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Emerging Technologies Baltimore, Maryland for Evolving Systems: November I3 - I5, 20I3 Socio-technical, Cyber and Big Data

20I3 Conference Program Organizing Committee Welcome

Welcome to this year’s Complex Adaptive Systems Conference. Over the next three General Conference Chair days, we will share our ideas, tools, methodologies and research results in the Cihan H. Dagli, Missouri University of Science & Technology, USA domains of cyberspace physical systems, socio-technical systems and healthcare. Contributions to this conference, in the form of paper presentations, plenary Conference Co-Chairs sessions and panel discussions, will cultivate new ideas and advance all of our understanding of complex systems of today. David Enke, Missouri University of Science & Technology, USA Walker Land, Binghamton University, USA We are pleased to announce that we have authors from 16 countries presenting Rosemary Paradis, Lockheed Martin, USA Cihan H. Dagli, Ph.D. 83 papers. On behalf of the organizing committee, I wish to thank all our authors for Mika Sato-Ilic, University of Tsukuba, Japan Conference Chair their contributions to the proceedings and to this conference. Professor Engineering Management A special recognition goes to our distinguished plenary speakers, and those who Organizing Committee Members and Systems Engineering serve as panelists during the discussion sessions. Director of S&T’s Systems Haden A. Land, Lockheed Martin, USA Engineering Graduate Program Further, I want to mention our conference sponsors, whose financial contributions INCOSE and IIE Fellow Iveta Mrazova, Charles University, Czech Republic International Journal and support allow us to continue to offer this annual conference. Their involvement Alper E. Murat, Wayne State University, USA of General Systems enhances the collaboration between industry and academia. Michael H. Nance, Lockheed Martin, USA Intelligent Systems Area Editor [email protected] In closing, I wish to express my gratitude to the conference organizing committee John A. Norris, Norris Capital Inc., USA and paper referees. Your comments, suggestions and diligence in creating each Murat Ozbayoglu, TOBB University of & Technology, USA track ensures a successful conference. Selahattin Ozcelik, Texas A&M University – Kingsville, USA Ricardo L. Pineda, Stevens Institute of Technology, USA Sincerely, Ghaith A. Rabadi, Old Dominion University, USA Gursel Serpen, University of Toledo, USA Heather Woodward-Hagg, VA- Center for Applied Systems Engineering, USA

