Equilmrium and DYNAMICS David Gale, 1991 Equilibrium and Dynamics
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Calibrating Determinacy Strength in Levels of the Borel Hierarchy
CALIBRATING DETERMINACY STRENGTH IN LEVELS OF THE BOREL HIERARCHY SHERWOOD J. HACHTMAN Abstract. We analyze the set-theoretic strength of determinacy for levels of the Borel 0 hierarchy of the form Σ1+α+3, for α < !1. Well-known results of H. Friedman and D.A. Martin have shown this determinacy to require α+1 iterations of the Power Set Axiom, but we ask what additional ambient set theory is strictly necessary. To this end, we isolate a family of Π1-reflection principles, Π1-RAPα, whose consistency strength corresponds 0 CK exactly to that of Σ1+α+3-Determinacy, for α < !1 . This yields a characterization of the levels of L by or at which winning strategies in these games must be constructed. When α = 0, we have the following concise result: the least θ so that all winning strategies 0 in Σ4 games belong to Lθ+1 is the least so that Lθ j= \P(!) exists + all wellfounded trees are ranked". x1. Introduction. Given a set A ⊆ !! of sequences of natural numbers, consider a game, G(A), where two players, I and II, take turns picking elements of a sequence hx0; x1; x2;::: i of naturals. Player I wins the game if the sequence obtained belongs to A; otherwise, II wins. For a collection Γ of subsets of !!, Γ determinacy, which we abbreviate Γ-DET, is the statement that for every A 2 Γ, one of the players has a winning strategy in G(A). It is a much-studied phenomenon that Γ -DET has mathematical strength: the bigger the pointclass Γ, the stronger the theory required to prove Γ -DET. -
Stable Matching: Theory, Evidence, and Practical Design
THE PRIZE IN ECONOMIC SCIENCES 2012 INFORMATION FOR THE PUBLIC Stable matching: Theory, evidence, and practical design This year’s Prize to Lloyd Shapley and Alvin Roth extends from abstract theory developed in the 1960s, over empirical work in the 1980s, to ongoing efforts to fnd practical solutions to real-world prob- lems. Examples include the assignment of new doctors to hospitals, students to schools, and human organs for transplant to recipients. Lloyd Shapley made the early theoretical contributions, which were unexpectedly adopted two decades later when Alvin Roth investigated the market for U.S. doctors. His fndings generated further analytical developments, as well as practical design of market institutions. Traditional economic analysis studies markets where prices adjust so that supply equals demand. Both theory and practice show that markets function well in many cases. But in some situations, the standard market mechanism encounters problems, and there are cases where prices cannot be used at all to allocate resources. For example, many schools and universities are prevented from charging tuition fees and, in the case of human organs for transplants, monetary payments are ruled out on ethical grounds. Yet, in these – and many other – cases, an allocation has to be made. How do such processes actually work, and when is the outcome efcient? Matching theory The Gale-Shapley algorithm Analysis of allocation mechanisms relies on a rather abstract idea. If rational people – who know their best interests and behave accordingly – simply engage in unrestricted mutual trade, then the outcome should be efcient. If it is not, some individuals would devise new trades that made them better of. -
Liquidator's Motion for Approval of Settlement Agreement With
THE STATE OF NEW HAMPSHIRE MERRIMACK, SS. SUPERIOR COURT Docket No. 217-2003-EQ-00106 In the Matter of the Liquidation of The Home Insurance Company LIQUIDATOR’S MOTION FOR APPROVAL OF SETTLEMENT AGREEMENT WITH CHARLES CASS, BRIAN CASS, DAVID CASS, OHM HOLDINGS, INC., GABBROIC MANAGEMENT, LLC, AND ENVIRONMENTAL FORENSIC INVESTIGATIONS, INC. Christopher R. Nicolopoulos, Insurance Commissioner of the State of New Hampshire, as Liquidator (“Liquidator”) of The Home Insurance Company (“Home”), moves that the Court enter an order in the form submitted herewith approving a Settlement Agreement and Mutual Release (the “Settlement Agreement”), between the Liquidator and Charles Cass, individually and as Trustee of the Charlton E. Cass