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Reliance Industries Ltd Page 1 Reliance Industries Ltd. Event Note 05th October, 2020 India Equity Research II RIL Event Update II 05th October, 2020 Page 2 Reliance Industries Ltd – RRVL Stake Sale Stake sale momentum continues Event highlights • Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) on 03rd October announced that GIC and TPG Capital Management will be investing INR 5,512.5 Cr (1.22% stake) and INR 1,837.5 Cr (0.41% stake) respectively into Reliance Retail Ventures Ltd (RRVL), a subsidiary of RIL • Similarly on 01st October, RIL announced that Abu Dhabi-based sovereign investor Mubadala Investment Company will invest an amount INR 6,247.5 Cr. in RRVL which will translate into a 1.40% equity stake in RRVL on a fully diluted basis • Transaction for the above investments is valued at a pre-money equity value of INR 4.285 lakh Cr. Strategic Importance • These investment comes close on the heels of RIL's minority stake purchase in Kishore Biyani led Future Group retail, wholesale, logistics and warehousing businesses, through its subsidiary Reliance Retail for INR 24,713 Cr in August-20. The Future group deal was followed by RIL’s launch of JioMart, an online grocery service, in May-20. • Reliance Retail Limited, a subsidiary of RRVL, operates India's largest, fastest growing and most profitable retail business serving close to 640 million footfalls across its ~12,000 stores nationwide. RRVL reported a consolidated turnover of INR 162,936 Cr. and net profit of INR 5,448 Cr for FY20 • Mubadala Investment Company is a sovereign investor managing a global portfolio, aimed at generating sustainable financial returns for its shareholder, the Government of Abu Dhabi. Mubadala’s US $232 billion portfolio spans over six continents with interests in multiple sectors and asset classes. Mubadala had earlier invested INR 9,093.6 Cr in Jio Platforms earlier this year. • GIC is a leading global investment firm established in 1981 to manage Singapore’s foreign reserves. GIC has investments in over 40 countries and has been investing in emerging markets for more than two decades • TPG is a leading global alternative asset firm founded in 1992 with more than $83 billion of assets under management across a wide range of asset classes. TPG had earlier invested INR 4,546.8 Cr in Jio Platforms earlier this year. • These investments will help implement Reliance Retail’s vision to galvanize the Indian retail sector through an inclusive strategy serving millions of customers by empowering millions of farmers and micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) and working closely with global and domestic companies as preferred partners. • Reliance Retail, through its New Commerce strategy, has also started a transformational digitalization of small and unorganized merchants and is committed to expanding the network to over 20 million of these merchants, helping them benefit from the use of technology tools and efficient supply chain infrastructure to deliver a superior value proposition to their own customers • We continue to see RIL attracting a mix of strategic and long-term investors through strategic business combinations and equity sale . We expect the Jio Platform’s strategic and financial investors to go in for a repeat round of investing in Reliance Retail after Jio Platform. RIL is reportedly expected to sell stake ranging between 20-25% of Reliance retail with ~7.28% stake already sold to six investors such as Silver Lake, KKR, General Atlantic, Mubadala, GIC and TPG Capital. Recent Reliance Retail Ventures Ltd (RRVL) asset transactions Amount Raised (INR Investment Entity Date % stake Equity Value (INR Cr.) Cr.) Silver Lake 09-Sep-20 1.75% 4.21 lakh 7,500.0 KKR 23-Sep-20 1.28% 4.21 lakh 5,550.0 General Atlantic 30-Sep-20 0.84% 4.29 lakh 3,675.0 Silver Lake 30-Sep-20 0.38% 4.29 lakh 1,875.0 Mubadala 01-Oct-20 1.40% 4.29 lakh 6,247.5 GIC 03-Oct-20 1.22% 4.29 lakh 5,512.5 TPG Capital 03-Oct-20 0.41% 4.29 lakh 1,837.5 Total Investments 7.28% 32,197.5 Valuation and outlook: RIL is expected to continue its capital raising momentum with Reliance Retail Venture Ltd attracting long term capital from leading investors. This also speaks of investors’ confidence of faster than normal scale up in business performance in its Retail business. The acquisition of Future Group by Reliance Industries Ltd will benefit the company through vast economies of scale and robust back end infrastructure. Store count in retail is 13,500 with addition of Future Group stores. It will help manage the competition and prevent challenges from local retailers like Dmart, which is at a distinct second position. On a proforma basis, the acquired Future Group entities would have boosted Reliance Retail’s FY2020 revenues by 17%. Monetization of retail, complemented by the capitalization of Jio's tech assets, is expected to enable Reliance to take on India's online retail space. We continue to maintain our positive view on the long-term performance of RIL and like the business re-organization initiatives at RIL (HoldCo – OpCo structure) and its ability to attract long term investors. Petrochem & Refinery is likely to recover from H2FY21 as global economy recovers. At the CMP of INR 2,225; RIL is trading at 14.3x FY22E EV/EBITDA. Based on our FY22E estimates and using SOTP methodology, we arrive at a target price of INR 2,394 per share; a potential upside of 7.6%. We have a “BUY” rating on the shares of RIL (Since our last buy recommendation on 31st July-20, the shares of RIL has rallied ~7%) ANALYST KRChoksey Research Phone: +91-22-6696 5555, Fax: +91-22-6691 9576 Parvati Rai, [email protected], +91-22-6696 5413 is also available on Bloomberg KRCS<GO> www.krchoksey.com Thomson Reuters, Factset and Capital IQ India Equity Research II RIL Event Update II 05th October, 2020 Page 3 Reliance Industries Ltd – RRVL Stake Sale Rating Legend (Expected over a 12-month period) Our Rating Upside Buy More than 15% Accumulate 5% – 15% Hold 0 – 5% Reduce -5% – 0 Sell Less than – 5% ANALYST CERTIFICATION: I, Parvati Rai (MBA-Finance, M.com), Head Research, author and the name subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. I also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. Terms & Conditions and other disclosures: KRChoksey Shares and Securities Pvt. Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as KRCSSPL) is a registered member of National Stock Exchange of India Limited and Bombay Stock Exchange Limited. KRCSSPL is a registered Research Entity vides SEBI Registration No. INH000001295 under SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014. We submit that no material disciplinary action has been taken on KRCSSPL and its associates (Group Companies) by any Regulatory Authority impacting Equity Research Analysis activities. KRCSSPL prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts and their relatives from maintaining a financial interest in the securities or derivatives of any companies that the analyst covers. The information and opinions in this report have been prepared by KRCSSPL and are subject to change without any notice. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of KRCSSPL. While we would endeavor to update the information herein on a reasonable basis, KRCSSPL is not under any obligation to update the information. Also, there may be regulatory, compliance or other reasons that may prevent KRCSSPL from doing so. Non-rated securities indicate that rating on a particular security has been suspended temporarily and such suspension is in compliance with applicable regulations and/or KRCSSPL policies, in circumstances where KRCSSPL might be acting in an advisory capacity to this company, or in certain other circumstances. This report is based on information obtained from public sources and sources believed to be reliable, but no independent verification has been made nor is its accuracy or completeness guaranteed. This report and information herein is solely for informational purpose and shall not be used or considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. KRCSSPL will not treat recipients as customers by virtue of their receiving this report. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your specific circumstances. The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. The recipient should independently evaluate the investment risks. The value and return on investment may vary because of changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates or any other reason. KRCSSPL accepts no liabilities whatsoever for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in the securities markets.
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