Mindanao 2020 Peace and Development Framework Plan (2011 - 2030) Table of Contents
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MINDANAO 2020 PEACE AND DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK PLAN (2011 - 2030) TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I. WANTED: A NEW MINDANAO 48 A. Introduction ...............................................................49 B. Refocusing Lenses: Recent Historical Perspectives ..........................49 C. Mindanao 2000: What Had Been Achieved, What Remains To Be Done ......49 D. Guiding Principles .........................................................53 55 II.G EMER ING TRENDS, ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS A. Introduction...............................................................55 B. Global Megatrends ........................................................55 C. Alternative Scenarios: What Could Be......................................62 III. THE ENVIRONMENT IN MINDANAO’S PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE 65 A. Introduction ...............................................................65 B. Mindanawons and Their Ecosystems .......................................65 C. Development with Degradation ...........................................71 D. Shaping a Sustainable Mindanao Future ...................................73 IV. MINDANAO IN 2030: THE MINDANAO THAT WE WANT, 85 THE MINDANAO THAT COULD BE A. A Shared Vision for Mindanao ..............................................85 B. Mindanao 2020 Goals ......................................................85 C. Overall Mindanao 2020 Targets.............................................86 V. SECURING LASTING PEACE IN MINDANAO: PEACE ONCE AND FOR ALL 91 A. Situation and Challenges ..................................................91 1. Injustice, Ethnic Divides, War and Discord 2. The Peace Process Policy 3. The Security Sector 4. Boundaries and Territories 5. Beyond Ethnic Strife 6. The ‘War On Terror’ 7. Peace Initiatives 8. Environmental Security 9. Beyond National Borders: The Broader Perspective B. Vision, Goals and Objectives, Targets .......................................97 C. Strategies..................................................................98 VI. HUMAN DEVELOPMENT AND SOCIAL COHESION: 105 A MINDANAO FREE OF WANT, FREE OF FEAR A. Situation and Challenges ..................................................105 1. Overview 2. Human Development Challenges 3. Social Cohesion Challenges 4. Seeds Of Hope B. Vision, Goals and Objectives, Targets .......................................111 C. Strategies..................................................................113 3 LIST OF TABLES Table 2-1. Key Drivers to Mindanao’s Present and Future Development Table 3-1. Mindanao Population and Annual Growth Rates, 1995, 2000, and 2007 Table 3-2. Mindanao Population by Gender Table 3-3. Mindanao Population by Ethnic Group, 2000 VII. ECONOMY AND THE ENVIRONMENT: IN QUEST OF A DYNAMIC, 123 Table 3-4. Mindanao Key Island Ecosystems Table 3-5. Mindanao Forest Types by Region INCLUSIVE AND GREEN Table 3-6. CADT and CALT Approved for Mindanao A. Mindanao Economy .......................................................123 Table 3-7. Watershed Classification, Mindanao B. Situation and Challenges ..................................................123 Table 3-8. Groundwater Availability in Mindanao Table 3-9. Environmental Damage from Mining Processes 1. Overview Table 3-10. Environmental Alliances in Mindanao 2. Inherent and Latent Strengths Table 6-1. Gini Coefficients, Mindanao Regions vis-a-vis National, 1991-2006 3. Persistent Hurdles Table 6-2. Income Ratios of Top 10/20% to Bottom 10/20%, Mindanao Region vs. National, 2006 4. Key Opportunities Table 6-3. Baseline Human Insecurity Indicators C. Vision, Goals and Objectives, Targets .......................................127 Table 7-1. GRDP of Mindanao Regions D. Strategies .................................................................130 Table 7-2. Mindanao’s Share of Total Government Budget in Key Sectors and in GDP Table 7-3. Tourism Clusters in Mindanao Table 9-1. National Roads Development by Major Island by Region, 2009 VIII. A DISTINCTIVE MINDANAO GOVERNANCE: SELF-RELIANCE AND 145 Table 9-2. Road Conditions in 2009 Table 9-3. Vehicles Carried by RoRo in Mindanao SELF-DETERMINATION FULFILLED Table 9-4. Categories of Mindanao Airports by Region A. Situation and Challenges .........................................................145 Table 9-5. Busiest Philippine Airports, 2009-2010 1. A Unique Governance Opportunity Table 9-6. Regional Shares and Growth Rates in Air Passenger Traffic, 2008-2009 Table 9-7. Telephone Subscribers by Region, 2007 2. Recent Governance History Table 9-8. Community e-Centers in Mindanao, 2009 3. Complex Governance Challenges Table 9-9. Centers of Excellence in Information Technology