Conference Support from Missouri Opening Welcome Speaker: Attorney General of Maryland Douglas F. Gansler University of Science & Technology Douglas F. Gansler was elected to a second term as the Attorney General of Sue Turner, Conference Coordinator Maryland on November 2, 2010. Attorney General Gansler recently ended his Cathi Barth, Registration Secretary tenure as President of the National Association of Attorneys General (NAAG) and Rebecca Frisbee, Marketing/Publicity served as Chair of the Democratic Attorneys General Association (DAGA) until Gavin Michael Jewell, Graphic Design accepting his post at the national organization. Since taking office in 2006, Attorney General Gansler has focused on environmental, public safety, and consumer issues. Prior to becoming Maryland’s Attorney General, Gansler served for eight years as the chief prosecutor in the largest jurisdiction in Maryland. Prior to being elected State’s Attorney, Gansler served as an Assistant Attorney. In addition to his prosecutorial experience, Gansler practiced civil litigation. He began his legal career as a law clerk for the Honorable John F. McAuliffe, Judge on the Maryland Court of Appeals. Attorney General Gansler received his law degree from the University of Virginia School of Law and graduated cum laude from . He is married to Laura Leedy Gansler and they have two sons. 2 complexsystems.mst.edu Conference Schedule at a Glance Full Schedule starts on pg. 9 Wednesday, Nov. 13, 2013 Thursday, Nov. 14, 2013 Friday, Nov. 15, 2013 7:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. 7:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. 7:00 a.m. – 12:00 noon Registration (Pre-function Foyer) Registration (Pre-function Foyer) Registration (Pre-function Foyer) 7:30 a.m. – 8:30 a.m. 7:30 a.m. – 8:30 a.m. 7:30 a.m. – 8:30 a.m. Continental Breakfast (Stadium 5) Continental Breakfast (Stadium 5) Continental Breakfast (Stadium 5) 8:00 a.m. – 9:00 a.m. 8:00 a.m. – 9:00 a.m. 8:00 a.m. – 9:00 a.m. Opening Session & Welcome Session Convenes – Announcements Session Convenes – Announcements Speaker: Attorney General of Maryland Morning Plenary – Taming Complexity: Morning Plenary – The Wisdoms and Follies Thank you Douglas F. Gansler A Challenge for Systems of Systems of Managing by Numbers in Healthcare sponsors Morning Plenary – “Modeling Complex Speaker: Judith Dahmann (Stadium 1 & 2) Speaker: Joseph Francis (Stadium 1 & 2) Socio-Technical Enterprises” 9:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. 9:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. On behalf of the Complex Adaptive Systems Speaker: William B. Rouse Concurrent Technical Sessions Concurrent Technical Sessions Conference Organizing Committee, we would (Stadium 1 & 2) Systems Modeling & Design I (Stadium 1) Healthcare Medical Innovation I (Stadium 1 & 2) like to express our appreciation to this year’s 9:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. Data Science & Analytics IV (Stadium 2) Intelligent & Adaptive Systems VII (Stadium 3) esteemed sponsors. Concurrent Technical Sessions Intelligent & Adaptive Systems IV (Stadium 3) 10:30 a.m. – 11:00 a.m. Systems Behavior Modeling I (Stadium 1) 10:30 a.m. – 11:00 a.m. Break (Stadium 5) Data Science & Analytics I (Stadium 2) Break (Stadium 5) Intelligent & Adaptive Systems I (Stadium 3) 11:00 a.m. – 12:30 p.m. Platinum 11:00 a.m. – 12:30 p.m. Concurrent Technical Sessions 10:30 a.m. – 11:00 a.m. Concurrent Technical Sessions Healthcare Medical Innovation II (Stadium 1 & 2) Break (Stadium 5) Systems Modeling & Design II (Stadium 1) Distributed Education Systems (Stadium 3) Data Science & Analytics V (Stadium 2) 11:00 a.m. – 12:30 p.m. 12:30 p.m. – 1:30 p.m. Intelligent & Adaptive Systems V (Stadium 3) Concurrent Technical Sessions Luncheon Plenary – Advanced CAS Socio-Technical Systems I (Stadium 1) 12:30 p.m. – 1:30 p.m. and CAS-Like Tool Use by Healthcare Silver Data Science & Analytics II (Stadium 2) Luncheon Plenary – Information Security Regulatory Agencies Intelligent & Adaptive Systems II (Stadium 3) as a Source of Innovation Speaker: John A. Norris (Stadium 4 & 5) Speaker: David A. Cass (Stadium 4 & 5) 12:30 noon – 1:30 p.m. 1:30 p.m. – 3:00 p.m. Luncheon Plenary – The Century of Biology – 1:30 p.m. – 3:00 p.m. Concurrent Tutorial Sessions A Multi-Disciplinary Approach for Attacking Concurrent Technical Sessions Topics in Statistical Decision Theory: Does the Grand Challenges in Systems Biology Systems Modeling & Design III (Stadium 1) Decision Mechanism Matter?” (Stadium 1) Speaker: Charles Goldblum (Stadium 4 & 5) Cyber Physical Systems I (Stadium 2) On Principles of Complex Systems Engineering 1:30 p.m. – 3:00 p.m. Intelligent & Adaptive Systems VI (Stadium 3) – Complex Systems Made Simple (Stadium 2) Concurrent Technical Sessions 3:00 p.m. – 3:30 p.m. Systems Engineering Risk Analysis (Stadium 3) Bronze Socio-Technical Systems II (Stadium 1) Break (Stadium 5) 3:00 p.m. – 3:30 p.m. Data Science & Analytics III (Stadium 2) Break (Stadium 5) Intelligent & Adaptive Systems III (Stadium 3) 3:30 p.m. – 5:00 p.m. Panel Session - Systems of Systems as 3:30 p.m. – 5:00 p.m. 3:00 p.m. – 3:30 p.m. Complex Adaptive Systems (Stadium 1 & 2) Panel Session – Overcoming Massive Cost, Break (Stadium 5) 6:30 p.m. – 7:00 p.m. Complexity, and Non-Coordination Problems 3:30 p.m. – 5:00 p.m. Cash Bar (Pre-function Foyer) in Health Care Systems – the Serious Panel Session - Cyber Physical Systems Challenge We Face (Stadium 1 & 2) (Stadium 1 & 2) 7:00 p.m. – 9:30 p.m. Banquet & Awards (Stadium 4 & 5) 5:00 p.m. Banquet Plenary – Speaking of the Future Conference Adjourns Speaker: Haden A. Land 2013 Complex Adaptive Systems Conference 3 Conference Plenary Speakers Wednesday, November 13, 2013 12:30 p.m. – 1:30 p.m. Wednesday, November 13, 2013 Stadium 4 & 5 8:00 a.m. – 9:00 a.m. Stadium 1 & 2 Luncheon Plenary Speaker: Charles Goldblum, PhD Morning Plenary Speaker: William B. Rouse, PhD Title: The Century of Biology – A Multi-Disciplinary Approach for Attacking Grand Challenges in Systems Biology Title: Modeling Complex Socio-Technical Enterprises Abstract: Reflecting upon the past three centuries in math and science, we Abstract: Socio-technical systems involve behavioral and social aspects can bin each of these centuries by its dominant field of scientific endeavor. of people and society that interact with technical aspects of organizational In this framework, the 18th Century was the Century of Mathematics, the 19th structure and processes – both engineered and natural – to create Century was the Century of Chemistry, and the 20th Century was the Century organizational outcomes and overall system performance. These types of of Physics. Freeman Dyson declared the 21st Century to be the Century of systems are often also characterized as complex adaptive systems where Biology, based on the current and anticipated societal and socio-economic independent agents pursue their individual objectives while learning and impact of research in biology. The Research and Exploratory Development Department at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory has adapting to evolving system structures and behaviors. Design and evaluation embraced Dyson’s worldview. We at APL rely on the convergence of disciplines of such systems can be addressed using a multi-level modeling approach (EE, physics, systems engineering, etc.) to address some of the large systems that explicitly represents the different levels of abstraction underlying system biology problems that face the nation. I will address specific research, for behaviors and performance. Within each level, there can also be levels of instance, using femtosecond lasers to bind hydroxides to protein to better aggregation enabling consideration of more or less detail. This presentation understand their 3D instantiation, and our work with Harvard on DARPA’s will outline the theoretical basis of multi-level modeling and illustrate how Prophecy Program. I will also address some of the grand challenges in systems such models can provide the basis for “flight simulators” for enterprise policy, biology and how these challenges can be best addressed with interdisciplinary strategy, planning and management. research. Biography: Biography: Bill Rouse is the Alexander Crombie Humphreys Chair with– in the School of Systems & Enterprises at Stevens Institute of Charles Goldblum is currently the Business Area Executive Technology and Director of the Center for Complex Systems for JHU/APL’s Research and Exploratory Development and Enterprises. He is also Professor Emeritus, and former Department. In this capacity, he is responsible for Chair, of the School of Industrial and Systems Engineering managing a large and diverse research portfolio in the at the Georgia Institute of Technology. His research focuses physical, informational, and biological sciences supporting on understanding and managing complex public-private many elements of DoD and the Intelligence Community. Dr. systems such as healthcare, energy and defense, with emphasis on mathematical and computational modeling of Goldblum joined APL in 2007 with over 20 years of research these systems for the purpose of policy design and analysis. and development experience. Dr. Goldblum received his Rouse has written hundreds of articles and book chapters, and has authored M.S. and Ph.D. in Physics from the University of Virginia many books. He has edited or co-edited numerous books. Among many advisory and a B.A. in Physics and English Literature from The roles, he has served as Chair of the Committee on Human Factors of the National George Washington University. He is a Fellow of the Massachusetts Institute Research Council, a member of the U.S. Air Force Scientific Advisory Board, and of Technology’s Seminar XXI: Foreign Politics, International Relations and the a member of the DoD Senior Advisory Group on Modeling and Simulation. Rouse National Interest (2010-2011). Dr. Goldblum also serves as a Special Government is a member of the National Academy of Engineering and has been elected a Employee (SGE) in the capacity of a science advisor to operational elements in fellow of four professional societies – Institute of Electrical and Electronics the DoD. Engineers (IEEE), the International Council on Systems Engineering (INCOSE), the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), and the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society (HFES). Rouse received his B.S. from the University of Rhode Island, and his S.M. and Ph.D. from M.I.T. 4 complexsystems.mst.edu Thursday, November 14, 2013 Thursday, November 14, 2013 8:00 a.m. – 9:00 a.m. 12:30 p.m. – 1:30 p.m. Stadium 1 & 2 Stadium 4 & 5 Morning Plenary Speaker: Judith Dahmann, PhD Luncheon Plenary Speaker: David A. Cass, MSE, MBA Title: Taming Complexity: A Challenge Title: Information Security as a Source of Innovation for Systems of Systems Abstract: Emerging technologies are becoming more complex and cyber-attacks Abstract: Increasingly key elements of society – defense, energy, transportation, ever more sophisticated. In addition, privacy and regulations are adding to the water resources, telecommunications, others – critically depend on the challenging business environment. Information security must be a business coordinated functioning of multiple independent systems which are designed, enabler and help the business innovate. We will discuss strategies to navigate operated, and maintained by separate organizations with their own objectives, this environment, leverage new technology, and help the business innovate. stakeholders, operating models, and constraints. These ‘systems of systems’ by their very nature are complex, dynamic, and not only depend on multiple Biography: autonomous engineered systems which may be complex systems themselves, David A. Cass is the Chief Information Security Officer for but also on the complex human and organizational environments in which they . He leads an organization of experienced legal, risk are developed and operated. This presentation will explore the nature of systems and security professionals that provide data protection, privacy, of systems and their complexity and will consider the technical challenges of security, and risk management guidance on a global basis systems of systems for the complex adaptive systems research community. for Elsevier. David has extensive experience in IT security, risk assessment, risk management, business continuity and Biography: disaster recovery, developing security policies and procedures. He has played a key role in leading and building corporate Judith Dahmann is a principal senior scientist in the MITRE Corporation Center risk & governance and information security organizations in for Advanced Systems Analysis and Acquisition. Dr. the financial sector. As the Senior Director of Information Security Risk and Dahmann is currently the technical director for Systems Governance for Freddie Mac, David rebuilt the risk and governance function and Analysis in the Office of the Director of Systems Engineering developed a team to provide risk assessments, methodologies, tools, services, in the US DOD Office of the Under Secretary of Defense and training to improve the maturity and capabilities of Freddie Mac’s information for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics. In this capacity, security, risk and governance programs. Prior to that he was Vice President of she is part of a team working to develop approaches to Risk Management for JPMorgan Chase, and was responsible for providing an the acquisition, development and systems engineering of accurate assessment of the current risk management state, contributing to the integrated user capabilities with a focus on early systems future direction of risk management, continuity and disaster recovery capabilities engineering, advanced systems engineering applications for the organization. David has a MSE from Penn Engineering and The Wharton and systems of systems, where she is the technical lead for the office. She leads School of Business. In June of 2012, he received his MBA from MIT. the development of the US DoD guide for systems engineering of systems of systems (SoS) and ongoing SoS engineering guidance, oversight and research. Prior to this, Dr. Dahmann was the Chief Scientist for the Defense Modeling and Simulation Office for the US Director of Defense Research and Engineering (1995-2000) where she led the development of the High Level Architecture, a general-purpose distributed software architecture for simulations, now an IEEE Standard (IEEE 1516). Dr. Dahmann holds a bachelor’s degree from Chatham College in , PA (1972), spent a year as a special student at Dartmouth College (1971-72), a master’s degree from The University of Chicago (1973), and a doctorate from Johns Hopkins University (1984).

