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Economic Choices
ECONOMIC CHOICES Daniel McFadden* This Nobel lecture discusses the microeconometric analysis of choice behavior of consumers who face discrete economic alternatives. Before the 1960's, economists used consumer theory mostly as a logical tool, to explore conceptually the properties of alternative market organizations and economic policies. When the theory was applied empirically, it was to market-level or national-accounts-level data. In these applications, the theory was usually developed in terms of a representative agent, with market-level behavior given by the representative agent’s behavior writ large. When observations deviated from those implied by the representative agent theory, these differences were swept into an additive disturbance and attributed to data measurement errors, rather than to unobserved factors within or across individual agents. In statistical language, traditional consumer theory placed structural restrictions on mean behavior, but the distribution of responses about their mean was not tied to the theory. In the 1960's, rapidly increasing availability of survey data on individual behavior, and the advent of digital computers that could analyze these data, focused attention on the variations in demand across individuals. It became important to explain and model these variations as part of consumer theory, rather than as ad hoc disturbances. This was particularly obvious for discrete choices, such as transportation mode or occupation. The solution to this problem has led to the tools we have today for microeconometric analysis of choice behavior. I will first give a brief history of the development of this subject, and place my own contributions in context. After that, I will discuss in some detail more recent developments in the economic theory of choice, and modifications to this theory that are being forced by experimental evidence from cognitive psychology. -
Equilmrium and DYNAMICS David Gale, 1991 Equilibrium and Dynamics
EQUILmRIUM AND DYNAMICS David Gale, 1991 Equilibrium and Dynamics Essays in Honour of David Gale Edited by Mukul Majumdar H. T. Warshow and Robert Irving Warshow Professor ofEconomics Cornell University Palgrave Macmillan ISBN 978-1-349-11698-0 ISBN 978-1-349-11696-6 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-349-11696-6 © Mukul Majumdar 1992 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 1992 All rights reserved. For information, write: Scholarly and Reference Division, St. Martin's Press, Inc., 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10010 First published in the United States of America in 1992 ISBN 978-0-312-06810-3 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Equilibrium and dynamics: essays in honour of David Gale I edited by Mukul Majumdar. p. em. Includes bibliographical references (p. ). ISBN 978-0-312-06810-3 1. Equilibrium (Economics) 2. Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) I. Gale, David. II. Majumdar, Mukul, 1944- . HB145.E675 1992 339.5-dc20 91-25354 CIP Contents Preface vii Notes on the Contributors ix 1 Equilibrium in a Matching Market with General Preferences Ahmet Alkan 1 2 General Equilibrium with Infinitely Many Goods: The Case of Separable Utilities Aloisio Araujo and Paulo Klinger Monteiro 17 3 Regular Demand with Several, General Budget Constraints Yves Balasko and David Cass 29 4 Arbitrage Opportunities in Financial Markets are not Inconsistent with Competitive Equilibrium Lawrence M. Benveniste and Juan Ketterer 45 5 Fiscal and Monetary Policy in a General Equilibrium Model Truman Bewley 55 6 Equilibrium in Preemption Games with Complete Information Kenneth Hendricks and Charles Wilson 123 7 Allocation of Aggregate and Individual Risks through Financial Markets Michael J. -
Entry for Daniel Mcfadden in the New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 1
