Chapter 1To9 Vol I
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Investment Opportunity Study –2006, Bhutan # Contents Page No. Executive Summary 2 Volume I A. Country Profile and Economy 6 B. Inventory of Country Resources 9 1. Infrastructure 10 2. Trade & Industry 19 3. Services 31 4. Agriculture and Livestock Sector 41 5. Horticulture Sector 54 6. Wood Sector 63 7. Non-wood Forest Produce 67 8. Tourism Sector 77 9. Mineral Sector 85 C. National Investment Opportunities 96 D. Country SWOT Analysis 106 E. Policy Recommendations 107 E.1 Dzongkhag Level 107 E.2 National Level 110 F. Projects for Further Detailed Study 117 G. Ten Prioritized Potential Projects at National Level 122 Volume II H. Dzongkhag -wise Inventory of Resources, Skills, Infrastructure, Comparative Advantages and Investment Opportunity Ideas Annexure A: List of Institutions/Departments Annexure B: List of References 1 Investment Opportunity Study –2006, Bhutan Executive Summary In keeping with the policy of the Royal Government of Bhutan for enlarging the role of the private sector in the economic development of Bhutan, the Department of Industry, Ministry of Economic Affairs, commissioned this Investment Opportunity Study for the entire country. This required mapping the resources of the entire country for the purpose of identifying investment opportunities, and preparing project profiles for 10 prioritized projects with details on investment, technology, market, global competitiveness, environmental issues and profitability. The study also involved developing an action plan for implementation of the recommendations and generating a list of projects for further detailed studies. This study commenced in February 2006 and the field work was completed in July 2006. The draft report submitted thereafter underwent a number of revisions and modifications primarily to synchronize field data with published information. In general the report is therefore based on 2005 data unless indicated otherwise. The report was finalized in December 2007 after successive reviews, incorporation of various comments and observations from the concerned Ministries and Departments. During the field study, our experts surveyed all the districts of Bhutan to collect at first hand, all possible information on resources, recording the data in a structured questionnaire. Our teams also met the Dzongdags, Planning and other senior officials of the Dzongkhags, for their inputs. After completing the data collection at the Dzongkhag level, the team returned to Thimphu to collect the resources data at the national level, interviewing officials at most of the Ministries, Departments and related Institutions. Our desk research teams researched the official websites of the Royal Government of Bhutan, as well as the reports published by international financial institutions such as the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank. The data was then collated. Where resource data revealed small volumes of commercial insignificance, it was screened out at the Dzongkhag level itself. Discrepancies in data from different sources were identified and some data rejected for lack of authenticity. The meaningful data was compiled into a detailed inventory Dzongkhag-wise, under the different heads of resources, which had been defined in the beginning of the study and approved in the Inception Report. Analysis of the inventory of resources identified exploitable surplus or shortfalls, which presented opportunities for investment. Weaknesses were also identified in the investment environment at the Dzongkhag level. This enabled a ‘SWOT Analysis’ for each Dzongkhag. From a review of the resources at the Dzongkhag level, several investment ideas emerged and these preliminary ideas have been listed for each Dzongkhag, as ‘Investment Opportunity Ideas’. Analysis of the data at the national level is covered in ‘Investment Opportunity Study Volume I’, which presents an overview at the national level, of all the contributory factors that determine the health of the economy of Bhutan and the drivers for its growth. The investment opportunity ideas at the Dzongkhag level were reviewed and concretized into ‘Projects for Further Detailed Studies’, to point out the need for detailed professional evaluation of suggested projects on the basis of their relevance to Bhutan and the major markets in its proximity. Recommendations on project implementation at the National and Dzongkhag levels have been made by our experts, based upon their evaluation of the country’s investment environment and potential. The Study highlighted the clear difference between the opportunities and business environment in the border areas and those in the interior areas. This calls for different approaches to development in the respective areas. 2 Investment Opportunity Study –2006, Bhutan In the southern region, with the availability of a large pool of inexpensive labor from across the border and better access to raw materials and markets for final products, it is more feasible to develop industries that make intensive use of labor and raw materials. In the northern and interior areas, where labour and transport costs (both inward for raw materials and outward for finished products) are appreciably higher, the cost of producing for any, but the local market is prohibitive. A more feasible development strategy for the north would be to focus on niche industries and on services to support labor- intensive industry in the south. Industrial development on the border will create demand for support services for management, accounting, maintenance, information technology services, and the like. Service jobs typically demand higher skill levels than most manufacturing jobs but also provide higher value addition per worker and, thus, higher wages. However, developing a service sector that provides avenues for well-paid employment will require significant investment in the education and training of human resources. New investments in the south can take full advantage of Bhutan’s inexpensive power to develop heavier industries, but there is a note of caution now on the availability of power. Bhutan’s total installed capacity has reached 1488 MW after the commissioning of the Tala Hydropower Project. This figure can shoot up to 1612 MW during the monsoons. However, it drops to 283 MW during the winter months. To have 100% reliable power supply in the kingdom throughout the year, the power consumption is confined to firm power of 283 MW, unless new generating capacity is added, which is unlikely in the immediate future. The interior areas also have the potential to develop niche industries that do not require large inputs of raw materials (particularly from outside of Bhutan) and do not produce heavy finished products that incur high transport costs in export. Niche industries should build as much as possible on the country’s agro-processing base such as maize, potatoes, medicinal herbs, spice oleoresins etc. For niche industries to succeed, quality production will be critical. Thus, if Bhutan is to find its own place in the sun of niche markets, it is imperative that it establishes quality standards and encourages farm productivity improvement training for consistent production. Bhutan could build on one of its significant advantages, by initiating certification for organic status for the agricultural produce of some of its Dzongkhags. Non-traditional niche industries include those based on handicrafts or non-wood resources like fragrances, aromatic and incense. Information technology provides another avenue for investment, along with other industries not heavily dependent on transport or low-cost labor. In both central and southern Bhutan, the development of industries based on locally available surplus resources should be encouraged – this includes agro-processing, tourism, non-wood forest produce based industries. The ten prioritized projects are selected on the basis of the commercially exploitable surplus in resources, to give products, which have good national and international markets. Maize is one of the major surplus crops of Bhutan and offers immense scope for breakfast cereals for the ever-expanding markets in neighbouring India. Thus, the breakfast cereals project has been selected as one of the key investment projects. In Bhutan, horticulture is an important economic activity and the climatic conditions are favorable for seasonable vegetables, which can be sold in the premium category as “out of season” vegetables provided international quality cleaning, grading and packaging is adopted for increasing the shelf life as well as in saving wastage. Thus, the project for fruit and vegetable cleaning, grading and packaging will be one of the important investment projects at national level, catering to local and international markets. Potato is another major produce with a surplus and Bhutanese potatoes being excellent in quality, we suggest a project for producing potato chips and flakes for the international market. Minerals are an important resource for Bhutan. Dolomite is one such mineral, which qualifies as a commercially exploitable resource for production of magnesium carbonate and calcium carbonate. These are in high demand in the neighbouring markets. The proposed project does not have any significant adverse impact on the environment. Horticulture products like chili, cardamom, and ginger are available in surplus quantities and have potential for high value addition by conversion into oleoresins; thus, one of the projects suggested is for manufacture of spices oleoresin for which a large export market exists.