Education, 2007-2010 4. Weak Institutions and Capacities Table 9-10. Mindanao Energy Capacity and Capability by Plant Type 5. Mindanao-wide Coordination Table 9-11. Sales and Consumption of Electricity in Mindanao, 2005-2009 Table 9-12. Higher Education Institutions, 2009 6. The Clamor for Self-Determination Table 9-13. Mindanao Government Income Structure By Administrative Subdivision, B. Vision, Goals and Objectives, Targets .......................................149 Table 9-14. Distribution of ODA Loans, as of December 2009 C. Strategies..................................................................150 Table 9-15. ODA Distribution within Mindanao, 2009 Table 9-16. Regional Allocation of the Expenditure Program, 2008-2010 Table 9-17. Income and Expenditure Pattern of Mindanao Regions IX. ENABLING CONDITIONS: REQUISITES FOR REALIZING MINDANAO 2020 159 Table 10-1. Key Legislative and Executive Policy Reforms A. Situation and Challenges...................................................159 Table 10-2. List of Proposed Major Priority Projects 1. Infrastructure 1.1 Transportation and Logistics 1.2 Information and Communication Technology 1.3 Energy and Power LIST OF FIGURES 1.4 Water Supply and Sanitation Figure 1-1. The Mindanao Problem 1.5 Drainage and Flood Control Figure 2-1. Temperature Increase Risk Map 2. Science & Technology and Research & Development Figure 2-2. Effects of Sea Level Rise on Mindanao Coastal Areas Figure 2-3. Effects of Sea Level Rise, Northern Mindanao Coastal Areas 3. Financing Peace and Development Figure 2-4. Effects of Sea Level Rise, Basilan Island Coastlines 3.1 LGU Income Figure 2-5. Scenario Quadrants 3.2 Official Development Assistance Figure 3-1. Mindanao Forest Cover 3.3 NGA Budgets Figure 3-2. Mindanao Watersheds Figure 3-3. Pulangi Watershed and River Basin Ecosystem 3.4 LGU Income Versus Expenditure Patterns Figure 3-4. Agusan Watershed and River Basin Ecosystem 3.5 OFW Remittances Figure 3-5. Mindanao Groundwater Map B. Vision, Goals and Objectives, Targets .......................................175 Figure 3-6. Biodiversity Rich Areas in the Philippines C. Strategies .................................................................. 177 Figure 5-1. Conflict Map of Mindanao Figure 5-2. Lombok-Makassar-Sulu Sea Lane Figure 5-3. The Coral Triangle X. THE WAY FORWARD: MAKING MINDANAO 2020 A REALITY 188 Figure 6-1a. Human Development Index Map of Mindanao, 2006 Figure 6-1b. Human Development Index in Mindanao (Values) Figure 7-1. Sectoral Shares in the Mindanao Economy, 2008 Figure 7-2. GRDP Growth Rate, Mindanao vs. Philippines, 1995-2009 Figure 7-3. Mindanao Deposits vis-a-vis Loan Portfolio, 1994-2008 Figure 7-4. Major Mineral Areas in Mindanao Figure 7-5. Mindanao Foreign Trade, 1995-2009 4 Mindanao 2020 Peace and Development Framework Plan 2011-2030 5 Figure 7-6. Tourist Arrivals in Mindanao, 1997-2009 Figure 7-7. Investment Equity Distribution in Mindanao, 2008 Figure 7-8. 2009 BOI-Registered Investments, Sector Distribution Figure 8-1. Administrative Map of Mindanao Figure 8-2. Mindanao Land Use as of 2002 Figure 9-1. Motor Vehicle Registration, 2008 Figure 9-2. Ship Calls in Mindanao, 2001-2009 Figure 9-3. Passenger Traffic, 2001-2009 Figure 9-4. Cargo Throughput, 2001-2009 Figure 9-5. Container Traffic, 2001-2009 Figure 9-6. Strong Republic Nautical Highways Figure 9-7. Vehicles Carried by RoRo, By Share of Major Island Groups Figure 9-8. Power Generation in Mindanao, 2002-2009 Figure 9-9. System Losses, 2005-2009 Figure 9-10. Mindanao Supply-Demand Outlook, 2010-2030 Figure 9-11. ODA Distribution Minus Program Loans, as of December 2009 Figure 9-12. Budget Distribution by Area, 2010 Figure 9-13. Per Capita Budget Distribution by Area, 2010 Figure 9-14. Overseas Filipino Workers from Mindanao, 2009 Figure 9-15. Overseas Filipino Workers by Regional Share, 2009 MALACAÑAN PALACE Figure 9-16. Mindanao Remittance Value and Share to Total Philippine Remittance Manila LIST OF BOXES Box 3-1. Mining and the Mamanwas Box 6-1. Volunteer for Information and Development Assistance (VIDA) Program It is my pleasure to greet our fellow Filipinos in Mindanao, and I also convey my Box 7-1. Lake Lanao Watershed: Symbol of Mindanao Environment Degradation warmest greetings to the Mindanao Development Authority, for the publication Box 7-2. Appropriate Solutions Need Not Be Costly of the Mindanao 2020 Peace and Development Framework. Box 7-3. Datu Paglas and the La Frutera Story Box 8-1. Streamlining Registration in Business-friendly Quezon City Box 8-2. When LGUs Cooperate In light of our goal to establish stability and progress, we must act as one people Box 8-3. A Private Sector Public Planning Initiative: The Mindanao TVET Roadmap and be earnest in fulfilling these ideals. The 20-year roadmap for peace and Box 10-1. Strategic Framework for Engagement: Guiding Interventions for Peace and Development in the Southern