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Basketball on Paper 4 BASKETBALL ON PAPER بسکتبال روی کاغذ گرداوری: مهران حاتمی امار امار:سنتی پیشرفته امتیاز میزان استفاده از توپ مقایسه ای انلیز اماردفاعی فاکتور چهارگانه میزان تﻻش بازیکن ارائه روش و راه حل برای پیگیری فردی بازیکن پیشرفت امار برترین ها امار سنتی)عرف( پیشرفت فردی و تیمی از طریق دستیابی به نقاط شوت و ضعف و قوت برد و حرکات کارایی فانتزی و.... مربی تماشاچی بازیکن مربیگری راجع انچه میدانید ویاانچه میتوانید بر روی کاغذ بنویسید نیست بلکه راجع به توانایی شما درانجام وظیفه بازیکنان در زمین است ” ون گاندی ” در تمام رشته ها امار و انالیز تبدیل به فرهنگ ان رشته ورزشی شده است ارزیابی بازیکنان خود و حریف ارزیابی تیم خود وحریف ایجاد انگیزه به تیم برای افرایش کارایی از طریق امار موثر در طراحی پﻻن دفاعی ارزیابی توان شوت زنی تیم خودی و حریف بوسیله دیاگرام شوت تبیین اهداف دفاعی و حمله ای با دیاگرام شوت که منتهی به اجازه دادن به نحوه پرتاب شوت توسط بازیکنان حریف و یا خود میشود ......... جداول اماری:)کاغذ هایی که تواما تحلیل میشوند و ما را به حقایق نزدبک میکنند( تﻻش HUSTLE- کاربردی USAGE- سنتی TRADITIONAL- دفاع DEFENCE - فاکتور چهارگانه FOUR FACTOR - پیشرفته ADVANCE- مقایسه ای MATCH UP - سایر فاکتورها MISCELLANUEUS - امتیاز SCORING- • TO اماراز دید اکثر مربیان: OPP TO • - فردی - تیمی ASS • - بررسی اهداف مربی OPP ASS • -بررسی استراتزی خود وحریف STL • -امار در زمین خود و یا حریف --امار بازیکن پیرامونی و یا پست OPP STL • • FT% SHAQ SYNDRUM 80% • FG% 40% OPP FG% LESS THAN 35% WIDE - OPEN SHOT • OUR POINTS • OPP POINTS LESS THAN 15 POINTS 2 PLAYERS TOGETHER 25 PTS 3 TOP PLAYERS TOGETHER 30 PLS TOTALLY 50-60 PTS • DOUBLING UP • DOUBLING DOWN • FOR POST OPP REB BLK SHO • ALL CHAMPIONS HAVE GOOD REBOUNDER SHOT BLOCKER PEOTECT THE RIM سایر مربیان:امار تنها کافی نیست تحلیل و برداشت از امار صحیح مهم است علم در صددغلیه برشم و غریزه و تجربه برای پیش بینی و توضیح وقایع - نحوه اماده سازی وطراحی پﻻن واستراتزی در بسکتبال است بازیکنانی هستند که: - اماری ندارند ولی ایجاد انگیزه میکنند - هدایت میکنندد - تیم نظم برقرار میکنند - بعضی ها غیر قابل باور دفاع میکنند - سایر بازیکنان را تر و تازه و موثرنگه میدارند - این 50 درصد تﻻش و 50 درصد ذاتی است بعضی بازیکنان در هیچ راداری دیده نمیشوندو مربی باید انها را پیدا و خلق کند. بنابراین بعضی ها فقط در امار به ترن اور ریباند درصد شوت و درصد پرتاب ازاد بسنده میکنندو دنبال بهتر شدن خود از طریق تمرکز در موارد زیرند: ----- افرایش توانایی بدنی ------ انتخاب و پیشبرد توانایی ذهنی بازیکن و اطﻻعات ساختاری بسکتبال ------ ایجاد پختگی روانی بازیکن به منظور جلوگیری از حسادت خودخواهی و غر زدن ----- امادگی روانی ---- مهارتهای بسکتبال نحوه برخورد با امار)عرف....( هدف گذاری یاد اوری قبل از مسابقه تخریب نه سعی برای رسیدن به هدف با تحلیل امار درست و بجا تحلیل درست: STEAL/4 OPP EASY LAY UP GOOD DEFENDER!!!!! ????? NO -4 -50% FG GOOD SHOOTER!!!!!!???????? NO MOST LAYUP -10 DEF REBOUND GOOD REB!!!!!!!?????? NO ALWAYS FAR FROM OPPONENT LET HIM SHOOT -51 REBOUND GREAT BUT WE SHOULD BE BETTER SHOOTER چرا درصد ریباند دفاع و حمله و نه تعداد انها از اهمیت زیادی MEHRAN 10MIN 6REB برخوردار است؟ HASSAN 11MIN 4REB سوال : چه کسی ریباندر بهتری است؟ MEHRAN 2 MORE!!!!! 6< 4 تیمها ضعیف شوت زدند و 22فرصت ریباند MEHRAN 6/22 وضعیت شوت بهتر شد و فقط 9 فرصت ریباند بود HASSAN 4/9 4/9>>>6/22 HASSAN>>>MEHRAN بنابراین درصد ریباند اهمیت بیشتری دارد تا تعداد ریباند بنابراین باید به دنبال دو مفهوم زیر باشیم: DRB% & ORB% در هر کاری با بررسی شاخص های عملکردی میتوان به موفقیت و یا عدم ان پی برد با بررسی شاخص های دفاعی میتوان به نحوه تمرینات دفاعی و ارزیابی خود رسید 1-درصد شوت حریف در مقایسه با خود 2- امتیازحریف در هر بازی POINT PER POSSESION) GOOD DEF PPP LOW) 3-تعداد مالکیت که با فاکتورهای زیرافزایش مییابد: درصد ریباند دفاعی درصد ریباند حمله ترن اور توپ دزدی 4-امتیاز در هر مالکیت RUN AND GUN GAME (تعداد بیشتر مالکیت برای دو تیم ) مثال :تحلیل مناسب SHOOTING PPP% YOUR TEAM 33% 60 /90 TO=15 MORE توجه: ( OPPONENT 30% 70 / 105 )FT 15/20 کدام تیم عملکرد بهتری دارد؟تیم شما درصد شوت بهتر ولی بعلت خطا درصد و ترن اور مالکیت کمتری دارد!!! مشکل در دفاع است؟ علت تفاوت 10 امتیاز چیست مشکل حمله است نه دفاع چهار فاکتور مهم در پیروزی تیم شوت 40 درصد ترن اور 25 درصد ریباند 20 درصد پرتاب ازاد 15 درصد مقایسه این فاکتور با حریف در سال NBA 2013 درصد شوت: AVERAGE 49.5% فینالیست ها MAIMI HEAT 55.24% SAN ANTONIO 53.06% جنگ ترن اور نسبت همکاری به ترن اور???? = AST/TO حدود شوت 50 درصد امار نرمال است پس اگر 10 توپ لوداده داشته باشی باید بیست همکاری داشته باشی تا در این جدال بازنده نباشی. همکاری موجب شوت خوب میشودونه پرتاب اجباری که موجب ضد حمله میشود جنگ ریباند پرتاب ازاد بیشتر تیمی نفوذی تر است که درصد پرتاب پنالتی بیشتری نسبت به شوت سه امتیازی دارد. همکاری در به ثمر رساندن گل بیشتری هم دارد. ترن اور : موجب ضدحمله با گل درصد باﻻ افزایش فول افزایش پرتاب ازاد افت روحی روانی تیم بردن جنگ ترن اور) اهمیت مالکیت توپposs( مناطق قوی و ضعیف شوت بازیکنان خودی و حریف را نشان میدهد که در تعیین تاثیر ستهای حمله ای منجر به شوت موثر است معموﻻ بازیکنان در دو منطقه از سه منطقه نشان داده شده بهتر شوت میزنند!!!!! قانون پیرسون وقتی عملکردی اندازه گیری میشود بهبود مییابد اما وقتی عملکرد انداره گیری میشود وگزارش گیری وثبت میشود سرعت پیشرفت شتاب مییابد تعداد و تفاضل ریباند خیلی کار گشا نیست بلکه درصد ریباند دفاعی و حمله ای مهم است امارها را باریکنان در میان گذاشته و هدف گذاری کنید)کوتاه مدت و بازی به بازی( کدام تیم بهتر ریباند دفاعی داشته؟ YOUR TEAM 30%SHOOT 20 REB • کدام تیم بهتر ریباند حمله ای داشته؟ OPPONENT 60% SHOOT 14REB • • DRB%=DEFREB/(DEFREB+OPPOFFREB) NBA 73% • ORB%=OFFREB/(OFFREB+OPPDEFREB) NBA 27% برای بهبودی ریباند دو فاکتور اماری دیگر نیز مهم است: • ORA% = NO OF REB ATTEMPT/NO OF OPPORTUNITY(VIDEO TAPE) (INFRONT OR BEHIND DEFENSIVE REB) • BOXOUT %=NO OF BOXOUT ATTEMPT/NO OF OPPORTUNITY(VIDEO TAPE) • FETCH AND ATTACK THE BALL NOT JUST BOXOUT, • STAR PLAYER 25% OTHERS 50% !!!!!! HELP HIM "مقایسه امار نماینده ایران و کره در جام باشگاههای اسیا " 12<<<7 !!!!!!!! امار سنتی)عرف( :Traditional box score امارهایی که کم و بیش اکثرا با ان اشنا هستیم و انرا مﻻک قرار می دهیم: این امار بخشی از واقعیت هستند و اگر به پشت امار