Entry for Daniel McFadden in the New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 1. Introduction Daniel L. McFadden, the E. Morris Cox Professor of Economics at the University of Cali- fornia at Berkeley, was the 2000 co-recipient of the Nobel Prize in Economics, awarded “for his development of theory and methods of analyzing discrete choice.” 1 McFadden was born in North Carolina, USA in 1937 and received a B.S. in Physics from the University of Minnesota (with highest honors) in 1956, and a Ph.D. degree in Economics from Minnesota in 1962. His academic career began as a postdoctoral fellow at the University of Pittsburgh. In 1963 he was appointed as assistant professor of economics at the University of California at Berkeley, and tenured in 1966. He has also held tenured appointments at Yale (as Irving Fisher Research Professor in 1977), and at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (from 1978 to 1991). In 1990 he was awarded the E. Morris Cox chair at the University of California at Berkeley, where he has also served as Department Chair and as Director of the Econometrics Laboratory. 2. Research Contributions McFadden is best known for his fundamental contributions to the theory and econometric methods for analyzing discrete choice. Building on a highly abstract, axiomatic literature on probabilistic choice theory due to Thurstone (1927), Block and Marschak (1960), and Luce (1959) and others in a literature that originated in mathematical psychology, McFadden developed the econometric methodology for estimating the utility functions underlying probabilistic choice theory. McFadden’s primary contribution was to provide the econometric tools that permitted widespread practical empirical application of discrete choice models, in economics and other disciplines. -
Off to a Good Start: the Nber and the Measurement of National Income
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES OFF TO A GOOD START: THE NBER AND THE MEASUREMENT OF NATIONAL INCOME Hugh Rockoff Working Paper 26895 http://www.nber.org/papers/w26895 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 March 2020 Many thanks are due to Katharine Abraham who discussed a previous draft when it was presented at the 2020 annual meeting of the American Economic Association in a session celebrating the 100th anniversary of the Bureau, and to Claudia Goldin for many helpful comments. The remaining errors are mine. The views expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications. © 2020 by Hugh Rockoff. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. Off to a Good Start: The NBER and the Measurement of National Income Hugh Rockoff NBER Working Paper No. 26895 March 2020 JEL No. B0,N12 ABSTRACT The creation of the National Bureau of Economic Research was a response to the bitter controversies over the distribution of income that roiled the United States during the Progressive Era. Thanks to Malcolm Rorty, a business economist, and Nahum I. Stone, an independent socialist economist, a “Committee on the Distribution of Income” was created; what might be considered the first name of the Bureau. -
Speech--Chairman Ben S. Bernanke
For release on delivery 9:30 a.m. EDT May 8, 2010 Commencement Address: The Economics of Happiness Remarks by Ben S. Bernanke Chairman Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System at the University of South Carolina Columbia, South Carolina May 8, 2010 I want to begin by thanking the Board of Trustees of the University of South Carolina, President Pastides, and this year’s graduates for the great honor of addressing this commencement ceremony. Although I was born just across the border in Augusta, Georgia, I considered South Carolina my home from early childhood until I married and took my first academic job after graduate school. During most of that time, my family lived in Dillon, a couple of hours’ drive from here. I have had several occasions to visit Dillon and other places in the Carolinas since I got into government work, and I am both amazed and proud about the remarkable economic and social progress that has occurred since I grew up here. South Carolina, like America, is always reinventing itself, despite new and, it sometimes seems, ever more difficult challenges. I always find it difficult to choose a topic for a commencement talk. I am an economist, but my experience has been that people in a celebratory frame of mind are usually not that interested in an economics lecture. (I can’t quite understand why not.) Instead, they are generally looking for something more personal and inspirational. So I thought I would split the difference between an economics lecture and inspirational remarks and speak briefly about what economics and social science more generally have to say about personal happiness, and what those ideas imply both for economic policymaking and the choices each of you will make as you leave college for other pursuits. -
