Honeybourne to Long Marston Airfield Rail Shuttle Service
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Stratford-on-Avon District Council Provision of a rail shuttle service between Honeybourne Station and Long Marston Airfield Rail Shuttle Study Findings Issue | 4 May 2018 This report takes into account the particular instructions and requirements of our client. It is not intended for and should not be relied upon by any third party and no responsibility is undertaken to any third party. Job number 260396-00 Ove Arup & Partners Ltd The Arup Campus Blythe Gate Blythe Valley Park Solihull B90 8AE United Kingdom www.arup.com Stratford-on-Avon District Council Provision of a rail shuttle service between Honeybourne Station and Long Marston Airfield Rail Shuttle Study Findings Contents Page 1 Introduction 4 2 Forecasting disclaimer 4 3 Context 6 3.1 Background 6 3.2 Honeybourne Station 7 3.3 Former Long Marston station site 7 3.4 Stratford to Long Marston Greenway 8 3.5 Long Marston Village, Depot and Meon Vale 8 3.6 Long Marston Airfield 10 3.7 Long Marston Airfield Garden Village (LMAGV) 11 3.8 Communications and briefing meeting 12 4 Rail Alignment 13 4.1 Horizontal Alignment 14 4.2 Crossings 18 5 Capital Costs for the shuttle service 22 5.1 Assumptions for the capital costs 22 5.2 Estimated capital costs 23 6 Level of service 24 6.1 Long Marston Airfield Garden Village 24 6.2 Meon Vale and surrounding area 25 6.3 Passenger demand from LMAGV 28 6.4 Peak Hour 30 7 Rolling Stock 31 7.1 Applicable Rolling Stock 31 7.2 Rolling Stock Capital and Operational Costs 33 8 Operation of the shuttle service 37 8.1 Stabling of units 37 8.2 Maintenance 37 8.3 Crew facilities 38 8.4 Journey Times 38 8.5 Connections at Honeybourne 39 9 Potential train operator 40 10 Other options 41 | Issue | 4 May 2018 J:\260000\260396-00\4 INTERNAL PROJECT DATA\4-01 OUTGOING RECORD COPY\4-01-01 REGISTER\180504 - ISSUE\180504 ARUP RAIL SHUTTLE REPORT ISSUE.DOCX Stratford-on-Avon District Council Provision of a rail shuttle service between Honeybourne Station and Long Marston Airfield Rail Shuttle Study Findings 10.1 Increase car parking at Honeybourne 41 10.2 Connection via a busway 41 10.3 Flexible minibus services 41 10.4 Tram Train 42 10.5 Additional or alternative stations 42 10.6 Improved walking and cycling links 42 10.7 Cascaded or lighter rail 42 10.8 Community based operation 43 10.9 Extension to Stratford Racecourse 43 10.10 Options Matrix 44 11 Conclusions 45 12 Recommendations 46 Tables Table 1: Potential capital costs for the scheme Table 2: CALA Homes completions and occupancy Table 3: Method of Travel to Work (2011 Census). Table 4: Typical Trip Rated for New Stations in Different Circumstances Table 5: Indicative demand from LMAGV Table 6: Rolling Stock Capacity Summary Table 7: Indicative staffing costs Table 8: Indicative Rolling Stock Lease Price Summary Table 9: Indicative journey times Table 10: Options Matrix Figures Figure 1: Context map (source: Long Marston Airfield Garden Village Bid July 2016.pdf) Figure 2: Location of former Long Marston Station (Source: Google Maps) Figure 3: Stratford to Long Marston Greenway Figure 4: Long Marston village, Depot and Meon Vale Figure 5: Long Marston Depot layout Figure 6: Long Marston Airfield Garden Village illustrative masterplan Figure 7: Long Marston Airfield Garden Village illustrative dwelling densities Figure 8: Overview of proposed route with upgraded track in blue and new track in red Figure 9: Start of route - Honeybourne Station Figure 10: Connection to existing Long Marston Depot (crossover in green) | Issue | 4 May 2018 J:\260000\260396-00\4 INTERNAL PROJECT DATA\4-01 OUTGOING RECORD COPY\4-01-01 REGISTER\180504 - ISSUE\180504 ARUP RAIL SHUTTLE REPORT ISSUE.DOCX Stratford-on-Avon District Council Provision of a rail shuttle service between Honeybourne Station and Long Marston Airfield Rail Shuttle Study Findings Figure 11: Deviation avoiding industrial estate Figure 12: End of route at Long Marston Airfield Garden Village Station Figure 13: Indicative station layout. Figure 14: Station Road crossing Figure 15: Wyre Lane and Airfield crossings Figure 16: Farm Access Figure 17: ONS Area Appendices Appendix A ORR Railway Guidance Document RGD-2014-06 Appendix B Current Timetable at Honeybourne (December 2017) Appendix C Proposed Shuttle Timetable (20mph) Appendix D Proposed Timetable at Honeybourne based on two trains per hour | Issue | 4 May 2018 J:\260000\260396-00\4 INTERNAL PROJECT DATA\4-01 OUTGOING RECORD COPY\4-01-01 REGISTER\180504 - ISSUE\180504 ARUP RAIL SHUTTLE REPORT ISSUE.DOCX Stratford-on-Avon District Council Provision of a rail shuttle service between Honeybourne Station and Long Marston Airfield Rail Shuttle Study Findings 1 Introduction Ove Arup and Partners Ltd (Arup) were commissioned by Stratford-on-Avon District Council (SDC) to undertake a high level study into the provision of a rail shuttle service between Honeybourne station and a new Garden Village housing development at Long Marston Airfield. The main aims of the study were as follows: Review options for a rail alignment, including high level capital costs; The operation of the shuttle service – how it will fit in with current and proposed plans for increases in services on the Cotswold Line; The level of service required to meet the potential demand; Possible rolling stock options, including high level operating costs; and Potential train operators. During the inception meeting held on 14th February 2018, it was also agreed that other potential options for the route would be discussed. This report contains the findings of the study. 2 Forecasting disclaimer This report has been prepared specifically for and under the instructions of Stratford-on-Avon District Council under an appointment dated 14 February 2018. This report may be provided to third parties solely to inform any such person that our report has been prepared and to make them aware of its substance but not for the purposes of reliance. No third party is entitled to rely on this report unless and until they and we sign a reliance letter. We do not in any circumstances accept any responsibility or liability to retail investors whether via bond issue or otherwise and no such party is entitled to relay on this report. In preparing this report we have relied on information provided by others and we do not accept responsibility for the accuracy of such information. We emphasise that the forward-looking projections, forecasts, or estimates are based upon interpretations or assessments of available information at the time of writing. The realisation of the prospective financial information is dependent upon the continued validity of the assumptions on which it is based. Actual events frequently do not occur as expected, and the differences may be material. For this reason, we accept no responsibility for the realisation of any projection, forecast, opinion or estimate. Findings are time-sensitive and relevant only to current conditions at the time of writing. We will not be under any obligation to update the report to address changes in facts or circumstances that occur after the date of our report that might | Issue | 4 May 2018 Page 4 J:\260000\260396-00\4 INTERNAL PROJECT DATA\4-01 OUTGOING RECORD COPY\4-01-01 REGISTER\180504 - ISSUE\180504 ARUP RAIL SHUTTLE REPORT ISSUE.DOCX Stratford-on-Avon District Council Provision of a rail shuttle service between Honeybourne Station and Long Marston Airfield Rail Shuttle Study Findings materially affect the contents of the report or any of the conclusions set forth therein. In preparing this report we have relied on information supplied by others. We have relied in particular on the accuracy and completeness of such information and accept no liability for any error or omission in this report to extent the same results from errors or omissions in the information supplied by others. | Issue | 4 May 2018 Page 5 J:\260000\260396-00\4 INTERNAL PROJECT DATA\4-01 OUTGOING RECORD COPY\4-01-01 REGISTER\180504 - ISSUE\180504 ARUP RAIL SHUTTLE REPORT ISSUE.DOCX Stratford-on-Avon District Council Provision of a rail shuttle service between Honeybourne Station and Long Marston Airfield Rail Shuttle Study Findings 3 Context 3.1 Background The focus of this study is the section of former railway and freight-only railway from Long Marston Airfield southwards to Honeybourne station. The route forms the southern section of the former rail line between Honeybourne and Stratford- upon-Avon town, which closed in the mid-1970s and is now a leisure route known as the ‘Stratford Greenway’ used by walkers and cyclists. The existing freight-only branch extends approximately 4.8km northwards from Honeybourne station to a point just south of Station Road to serve the Long Marston Depot. Long Marston station itself has been redeveloped as a small business/industrial park. North of Station Road the former route is now the Stratford Greenway. Some 2km to the north is the site of the Long Marston Airfield Garden Village. Figure 1 shows the location of Long Marston Airfield. Figure 1: Context map (source: Long Marston Airfield Garden Village Bid July 2016.pdf) | Issue | 4 May 2018 Page 6 J:\260000\260396-00\4 INTERNAL PROJECT DATA\4-01 OUTGOING RECORD COPY\4-01-01 REGISTER\180504 - ISSUE\180504 ARUP RAIL SHUTTLE REPORT ISSUE.DOCX Stratford-on-Avon District Council Provision of a rail shuttle service between Honeybourne Station and Long Marston Airfield Rail Shuttle Study Findings 3.2 Honeybourne Station Honeybourne Station is located 61.5km (38.2miles) from Oxford and 30.2 km (18.8miles) from Worcester Shrub Hill. The station serves the nearby village of Honeybourne in Worcestershire.