2013 Complex Adaptive Systems Conference 5 Conference Plenary Speakers Friday, November 15, 2013 8:00 a.m. – 9:00 a.m. Thursday, Nov. 14, 2013 Stadium 1 & 2 7:00 p.m. – 9:30 p.m. Stadium 4 & 5 Morning Plenary Speaker: Joseph Francis, MD, MPH Title: The Wisdom and Follies of Managing by Numbers in Healthcare Banquet Plenary Speaker: Haden A. Land Abstract: Healthcare payers, providers, and systems have embraced performance Title: Speaking of the Future measurement as a key means of improving quality, controlling cost, and demonstrating accountability. However, measures behave, in many ways, as Abstract: The explosion of computing technology and the associated business “models” of reality – “all are wrong – some are useful”. While a powerful tool for demand require industry and academia leaders to keep up with the fast-paced world driving change and shaping the change of clinicians, performance measurement of change while also predicting what’s coming next. This phenomenon has thrust introduces new challenges for clinicians and managers including the possibility technology professionals into the business limelight, opening new doors for both of unintended negative consequences for patients. This presentation will evoke exciting business potential and increased risks. The unpredictable nature of today’s principles of measurement theory and behavioral economics, backed up by empiric global, political, economic and technological landscape provides both opportunity studies within the Veterans Health Administration and other health systems, that and challenge. Advancing and enabling innovation across the business landscape demonstrate the positive and negative aspects of performance measurement within and ensuring our academia programs are aligned as well as ensuring protection from healthcare. The presentation will conclude with a set of recommendations for cyber security threat vectors is essential for global competitiveness. Technology is appropriate use of measurement in clinical care settings. now pervasive in almost every aspect of our professional and personal lives, and what was once considered magic is now common practice. Join Haden Land as he Biography: examines global trends and key technologies for adaption science, big data, cyber security, mobility, and the associated implications on the future workforce. Joseph Francis is the director for Clinical Analytics and Chief Quality and Performance Office for the Veterans Healthcare Biography: Administration (VHA). Dr. Francis joined the VA in 1991, continuing his research and assuming progressive clinical Haden A. Land is vice president of Engineering and CTO for leadership responsibilities in geriatrics and extended care. Lockheed Martin IS&GS Civil. He serves U.S. government He was later appointed as chief medical officer of Veterans agencies, allied nations, and regulated commercial industries. Integrated Service Network (VISN) 9, where he managed and Mr. Land, a certified systems architect, is responsible for oversaw clinical operations, medical education and research, technical solutions, strategic partnerships, engineering and contributed to the design and implementation of key VA performance, talent development, research and development, policy initiatives. Dr. Francis has served as vice president for and emerging technology planning. Previously, Land was vice data management and quality at St. Vincent Hospital in Indianapolis. Dr. Francis president of Technical Operations and CTO/CIO for Lockheed returned to VA in June 2004 to direct its Quality Enhancement Research Initiative Martin Enterprise Solutions, has over twenty years of technical (QUERI). He began serving as the acting deputy chief research and development experience performing several chief architect/engineer roles officer in 2006 and was responsible for the overall administration and policy and has held various technical/engineering director positions. development for VA’s $1.7 billion research operations. In May 2008, Dr. Francis was appointed VA’s deputy chief quality and performance officer. A year later he assumed the role of chief quality and performance officer. Board-certified in internal medicine, geriatrics, and medical management, Dr. Francis has been on the medical faculty of the University of Pittsburgh, University of Tennessee, and Vanderbilt University. Dr. Francis received his MD from Washington University in St. Louis and completed his residency and fellowship in general internal medicine, as well as his master’s in public health, at the University of Pittsburgh.

