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York Region Transit (YRT/Viva) Ridership Statistics - March 2014

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York Region Transit (YRT/Viva) Ridership Statistics - March 2014 Transportation and Community Planning MEMORANDUM TO: Committee of the Whole FROM: Daniel Kostopoulos, P.Eng. Commissioner of Transportation and Community Planning DATE: May 1, 2014 RE: York Region Transit (YRT/Viva) Ridership Statistics - March 2014 This memorandum provides an overview of YRT/Viva ridership statistics for March 2014. YRT/Viva’s March revenue ridership was 1.88 million, representing a decrease of approximately 5,200 revenue riders, or a decrease of 0.3 per cent compared to March 2013. Weather Heavy snowfalls and colder temperatures contributed to the lower ridership in March 2014 as ridership decreased during days with extreme cold temperatures and heavy snowfalls. Between March 3 and 6, 2014, York Region experienced four consecutive days with mean temperature below -10º Celsius and one day of snow. During this period, ridership showed a seven per cent decrease when compared to the same time period in 2013. The mean temperature in March 2014 was -4.8º Celsius, compared to -0.3º Celsius in March 2013[1]. Total snowfall accumulation was 29.1 cm in March 2014[1] compared to only 10.2 cm in the same month last year. There were seven days requiring winter maintenance in York Region compared with three days in March 2013. Employment The national unemployment rate in March 2014 was 6.9 per cent, a decrease of 0.3 per cent from the 7.2 per cent rate in March 2013[2]. York Region is located within the Employment Insurance Economic Region of Toronto which recorded an unemployment rate of 8.3 per cent in March 2014, a decrease of 0.2 per cent as compared to the 8.5 per cent rate in March 2013[3]. Gas Prices Average gasoline prices increased from $1.30 per litre in March 2013[4] to $1.31 per litre in March 2014[5], an increase of $0.01 per litre. This information is reflected in Figure 1 which depicts historical gasoline prices since 2009. Committee of the Whole York Region Transit (YRT/Viva) Ridership Statistics – March 2014 Figure 1 Gas Prices between January 2009 and March 2014 Mobility Plus Mobility Plus ridership decreased 3.3 per cent from 29,858 riders in March 2013 to 28,863 in March 2014, resulting in 995 fewer rides. This can be attributed to colder temperatures and more cold weather alerts. As a result, in March 2014 there was a total of 765 “no shows”, representing an increase of 102 per cent over March 2013. Daniel Kostopoulos, P.Eng. Commissioner of Transportation and Community Planning Notes: [1] Historical Climate Data, Toronto Buttonville Airport, Ontario. Retrieved from http://climate.weather.gc.ca/. Retrieved date April 10, 2014. [2] Labour Force Survey. February 2014, Statistics Canada. Retrieved from http://www.statcan.gc.ca/subjects-sujets/labour-travail/lfs-epa/lfs-epa-eng.htm. Retrieved date: April 10, 2014 [3] EI Economic Region of Toronto – Unemployment Rates for the EI Economic Regions. Human Resources and Skills Development Canada. Retrieved from http://srv129.services.gc.ca/rbin/eng/rates.aspx?id=2014#data. Retrieved date: April 10, 2014 [4] Fuel Price Data. (2013). Ministry of Energy. Retrieved from http://www.energy.gov.on.ca/en/fuel-prices/fuel-price-data/?fuel=reg&yr=2013. Retrieved date: April 10, 2014 [5] Fuel Price Data. (2014). Ministry of Energy. Retrieved from http://www.energy.gov.on.ca/en/fuel-prices/fuel-price-data/?fuel=reg&yr=2014. Retrieved date: April10, 2014 March 2014 Revenue Boardings by Quarter 2003 to 2014 9000000 Jan 2006Jan Aug 2003 Aug Sept 2005 Sept - June2010 Sept2010 - - 8000000 - - Oct 11 to Feb 1211Oct toFeb Sept to Oct 2008 toOct Sept - - VivaPink 7000000 VivaBlue A 22A to York U U 22AtoYork 2004($2.25) Increase Fare 2006($2.50) Increase Fare 2007($2.75) Increase Fare 2008($3.00) Increase Fare 2009($3.25) Increase Fare 2012($3.50) Increase Fare 2013($3.75) Increase Fare 2014($4.00) Increase Fare VivaStrike 91andFinch 99to Hwy 7 Rapidway Opening [H3.1] Rapidway7Opening Hwy 6000000 NewFareViva + Policy York U Strike + EconomicStrikeDownturn U + York BRT, First, BRT, Strike Miller 5000000 4000000 3000000 2000000 1000000 0 2003 Q1 2003 Q2 2003 Q3 2003 Q4 2003 Q1 2004 Q2 2004 Q3 2004 Q4 2004 Q1 2005 Q2 2005 Q3 2005 Q4 2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006 Q4 2006 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2007 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Population 855056 889591 918383 949601 982926 1011973 1032606 1061983 1084000 1108570 1130386 - Population Growth 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% - Unemployment 7.6% 7.2% 6.6% 6.2% 5.9% 6.7% 8.5% 7.7% 7.5% 7.1% 7.2% - Fuel Prices (₵) 2003 - Dec 2004 - Dec 2005 - Dec 2006 - Dec 2007 - Dec 2008 - Dec 2009 - Dec 2010 - Dec 2011 - Dec 2012 - Dec 2013 - Dec - 67.6 75.8 88.5 87.5 100.6 74.2 95.6 108.0 118 119 128 Total Conventional viva Mobility Plus