAV 02/93 REPORT ON THE CONVAIR 340/580 LN-PAA AIRCRAFT ACCIDENT NORTH OF HIRTSHALS, DENMARK, ON SEPTEMBER 8, 1989 Note: This is an extract in English of the official Norwegian report dated February 12, 1993. Any formal references required should be made to the original Norwegian report. It should be noted that the numbering of the paragraphs in this extract corresponds to the numbering in the original document. SUBMITTED FEBRUARY 1993 The Aircraft Accident Investigation Board has compiled this report for the purpose of improving flight safety. The object of any investigation is to identify faults or discrepancies which gay endanger flight safety. whether or not these are causal factors In the accident, and to recommend preventive action. It is not the Board's task to apportion blame or liability. Use of this report for any other purpose than for flight safety should be avoided. TABLE OF CONTENTS Page SYNOPSIS ... III • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 2 SUMMARY .. 4 1 FACTUAL INFORMATION . ............... 5 1.1 History of the flight .••.••••.••..•..•.. 5 1.2 Injuries to persons 6 1.3 Damage to aircraft ...........•...•..•.... 6 1.4 other damage ............................ 7 1.5 Personnel information .•..••..•.•..•.••... 7 1.6 Aircraft information ..••..•.•...........• 7 1.7 Meteorological information .•............ 28 1.8 Aids to navigation ........•............. 29 1.9 Communications ...........•............... 29 1.10 Aerodrome information .......••..•......• 29 1.11 Flight recorders .......•..•....••........ 29 1.12 Wreckage and impact information .•..•....• 41 1.13 Medical and pathological information .•.
    [Show full text]
  • Pantebøker: Oppland Fylke Dagens Tidligere Inndeling Sorenskriverembete Pantebøker I SAH Kommunenavn Finnes T.O.M
    Pantebøker: Oppland fylke Dagens Tidligere inndeling Sorenskriverembete Pantebøker i SAH kommunenavn finnes t.o.m. 1950. (2016) Yngre protokoller er registrert her Dovre Dovre gnr. 1-73. ‘Sorenskriverier i Nord-Gudbrandsdal Skilt fra Lesja i 1863. Gudbrandsdalen’ -1731 sorenskriveri: Påtegninger Gnr. 23/3 overført til Nord-Gudbrandsdal 1731- - (C-pantebøker) t.o.m. Alvdal fra 1910, gnr. 02.01.1951. 178/1 i Alvdal. Lesja Lesja gnr. 1-145. ‘Sorenskriverier i Nord-Gudbrandsdal Dovre gnr. 1-73 (fradelt Gudbrandsdalen’ -1731 sorenskriveri: Påtegninger 1863). Nord-Gudbrandsdal 1731- - (C-pantebøker) t.o.m. Øvre Folldalen til Alvdal (Alvdal: Nord-Østerdal) 02.01.1951. (Lille-Elvedalen) i Hedmark fylke 1864, gnr. 79-172. Skjåk Skjåk gnr. 1-128. ‘Sorenskriverier i Nord-Gudbrandsdal Skilt fra Lom i 1866. Gudbrandsdalen’ -1731 sorenskriveri: Påtegninger Nord-Gudbrandsdal 1731- - (C-pantebøker) t.o.m. 02.01.1951. Lom Lom gnr. 1-139. ‘Sorenskriverier i Nord-Gudbrandsdal Skjåk gnr. 1-128 (fradelt Gudbrandsdalen’ -1731 sorenskriveri: Påtegninger 1866). Nord-Gudbrandsdal 1731- - (C-pantebøker) t.o.m. 02.01.1951. Sel Heidal, gnr. 172-197. ‘Sorenskriverier i Nord-Gudbrandsdal Skilt fra Vågå 1908 Gudbrandsdalen’ -1731 sorenskriveri: Påtegninger (Slått sammen med Sel Nord-Gudbrandsdal 1731- -(C-pantebøker) t.o.m. 1964.) 02.01.1951. Sel Sel, gnr. 198-300. ‘Sorenskriverier i Nord-Gudbrandsdal Skilt fra Vågå 1908. Gudbrandsdalen’ -1731 sorenskriveri: Påtegninger (Slått sammen med Heidal Nord-Gudbrandsdal 1731- - (C-pantebøker) t.o.m. 1964.) 02.01.1951. Vågå Vågå gnr. 1-284. ‘Sorenskriverier i Nord-Gudbrandsdal Heidal gnr. 172-197 Gudbrandsdalen’ -1731 sorenskriveri: Påtegninger (fradelt 1908). Nord-Gudbrandsdal 1731- - (C-pantebøker) t.o.m.