ΒΙΒΛΙΟΓ ΡΑΦΙΑ Bibliography
Τεύχος 53, Οκτώβριος-Δεκέμβριος 2019 | Issue 53, October-December 2019 ΒΙΒΛΙΟΓ ΡΑΦΙΑ Bibliography Βραβείο Νόμπελ στην Οικονομική Επιστήμη Nobel Prize in Economics Τα τεύχη δημοσιεύονται στον ιστοχώρο της All issues are published online at the Bank’s website Τράπεζας: address: https://www.bankofgreece.gr/trapeza/kepoe https://www.bankofgreece.gr/en/the- t/h-vivliothhkh-ths-tte/e-ekdoseis-kai- bank/culture/library/e-publications-and- anakoinwseis announcements Τράπεζα της Ελλάδος. Κέντρο Πολιτισμού, Bank of Greece. Centre for Culture, Research and Έρευνας και Τεκμηρίωσης, Τμήμα Documentation, Library Section Βιβλιοθήκης Ελ. Βενιζέλου 21, 102 50 Αθήνα, 21 El. Venizelos Ave., 102 50 Athens, [email protected] Τηλ. 210-3202446, [email protected], Tel. +30-210-3202446, 3202396, 3203129 3202396, 3203129 Βιβλιογραφία, τεύχος 53, Οκτ.-Δεκ. 2019, Bibliography, issue 53, Oct.-Dec. 2019, Nobel Prize Βραβείο Νόμπελ στην Οικονομική Επιστήμη in Economics Συντελεστές: Α. Ναδάλη, Ε. Σεμερτζάκη, Γ. Contributors: A. Nadali, E. Semertzaki, G. Tsouri Τσούρη Βιβλιογραφία, αρ.53 (Οκτ.-Δεκ. 2019), Βραβείο Nobel στην Οικονομική Επιστήμη 1 Bibliography, no. 53, (Oct.-Dec. 2019), Nobel Prize in Economics Πίνακας περιεχομένων Εισαγωγή / Introduction 6 2019: Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo and Michael Kremer 7 Μονογραφίες / Monographs ................................................................................................... 7 Δοκίμια Εργασίας / Working papers ...................................................................................... -
The Great Depression As a Historical Problem
Upjohn Institute Press The Great Depression as a Historical Problem Michael A. Bernstein University of California, San Diego Chapter 3 (pp. 63-94) in: The Economics of the Great Depression Mark Wheeler, ed. Kalamazoo, MI: W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, 1998 DOI: 10.17848/9780585322049.ch3 Copyright ©1998. W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research. All rights reserved. 3 The Great Depression as a Historical Problem Michael A. Bernstein University of California, San Diego It is now over a half-century since the Great Depression of the 1930s, the most severe and protracted economic crisis in American his tory. To this day, there exists no general agreement about its causes, although there tends to be a consensus about its consequences. Those who at the time argued that the Depression was symptomatic of a pro found weakness in the mechanisms of capitalism were only briefly heard. After World War II, their views appeared hysterical and exag gerated, as the industrialized nations (the United States most prominent among them) sustained dramatic rates of growth and as the economics profession became increasingly preoccupied with the development of Keynesian theory and the management of the mixed economy. As a consequence, the economic slump of the inter-war period came to be viewed as a policy problem rather than as an outgrowth of fundamental tendencies in capitalist development. Within that new context, a debate persisted for a few years, but it too eventually subsided. The presump tion was that the Great Depression could never be repeated owing to the increasing sophistication of economic analysis and policy formula tion. -
Macroeconomic Dynamics at the Cowles Commission from the 1930S to the 1950S
Yale University EliScholar – A Digital Platform for Scholarly Publishing at Yale Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers Cowles Foundation 9-1-2019 Macroeconomic Dynamics at the Cowles Commission from the 1930s to the 1950s Robert W. Dimand Follow this and additional works at: https://elischolar.library.yale.edu/cowles-discussion-paper-series Part of the Economics Commons Recommended Citation Dimand, Robert W., "Macroeconomic Dynamics at the Cowles Commission from the 1930s to the 1950s" (2019). Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers. 56. https://elischolar.library.yale.edu/cowles-discussion-paper-series/56 This Discussion Paper is brought to you for free and open access by the Cowles Foundation at EliScholar – A Digital Platform for Scholarly Publishing at Yale. It has been accepted for inclusion in Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers by an authorized administrator of EliScholar – A Digital Platform for Scholarly Publishing at Yale. For more information, please contact [email protected]. MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS AT THE COWLES COMMISSION FROM THE 1930S TO THE 1950S By Robert W. Dimand May 2019 COWLES FOUNDATION DISCUSSION PAPER NO. 2195 COWLES FOUNDATION FOR RESEARCH IN ECONOMICS YALE UNIVERSITY Box 208281 New Haven, Connecticut 06520-8281 http://cowles.yale.edu/ Macroeconomic Dynamics at the Cowles Commission from the 1930s to the 1950s Robert W. Dimand Department of Economics Brock University 1812 Sir Isaac Brock Way St. Catharines, Ontario L2S 3A1 Canada Telephone: 1-905-688-5550 x. 3125 Fax: 1-905-688-6388 E-mail: [email protected] Keywords: macroeconomic dynamics, Cowles Commission, business cycles, Lawrence R. Klein, Tjalling C. Koopmans Abstract: This paper explores the development of dynamic modelling of macroeconomic fluctuations at the Cowles Commission from Roos, Dynamic Economics (Cowles Monograph No. -
Front Matter In" Wesley Clair Mitchell: the Economic Scientist"
This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: Wesley Clair Mitchell: The Economic Scientist Volume Author/Editor: Arthur F. Burns, ed. Volume Publisher: NBER Volume ISBN: 0-87014-052-3 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/burn52-1 Publication Date: 1952 Chapter Title: Front matter in "Wesley Clair Mitchell: The Economic Scientist" Chapter Author: Arthur F. Burns Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c3093 Chapter pages in book: (p. -14 - 0) We Clair Mitchell The Economic'Scientist.' Edited by ARTHUR F. BURNS NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC. NEW YORK 1952 S Copyright,1952, by Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 1819 Broadway, New York 23 All Rights Reserved Typography by Oscar Leventhal, Inc. Presswork and binding by H. Wolff Library of Congress Catalog Card Number: 52-6013 PUBLICATIONS OF THE NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC. NUMBER 53 WESLEY CLAIR MITCHELL THE ECONOMIC SCIENTIST '•1 OFFICERS 1952 Harry Scherman, Chairman C. C. Balderston, President Percival F. Brundage, Vice-President George B. Roberts, Treasurer W. J. Carson, Executive Director DIRECTORS AT LARGE Donald R. Beicher, American Telephone and Telegraph Company Oswald W. Knauth, Beau fort, South Carolina Simon Kuznets, University of Pennsylvania H. W. Laidler, Executive Director, League for Industrial Democracy Shepard Morgan, New York City C. Reinold Noyes, Princeton, New Jersey George B. Roberts, Vice-President, National City Bank Beardsley Rumi, New York City Harry Scherman, Chairman, Book-of-the-Month Club George Soule, Bennington College N. I. Stone, Consulting Economist J. Raymond Walsh, New York City Leo Wolman, Columbia University Theodore 0. -
Institutional Economics
INSTITUTIONAL ECONOMICS AT COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY Malcolm Rutherford University of Victoria (This Draft: March 2001) This paper draws on archival work using the James Bonbright Papers, J. M. Clark Papers, Joseph Dorfman Papers, Carter Goodrich Papers, Robert Hale Papers, and Wesley Mitchell Papers, all at the Rare Book and Manuscript Library, Columbia University, the Arthur F. Burns Papers at the Eisenhower Library, Abilene, Kansas, and the John R. Commons Papers at the State Historical Society of Wisconsin. My thanks to Lowell Harriss, Aaron Warner, Eli Ginzberg, Donald Dewey, Mark Perlman, Daniel Fusfeld, Mark Blaug, and Walter Neale for sharing their recollections of Columbia. Thanks also to my research assistant Cristobal Young. Any errors are my responsibility. This research has been supported by a Social Science and Humanities Research Council of Canada research grant (project # 410-99-0465). 1 1. Introduction In a number of recent papers I have attempted to outline the nature of the institutionalist movement in American economics in the interwar period (Rutherford 2000a, 2000b, 2000c). At that time institutionalism was a very significant part of American economics. In terms of research output and the production of graduate students, the main centers for institutionalism were the university of Chicago (until 1926 and the departure of J. M. Clark), the University of Wisconsin, the Robert Brookings Graduate School (which existed only briefly between 1923 and 1928), and, after the arrival of Wesley Mitchell in 1913, and J. M. Clark in 1926, Columbia University. Columbia University became the academic home of a large concentration of economists of institutionalist leaning, and other Schools and Departments in the University, particularly Business, Law, Sociology, and Philosophy, also contained many people of similar or related persuasion. -