6 complexsystems.mst.edu Friday, November 15, 2013

12:30 p.m. – 1:30 p.m. Stadium 4 & 5 Luncheon Plenary Speaker: John A. Norris, JD, MBA Title: “Advanced CAS and CAS-Like Tool” Use by Healthcare Regulatory Agencies, Such as the US FDA, Especially While Whether we provide one specialized IT Reviewing and Approving Market Access to CAS and CAS-Like consultant through a staffing solution, advise Products for Use in the Care of Humans on optimal IT workforce strategies or manage Abstract: As a former Deputy Chief of the US FDA, John Norris is eager to see that the US FDA, and other healthcare regulatory agencies remain current in their use a fully outsourced solution, our ability to of “the world’s most advanced regulatory and regulatory-science standards and methods.” Especially, when regulatory agencies are reviewing and approving market provide the absolute best IT professionals for access for CAS or CAS-like technologies, systems, platforms, products, and/or services to soon be used in improving the healthcare of humans – while dramatically the job enables us to get IT done. driving down the cost of such care. In such cases, he argues, “advanced CAS or CAS-like tools” themselves must often be used by the regulatory agencies to review the adequacy of their brother and sister “CAS or CAS-like products,” (1) faster, Learn more at: (2) better, (3) cheaper, and (4) safer, as well as (5) more ethical, and (6) equitable (better), than would otherwise be possible to do. Only in this way, can we reach, our www.TEKsystems.com goals (1) of reducing many areas of healthcare costs, some ten-fold, over the next Our people make IT possible. IT Our people make decade and (2) of improving worldwide access to care that (a) is sustainably more Copyright © 2013 TEKsystems, Inc. All Rights Reserved. safe, effective, and cost-effective, as well as more thoughtful and optimal, and that (b) simultaneously fulfills our goals related to the four “Ps”: Better care that is also more (i) personalized, (ii) predictive, (iii) preventive, and/or (iv) preemptive, such as iPS-based regenerative organ adjunct-therapy (or replacement-therapy) might be, or as Big-Data-Analytics-based detections of pre-diabetes or pre-cancerous states might be. 4th Annual Biography: John A. Norris is a former Principal Deputy FDA Commissioner, FDA COO, business executive, editor, hands-on visionary, executive coach, philanthropist, and Harvard teacher, who views his work as a calling rather than a job or a career. Mr. Norris brings more than 20 years of life-sciences and healthcare industry leadership and consulting expertise to US and global employers/customers/clients. He has advised the senior executives, senior managers, and senior scientists/ engineers/technicians of numerous global businesses. He Mark Your Calendar received a B.A. in economics, with minors in political science, and engineering, from the University of Rochester, his M.B.A. and J.D. from Cornell Oct. - Nov. 2014 University, and a Certificate in Government from Harvard University, where he later taught health policy and management for twelve years. He is also the founder and faculty-editor-in-chief emeritus of the American Journal of Law and Medicine. 2013 Complex Adaptive Systems Conference 7 Conference Panel Sessions

Wednesday, Nov. 13 Thursday, Nov. 14 Friday, Nov. 15 Cyber Physical Systems Systems of Systems as Overcoming Massive Cost, Complexity, and Complex Adaptive Systems 3:30 p.m. - 5:00 p.m. Non-Coordination Problems in Health Care Stadium 1 & 2 3:30 p.m. - 5:00 p.m. Systems–the Serious Challenge We Face Moderator: Robert D. Rodriguez Stadium 1 & 2 3:30 p.m. - 5:00 p.m. Panel Members: David A. Cass | Jerry Archer | Moderator: Judith Dahmann Stadium 1 & 2 Charlie Dagli | Michael H. Nance Panel Members: Dan DeLaurentis | Doug Bodner | Mark Blackburn | Cihan Dagli Moderator: Walker H. Land, Jr. These panelists will address the current Panel Members: John A. Norris | J. David Schaffer | threat landscape, the digital paradigm - its This panel will examine the research issues posed by Heather Woodward-Hagg | Michael Hultner opportunities and challenges to include the complex enterprises and systems of systems and how transition on the need for continued R&D and these are being addressed by research by the SE Research The health care panel discussion objectives are collaboration in the cyber physical systems Center (SERC), a DoD sponsored University Affiliated twofold: (1) to focus the discussion on suggestions through public/private partnership initiatives. Research Center focused on systems engineering and on how to modify/upgrade the current health care They will discuss leading change and the way exploratory development. The SERC has a major thrust in system and (2) to examine important possible ahead in Cyber and the evolving trends and futuristic health care problems. the change agents who are embracing new Enterprise Systems of Systems (ESoS) addressing methods, models that are making a difference. processes, and tools (MPTs) to address key challenges posed by complex ESoS [SERC 2014-2018 Technical Plan].

Moderator David A. Cass Jerry Archer Moderator Dan DeLaurentis, PhD Doug Bodner, PhD, PE Moderator John A. Norris, JD, MBA, J. David Schaffer, PhD Robert D. Rodriguez Senior Vice President, Founder & Judith Dahmann, PhD Associate Professor Principal Research Walker H. Land, Jr. Chairman, Research Professor, Chairman & Founder, Chief Information Board Member, Principal Senior Scientist, Purdue University Engineer, Tennenbaum Research Professor, Norris Capital, Inc.; Department of Security Innovation Security Officer, Cloud Security MITRE Corporation School of Aeronautics Institute Georgia Institute Binghamton University, FDDH, Inc.; Bioengineering Network™ (SINET) Elsevier Alliance Center for Advanced & Astronautics of Technology Principal Investigator and Senior US Advisor Binghamton University Systems Analysis Director, Computational & Acquisition Intelligence Group

Charlie Dagli, PhD Michael Nance Mark Blackburn, PhD Cihan H. Dagli, PhD Technical Research CISO & Senior Associate Professor Professor, Engineering Heather Woodward-Hagg Michael Hultner, PhD Staff, Massachusetts Fellow, Lockheed Stevens Institute Management and Systems Director, VA - Center Chief Scientist, Health Institute of Technology Martin IS&GS Civil of Technology; Engineering, Missouri for Applied Systems & Life Sciences, Lincoln Laboratory Principal,T-VEC University of Science and Engineering (VA-CASE) Lockheed Martin Technologies & Technology IS&GS-Civil KnowledgeBytes 8 complexsystems.mst.edu Conference Schedule Wednesday, Nov. 13, 2013 Presentations are noted by corresponding page number in proceedings.

Registration Desk Open Concurrent Sessions 9:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m.

7:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. Systems Behavior Modeling I Data Science and Analytics I Intelligent and Adaptive Systems I Pre-function Foyer Stadium 1 Stadium 2 Stadium 3 Continental Breakfast Session Chair: Kristin Giammarco Session Chair: Gursel Serpen Session Chair: David Enke Naval Postgraduate School, USA University of Toledo, USA Missouri S&T, USA 7:30 a.m. – 8:30 a.m. Stadium 5 Opening Session 277 - Well, You Didn’t Say Not to! A 406 - AI-WSN: Adaptive and Intelligent 115 - Type-2 Fuzzy Clustering and a Formal Systems Engineering Wireless Sensor Network Type-2 Fuzzy Inference Neural 8:00 a.m. – 9:00 a.m. Approach to Teaching an Unruly Gursel Serpen | Jiakai Li | Linqian Liu, Network for the Prediction of Stadium 1 & 2 Architecture Good Behavior University of Toledo, USA Short-Term Interest Rates Kristin Giammarco | Mikhail Auguston, 414 - A Comparative Analysis of Data David Enke, Missouri S&T, USA; Nijat Opening Welcome: Naval Postgraduate School, USA Mehdiyev, Technical University of Munich and Privacy and Utility Parameter The University of Augsburg/Germany Attorney General 270 - Behavioral Modeling of Software Adjustment, Using Machine of Maryland Intensive System Architectures Learning Classification as a 39 - Performance Analysis of Kernel Douglas F. Gansler Monica Farah-Stapleton, Interagency Gauge Adaptive Filters Based on LMS Program Office, OSD, USA; Mikhail Auguston, Kato Mivule | Claude Turner, Bowie State Algorithm Naval Postgraduate School, USA University, USA Ibtissam Constantin, Lebanese University, Morning Plenary Lebanon; Regis Lengellé, Troyes University of 283 - A Theory of Emergence and 421 - The Solution According Finite Technology, France Speaker: William B. Rouse, PhD Entropy in Systems of Systems Mixture Distribution by GMM John Johnson, IV | Andres Sousa-Poza, Old 156 - Using High Performance Modeling Complex Socio-Technical Problem as One of the Modes Dominion University, USA; Andreas Tolk, SimIS Computing to Explore Large Enterprises Inc., USA of Expression of a Probability Density Function Complex Bioacoustic William B. Rouse, PhD Kiyoshi Tsukakoshi | Kenichi Ida | Takao Soundscapes: Case Study for Director of the Center for Complex Yokota, Ashikaga Institute of Technology, Japan Right Whale Acoustics Systems and Enterprises Peter J. Dugan | Mohammad Pourhomayoun Stevens Institute of Technology 427 - A Delay Based MILP for Network | Yu Shiu | Aaron Rice | Christopher Clark, Cornell University, USA; Rosemary Paradis, Speaker details on page 4 Planning in Optical Networks Independent Consultant, USA Sasikanth Pagadrai | Muhittin Yilmaz | Pratyush Valluri, Texas A&M University- Concurrent Sessions Kingsville, USA 46 - Employing Learning to Improve the 9:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m Performance of Meta-RaPS Fatemah Al-Duoli | Ghaith Rabadi, Old (See schedule at right) Dominion University, USA Break 10:30 a.m. – 11:00 a.m. Stadium 5 2013 Complex Adaptive Systems Conference 9 Conference Schedule Wednesday, Nov. 13, 2013 Presentations are noted by corresponding page number in proceedings.

Concurrent Sessions Concurrent Sessions 11:00 a.m. – 12:30 p.m. 11:00 a.m. – 12:30 p.m. Socio-Technical Systems I Data Science and Analytics II Intelligent and Adaptive Systems II (See schedule at right) Stadium 1 Stadium 2 Stadium 3 Luncheon Plenary Session Chair: Holly Handley Session Chair: Rose Paradis Session Chair: Nil Ergin Speaker: Charles Goldblum Old Dominion University, USA Lockheed Martin, USA Penn State University, USA 12:30 p.m. – 1:30 p.m. Stadium 4 & 5 306 - Using Architecture Models to 433 - Knowledge Extraction From Survey 52 - Initialization Issues in Design Adaptive Socio-Technical Data Using Neural Networks Self-Organizing Maps The Century of Biology – Systems Arun Kulkarni | Imran Khan, The University of Iren Valova | Jacob Olson, University of A Multi-Disciplinary Holly Handley, Old Dominion University, USA Texas at Tyler, USA Massachusetts, USA; George Georgiev, University of Wisconsin, USA; Natacha Gueorguieva, Approach for Attacking 312 - Thinking Systemically About 439 - Analyzing Structural & Temporal College of Staten Island, USA Grand Challenges in Complex Systems Characteristics of Keyword System 14 - Information-Preserving Transforms: Systems Biology Patrick T. Hester, Old Dominion University, USA; in Academic Research Articles Kevin MacG. Adams, University of Maryland Arjun Duvvuru | Sivarit Sultornsanee, Two Graph Metrics for Simulated Charles Goldblum, PhD University College, USA University of Thai Chamber of Commerce, Thailand; Neural Networks Business Area Executive Srinivasan Radhakrishnan | Dipali More, Alexander Duda | Stephen Levinson, University Research and Exploratory 318 - Accounting for Errors When Using Symbiosis Institute of Management Studies, India; of Illinois, USA Development Systems Approaches Sagar Kamarthi, Northeastern University, USA Johns Hopkins University Kevin MacG. Adams, University of Maryland 183 - The Impact of Agent Activation on Applied Physics Laboratory University College, USA; Patrick T. Hester, Old 446 - Use of Big Data and Knowledge Population Behavior in an Agent- Dominion University, USA Discovery to Create a Data based Model of Civil Revolt Speaker details on page 4 325 The Root Cause of Failure in Backbones for Manufacturing Kenneth Comer | Andrew Loerch, George Mason -  University, USA Complex IT Projects: Complexity Decision Support Systems Rahul Renu | Gregory Mocko | Abhiram Itself Koneru, Clemson University, USA 177 - Team-Based Learning and Charles Daniels | Kaitlynn Whitney, Old Leadership Effect in Multi-Agent Dominion University, USA 454 - Finding Semantic Equivalence of System of Mixed Personalities Text Using Random Index Vectors Aleksandar Stefanovski | Peter Bock, Rosemary Paradis | Jinhong K. Guo | Jack Washington University, USA Moulton | David Cameron, Lockheed Martin, USA; Pentti Kanerva, Stanford Center for the Study of Language and Information, USA

I0 complexsystems.mst.edu Conference Schedule Wednesday, Nov. 13, 2013 Presentations are noted by corresponding page number in proceedings.

