Civil War in Bosnia, 1992-94 Hungary
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CIVIL WAR IN BOSNIA, 1992-94 HUNGARY ROMANIA SEA N t o, 50, 100, 150, Miles Yugoslavia 1990 Civil War in Bosnia 1992-94 Edgar 0' Ballance First published in Great Britain 1995 by MACMILLAN PRESS LTD Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS and London Companies and representatives throughout the world A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. ISBN 978-1-349-13668-1 ISBN 978-1-349-13666-7 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-349-13666-7 First published in the United States of America 1995 by ST. MARTIN'S PRESS, INC., Scholarly and Reference Division, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10010 ISBN 978-0-312-12503-5 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data O'Ballance, Edgar. Civil War in Bosnia, 1992-94/ Edgar O'Ballance. p. Col. Includes index. ISBN 978-0-312-12503-5 I. Yugoslav War, 1991- -Bosnia and Hercegovina. 2. Bosnia and Hercegovina-History-1992- 1. Title. DR 1313.3.02 1995 949.702'4---<\c20 94-32534 CIP © Edgar O'Ballance 1995 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 1995 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No paragraph of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the temlS of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, 90 Tottcnham Court Road, London WIP 9HE Any person who does any unauthorised act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. II 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 04 03 02 0 I 00 99 98 97 96 95 Contents Preface vii Acknowledgements xiv Abbreviations xvi Chronology xviii List of Maps xxiii 1 Sovereign Independence 1 2 As it Happened 17 3 Civil War 27 4 Sarajevo: April-May 1992 39 5 The UN Returns: June-July 1992 53 6 The Geneva Conference: August 1992 78 7 UNPROFOR-2: September-October 1992 97 8 The Vance-Owen Plan: November-December 1992 118 9 American Involvement in Bosnia: January-March 1993 136 10 Sterile Negotiations: April-June 1993 155 11 Alliances of Convenience: July-August 1993 179 12 The Approaching Second Winter: September-December 1993 207 13 Unexpected Initiatives: 1994 235 14 Retrospect and Prospect 245 Maps 255 Index 261 v Also by Edgar 0 'Ballana THE ALGERIAN INSURRECfION: 1954-62 ARAB GUERRIllA POWER THE ARAB-ISRAEU WAR: 1948-9 CML WAR IN YUGOSlAVIA THE CYANIDE WAR THE ELECTRONIC WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST: 1968-70 THE FRENCH FOREIGN LEGION THE GREEK CML WAR: 1944-49 THE GULF WAR THE INDO-CHINA WAR: 1946-54 THE KURDISH REVOLT: 1961-70 THE LANGUAGE OF VIOLENCE THE MAlAYAN INSURRECTION: 1948-60 THE RED ARMY OF CHINA THE RED ARMY OF RUSSIA THE SECOND GULF WAR: The Liberation of Kuwait THE SECRET WAR IN SUDAN: 1955-72 THE SINAI CAMPAIGN: 1956 TERROR IN IRElAND: The Story of the IRA TERRORISM IN THE 19805 THE THIRD ARAB-ISRAEU WAR: 1967 NO VICTOR, NO VANQUISHED: The Middle East War 1973 TRACKS OF THE BEAR: US-USSR Relations in the 19705 WAR IN THE YEMEN: 1962-69 WARS IN AFGHANISTAN: 1839-1992 WARS IN VIETNAM (1954-73) Preface This is a brief account of the short, stormy, wartorn existence of the sovereign independent Balkan Republic of Bosnia Hercegovina, which formally began on 7 April 1992 when it was reluctantly recognised by the European Community (EC), even though it did not conform to demanded specifications, one of which was that it should have internal stability. At the time a Serb separatist armed insurrection, supported by the 'rump' government of former Yugoslavia, was gathering mo mentum in Bosnia. The sovereign Republic of Bosnia had been largely the dream of one man, President Alija Izetbegovic, a dedicated Muslim who had almost single-handedly worked and planned to turn his multiethnic country, whose population of about 4.3 mil lion people consisted of about 44 per cent Muslims, 33 per cent Serbs, 19 per cent Croats and 4 per cent others, into a unitary sovereign state, while his secret agenda was to give it a predominantly Islamic-orientated character. The Republic of Bosnia lies on a fault line of history, where over the centuries the rough edges of great empires had rubbed abrasively together, leaving a residue of multiethnic, multi religious groups conditioned by their backgrounds, fears and prejudices, having only really been brought together by Pres ident Tito's administrative divisions of YUgoslavia, which created the present boundaries of the republic. Communism in the Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (SFRY), consisting of six constituent republics, was slowly re placed in 1989-91, not by Western-style democracy as had been hoped, but by rabid nationalism and separatism. Suddenly ethnic origin became paramount. At first the EC and the com peting Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe (CSCE), which set themselves up as arbiters