Revocable Trust u/a/d September 9, 1987, Brian Cass, David Cass, OHM Holdings, Inc., Gabbroic Management, LLC, and Environmental Forensic Investigations, Inc. (each individually a “Claimant” and collectively the “Claimants”). As reasons therefor, the Liquidator states as follows: 1. The Settlement Agreement was negotiated under the supervision of the Special Deputy Liquidator. A copy of the Settlement Agreement is attached hereto as Exhibit A. Affidavit of Peter A. Bengelsdorf, Special Deputy Liquidator, in Support of Motion for Approval of Settlement Agreement with Charles Cass, Brian Cass, David Cass, OHM Holdings, Inc., Gabbroic Management, LLC, and Environmental Forensic Investigations, Inc. (“Bengelsdorf Aff.”) ¶ 2. 2. Home issued six insurance policies for various policy periods between November 1, 1971 and November 1, 1981 to Charles Cass, O.H.M. of Lincoln, Inc., O.H.M. of Wauwatosa, Inc., O.H.M. of Elm Grove, Inc., O.H.M. of Hampton, Inc., O.H.M. -
An Interview with David Cass
32 Stephen E. Spear and Randall Wright 2 An Interview with David Cass Interviewed by Stephen E. Spear CARNEGIE MELLON UNIVERSITY and Randall Wright UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA February 13, 1998 David Cass is undoubtedly one of the central contributors to modern dynamic economics. His fundamental contributions include work on optimal growth problems, overlapping-generations models, sunspot equilibria, and general equilibrium models with incomplete markets. His research has shaped in profound ways the manner in which we do both micro- and macroeconomics. From laying the foundations of real business-cycle theory via the Cass–Koopmans model, to providing us with general tools and techniques to analyze dynamic economic models, to furthering our under- standing of monetary economics, to making fundamental contributions to the economics of extrinsic uncertainty, Cass’s work has played a major part in the development of much of modern macroeconomic theory. In addition to being a first-class scholar, Cass is also truly his own man and a free spirit of the highest order. In this interview, we tried to gain some insights into the story of David Cass and his approach to economic theory. Also, given the title as well as the intended readership of Macroeconomic Dynamics, we made a real Reprinted from Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2, 1998, 533–558. Copyright © 1998 Cambridge University Press. ITEC02 32 8/15/06, 2:59 PM An Interview with David Cass 33 effort to get him to discuss mod- ern macroeconomics and the influence his work has had on its development. We edited out some parts of the discussion in the interests of space, but what re- mains is essentially unedited. -
Making Sure Money Is Available When We Need It Protecting Household Assets Must Become an Integral Part of U.S
AP PHOTO/RIC FRANCIS PHOTO/RIC AP Making Sure Money Is Available When We Need It Protecting Household Assets Must Become an Integral Part of U.S. Savings Policies Christian E. Weller March 2013 WWW.AMERICANPROGRESS.ORG Making Sure Money Is Available When We Need It Protecting Household Assets Must Become an Integral Part of U.S. Savings Policies Christian E. Weller March 2013 Contents 1 Introduction and summary 5 Greater wealth volatility has led to rising risk exposure 11 Risk exposure has increased over time and across groups 16 Detailed data show that risk exposure has become excessive 24 Conclusion and policy implications 28 About the author 29 Appendix A: Review of the relevant literature on wealth and risk exposure 31 Appendix B: High wealth went along with high insecurity before the crisis 32 Appendix C: Indicators of individual risk exposure 36 Appendix D: Rising risk exposure over time and changing risk exposure during crises 38 Endnotes Introduction and summary Household wealth—the difference between a household’s assets and its debt—is a crucial aspect of economic security. It allows households to pay for necessities during an economic emergency, and it permits families to invest in their future— pay for their children’s or their own education, start a business, switch jobs, move to advance their careers, and plan for a secure retirement. For a family to benefit from it, household wealth has to actually be there when households need the economic security that comes from having wealth. Over the past few decades, however, household wealth has become increasingly volatile, meaning that wealth has swung up and down much more widely over the past two decades than it did in the preceding decades after World War II.1 Macroeconomic instability due to the housing and stock market bubbles—and bursts—is one of the contributing factors, but so is greater household-wealth risk exposure due to more investments in the housing and stock markets and greater household debt than in the past. -