فکر نکنیم دچار تصمیم و مﻻکهای اشتباه میشویم مثال:تعداد ریباند دفاع و حمله مﻻک صحیحی از ریباندر بودن بازیکنان نیست امار سنتی نمونه در فیبا: لیست بازیکنان برداشت ها و دیاگرامهای بدست امده از امار سنتی که به طرز فوق العاده ای نشان داده شده اند نتیجه استفاده صحیح از برگه اماری است که من انرا تحلیل امار نامگذاری میکنم دیاگرام های مقایسه ای دو تیم که از امار سنتی بدست می اید: سایردیاگرام های مقایسه ای: مقایسه درصد شوت –فول-بﻻک-ترن اور-همکاری و توپ دزدی و روندامتیاز گیری موقعیت شوت: دیاگرام شوت های زده شده و شوت های به ثمر نشسته در هر کوارتر موقعیت شوت: موقعیت شوت: موقعیت گل نزده تیمی موقعیت گل زده فردی موقعیت گل زده موقعیت گل نزده گزارش گیری لحظه به لحظه بازی گزارش گیری لحظه به لحظه بازی گزارش گیری لحظه به لحظه بازی گزارش گیری لحظه به لحظه بازی گزارش گیری لحظه به لحظه بازی فقط دو پریود اورده شده است درصد شوت تیمی امار شوت تیمی 4th 4th 5th 6th این امار نشان نمیدهد که پترو تیم قهرمان 8 نفره است!!!!!!! ریباند تیمی ریباند بازیکن در هر 40 دقیقه 1st تعداد فول در هر بازی:14.8 پترو 74 1st گل زده و همکاری تیمی در به ثمر رساندن ان 4th 5th 2-3th 1th 1th 5th تعداد مالکیت بیشتر پترو را قهرمان اسیا کرد امار انفرادی بازیکنان در همکاری –توپ دزدی-ریباندو دفاع کم خطا تﻻش زیادی کردند امار کل تورنمنت بصورت انفرادی: تحلیل اولیه: در حمله ضعیف ولی یکنواخت و عدم وابستگی به فرد در دفاع عالی بی فول در درصد شوت 2 امتیازی چهارم در درصد شوت 3 امتیازی چهارم در درصد شوت پالتی پنجم بهترین تیم از نظر تعداد ریباند کمترین فول کننده علیرغم مدافع ترین تیم نفوذ کم امار پیشرفته Advancd box score امتیازگیری از 100 مالکیت توپ OffRtg Offensive Rating Measures a team's points scored per 100 possessions. On a player level this statistic is team points scored per 100 possessions while he is on court Formula 100*((Points)/(POSS) امتیازدادن از 100 مالکیت توپ حریف DEFRTG Defensive Rating The number of points allowed per 100 possessions by a team. For a player, it is the number of points per 100 possessions that the team allows while that individual player is on the court Formula 100*((Opp Points)/(Opp POSS)) تفاوت امتیاز گرفته شده و داده شده از 100 مالکیت توپ NetRtg Net Rating Measures a team's point differential per 100 possessions. On player level this statistic is the team's point differential per 100 possessions while he is on court .Formula OFFRTG - DEFRTG درصد همکاری بازیکن به کل همکاریها AST% Percent of Team's Assists Definition The percentage of a team's assists that a player has while on the court نسبت ترن اور به همکاری AST/TO Assist to Turnover Ratio Definition The number of assists for a player or team compared to the number of turnovers they have committed تعداد همکاری از 100 مالکیت توپ AST Ratio Assist Ratio Definition Assist Ratio is the number of assists a player averages per 100 possessions used Formula (AST * 100) / (POSS) درصد ریباند دفاعی فردی یا تیمی %DREB Defensive Rebounding Percentage The percentage of available defensive rebounds a player or team obtains while on the floor.
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