Notes: Population figures are for year-end. Source: York Region Long Range Planning, based on Statistics Canada and CMHC Housing Completion Data Fuel price source: Ministry of Energy and Infrastructure (http://www.energy.gov.on.ca/en/fuel-prices/) Unemployment rate source: Statistics Canada (http://www.statcan.gc.ca/start-debut-eng.html) March 2014 Revenue Boardings by Month Rolling Five Year Count—2009 to 2014 2500000 2000000 1500000 Revenue Boardings 1000000 500000 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Month 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Notes: Due to operator strike from Oct 24, 2011 to Feb 3, 2012, monthly ridership numbers from Nov 2011 to Jan 2012 are based on Veolia Transportation (SW Division), TTC, and Dial-a-Ride services. Forecasted revenue ridership due to free transit service, offered February and March 2012. March 2014 System-Wide Percentage Missed Trips by Month 2009 to 2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 30% 25% 20% 15% Percentage of Missed Trips 10% 5% 0% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Month Notes: Missed trips from October 2011 to January 2012 are excluded from this chart due to bus operator strike. March 2014 On-Time Performance Based on Trip Start Time Conventional Transit Routes—2009 to 2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 100% 95% 92.21% 90% Target 90% Time - 85% Percentage On Full service resumption End of transit labour (Feb 26, 2012) strike (Feb 3, 2012) 80% Start of transit labour strike (Oct 24, 2011) All conventional contractors 75% equipped with CAD/AVL (Feb 2009) 70% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Month Notes: On-Time Performance from October 24, 2011 to February 3, 2012 only includes Veolia Transportation Services (SW Division) due to operator strike. March 2014 On-Time Performance Based on Arrival Time at Last Stop Conventional Transit Routes—2009 to 2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 100% 90% 85% Target 80% End of transit labour 70% strike (Feb 3, 2012) Time - 68.98% Full service resumption (Feb 26, 2012) 60% Percentage On Start of transit labour strike (Oct 24, 2011) 50% All conventional contractors equipped with CAD/AVL (Feb 2009) 40% 30% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Month Notes: On-Time Performance from October 24, 2011 to February 3, 2012 only includes Veolia Transportation Services (SW Division) due to operator strike. March 2014 On-Time Performance Based on Trip Start Time Rapid Transit Routes—2009 to 2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 100% 95.45% 95% Target 95% Hwy 7 Rapidway Opening [H3.1] (Aug 18, 2013) Viva orange and green 90% reinstated (Feb 26, 2012) Time - Partial viva service resumption (Feb 4, 2012) Percentage On 85% 80% 75% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Month Notes: On-Time Performance from October 24, 2011 to February 3, 2012 not available for York BRT Services LP due to operator strike. All York BRT Services LP resumed on February 26, 2012 after operator strike October 24, 2011 to February 3, 2012. March 2014 On-Time Performance Based on Arrival Time at Last Stop Rapid Transit Routes—2009 to 2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 100% 90% 85% Target 80% 70% Hwy 7 Rapidway Opening [H3.1] (Aug 18, 2013) Time - 60% 59.72% 50% Percentage On 40% Partial viva service resumption (Feb 4, 2012) 30% Viva orange and green reinstated (Feb 26, 2012) 20% 10% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Month Notes: On-Time Performance from October 24, 2011 to February 3, 2012 not available for York BRT Services LP due to operator strike. All York BRT Services LP resumed on February 26, 2012 after operator strike October 24, 2011 to February 3, 2012. YRT/Viva 2014 Revenue Ridership Summary (Actual) Conventional and BRT services including contracted TTC services north of Steeles Avenue * February & March 2012 estimated revenue ridership due to free transit service. + Monthly ridership numbers from November 2011 to January 2012 are based on Veolia Transportation, TTC, and Dial-a-Ride services, due to operator strike from October 24, 2011 to February 3, 2012. Average Weekday Monthly Change Year to Date Month 2013 2014 Revenue [’14 vs ’13] (YTD) Change Ridership 2014 January 1,934,722 1,799,396 -7.0 -7.0 71,683 February 1,765,195 1,712,612 -3.0 -5.1 77,499 March 1,886,106 1,880,873 -0.3 -3.5 75,947 April 1,879,088 May 1,957,405 June 1,832,425 July 1,816,294 August 1,692,340 September 2,027,509 October 2,126,852 November 2,067,646 December 1,724,030 YTD Total 22,709,612 5,392,881 Updated: April 14, 2014 YRT/Viva 2014 Ridership Summary (Actual) Specialized Services – Mobility Plus Five-Year Ridership by Month 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 # Riders 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Monthly Average Weekday 2013 2014 Year to Date (YTD) Revenue Month Change Ridership Ridership Change Ridership (‘14 vs.
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