of European dif ferences, strove to keep the SFRY intact, but were unsuccessful. Two ethnic, separatist wars were fought against the Belgrade Federal authority. The 'Ten-Day War' in June 1991 gained sovereign independence for the Republic of Slovenia, and the longer one, from June to November that year, brought the same status to Croatia. The defeated Yugoslav National Army vii viii Preface UNA), now almost completely Serb in content, withdrew in ignominy from those two republics. Two other constituent re publics, Bosnia-Hercegovina and Macedonia, were now both demanding independence, leaving a Yugoslav rump of Serbia and Montenegro. Macedonia eventually peacefully obtained its independence in March 1992 when the JNA marched out, but it was not generally recognised internationally as Greece objected to the use of the name, which it insisted had aggres sive implications. Meanwhile, in December 1991 Germany broke EC ranks by formally recognising the independence of Slovenia and Croatia. Overtaken by events, and its facade of unity disrupted by this disloyalty, the EC did a smart policy V-turn, laying down con ditions for the recognition of Bosnia-Hercegovina. By this time the Serbs, the largest ethnic group in the SFRY, in their al leged quest for a Greater Serbia, demonised and drenched in odium, were universally regarded as being responsible for the chaotic Yugoslav problem. It took some time for Western public opinion to realise that all, including Croats and Muslims, were equally guilty of atrocities, and that there was little to choose between them. Independence was declared in Bosnia-Hercegovina in Janu ary 1992, and the required (by the EC) referendum (in which Bosnian Serbs abstained) was held at the end of February, showing a majority to be in favour. In the 'One Day Revolu tion' (2 March), impromptu street-fighting between insurgent Serbs and government forces in Sarajevo, the republic's capi tal, was contained, and independence was duly proclaimed on the 3rd. Meanwhile Bosnian Serbs, under the leadership of Radovan Karadzic, had established their own breakaway Assembly in October 1991, and on 27 March 1992 proclaimed their own separate Bosnian Serb Republic. Serb militias, which had been actively fighting government forces since September 1990, now launched their Drina Valley Campaign, followed by their North ern Corridor one, and within a few months held over 60 per cent of the countryside of the republic. The Siege of Sarajevo began with a heavy burst of shellfire on 21 April. The city has continued to hold out, although incessantly shelled by Serb guns positioned in the surrounding hills. At first the Bosnian Croats, led by Mate Boban and his militia (the HVO), ostensibly supported the government, but did not Preface ix involve themselves wholeheartedly in the struggle against in surgent Serbs. They too had their secret agenda, and quickly formed their own 'Croatian Community of Herceg-Bosna' in eastern Bosnia-Hercegovina, the area in which they mainly lived. Adjacent Croatia gave them covert support. The occupying JNA forces in Bosnia-Hercegovina were slow to evacuate and there were many incidents, but by the end of April they had left. General Mladic, ex:JNA and a Bosnian Serb, became commander of the army of the insurgent SD BiH (Serbian Democratic Republic in Bosnia-Hercegovina). This vicious three-sided (as later the Croats declared their hand) civil war, dominated by a siege-and-starvation strategy and involving ethnic cleansing, detention camps, atrocities and hordes of refugees, dragged on month after month, as neither faction could raise sufficient military force to defeat the others. It became a confused struggle between territorial warlords and rival militias. The United Nations (UN), the EC and the CSCE, already on the Yugoslav scene, having settled as they thought the Slovenian and Croatian problems, now turned their attention to Bosnia-Hercegovina, but their peacemaking efforts proved futile. None of the faction leaders wanted peace, but only to achieve their individual objectives, which conflicted with each other. The numerous ceasefires were almost instantly broken, and promises were seldom kept. The UN Security Council approved a series of threatening resolutions, including an arms and economic embargo on Serbia. The presence of international TV teams kept the world viv idly informed of the horrors of the siege of Sarajevo, and occasionally elsewhere, but most of the remainder of the re public was a dark, unknown area, from which journalists Were mostly barred and through which UN-sponsored and individual aid convoys struggled to penetrate to deliver aid to besieged cities and regions. Only belatedly did Western governments come to realise that a proportion of the food aid sent to Bosnia went to feed the warring militias, enabling them to continue fighting.