Concurrent Sessions Concurrent Sessions 1:30 p.m. – 3:00 p.m. 1:30 p.m. – 3:00 p.m. Socio-Technical Systems II Data Science and Analytics III Intelligent and Adaptive Systems III (See schedule at right) Stadium I Stadium 2 Stadium 3 Session Chair: Ricardo Pineda Session Chair: Ahmet Ozbayoglu Session Chair: Arit Thammano Break Stevens Institute of TOBB University of Economics King Mongkut’s Institute Technology, USA and Technology, Turkey of Technology, Thailand 3:00 p.m. – 3:30 p.m. Stadium 5 331 - Predictive Safety Analytics for 460 - Phase Synchronization Based 77 - Predicting the Behavior of Robotic Panel Session Complex Aerospace Systems Minimum Spanning Trees for the Swarms in Search and Tag Tasks James T. Luxhoj, LCR, USA Joseph Lancaster | David Gustafson, Kansas 3:30 p.m. – 5:00 p.m. Analysis and Visualization of Currency Exchange Markets State University, USA Stadium 1 & 2 337 - Determining Stakeholder Arjun Duvvuru | Sivarit Sultornsanee, 90 - A Novel Optimization Algorithm Influence Using Input-Output University of Thai Chamber of Commerce, Cyber Physical Systems Modeling Thailand; Srinivasan Radhakrishnan | Based on the Natural Behavior of Patrick T. Hester, Old Dominion University, Harnita Chowdhary, Symbiosis Institute of the Ant Colonies Moderator: Robert D. Rodriguez USA; Kevin MacG. Adams, University of Management Studies, India; Sagar Kamarthi, Jiraporn Kiatwuthiamorn | Arit Thammano, Panel: David A. Cass | Charlie Dagli | Maryland University College, USA Northeastern University, USA King Mongkut’s Institute of Technology, Jerry Archer | Michael H. Nance Thailand 290 - Research and Appliance of 466 - Time-series Analysis for the Zero-Burden Based SoS Detecting Structure Changes and 71 - The Genetic Flock Algorithm Comprehensive Evaluation Jeffrey Brooks | David Hibler, Christopher Suspicious Accounting Activities Newport University, USA Method in Public Software Companies Jing Zhang | He Yan | Wang Ming-yang | Liu Zhen Zhang | Theodore Trafalis, University 96 - A Hybrid Artificial Bee Colony Zhiqiang | Li Wei, Beijing Institution of System of Oklahoma, USA Algorithm with Local Search for Engineering, China 472 - A Two-Level Cascade Flexible Job-shop Scheduling 298 - Integration, Verification, Evolutionary Computation Based Problem Validation, Test, and Evaluation Arit Thammano | Ajchara Phu-ang, King Covered Call Trading Model Mongkut’s Institute of Technology, Thailand (IVVT&E) Framework for System of Ahmet Ozbayoglu | Ilknur Bayram | Mustafa Systems (SoS) Ucar, TOBB University of Economics and Sergio Luna | Ricardo Pineda | Hoong Yan Technology, Turkey See Tao, Stevens Institute of Technology, USA; Francisco Zapata | Amit Lopes, University of 478 - Comparing the Forecasts of Texas at El Paso, USA Money Demand Anthony Joseph | Maurice Larrain | Richard Ottoo, Pace University, USA

2013 Complex Adaptive Systems Conference II Conference Schedule Thursday, Nov. 14, 2013 Presentations are noted by corresponding page number in proceedings. 9:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. Registration Desk Open Concurrent Sessions 7:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. Systems Modeling and Design I Data Science and Analytics IV Intelligent and Adaptive Systems IV Pre-function Foyer Stadium 1 Stadium 2 Stadium 3 Session Chair: Fred Highland Session Chair: Mika Sato-Ilic Session Chair: Mitsuo Gen Continental Breakfast Lockheed Martin IS&GS Civil, USA University of Tsukuba, Japan Fuzzy Logic Systems Institute, 7:30 a.m. – 8:30 a.m. Japan

Stadium 5 203 - Theory of Modularity, a Hypothesis 484 - Demystifying MapReduce Session Convenes Peter Gentile, Northrop Grumman Aerospace Christopher Garcia, University of Mary 102 - Effective Estimation of Distribution Systems, USA Washington, USA Algorithm for Stochastic Job Shop 8:00 a.m. – 9:00 a.m. Scheduling Problem Stadium 1 & 2 210 - A Formal Method for Evaluation of 490 - Fuzzy Dissimilarity Based Xinchang Hao, Waseda University, Japan; a Modeled System Architecture Multidimensional Scaling and Mitsuo Gen, Fuzzy Logic Systems Institute, Announcements Matthew Rodano | Kristin Giammarco, Its Application to Collaborative Japan; Lin Lin, Dalian University of Technology, Stevens Institute of Technology, USA Learning Data China; Katsuhisa Ohno, Aichi Institute of Morning Plenary Technology, Japan 216 - An Approach to Advanced Higher Mika Sato-Ilic, University of Tsukuba, Japan; Speaker: Judith Dahmann, Ph.D. Peter Ilic, University of Tokyo, Japan Order Cross-Cultural Awareness in 148 - Classification of Changes in Taming Complexity: Dismounted Soldiers 496 - CaptchAll: An Improvement on the Extreme Heat Over Southeastern Siddhartha Agarwal | Cihan H. Dagli, Missouri Modern Text-Based CAPTCHA Australia A Challenge for Systems S&T, USA; Gianluca Reale, Universita di Napoli Charlie Obimbo | Andrew Halligan | Patrick Michael B. Richman | Lance Leslie, University of Systems Federico II, Italy De Freitas, University of Guelph, Canada of Oklahoma, USA Judith Dahmann, PhD 502 - Homomorphic Encryption 169 - Ant-Inspired Decentralized Task Principal Senior Scientist, Monique Ogburn | Claude Turner | Pushkar Allocation Strategy in Groups of MITRE Corporation Dahal, Bowie State University, USA Center for Advanced Mobile Agents Systems Analysis & Acquisition Sifat Momen, University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh, Bangladesh

Speaker details on page 5 140 - On the Investigation of Nonlinear Concurrent Sessions Dynamics of a Rotor with Rub- Impact Using Numerical Analysis 9:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. and Evolutionary Algorithms (See schedule at right) Issam Abu Mahfouz | Amit Banerjee,  Penn State University, USA Break 10:30 a.m. – 11:00 a.m. Stadium 5

I2 complexsystems.mst.edu Conference Schedule Thursday, Nov. 14, 2013 Presentations are noted by corresponding page number in proceedings.

Concurrent Sessions 11:00 a.m. – 12:30 p.m. Concurrent Sessions 11:00 p.m. – 12:30 p.m. Systems Modeling and Design II Data Science and Analytics V Intelligent and Adaptive Systems V (See schedule at right) Stadium 1 Stadium 2 Stadium 3 Session Chair: Kenneth M. Bryden Session Chair: Stephen Anderson Session Chair: Iveta Mrazova Luncheon Plenary Iowa State University, USA University of Missouri, USA Charles University, Czech Republic