Active Defense: Definitions
Moderator: Rhea Siers, Scholar in Residence at the GW Center for Cyber and Homeland Security (CCHS), Special, Counsel – Panel 3 - Controlling Cybersecurity, Zeichner Ellman & Krause LLP, Cyber Senior Advisor, RANE the Troops: "Active Network Panelists: Defense" - Is it Legal David Cass, Chief Information Security Officer, IBM Cloud & SaaS Operational Services Aristedes Mahairas, Special in the US and Agent in Charge of Special Operations/Cyber Division of the New York Office, FBI Abroad? Roland Cloutier, VP, Chief Security Officer, ADP Rhea Siers, David Cass, Aristedes Mahairas, Roland Cloutier, Scholar in Residence at the Chief Information Security Officer, Special Agent in Charge of Vice President, GW Center for Cyber and IBM Cloud & SaaS Special Operations/ Chief Security Officer, Homeland Security (CCHS) Operational Services Cyber Division of the ADP Special Counsel – New York Office, FBI Cybersecurity, Zeichner Ellman & Krause LLP Cyber Senior Advisor, RANE Network (c) Journal of Law & Cyber Warfare. All Rights Reserved. 2 This is not legal advice nor should it be considered legal advice This presentation and the comments contained therein represent only the Disclaimer personal views of the participants, and does not reflect those of their employers or clients This presentation is offered for educational and informational uses only (c) Journal of Law & Cyber Warfare 2017. All Rights Reserved Active Defense: Definitions Dictionary of Military and Associated Terms • The employment of limited offensive actions and counterattacks to -
2013 Complex Adaptive Systems Program
Emerging Technologies Baltimore, Maryland for Evolving Systems: November I3 - I5, 20I3 Socio-technical, Cyber and Big Data 20I3 Conference Program Organizing Committee Welcome Welcome to this year’s Complex Adaptive Systems Conference. Over the next three General Conference Chair days, we will share our ideas, tools, methodologies and research results in the Cihan H. Dagli, Missouri University of Science & Technology, USA domains of cyberspace physical systems, socio-technical systems and healthcare. Contributions to this conference, in the form of paper presentations, plenary Conference Co-Chairs sessions and panel discussions, will cultivate new ideas and advance all of our understanding of complex systems of today. David Enke, Missouri University of Science & Technology, USA Walker Land, Binghamton University, USA We are pleased to announce that we have authors from 16 countries presenting Rosemary Paradis, Lockheed Martin, USA Cihan H. Dagli, Ph.D. 83 papers. On behalf of the organizing committee, I wish to thank all our authors for Mika Sato-Ilic, University of Tsukuba, Japan Conference Chair their contributions to the proceedings and to this conference. Professor Engineering Management A special recognition goes to our distinguished plenary speakers, and those who Organizing Committee Members and Systems Engineering serve as panelists during the discussion sessions. Director of S&T’s Systems Haden A. Land, Lockheed Martin, USA Engineering Graduate Program Further, I want to mention our conference sponsors, whose financial contributions INCOSE and IIE Fellow Iveta Mrazova, Charles University, Czech Republic International Journal and support allow us to continue to offer this annual conference. Their involvement Alper E. Murat, Wayne State University, USA of General Systems enhances the collaboration between industry and academia. -
PIER Working Paper 07-036
