KP-SISUG Abbottabad City Development Plan – Draft Final Report Pakistan: Provincial Strategy for Inclusive and Sustainable Urban Growth in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa ABBOTTABAD CITY DEVELOPMENT PLAN DRAFT FINAL REPORT March 2019 KP-SISUG Abbottabad City Development Plan – Draft Final Report CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (as of 01 January 2019) Currency unit – Pakistan Rupee (PKR) PKR1.00 = $0.0072 $1.00 = PKRs 138.85 ABBREVIATIONS ADA - Abbottabad Development Authority ADB - Asian Development Bank ADP - annual development program AP - action plan BOQ - bills of quantities BTE - Board of Technical Education CAD - computerized aided design CBT - competency based training CDIA - Cities Development Initiative for Asia CDP - city development plan CES - community entrepreneurial skills CIU - city implementation unit CMST - community management skills training CNC - computer numerical control CNG - compressed natural gas CPEC - China-Pakistan Economic Corridor CRVA - climate resilience and vulnerability assessment DAO - District Accounts Office DDAC - District Development Advisory Committee DFID - Department for International Development (UK) DFR - draft final report DM - disaster management DRR - disaster risk reduction EA - executing agency EFI - electronic fuel injection EIA - environmental impact assessment EMP - environmental management plan EPA - Environmental Protection Agency [of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa] i KP-SISUG Abbottabad City Development Plan – Draft Final Report ESMS - environmental and social management system FATA - Federally Administered Tribal Area FATA-DA - Federally Administered Tribal Areas Development Authority GIK - Ghulam Ishaq Khan Institute of Engineering and Technology GIS - geographic information system GIZ - Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (gmbh) [German international development agency] GM - General Manager GoKP - Government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa GoP - Government of Pakistan GPS - global positioning system GRM - grievance redressal mechanism HIES - Household Integrated Economic Survey HR - human resource HRD - human resource development HTV - heavy transport vehicle HVAC - heating ventilation and air conditioning IA - implementing agency ICT - information and communication technologies IEE - initial environmental examination IFIs - international financial institutions IT - information technology KP - Khyber Pakhtunkhwa KP-EZDMC - Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Economic Zones Development and Management Company KPCIP - Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Cities Improvement Project KPPRA - Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Public Procurement Regulatory Authority KSSUP - Khyber Pakhtunkhwa strategic sustainable urban plan LCs-PUGF - local councils provincial unified group of functionaries LGA - local government act LGE&RDD - Local Government, Elections and Rural Development Department [of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa] M&E - monitoring and evaluation GDA - Galliat Development Authority MDTF - Multi Donor Trust Fund MER - monitoring evaluation and research MIS - management information system MNDA - Mansehra Development Authority NAVTTC - National Vocational and Technical Training Commission NCs - neighborhood councils NDMA - National Disaster Management Authority ii KP-SISUG Abbottabad City Development Plan – Draft Final Report NEQS - national environmental quality standards NER - net enrolment rate NIM - National Institute of Management NIUIP - National Institute of Urban Infrastructure Planning NOC - no objection certificate NUML - National University of Modern Language and Sciences NVQF - national vocational qualification framework NVQS - national vocational qualification system O&M - operation and maintenance P&DD - Planning and Development Department [of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa] PAC - public accounts committee PARD - Pakistan Academy for Rural Development PCNA - post crisis needs assessment GDA - Galliat Development Authority PEFA - public expenditure and financial accountability PER - public expenditure review PFM - public financial management PGD - post graduate diploma PGR - population growth rates PIFRA - project for improvement in financial reporting and auditing PMU - project management unit PPP - public-private partnership PSISUG - provincial strategy for inclusive and sustainable urban growth RAC - refrigeration air conditioning RCP - Representative Concentration Pathways RDP - regional development plan RPL - recognition of prior learning SAMA - services and assets management agreement SAP - strategic action plan SDC - skill development council SDC - Swiss Agency for Development Cooperation SDG - sustainable development goals SECP - Security and Exchange Commission of Pakistan SIPF - sustainable integrated