Speaker: David Cass 12:30 p.m. – 1:30 p.m. 223 - A Proposed Implementation of 189 - Chemical Transport in Undisturbed 121 - Fast and Reliable Detection of Stadium 4 & 5 Tarjan’s Algorithm for Scheduling Soils Estimated Using Transfer Hockey Players the Solution Sequence of Systems Function Models Iveta Mrazova | Matej Hrincar, Charles Information Security as a of Federated Models Stephen Anderson | R.L. Peyton, University University, Czech Republic of Missouri, USA; Horng-Jer Shieh, Taiwan Source of Innovation Gabriel S. McNunn | Kenneth M. Bryden, 83 - Multi–objective Evolutionary Iowa State University, USA Shofu University, Taiwan David A. Cass, MSE, MBA Algorithm with Strong Senior Vice President and 229 - Simulation Modeling and Analysis 195 - Chemical Dispersivity Affected by Convergence of Multi-area for Chief Information Security of Complex Port Operations with Homogenous and Fractal Porous Assembly Line Balancing Problem Officer, Elsevier Multimodal Transportation Media with Worker Capability Mariam Kotachi | Ghaith Rabadi | Stephen Anderson | R.L. Peyton, University Wenqiang Zhang | Weitao Xu, Henan Speaker details on page 5 Mohammad F. Obeid, Old Dominion of Missouri, USA; Brian Haeffner, Missouri University of Technology, China; Mitsuo Gen, University, USA Department of Transportation, USA Fuzzy Logic Systems Institute, Japan 235 - Autonomic Computing: 399 - An Alternative Approach to 134 - A H–infinity Control Approach for A Framework to Identify Autonomy Reduce Massive False Positives Oil Drilling Processes Requirements in Mammograms Using Block Muhittin Yilmaz, Texas A&M University- Ajantha Dahanayake | Mona Yahya | Manal Variance of Local Coefficients Kingsville, USA A Yahya, Prince Sultan University-College Features and Support Vector for Women, Saudia Arabia Machine 65 - Using the PORS Problems to M.P. Nguyen | Q.D. Truong | D.T. Nguyen | Examine Evolutionary Optimization T.D. Nguyen | V.D. Nguyen, Hanoi University of Science and Technology, Vietnam of Multiscale Systems Zachary Reinhart | Vaelan Molian | Kenneth M. Bryden, Iowa State University, USA

2013 Complex Adaptive Systems Conference I3 Conference Schedule Thursday, Nov. 14, 2013 Presentations are noted by corresponding page number in proceedings.

Concurrent Sessions 1:30 p.m. – 3:00 p.m. Concurrent Sessions 1:30 p.m. – 3:00 p.m. Systems Modeling and Design III Cyber Physical Systems I Intelligent and Adaptive Systems VI (See schedule at right) Stadium 1 Stadium 2 Stadium 3 Break Session Chair: Vernon Ireland Session Chair: Gunes Ercal Session Chair: Thomas Sandidge The University of Adelaide, Southern Illinois University Saldirgan, LLC, USA 3:00 p.m. – 3:30 p.m. Australia Edwardsville, USA Stadium 5 Panel Session 242 - Autonomous Systems Modeling 510 - Resilience Notions for Scale- 108 - Toward Theory and Practice of 3:30 p.m. – 5:00 p.m. During Early Architecture free Networks Continuous Imprecise Numbers Stadium 1 & 2 Development Gunes Ercal | John Matta, Southern and Categories Roteslaw (Rusty) Husar | Jerrell Illinois University Edwardsville, USA Thomas E. Sandidge, Saldirgan, LLC, USA Systems of Systems as Stracener, Southern Methodist University, USA 516 - Estimating Hidden Information 128 - Warm-Season Complex Adaptive Systems for Self-Organization and Self- Thermodynamically-Driven Moderator: Judith Dahmann, Ph.D. 248 - Exploration of Complex Systems Healing in Modern Wireless Rainfall Prediction with Support Panel: Dan DeLaurentis | Doug Bodner | Types Networks Vector Machines Mark Blackburn | Cihan Dagli Vernon Ireland, The University of Julio Aráuz, Ohio University, USA Andrew Mercer | Jamie Dyer | Song Adelaide, Australia Zhang, Mississippi State University, USA Cash Bar 522 - On the Quality of Sampling From 256 - Basis Path Analysis for Testing 6:30 p.m. – 7:00 p.m. Geographic Networks 163 - Domain Ontology of Hand- Complex System of Systems Gunes Ercal | John Matta | William Drawn Avatars as Online Pre-function Foyer Francisco Zapata | Aditya Akundi | Stimson | Dominic Eccher, Southern Self-Representations for Cyber Ricardo Pineda | Eric Smith, University of Illinois University Edwardsville, USA Banquet & Awards Texas at El Paso, USA Forensics Dianne Lee | Mei Cheong | Nor Adzlan Plenary Speaker: 262 - Assessing Robustness in 528 - Complexity Analysis of Jamaludin, University Teknologi MARA Haden A. Land Systems of Systems Meta- Chaotically Encrypted rate-1/n Malaysia, Malaysia 7:00 p.m. – 9:30 p.m. Architectures Convolutional Encoders 58 - EA-EMA Optimization Applied to Louis E Pape, II | Cihan H Dagli, Davoud Arasteh, Southern University and Stadium 4 & 5 A&M College, USA Killer Sudoku Puzzles Missouri S&T, USA David Haynes, Aclara, USA; Steven Speaking of the Future Corns, Missouri S&T, USA Haden A. Land Vice President, Engineering & Chief Technology Officer, Lockheed Martin, IS&GS Civil Product Line, USA Speaker details on page 6

I4 complexsystems.mst.edu Conference Schedule Friday, Nov. 15, 2013 Presentations are noted by corresponding page number in proceedings. Registration Desk Open Concurrent Sessions 9:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. 7:00 a.m. – 12 noon Proceedings Pre-function Foyer Healthcare Medical Innovation I Intelligent and Adaptive Systems VII Stadium 1 & 2 Stadium 3 Continental Breakfast Session Chair: Walker H. Land, Jr. Session Chair: Corey Hart 7:30 a.m. – 8:30 a.m. Binghamton University, USA Lockheed Martin, USA Stadium 5