Penn Institute for Economic Research Department of Economics University of Pennsylvania 3718 Locust Walk Philadelphia, PA 19104-6297 [email protected] http://www.econ.upenn.edu/pier PIER Working Paper 07-036 “Utility-Based Utility” by David Cass http://ssrn.com/abstract=1077131 Utility-Based Utility∗ David Cass Department of Economics University of Pennsylvania First Version: December 15, 2007 Abstract A major virtue of von Neumann-Morgenstern utilities, for example, in the the- ory of general financial equilibrium (GFE), is that they ensure time consistency: consumption-portfolio plans (for the future) are in fact executed (in the future) — assuming that there is perfect foresight about relevant endogenous variables. This paper proposes an alternative to expected utility, one which also delivers consistency between plan and execution — and more. In particular, the formulation affords an extremely natural setting for introducing extrinsic uncertainty. The key idea is to divorce the concept of filtration (of the state space) from any considerations involv- ing probability, and then concentrate attention on nested utilities of consumption looking forward from any date-event: utility today depends only on consumption today and prospective utility of consumption tomorrow, utility tomorrow depends only on consumption tomorrow and prospective utility of consumption the day after tomorrow, and so on. JEL classification: D61, D81, D91 Key words: Utility theory, Expected utility, Time consistency, Extrinsic uncer- tainty, Cass-Shell Immunity Theorem ∗Interaction with the very able TA’s helping me with (carrying?) the first year equilibrium theory course at Penn during the fall of 2007 — Matt Hoelle and Soojin Kim — spurred me into pursuing this research. -
"Rethinking Pension Reform: Ten Myths About Social Security Systems"
"Rethinking Pension Reform: Ten Myths About Social Security Systems" Peter R. Orszag (Sebago Associates, Inc.) Joseph E. Stiglitz (The World Bank) Presented at the conference on "New Ideas About Old Age Security" The World Bank Washington, D.C. September 14-15, 1999 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In 1994, the World Bank published a seminal book on pension reform, entitled Averting the Old Age Crisis. The book noted that "myths abound in discussions of old age security."1 This paper, prepared for a World Bank conference that will revisit pension reform issues five years after the publication of Averting the Old Age Crisis, examines ten such myths in a deliberately provocative manner. The problems that have motivated pension reform across the globe are real, and reforms are needed. In principle, the approach delineated in Averting the Old Age Crisis is expansive enough to reflect any potential combination of policy responses to the pension reform challenge. But in practice, the "World Bank model" has been interpreted as involving one specific constellation of pension pillars: a publicly managed, pay-as- you-go, defined benefit pillar; a privately managed, mandatory, defined contribution pillar; and a voluntary private pillar. It is precisely the private, mandatory, defined contribution component that we wish to explore in this paper. The ten myths examined in the paper include: Macroeconomic myths • Myth #1: Individual accounts raise national saving • Myth #2: Rates of return are higher under individual accounts • Myth #3: Declining rates of return -
Macroeconomic Dynamics at the Cowles Commission from the 1930S to the 1950S
Yale University EliScholar – A Digital Platform for Scholarly Publishing at Yale Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers Cowles Foundation 9-1-2019 Macroeconomic Dynamics at the Cowles Commission from the 1930s to the 1950s Robert W. Dimand Follow this and additional works at: https://elischolar.library.yale.edu/cowles-discussion-paper-series Part of the Economics Commons Recommended Citation Dimand, Robert W., "Macroeconomic Dynamics at the Cowles Commission from the 1930s to the 1950s" (2019). Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers. 56. https://elischolar.library.yale.edu/cowles-discussion-paper-series/56 This Discussion Paper is brought to you for free and open access by the Cowles Foundation at EliScholar – A Digital Platform for Scholarly Publishing at Yale. It has been accepted for inclusion in Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers by an authorized administrator of EliScholar – A Digital Platform for Scholarly Publishing at Yale. For more information, please contact [email protected]. MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS AT THE COWLES COMMISSION FROM THE 1930S TO THE 1950S By Robert W. Dimand May 2019 COWLES FOUNDATION DISCUSSION PAPER NO. 2195 COWLES FOUNDATION FOR RESEARCH IN ECONOMICS YALE UNIVERSITY Box 208281 New Haven, Connecticut 06520-8281 http://cowles.yale.edu/ Macroeconomic Dynamics at the Cowles Commission from the 1930s to the 1950s Robert W. Dimand Department of Economics Brock University 1812 Sir Isaac Brock Way St. Catharines, Ontario L2S 3A1 Canada Telephone: 1-905-688-5550 x. 3125 Fax: 1-905-688-6388 E-mail: [email protected] Keywords: macroeconomic dynamics, Cowles Commission, business cycles, Lawrence R. Klein, Tjalling C. Koopmans Abstract: This paper explores the development of dynamic modelling of macroeconomic fluctuations at the Cowles Commission from Roos, Dynamic Economics (Cowles Monograph No. -
Determinacy and Large Cardinals
Determinacy and Large Cardinals Itay Neeman∗ Abstract. The principle of determinacy has been crucial to the study of definable sets of real numbers. This paper surveys some of the uses of determinacy, concentrating specifically on the connection between determinacy and large cardinals, and takes this connection further, to the level of games of length ω1. Mathematics Subject Classification (2000). 03E55; 03E60; 03E45; 03E15. Keywords. Determinacy, iteration trees, large cardinals, long games, Woodin cardinals. 1. Determinacy Let ωω denote the set of infinite sequences of natural numbers. For A ⊂ ωω let Gω(A) denote the length ω game with payoff A. The format of Gω(A) is displayed in Diagram 1. Two players, denoted I and II, alternate playing natural numbers forming together a sequence x = hx(n) | n < ωi in ωω called a run of the game. The run is won by player I if x ∈ A, and otherwise the run is won by player II. I x(0) x(2) ...... II x(1) x(3) ...... Diagram 1. The game Gω(A). A game is determined if one of the players has a winning strategy. The set A is ω determined if Gω(A) is determined. For Γ ⊂ P(ω ), det(Γ) denotes the statement that all sets in Γ are determined. Using the axiom of choice, or more specifically using a wellordering of the reals, it is easy to construct a non-determined set A. det(P(ωω)) is therefore false. On the other hand it has become clear through research over the years that det(Γ) is true if all the sets in Γ are definable by some concrete means. -
A FURTHER NOTE on the STABLE MATCHING PROBLEM Gabrielle DEMANGE David GALE Marilda SOTOMAYOR* in Recent Work on the Matching
CORE Metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk Provided by Elsevier - Publisher Connector Discrete Applied Mathematics 16 (1987) 217-222 217 North-Holland A FURTHER NOTE ON THE STABLE MATCHING PROBLEM Gabrielle DEMANGE Laboratoire d'Econom~trie de l'Ecole Polytechnique, Paris, France David GALE Dept. of Mathematics, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA Marilda SOTOMAYOR* Pontifica Universidade Catolica do Rio de Janeiro, Brasil Received 15 October 1985 Revised 15 July 1986 Using a lcmma of J.S. Hwang we obtain a generalization of a theorem of Dubins and Freed- man. It is shown that the core of the matching game is non-manipulable in a suitable sense by coalitions consisting of both men and women. A further strong stability property of the core is derived. Introduction In recent work on the matching model a lemma of Hwang was used to give a short proof of the non-manipu!ability theorem of Dubins and Freedman [2], [5]. In this note we give two other applications of this lemma; one is a stronger version of the Dubins-Freedman's result; the other one concerns a strong stability property of the core of the matching model. In the next section we recall briefly the matching model; in Section 2 we give the relevant earlier results before presenting our non-manipulability theorem; the strong stability result is stated in Section 3 and proofs are gathered in the final section. 1. The model As is usual, we phrase our result in terms of a marriage problem in which there is a set M of men and W of women.