    [Show full text]
  • Norway's 2018 Population Projections
    Rapporter Reports 2018/22 • Astri Syse, Stefan Leknes, Sturla Løkken and Marianne Tønnessen Norway’s 2018 population projections Main results, methods and assumptions Reports 2018/22 Astri Syse, Stefan Leknes, Sturla Løkken and Marianne Tønnessen Norway’s 2018 population projections Main results, methods and assumptions Statistisk sentralbyrå • Statistics Norway Oslo–Kongsvinger In the series Reports, analyses and annotated statistical results are published from various surveys. Surveys include sample surveys, censuses and register-based surveys. © Statistics Norway When using material from this publication, Statistics Norway shall be quoted as the source. Published 26 June 2018 Print: Statistics Norway ISBN 978-82-537-9768-7 (printed) ISBN 978-82-537-9769-4 (electronic) ISSN 0806-2056 Symbols in tables Symbol Category not applicable . Data not available .. Data not yet available … Not for publication : Nil - Less than 0.5 of unit employed 0 Less than 0.05 of unit employed 0.0 Provisional or preliminary figure * Break in the homogeneity of a vertical series — Break in the homogeneity of a horizontal series | Decimal punctuation mark . Reports 2018/22 Norway’s 2018 population projections Preface This report presents the main results from the 2018 population projections and provides an overview of the underlying assumptions. It also describes how Statistics Norway produces the Norwegian population projections, using the BEFINN and BEFREG models. The population projections are usually published biennially. More information about the population projections is available at https://www.ssb.no/en/befolkning/statistikker/folkfram. Statistics Norway, June 18, 2018 Brita Bye Statistics Norway 3 Norway’s 2018 population projections Reports 2018/22 4 Statistics Norway Reports 2018/22 Norway’s 2018 population projections Abstract Lower population growth, pronounced aging in rural areas and a growing number of immigrants characterize the main results from the 2018 population projections.
    [Show full text]
  • Finding the Optimal Seat Capacity for Train-Services Using Transport Models
    TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY OF DENMARK June 2014 FINDING THE OPTIMAL SEAT CAPACITY FOR TRAIN-SERVICES USING TRANSPORT MODELS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORT María Díez Gutiérrez – s121456 Finding the optimal seat capacity for train services using transport models MSc Thesis – Transport Engineering ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS It is with gratitude to my supervisor Kim Bang Salling for making possible this thesis project and encouraging me during the process. I would like to express my appreciation to Trude Tørset whose enthusiasm for transport models has been inspiring to focus my research on the field. I thank her for following up my thesis from the earlier stages, providing me support and guidance. My sincere thanks to Jernbaneverket, in particular Per Jorulf Overvik and Patrick Ranheim, who helped me to specify the topic and to obtain the required data. I thank them for the useful observations along the learning process of this master thesis. I would like to express my gratitude to Stefano Manzo for the worthwhile comments and remarks on this project. I want to thank Olav Kåre Malmin who has helped me to understand better the technical aspects of the model. Thanks to NSB for providing me with necessary data and resources for the Jæren line analyses. Last but not least, I would like to express my love and gratitude to my family for their understanding, encouragement and support. I Finding the optimal seat capacity for train services using transport models MSc Thesis – Transport Engineering ABSTRACT This master thesis project aims to estimate the optimal capacity for the rush period in the Jæren line, particularly in the service between Stavanger and Egersund.