Session Convenes 379 - Clinical Decision Support System 22 - Variable Time Delays and 8:00 a.m. – 9:00 a.m. (CDSS) for the Classification of Representational Capacity in Sparsely Connected Populations Stadium 1 & 2 Atypical Cells in Pleural Effusions David Bassen | Saurabh Nayak | Xia Chong Li | of Spiking Neurons Announcements Mitchell Sam | Walker H. Land, Jr., Binghamton Corey Hart, Lockheed Martin, USA University, USA; Jagmohan Sidhu | Martha F. Morning Plenary Speaker: Nelson, UHS Wilson Medical Center, USA 27 - Evolving Spike Neural Network Sensors to Characterize the 368 - Prediction of Mortality and Survival Joseph Francis, MD, MPH Alcoholic Brain Using Visually of Patients After Cardiac Surgery 8:00 a.m. – 9:00 a.m. Evoked Response Potential Using Fuzzy EuroSCORE System and Stadium 1 & 2 Arnab Roy | J. David Schaffer | Craig Laramee, Reliability Analysis State University of New York at Binghamton, The Wisdoms and Follies of Sina Khanmohammadi | Harold Lewis | USA Papers presented at the 2013 Chun-An Chou, State University of New York Complex Adaptive Systems Managing by Numbers in at Binghamton, USA; Hassan Sadeghpour 348 - A Multi-class Probabilistic Neural Healthcare Khameneh, University of Tabriz, Iran Network for Pathogen Classification Conference are published in the William Ford | Kun Xiang | Walker Land, Jr. | Procedia Computer Sciences, Joseph Francis, MD, MPH 374 - Investigating the GRNN Oracle as Robert Congdon | Yinglei Li | Omowunmi Sadik, Director - Clinical a Method for Combining Multiple Binghamton University, USA which is an online publication Analytics & Chief Quality & Predictive Models of Colon Cancer hosted by SciVerse Science 342 - Development of a Complex Adaptive Performance Office Recurrence From Gene Microarrays Direct. Content is freely available Veterans Healthcare Aaron S. Campbell | Walker Land, Jr. | Dan PNN System for the Rapid Detection Administration E. Margolis | J. David Schaffer, Binghamton of E.coli worldwide in perpetuity. Speaker details on page 6 University, USA; Ravi Mathur, North Carolina Yinglei Li | William Ford | Kun Xiang | State University, USA Walker Land, Jr. | Robert Congdon | In addition, papers are submitted Concurrent Sessions Omowunmi Sadik, State University of New 362 - An OpenCL Framework for Fuzzy York at Binghamton, USA for indexing to Scopus at 9:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. Associative Classification and Its www.scopus.com (See schedule at right) Application to Disease Prediction and Engineering Village (Ei) at Erhan Guven | Anna Buczak, Johns Hopkins Break University Applied Physics Laboratory, USA www.engineeringvillage.com 10:30 a.m. – 11:00 a.m. Stadium 5 2013 Complex Adaptive Systems Conference I5 Conference Schedule Friday Nov. 15, 2013 Presentations are noted by corresponding page number in proceedings. Concurrent Sessions 11:00 a.m. – 12:30 p.m. Concurrent Sessions Questions? 11:00 a.m. – 12:30 p.m. Healthcare Medical Innovation II Distributed Education Systems Contact Us (See schedule at right) Stadium 1 & 2 Stadium 3 Session Chair: John A. Norris Session Chair: Jason Cadwallader Technical contact: Luncheon Plenary Norris Capital, Inc. and FDDH, Inc. Roudebush VAMC, USA Cihan H. Dagli, PhD and Senior US Advisor, USA Complex Adaptive Systems Conferences Speaker: John A. Norris 12:30 p.m. – 1:30 p.m. 600 W. 14th St. 354 - A Novel Application for Combining 535 - Self-Organizing Evolving Education Rolla, MO 65409-0370 Julio Aráuz, Ohio University, USA Stadium 4 & 5 CASs and Datasets to Produce Phone: 573-341-6576 “Advanced CAS and CAS- Increased Accuracy in Modeling 541 - Rethinking STEM Education: An Fax: 573-341-4992 and Predicting Cancer Recurrence Interdisciplinary STEAM Curriculum Email: [email protected] Like Tool” Use by Healthcare John Norris, Health Discovery Corp, USA; Margaret Madden | Marsha Baxter | Heather Web: http://complexsystems.mst.edu Regulatory Agencies, Such Erin Barns | Olivia Schultz | Walker Land, Jr., Beauchamp | Kimberley Bouchard | Derek Binghamton University, USA; Timothy Masters, Habermas | Mark Huff | Brian Ladd | Jill Conference: as the US FDA, Especially TMAIC, USA Pearon | Gordon Plague, State University of While Reviewing and New York at Potsdam, USA Cathi Barth 391 - Parallelization of a Bio-Inspired Approving Market Access to Distance and Continuing Education Computational Model for the 547 - Full STEAM Ahead: The Benefits 216 Centennial Hall CAS and CAS-Like Products Simulation of 3-D Multicellular of Integrating the Arts Into STEM 300 W. 12th Street for Use in the Care of Tissue Growth Michelle H. Land, Stratford Landing Rolla MO 65409-1560 Humans Belgacem Ben Youssef, King Saud University, Elementary, USA Phone: 573-341-6576 Saudi Arabia Demonstration: Transforming Medical Fax: 573-341-4992 Email: [email protected] John A. Norris, JD, MBA Education Through an Interactive Case Chairman, Norris Capital, 33 - Biologically Inspired Olfactory or [email protected] Inc., and FDDH, Inc. and Learning Architecture Based System Senior US Advisor George Georgiev, University of Wisconsin, Jason Cadwallader, Roudebush VAMC, USA USA; Mrinal Gosavi | Iren Valova, University Speaker details on page 7 of Massachusetts Dartmouth, USA; Natacha Gueorguieva, City University of New York, USA 385 - Complex Adaptive Systems Drive Innovations in Synthetic Biology Melvin Greer, Lockheed Martin, USA; Manuel Rodriguez-Martinez | Jaime Seguel, University of Puerto Rico-Mayaguez, Puerto Rico

I6 complexsystems.mst.edu Conference Schedule Friday Nov. 15, 2013 Presentations are noted by corresponding page number in proceedings. Concurrent Tutorial Sessions 1:30 a.m. – 3:00 p.m. Concurrent Tutorial Sessions 1:30 p.m. – 3:00 p.m. Tutorial I Tutorial II Tutorial III (See schedule at right) Stadium 1 Stadium 2 Stadium 3

Break Topics in Statistical Decision Theory: On Principles of Complex Systems Systems Engineering Does the Decision Mechanism Matter? Engineering – Complex Systems Risk Analysis 3:00 p.m. – 3:30 p.m. Walker H. Land Jr., Research Professor, Binghamton Made Simple Ariel Pinto, Associate Professor, Old Dominion Stadium 5 University, USA Brian E. White, Principal, Complexity Are Us, Systems University, USA Engineering Strategies (CAUSES), USA Panel Session 3:30 p.m. – 5:00 p.m. Stadium 1 & 2 Overcoming Massive Cost, Complexity, and Non– Coordination Problems in Health Care Systems – the Serious Challenge We Face Moderator: Walker H. Land, Jr. Panel: John A. Norris | J. David Schaffer | Heather Woodward-Hagg | Michael Hultner

2013 Complex Adaptive Systems Conference I7 Notes

I8 complexsystems.mst.edu Notes Hotel Floor Plan Stadium 4 & 5

– Stadiums 1, 2 & 3 Stadium 1 & 2 Pre-function Foyer Pre-function (Thursday Evening) Tutorial Presentations – Presentations Tutorial Panel Discussions – Cash Bar – Banquet Stadium 1 & 2 Stadium 5 Stadiums 1, 2 & 3 Stadium 4 & 5 Pre-function Foyer Pre-function

Stadium 5 Registration – Welcome/Morning Plenary – Continental Breakfast – Continental Breakfast Sessions – Concurrent Luncheon Plenary – Breaks – Breaks

2013 Complex Adaptive Systems Conference I9