planning framework SME - small and medium enterprises SP - spatial plan SPS - safeguards policy statement [of ADB, 2009] TEVTA - Technical Education and Vocational Authority TMA - Tehsil Municipal Administration TMO - Tehsil Municipal Officer TNA - training needs assessment iii KP-SISUG Abbottabad City Development Plan – Draft Final Report TOR - terms of reference ToT - training of trainers TTB - Trade Testing Board TVET - technical and vocational education and training UET - University of Engineering and Technology [Peshawar] UN - United Nations UNDP - United Nations Development Program UPS - uninterruptible power supply URA - urban resilience assessments USAID - United States Agency for International Development VCs - village councils WB - The World Bank WSSC - Water and Sanitation Services Company NOTES (i) The fiscal year (FY) of the Government of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan and its agencies ends on 30 June. “FY” before a calendar year denotes the year in which the fiscal year ends, e.g., FY2019 ends on 30 June 2019. (ii) In this report, “$” refers to US dollars. iv KP-SISUG Abbottabad City Development Plan – Draft Final Report Contents A. Introduction 1 A.1. Background 1 A.2. Vision 1 A.3. Report outline 1 A.4. Sustainable planning approach 2 B. The City and Regional Context 5 B.1. Physical and environmental setting 5 B.2. Socio-economic setting 6 B.2.1. Employment 6 B.2.2. Poverty 8 B.2.3. Education 8 B.2.4. Health 10 B.3. Regional influences and linkages 11 B.4. Future opportunities and economic conditions 12 C. Key Factors and Drivers for Urban Development in the City 14 C.1. Population growth and demographic factors 14 C.1.1. Projections of population growth 14 C.1.2. Analysis of population patterns 15 C.2. Land use and physical planning 17 C.2.1. Pattern of growth and regional potential 17 C.2.2. Existing spatial structure and land use in Abbottabad 17 C.2.3. Urban expansion 19 C.3. Ongoing developments 20 C.4. Planned or future developments 20 C.5. Climate change and disaster resilience 21 D. Analysis and Needs Assessment 22 D.1. Present infrastructure and municipal service levels 22 D.1.1. Water supply 23 D.1.2. Sewerage and drainage 27 D.1.3. Solid waste 27 D.1.4. Other infrastructure 30 D.2. Current institutional and organizational arrangements for service delivery 31 D.3. Assessed future requirements and needs 32 v KP-SISUG Abbottabad City Development Plan – Draft Final Report D.3.1. Population projections 32 D.3.2. Land development and land allocation 32 D.3.3. Expansion of the area classified as urban 34 D.3.4. Target levels of municipal service delivery 34 D.3.5. Funding of municipal services and investments 37 D.3.6. Public sector governance 37 D.3.7. Capacity Development 38 E. Strategic Action Plan For Urban Development 42 E.1. Integrated urban sector development and spatial planning 42 E.1.1. Key planning principles and application 42 E.1.2. Integrated urban sector development 43 E.2. Strategic priorities and actions 45 E.2.1. Key infrastructure investments and priorities 46 E.2.2. Sustainable service delivery 58 E.2.3. Public sector governance and reforms 63 E.2.4. Capacity development 65 E.2.5. Disaster and climate change risk management 66 E.3. Action plan 67 E.3.1. Short-term (up to 2025) 68 E.3.2. Medium-term (up to 2030) 75 E.3.3. Long-term (up to 2035) 79 TABLES Table 1: Educational institutions in Abbottabad District 9 Table 2: Enrolment, transition and survival rates in public and private schools in Abbottabad District (2017-18) 9 Table 3: Number and types of government health facilities in Abbottabad District as of 2017 10 Table 4: Abbottabad urban tehsil population projections and growth rates[1] 14 Table 5: Trends in urban growth from 1998 to 2017 in Abbottabad Tehsil 16 Table 6: Area, population, density and growth rate in Abbottabad Tehsil (2017) 16 Table 7: Trends in urban growth in Abbottabad Tehsil from 1998 to 2017 20 Table 8: Groundwater supplied municipal water supply system under WSSCA responsibility 24 Table 9: Recorded active water connections for the month of Sep 2018 26 vi KP-SISUG Abbottabad City Development Plan – Draft Final Report Table 10: Current operational collection and street cleansing fleet, WSSC Abbottabad[1] 28 Table 11: Population projections 2019 to 2035 for the current urban area 32 Table 12: Population projections and city area requirement for the currently designated urban areas (37.87 km2) 33 Table 13: Population projections and city area requirement for the expanded urban areas in future (127.4 km2) 33 Table 14: Potential expansion of the urban limit 34 Table 15: Population projections 2019 to 2035 for the expanded city limits 34 Table 16: Proposed target service levels for municipal water supply 35 Table 17: Proposed target service levels for municipal sewerage system 36 Table 18: Proposed target service levels for management of municipal solid waste 36 Table 19: Areas proposed