    [Show full text]
  • Air Yorkshire Aviation Society
    Air Yorkshire Aviation Society Volume 42 Issue 1 January 2016 HS-VSK Gulfstream 650 Leeds/Bradford 1 November 2015 David Blaker www.airyorkshire.org.uk SOCIETY CONTACTS Air Yorkshire Committee 2016 Chairman David Senior 23 Queens Drive, Carlton, WF3 3RQ 0113 282 1818 [email protected] Secretary Jim Stanfield 8 Westbrook Close, Leeds, LS18 5RQ 0113 258 9968 [email protected] Treasurer David Valentine 8 St Margaret's Avenue, Horsforth, Distribution/Membership Pauline Valentine Leeds, LS18 5RY 0113 228 8143 Managing Editor Alan Sinfield 6 The Stray, Bradford, BD10 8TL Meetings coordinator 01274 619679 [email protected] Photographic Editor David Blaker [email protected] Visits Organiser Mike Storey 0113 252 6913 [email protected] Dinner Organiser John Dale 01943 875315 Publicity Howard Griffin 6 Acre Fold, Addingham, Ilkley LS29 0TH 01943 839126 (M) 07946 506451 [email protected] Plus Reynell Preston (Security), Paul Windsor (Reception/Registration) Geoff Ward & Paula Denby Code of Conduct Members should not commit any act which would bring the Society into disrepute in any way. Disclaimer the views expressed in articles in the magazine are not necessarily those of the editor and the committee. Copyright The photographs and articles in this magazine may not be reproduced in any form without the strict permission of the editor. SOCIETY ANNOUNCMENTS Happy New Year! You may notice a few changes in the magazine for 2016. The first change is that I am now using OpenOffice to produce the magazine which I find easier to use, saving me some time! Secondly I have changed the order of the items within the magazine – the front part of the magazine now includes members articles, a historical look back at items from past magazines, a table of airline updates and a page of photographs from hotels around the world.
    [Show full text]
  • Norway, That Could Affect Norwegian Security and Damage National Interests in the Coming Year
    Analyses of Crisis Scenarios 2019 DSB ANALYSES OF CRISIS SCENARIOS 2019 1 DISASTERS THAT MAY AFFECT NORWEGIAN SOCIETY Issued by: Norwegian Directorate for Civil Protection (DSB) 2019 ISBN: 978-82-7768-472-7 (PDF) Cover and design: Dinamo Printed by: ETN Grafisk, Skien 2 ANALYSES OF CRISIS SCENARIOS 2019 DSB SEVERE WEATHER Hurricane on the coast. Frøya municipality, Trøndelag. / SAMPHOTO WUTTUDAL TORE PHOTO DSB ANALYSES OF CRISIS SCENARIOS 2019 3 4 NASJONALTANALYSES OF RISIKOBILDE CRISIS SCENARIOS 2013 DSB 2019 DSB NATIONAL RISK AND THREAT ASSESSMENTS The DSB’s Analyses of Crisis Scenarios (ACS)1 is one of four threat and risk assessments published every year. The others are published by the Norwegian Police Security Service (PST), the Norwegian Intelligence Service (NIS) and the Norwegian National Security Authority (NSM). The PST’s primary responsibility is to prevent and investigate crimes against national security. The PST’s annual threat assessment discusses situations, usually in Norway, that could affect Norwegian security and damage national interests in the coming year. These include threats from state actors in the form of foreign intelligence services, their current intelligence targets and the services’ operational patterns in Norway. The assessments also deal with threats from non-state actors, especially threats of politically motivated violence by extremist groups or individuals. The assessments have a time horizon of one year and are published in the first quarter. The NIS’s primary task is to warn of external threats and support the development of Norwegian security, foreign and defence policy. The service publishes an annual assessment of the international situation and foreign threats of significance to Norway and Norwegian interests.
    [Show full text]