Milton Friedman: a Bibliography
__________________________________________________________________ MILTON FRIEDMAN: A BIBLIOGRAPHY Compiled by Julio H. Cole1 Milton Friedman (1912-2006), the world-famous author of Capitalism and Freedom (1962) and Free to Choose (1980), was one of the most influential economists of the 20th century, and his memory will live long in the lore of economics. To mark the centenary of his birth, Laissez-Faire is pleased to publish this bibliography, the most complete listing to date of his scholarly writings. It provides both an indication of the breadth of his interests, and a measure of the magnitude of his contribution to economic scholarship. A. Books by Milton Friedman .…………………………………………… 98 B. Other Publications by Milton Friedman .……………………………… 100 C. Published Correspondence ……………………………………………. 120 D. Published Interviews ...………………………………………………... 121 1Professor of Economics, Universidad Francisco Marroquín (Guatemala). This bibliography is based upon three earlier bibliographical orientations to Friedman‘s writings: Niels Thygesen, ―The Scientific Contributions of Milton Friedman,‖ Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 79 (1977): 84-98, Kurt Leube (ed.), The Essence of Friedman (Stanford, CA: Hoover Institution Press, 1987), pp. 526-51 (compiled by Gloria Valentine), and Marc Lavoie and Mario Seccareccia (eds.), Milton Friedman et son oeuvre (Montreal: Presses de l‘Université de Montréal, 1993), pp. 191-24 (compiled by Gilles Dostaler). It includes books authored, co-authored or edited by Milton Friedman, introductions and forewords to books by other authors, articles in scholarly and professional journals, comments and replies, chapters in edited volumes, articles in encyclopedias and general interest magazines, book reviews, and published interviews. It does not include articles published in newspapers or in news magazines, speeches, or testimonies to congressional committees. -
Front Matter, EVIDENCES OP LONG SWINGS in AGGREGATE
This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: Evidences of Long Swings in Aggregate Construction Since the Civil War Volume Author/Editor: Moses Abramovitz Volume Publisher: NBER Volume ISBN: 0-87014-404-9 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/abra64-1 Publication Date: 1964 Chapter Title: Front matter, Evidences of Long Swings in Aggregate Construction since the Civil War Chapter Author: Moses Abramovitz Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c1799 Chapter pages in book: (p. -14 - 0) OCCASIONAL PAPER EVIDENCESOP LONG SWINGS IN AGGREGATE CONSTRUCTION SINCE THE CIVILWAR MOSESABRAMOVITZ StanfordUniversity Published by NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH NEW YORK Distributed by COLUMBIA UNIVERSITYPRESS NEW YORK and LONDON Copyright0 1964 by NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC. 261 Madison Avenue, New York 16, N. Y. All Rights Reserved LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CATALOG CARD NUMBER: 64-7747 PRICE: $4.00 Printed in the United States of America NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1964 OFFICERS Albert J. Hettinger, Jr., Chairman Arthur F. Burns, President Frank W. Fetter, Vice-President Donald B. Woodward, Treasurer Solomon Fabricant, Director of Research Geoffrey H. Moore, Associate Director of Research Hal B. Lary, Associate Director of Research William J. Carson, Executive Director DJRECTORS AT LARGE Robert B. Anderson, New York City Wallace J. Campbell, Foundation for Cooperative Housing Erwin D. Canham, Christian Science Monitor Solomon Fabricant, New York University Marion B. Folsom, Eastman Kodak Company Crawford H. Greenewalt, E. I. du Pont de Nemours & Company Gabriel Hauge, Manufacturers Hanover Trust Company A. J. Hayes, International Association of Machinists Albert J.